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Fertility & birth rates in Estonia and Papua New Guinea

Updated on by Georank team

Estonia has an annual birth rate of 8 births per 1,000 people, compared to 24.6 for Papua New Guinea. The average number of children a woman is expected to have during her lifetime — the fertility rate, is 1.31 in Estonia and 3.1 in Papua New Guinea — 136.6% difference.

1960 vs 2023, the fertility rate has decreased by 33.8% in Estonia and by 48.5% in Papua New Guinea — in 1960, it was 1.98 and 6.02, respectively.

  • Estonia is ranked 176/196 by birth rate compared to 55/196 for Papua New Guinea.
  • The mean age for first-time mothers is 28.7 years in Estonia, compared to 21.9 years in Papua New Guinea.
  • The mean age at childbearing (for all the births, not just the first) is 31.3 in Estonia — it's 29.2 in Papua New Guinea.
  • Annual births per 1,000 women ages 15-19 (adolescent birth rate or teenage mother rate) is 5.03 in Estonia vs 54.1 in Papua New Guinea.
  • In Estonia, 21.1% of the population is composed of women of reproductive age (15-49), compared to 25.9% in Papua New Guinea.

Fertility rate in Estonia vs Papua New Guinea by year

Estonia
Papua New Guinea
1x
Year Fertility rate
Estonia Papua New Guinea
2023 1.31 3.1
2022 1.41 3.17
2021 1.61 3.22
2020 1.58 3.27
2019 1.66 3.32
2018 1.67 3.38
2017 1.59 3.43
2016 1.6 3.5
2015 1.58 3.56
2014 1.54 3.63
2013 1.52 3.68
2012 1.56 3.75
2011 1.61 3.82
2010 1.72 3.88
2009 1.7 3.94
2008 1.72 4.01
2007 1.69 4.08
2006 1.58 4.15
2005 1.52 4.22
2004 1.47 4.28
2003 1.37 4.36
2002 1.36 4.42
2001 1.32 4.47
2000 1.36 4.53
1999 1.3 4.59
1998 1.28 4.63
1997 1.32 4.68
1996 1.37 4.73
1995 1.38 4.78
1994 1.42 4.87
1993 1.49 4.96
1992 1.71 5.03
1991 1.8 5.11
1990 2.05 5.18
1989 2.22 5.24
1988 2.27 5.3
1987 2.27 5.36
1986 2.18 5.42
1985 2.13 5.47
1984 2.17 5.51
1983 2.16 5.56
1982 2.07 5.59
1981 2.07 5.65
1980 2.02 5.71
1979 2 5.79
1978 2.02 5.88
1977 2.06 5.96
1976 2.07 6.02
1975 2.04 6.07
1974 2.07 6.11
1973 2.06 6.16
1972 2.13 6.2
1971 2.19 6.23
1970 2.17 6.25
1969 2.13 6.26
1968 2.03 6.25
1967 1.9 6.24
1966 1.87 6.23
1965 1.88 6.2
1964 1.94 6.19
1963 1.89 6.15
1962 1.95 6.14
1961 1.98 6.07
1960 1.98 6.02

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/estonia/papua-new-guinea | CC BY

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Estonia was 1.31 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.1 in Papua New Guinea in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Estonia vs Papua New Guinea population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

Natural population change by year

Estonia
Papua New Guinea
1x
Year Natural population change
Estonia Papua New Guinea
2023 -5,070 187,637
2022 -5,665 186,861
2021 -5,324 183,766
2020 -2,659 189,130
2019 -1,327 190,662
2018 -1,322 190,662
2017 -1,713 189,715
2016 -1,316 189,281
2015 -1,315 188,600
2014 -1,972 187,592
2013 -1,713 185,790
2012 -1,455 183,658
2011 -531 181,842
2010 0 178,998
2009 -400 175,421
2008 -668 172,823
2007 -1,608 169,306
2006 -2,559 166,540
2005 -2,981 163,888
2004 -3,679 161,023
2003 -5,072 158,611
2002 -5,380 155,091
2001 -5,830 151,431
2000 -5,309 147,496
1999 -6,117 143,592
1998 -7,208 136,677
1997 -6,018 134,458
1996 -5,662 129,802
1995 -7,327 125,410
1994 -8,044 122,113
1993 -5,976 118,668
1992 -1,993 114,818
1991 -312 111,453
1990 2,825 110,033
1989 5,803 108,199
1988 6,404 106,256
1987 6,829 104,367
1986 6,160 102,346
1985 4,281 100,333
1984 5,163 98,103
1983 5,884 95,982
1982 5,244 93,522
1981 4,612 91,767
1980 3,989 90,266
1979 3,818 89,330
1978 4,088 88,747
1977 4,931 87,954
1976 4,319 86,965
1975 4,717 85,809
1974 5,956 84,829
1973 5,623 83,821
1972 6,267 82,672
1971 7,160 80,599
1970 6,257 78,712
1969 5,515 76,454
1968 5,592 73,983
1967 5,012 71,519
1966 4,842 69,206
1965 5,437 66,693
1964 6,897 64,558
1963 6,043 62,260
1962 6,457 59,974
1961 7,228 58,151
1960 7,511 56,326

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/estonia/papua-new-guinea | CC BY

The chart above illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes in population resulting from births and deaths.

Excluding migration, the natural population change due to births and deaths from 2022 to 2023 was -0.37% in Estonia and +1.81% in Papua New Guinea.

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change has been -0.21% in Estonia and +2% in Papua New Guinea.

Birth rate in Estonia vs Papua New Guinea by year

Estonia
Papua New Guinea

Annual births per 1,000 people

1x
Year Annual births per 1,000 people
Estonia Papua New Guinea
2023 8 24.6
2022 8.6 25.2
2021 10 25.6
2020 9.9 26.1
2019 10.6 26.5
2018 10.9 27
2017 10.5 27.4
2016 10.7 27.9
2015 10.6 28.4
2014 10.3 28.9
2013 10.3 29.4
2012 10.6 29.8
2011 11.1 30.3
2010 11.9 30.7
2009 11.8 31.1
2008 12 31.5
2007 11.8 31.9
2006 11 32.4
2005 10.6 32.8
2004 10.3 33.2
2003 9.5 33.7
2002 9.4 34
2001 9.1 34.2
2000 9.4 34.4
1999 9 34.7
1998 8.8 34.8
1997 9 34.8
1996 9.4 34.9
1995 9.4 35
1994 9.7 35.3
1993 10.2 35.6
1992 11.8 35.8
1991 12.4 36.1
1990 14.2 36.7
1989 15.5 37.1
1988 16 37.3
1987 16.2 37.4
1986 15.7 37.5
1985 15.5 37.7
1984 16 37.7
1983 16 37.8
1982 15.4 37.7
1981 15.4 37.9
1980 15 38.1
1979 14.9 38.7
1978 15 39.3
1977 15.2 39.9
1976 15.1 40.5
1975 14.9 41.1
1974 15.1 41.8
1973 15.1 42.6
1972 15.6 43.3
1971 16.1 43.7
1970 15.8 44
1969 15.4 44.2
1968 14.9 44.4
1967 14.2 44.5
1966 14.2 44.6
1965 14.6 44.6
1964 15.4 44.7
1963 15.3 44.7
1962 16.1 44.9
1961 16.5 44.9
1960 16.7 45.1

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/estonia/papua-new-guinea | CC BY

The latest reported birth rate per 1,000 people in 2023 was 8 in Estonia and 24.6 in Papua New Guinea, compared with 16.7 and 45.1, respectively, in 1960.

Birth rate data compared

Estonia Papua New Guinea
Fertility rate 1.31 3.1
Fertility rate rank 175/196 55/196
Birth rate 8 24.6
Birth rate rank 176/196 55/196
Population change due to births and deaths -5,070 +187,637
Natural population change rank 167/196 63/196
Natural population change rate -0.37% +1.81%
Population growth +0.15% +1.8%
Population growth rank 158/197 59/197
Age at first childbirth 28.7 years 21.9 years
Average age at childbearing 31.3 years 29.2 years
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 15-19 4.23 52.3
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 20-29 55.1 144.3
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 30+ 13.1 46.2
Female of reproductive age (15-49), share of population 21.1% 25.9%
Any modern method of contraceptive prevalence among married women ages 15-49 60.9% 30.5%
Share of births attended by skilled health staff 99.6% 56.4%
Maternal mortality per live birth 0.005% 0.19%
Neonatal mortality rate (before reaching 28 days of age) 0.1% 2.05%
Infant mortality rate (before reaching 1 year of age) 0.16% 3.2%
Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age 0.21% 4.03%
Life expectancy 79.6 years 66.5 years

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Estonia
Factual

UN forecast
Papua New Guinea
Factual

UN forecast
1x
Year Young
Estonia Papua New Guinea
2100 11.7% 19%
2099 11.7% 19.1%
2098 11.8% 19.2%
2097 11.9% 19.3%
2096 11.9% 19.4%
2095 12% 19.5%
2094 12.1% 19.6%
2093 12.2% 19.7%
2092 12.3% 19.8%
2091 12.4% 19.9%
2090 12.4% 20%
2089 12.5% 20.1%
2088 12.5% 20.2%
2087 12.6% 20.4%
2086 12.6% 20.5%
2085 12.6% 20.6%
2084 12.5% 20.7%
2083 12.5% 20.8%
2082 12.4% 20.9%
2081 12.3% 21%
2080 12.3% 21.2%
2079 12.2% 21.3%
2078 12.1% 21.4%
2077 12% 21.5%
2076 11.9% 21.7%
2075 11.8% 21.8%
2074 11.7% 21.9%
2073 11.7% 22.1%
2072 11.6% 22.2%
2071 11.6% 22.4%
2070 11.6% 22.5%
2069 11.6% 22.7%
2068 11.7% 22.8%
2067 11.7% 23%
2066 11.8% 23.2%
2065 11.9% 23.3%
2064 12.1% 23.5%
2063 12.2% 23.7%
2062 12.4% 23.9%
2061 12.5% 24.1%
2060 12.7% 24.3%
2059 12.8% 24.5%
2058 12.9% 24.6%
2057 13% 24.8%
2056 13.1% 25%
2055 13.2% 25.2%
2054 13.2% 25.4%
2053 13.2% 25.6%
2052 13.2% 25.8%
2051 13.1% 26%
2050 13% 26.2%
2049 12.9% 26.4%
2048 12.8% 26.6%
2047 12.7% 26.8%
2046 12.5% 27%
2045 12.4% 27.2%
2044 12.3% 27.4%
2043 12.1% 27.6%
2042 12% 27.9%
2041 11.9% 28.1%
2040 11.9% 28.4%
2039 11.8% 28.7%
2038 11.8% 28.9%
2037 11.9% 29.2%
2036 12.1% 29.6%
2035 12.3% 29.9%
2034 12.6% 30.2%
2033 12.9% 30.6%
2032 13.2% 30.9%
2031 13.6% 31.2%
2030 13.9% 31.6%
2029 14.2% 31.9%
2028 14.4% 32.3%
2027 14.7% 32.6%
2026 15% 33%
2025 15.5% 33.3%
2024 15.6% 33.5%
2023 16% 33.8%
2022 16.2% 34.1%
2021 16.4% 34.4%
2020 16.4% 34.7%
2019 16.4% 35%
2018 16.4% 35.3%
2017 16.3% 35.6%
2016 16.2% 35.9%
2015 16% 36.2%
2014 15.9% 36.5%
2013 15.7% 36.7%
2012 15.6% 37%
2011 15.4% 37.2%
2010 15.2% 37.5%
2009 15% 37.7%
2008 14.9% 38%
2007 14.9% 38.3%
2006 15% 38.5%
2005 15.2% 38.8%
2004 15.6% 39%
2003 16.1% 39.3%
2002 16.6% 39.5%
2001 17.2% 39.8%
2000 17.6% 40%
1999 18.4% 40.2%
1998 19.2% 40.4%
1997 19.8% 40.6%
1996 20.3% 40.8%
1995 20.7% 41%
1994 21.1% 41.2%
1993 21.4% 41.5%
1992 21.8% 41.7%
1991 22.1% 41.9%
1990 22.3% 42.1%
1989 22.3% 42.3%
1988 22.2% 42.4%
1987 22.2% 42.4%
1986 22.1% 42.5%
1985 22.1% 42.6%
1984 22.1% 42.8%
1983 22% 42.9%
1982 21.9% 43%
1981 21.8% 43.2%
1980 21.7% 43.5%
1979 21.6% 44%
1978 21.5% 44.4%
1977 21.5% 44.9%
1976 21.6% 45.2%
1975 21.6% 45.5%
1974 21.8% 45.8%
1973 21.9% 45.9%
1972 22% 46%
1971 22% 46%
1970 22.1% 45.8%
1969 22.1% 45.6%
1968 22.2% 45.3%
1967 22.3% 45.1%
1966 22.6% 44.9%
1965 22.8% 44.6%
1964 23% 44.4%
1963 23.2% 44.2%
1962 23.3% 43.9%
1961 23.3% 43.7%
1960 23.1% 43.4%

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2024, retrieved 2026-04-06); United Nations | World Population Prospects (2025–2100, retrieved 2026-03-10).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/estonia/papua-new-guinea | CC BY

Children aged 0-14 make up 15.6% of the population in Estonia and 33.5% in Papua New Guinea in 2024, compared to 22.3% and 42.1% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Estonia and Papua New Guinea compared.

Fertility rates around the globe

1x

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/estonia/papua-new-guinea | CC BY

Maternal mortality chart: Estonia vs Papua New Guinea

Estonia
Papua New Guinea
1x
Year Maternal mortality per 100K births
Estonia Papua New Guinea
2023 5 189
2022 7 189
2021 8 223
2020 6 194
2019 6 199
2018 5 205
2017 5 207
2016 7 214
2015 6 221
2014 7 232
2013 6 243
2012 8 257
2011 9 271
2010 8 289
2009 10 302
2008 11 315
2007 13 326
2006 13 325
2005 15 326
2004 15 326
2003 18 328
2002 22 329
2001 25 325
2000 27 323
1999 28 321
1998 32 325
1997 31 316
1996 36 316
1995 45 318
1994 60 324
1993 46 333
1992 40 340
1991 42 354
1990 44 360
1989 48 369
1988 43 377
1987 42 379
1986 46 386
1985 56 393

Data sources: World Bank | Gender (1985–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/estonia/papua-new-guinea | CC BY

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 5 deaths per 100,000 live births in Estonia, compared to 189 deaths in Papua New Guinea.

Under-five mortality rates

Estonia
Papua New Guinea

Probability that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five

1x
Year Under 5 mortality rate
Estonia Papua New Guinea
2023 0.21% 4.03%
2022 0.22% 4.17%
2021 0.23% 4.31%
2020 0.24% 4.45%
2019 0.25% 4.59%
2018 0.27% 4.72%
2017 0.28% 4.87%
2016 0.3% 5.02%
2015 0.32% 5.17%
2014 0.34% 5.3%
2013 0.36% 5.44%
2012 0.39% 5.59%
2011 0.42% 5.73%
2010 0.46% 5.88%
2009 0.5% 6.02%
2008 0.54% 6.16%
2007 0.59% 6.31%
2006 0.65% 6.44%
2005 0.71% 6.58%
2004 0.78% 6.71%
2003 0.85% 6.84%
2002 0.93% 6.96%
2001 1.01% 7.08%
2000 1.1% 7.19%
1999 1.2% 7.3%
1998 1.29% 7.41%
1997 1.39% 7.52%
1996 1.48% 7.64%
1995 1.57% 7.77%
1994 1.64% 7.89%
1993 1.69% 8.03%
1992 1.73% 8.17%
1991 1.75% 8.31%
1990 1.77% 8.47%
1989 1.79% 8.63%
1988 1.81% 8.78%
1987 1.83% 8.96%
1986 1.86% 9.12%
1985 1.91% 9.3%
1984 1.96% 9.5%
1983 2.02% 9.71%
1982 2.09% 9.94%
1981 2.16% 10.2%
1980 2.24% 10.4%
1979 - 10.7%
1978 - 11%
1977 - 11.3%
1976 - 11.7%
1975 - 12.1%
1974 - 12.4%
1973 - 12.9%
1972 - 13.3%
1971 - 13.7%
1970 - 14.2%
1969 - 14.7%
1968 - 15.2%
1967 - 15.8%
1966 - 16.3%
1965 - 16.9%
1964 - 17.4%
1963 - 18%
1962 - 18.6%
1961 - 19.2%
1960 - 19.8%

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/estonia/papua-new-guinea | CC BY

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 0.21% in Estonia and 4.03% in Papua New Guinea. Above is a chart with historical data on under-five mortality rates.

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Data sources:

  1. World Bank | Health (1960–2024, retrieved 2026-04-06)
  2. United Nations | World Population Prospects (2025–2100, retrieved 2026-03-10)
  3. United Nations Economic Commission for Europe (UNECE) (2023, retrieved 2026-03-10)
  4. Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) (2025, retrieved 2026-02-20)

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