Fertility & birth rates in Gambia and Papua New Guinea

Fertility rate in Gambia vs Papua New Guinea chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in the Gambia was 4.01 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.1 in Papua New Guinea in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check the Gambia vs Papua New Guinea population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Gambia	Papua New Guinea
1960	6.25	6.02
1961	6.23	6.07
1962	6.21	6.14
1963	6.2	6.15
1964	6.2	6.19
1965	6.19	6.2
1966	6.18	6.23
1967	6.21	6.24
1968	6.22	6.25
1969	6.25	6.26
1970	6.26	6.25
1971	6.33	6.23
1972	6.37	6.2
1973	6.41	6.16
1974	6.42	6.11
1975	6.43	6.07
1976	6.43	6.02
1977	6.43	5.96
1978	6.42	5.88
1979	6.41	5.79
1980	6.41	5.71
1981	6.4	5.65
1982	6.4	5.59
1983	6.39	5.56
1984	6.39	5.51
1985	6.36	5.47
1986	6.34	5.42
1987	6.3	5.36
1988	6.26	5.3
1989	6.25	5.24
1990	6.25	5.18
1991	6.19	5.11
1992	6.11	5.03
1993	6.03	4.96
1994	6.04	4.87
1995	5.99	4.78
1996	5.93	4.73
1997	5.85	4.68
1998	5.82	4.63
1999	5.77	4.59
2000	5.72	4.53
2001	5.67	4.47
2002	5.66	4.42
2003	5.66	4.36
2004	5.68	4.28
2005	5.71	4.22
2006	5.74	4.15
2007	5.69	4.08
2008	5.63	4.01
2009	5.57	3.94
2010	5.56	3.88
2011	5.54	3.82
2012	5.52	3.75
2013	5.39	3.68
2014	5.2	3.63
2015	5	3.56
2016	4.81	3.5
2017	4.61	3.43
2018	4.42	3.38
2019	4.33	3.32
2020	4.25	3.27
2021	4.17	3.22
2022	4.08	3.17
2023	4.01	3.1
2024	3.91	3.07
2025	3.8	3.03
2026	3.7	2.99
2027	3.6	2.95
2028	3.51	2.92
2029	3.41	2.88
2030	3.33	2.84
2031	3.24	2.81
2032	3.17	2.78
2033	3.1	2.75
2034	3.03	2.73
2035	2.97	2.69
2036	2.91	2.67
2037	2.86	2.64
2038	2.81	2.61
2039	2.76	2.59
2040	2.71	2.56
2041	2.67	2.54
2042	2.63	2.51
2043	2.59	2.49
2044	2.56	2.48
2045	2.52	2.46
2046	2.49	2.44
2047	2.46	2.42
2048	2.43	2.4
2049	2.4	2.38
2050	2.38	2.36

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Gambia	Papua New Guinea
1960	41%	43.4%
1961	40.8%	43.7%
1962	40.7%	43.9%
1963	40.8%	44.2%
1964	41%	44.4%
1965	41.3%	44.6%
1966	41.5%	44.9%
1967	41.6%	45.1%
1968	41.8%	45.3%
1969	41.9%	45.6%
1970	42%	45.8%
1971	42.1%	46%
1972	42.2%	46%
1973	42.3%	45.9%
1974	42.4%	45.8%
1975	42.6%	45.5%
1976	42.8%	45.2%
1977	43%	44.9%
1978	43.3%	44.4%
1979	43.5%	44%
1980	43.7%	43.5%
1981	44%	43.2%
1982	44.3%	43%
1983	44.6%	42.9%
1984	44.9%	42.8%
1985	45%	42.6%
1986	45.2%	42.5%
1987	45.4%	42.4%
1988	45.5%	42.4%
1989	45.6%	42.3%
1990	45.7%	42.1%
1991	45.8%	41.9%
1992	45.9%	41.7%
1993	46%	41.5%
1994	46.3%	41.2%
1995	46.5%	41%
1996	46.7%	40.8%
1997	46.9%	40.6%
1998	46.9%	40.4%
1999	46.9%	40.2%
2000	46.8%	40%
2001	46.7%	39.8%
2002	46.6%	39.5%
2003	46.4%	39.3%
2004	46.1%	39%
2005	45.9%	38.8%
2006	45.6%	38.5%
2007	45.3%	38.3%
2008	45.1%	38%
2009	44.8%	37.7%
2010	44.5%	37.5%
2011	44.3%	37.2%
2012	44.1%	37%
2013	43.9%	36.7%
2014	43.7%	36.5%
2015	43.6%	36.2%
2016	43.3%	35.9%
2017	43.1%	35.6%
2018	42.8%	35.3%
2019	42.4%	35%
2020	42%	34.7%
2021	41.6%	34.4%
2022	41.2%	34.1%
2023	40.7%	33.8%
2024	40.2%	33.5%
2025	39.7%	33.1%
2026	39.2%	32.8%
2027	38.5%	32.5%
2028	37.9%	32.1%
2029	37.3%	31.8%
2030	36.7%	31.4%
2031	36.2%	31.1%
2032	35.7%	30.7%
2033	35.2%	30.4%
2034	34.8%	30.1%
2035	34.3%	29.7%
2036	33.9%	29.4%
2037	33.4%	29.1%
2038	33%	28.8%
2039	32.5%	28.5%
2040	32.1%	28.3%
2041	31.7%	28%
2042	31.3%	27.8%
2043	30.9%	27.5%
2044	30.5%	27.3%
2045	30.2%	27.1%
2046	29.8%	26.9%
2047	29.5%	26.7%
2048	29.1%	26.5%
2049	28.8%	26.3%
2050	28.4%	26.1%

Children aged 0-14 make up 40.2% of the population in the Gambia and 33.5% in Papua New Guinea in 2024, compared to 45.7% and 42.1% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of the Gambia and Papua New Guinea compared.

Natural population change in Gambia vs Papua New Guinea by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +2.59% in the Gambia and +2% in Papua New Guinea. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Gambia	Papua New Guinea
1960	8,420	56,326
1961	8,778	58,151
1962	9,150	59,974
1963	9,493	62,260
1964	9,825	64,558
1965	10,162	66,693
1966	10,422	69,206
1967	10,823	71,519
1968	11,215	73,983
1969	11,670	76,454
1970	12,128	78,712
1971	12,842	80,599
1972	13,432	82,672
1973	14,046	83,821
1974	14,628	84,829
1975	15,256	85,809
1976	16,032	86,965
1977	16,773	87,954
1978	17,424	88,747
1979	18,543	89,330
1980	19,566	90,266
1981	20,156	91,767
1982	21,894	93,522
1983	23,175	95,982
1984	24,586	98,103
1985	25,795	100,333
1986	27,195	102,346
1987	28,452	104,367
1988	29,938	106,256
1989	31,504	108,199
1990	33,163	110,033
1991	34,584	111,453
1992	35,951	114,818
1993	37,302	118,668
1994	38,880	122,113
1995	39,681	125,410
1996	40,253	129,802
1997	40,742	134,458
1998	41,842	136,677
1999	42,533	143,592
2000	43,249	147,496
2001	44,154	151,431
2002	45,156	155,091
2003	46,473	158,611
2004	48,276	161,023
2005	50,010	163,888
2006	52,335	166,540
2007	53,653	169,306
2008	55,032	172,823
2009	56,575	175,421
2010	58,554	178,998
2011	60,571	181,842
2012	62,745	183,658
2013	63,510	185,790
2014	63,185	187,592
2015	62,832	188,600
2016	62,358	189,281
2017	61,665	189,715
2018	60,854	190,662
2019	61,701	190,662
2020	62,209	189,130
2021	62,239	183,766
2022	63,634	186,861
2023	65,118	187,637

Maternal mortality chart: Gambia vs Papua New Guinea

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 354 deaths per 100,000 live births in the Gambia, compared to 189 deaths in Papua New Guinea.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Gambia	Papua New Guinea
1985	1,454	393
1986	1,401	386
1987	1,360	379
1988	1,302	377
1989	1,258	369
1990	1,207	360
1991	1,167	354
1992	1,115	340
1993	1,072	333
1994	1,039	324
1995	999	318
1996	956	316
1997	928	316
1998	867	325
1999	830	321
2000	810	323
2001	794	325
2002	772	329
2003	749	328
2004	719	326
2005	707	326
2006	682	325
2007	675	326
2008	653	315
2009	634	302
2010	632	289
2011	634	271
2012	628	257
2013	606	243
2014	561	232
2015	527	221
2016	490	214
2017	469	207
2018	450	205
2019	422	199
2020	400	194
2021	420	223
2022	365	189
2023	354	189

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 4.41% in the Gambia and 4.03% in Papua New Guinea. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Gambia	Papua New Guinea
1960	36.2%	19.8%
1961	35.5%	19.2%
1962	34.8%	18.6%
1963	34.1%	18%
1964	33.5%	17.4%
1965	32.8%	16.9%
1966	32.1%	16.3%
1967	31.5%	15.8%
1968	30.9%	15.2%
1969	30.2%	14.7%
1970	29.5%	14.2%
1971	28.9%	13.7%
1972	28.2%	13.3%
1973	27.5%	12.9%
1974	26.9%	12.4%
1975	26.2%	12.1%
1976	25.5%	11.7%
1977	24.9%	11.3%
1978	24.2%	11%
1979	23.6%	10.7%
1980	23%	10.4%
1981	22.3%	10.2%
1982	21.7%	9.94%
1983	21%	9.71%
1984	20.4%	9.5%
1985	19.7%	9.3%
1986	19.1%	9.12%
1987	18.4%	8.96%
1988	17.8%	8.78%
1989	17.2%	8.63%
1990	16.6%	8.47%
1991	16%	8.31%
1992	15.5%	8.17%
1993	14.9%	8.03%
1994	14.4%	7.89%
1995	13.9%	7.77%
1996	13.3%	7.64%
1997	12.8%	7.52%
1998	12.3%	7.41%
1999	11.8%	7.3%
2000	11.3%	7.19%
2001	10.9%	7.08%
2002	10.4%	6.96%
2003	9.95%	6.84%
2004	9.52%	6.71%
2005	9.11%	6.58%
2006	8.71%	6.44%
2007	8.33%	6.31%
2008	7.98%	6.16%
2009	7.64%	6.02%
2010	7.31%	5.88%
2011	7.01%	5.73%
2012	6.73%	5.59%
2013	6.45%	5.44%
2014	6.18%	5.3%
2015	5.93%	5.17%
2016	5.7%	5.02%
2017	5.47%	4.87%
2018	5.27%	4.72%
2019	5.07%	4.59%
2020	4.89%	4.45%
2021	4.72%	4.31%
2022	4.56%	4.17%
2023	4.41%	4.03%