Fertility & birth rates in Kiribati and Papua New Guinea

Fertility rate in Kiribati vs Papua New Guinea by year

Chart Table

Kiribati

Papua New Guinea

1x

Year	Fertility rate
	Kiribati	Papua New Guinea
2023	3.15	3.1
2022	3.18	3.17
2021	3.22	3.22
2020	3.25	3.27
2019	3.29	3.32
2018	3.32	3.38
2017	3.34	3.43
2016	3.38	3.5
2015	3.44	3.56
2014	3.52	3.63
2013	3.64	3.68
2012	3.77	3.75
2011	3.88	3.82
2010	3.9	3.88
2009	3.91	3.94
2008	3.9	4.01
2007	3.87	4.08
2006	3.82	4.15
2005	3.76	4.22
2004	3.73	4.28
2003	3.7	4.36
2002	3.81	4.42
2001	3.96	4.47
2000	4.07	4.53
1999	4.18	4.59
1998	4.29	4.63
1997	4.37	4.68
1996	4.43	4.73
1995	4.42	4.78
1994	4.44	4.87
1993	4.49	4.96
1992	4.57	5.03
1991	4.64	5.11
1990	4.67	5.18
1989	4.69	5.24
1988	4.73	5.3
1987	4.81	5.36
1986	4.87	5.42
1985	4.91	5.47
1984	4.91	5.51
1983	4.91	5.56
1982	4.95	5.59
1981	4.96	5.65
1980	4.96	5.71
1979	4.97	5.79
1978	4.97	5.88
1977	4.96	5.96
1976	4.96	6.02
1975	5.02	6.07
1974	5.09	6.11
1973	5.2	6.16
1972	5.37	6.2
1971	5.55	6.23
1970	5.71	6.25
1969	5.85	6.26
1968	5.98	6.25
1967	6.11	6.24
1966	6.23	6.23
1965	6.26	6.2
1964	6.29	6.19
1963	6.35	6.15
1962	6.42	6.14
1961	6.48	6.07
1960	6.44	6.02

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Kiribati was 3.15 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.1 in Papua New Guinea in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Kiribati vs Papua New Guinea population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

Natural population change by year

Chart Table

Kiribati

Papua New Guinea

1x

Year	Natural population change
	Kiribati	Papua New Guinea
2023	2,487	187,637
2022	2,522	186,861
2021	2,408	183,766
2020	2,497	189,130
2019	2,560	190,662
2018	2,561	190,662
2017	2,549	189,715
2016	2,546	189,281
2015	2,555	188,600
2014	2,577	187,592
2013	2,629	185,790
2012	2,678	183,658
2011	2,709	181,842
2010	2,644	178,998
2009	2,573	175,421
2008	2,493	172,823
2007	2,393	169,306
2006	2,285	166,540
2005	2,188	163,888
2004	2,118	161,023
2003	2,045	158,611
2002	2,074	155,091
2001	2,121	151,431
2000	2,153	147,496
1999	2,186	143,592
1998	2,210	136,677
1997	2,220	134,458
1996	2,217	129,802
1995	2,183	125,410
1994	2,168	122,113
1993	2,161	118,668
1992	2,173	114,818
1991	2,176	111,453
1990	2,127	110,033
1989	2,073	108,199
1988	2,022	106,256
1987	1,982	104,367
1986	1,933	102,346
1985	1,881	100,333
1984	1,813	98,103
1983	1,748	95,982
1982	1,697	93,522
1981	1,635	91,767
1980	1,571	90,266
1979	1,509	89,330
1978	1,480	88,747
1977	1,426	87,954
1976	1,425	86,965
1975	1,423	85,809
1974	1,430	84,829
1973	1,409	83,821
1972	1,406	82,672
1971	1,406	80,599
1970	1,388	78,712
1969	1,367	76,454
1968	1,393	73,983
1967	1,417	71,519
1966	1,437	69,206
1965	1,376	66,693
1964	1,318	64,558
1963	1,273	62,260
1962	1,233	59,974
1961	1,199	58,151
1960	1,141	56,326

The chart above illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes in population resulting from births and deaths.

Excluding migration, the natural population change due to births and deaths from 2022 to 2023 was +1.88% in Kiribati and +1.81% in Papua New Guinea.

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change has been +2.05% in Kiribati and +2% in Papua New Guinea.

Birth rate in Kiribati vs Papua New Guinea by year

Chart Table

Kiribati

Papua New Guinea

Annual births per 1,000 people

1x

Year	Annual births per 1,000 people
	Kiribati	Papua New Guinea
2023	25.8	24.6
2022	26.4	25.2
2021	26.9	25.6
2020	27.4	26.1
2019	27.8	26.5
2018	28.1	27
2017	28.3	27.4
2016	28.5	27.9
2015	28.9	28.4
2014	29.3	28.9
2013	30	29.4
2012	30.8	29.8
2011	31.4	30.3
2010	31.2	30.7
2009	31.1	31.1
2008	30.8	31.5
2007	30.3	31.9
2006	29.7	32.4
2005	29.2	32.8
2004	28.9	33.2
2003	28.6	33.7
2002	29.4	34
2001	30.5	34.2
2000	31.5	34.4
1999	32.5	34.7
1998	33.4	34.8
1997	34.1	34.8
1996	34.8	34.9
1995	35	35
1994	35.4	35.3
1993	35.9	35.6
1992	36.8	35.8
1991	37.6	36.1
1990	37.7	36.7
1989	37.9	37.1
1988	38.2	37.3
1987	38.6	37.4
1986	38.8	37.5
1985	38.9	37.7
1984	38.6	37.7
1983	38.1	37.8
1982	37.9	37.7
1981	37.4	37.9
1980	36.8	38.1
1979	36.2	38.7
1978	36.2	39.3
1977	35.7	39.9
1976	35.4	40.5
1975	35.4	41.1
1974	35.7	41.8
1973	35.7	42.6
1972	36.5	43.3
1971	37.4	43.7
1970	38.1	44
1969	38.7	44.2
1968	40.1	44.4
1967	41.2	44.5
1966	42.2	44.6
1965	42	44.6
1964	42.2	44.7
1963	42.6	44.7
1962	43.1	44.9
1961	43.6	44.9
1960	43.5	45.1

The latest reported birth rate per 1,000 people in 2023 was 25.8 in Kiribati and 24.6 in Papua New Guinea, compared with 43.5 and 45.1, respectively, in 1960.

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Chart Table

Kiribati

Factual

UN forecast

Papua New Guinea

Factual

UN forecast

1x

Year	Young
	Kiribati	Papua New Guinea
2100	19.5%	19%
2099	19.6%	19.1%
2098	19.7%	19.2%
2097	19.8%	19.3%
2096	20%	19.4%
2095	20.1%	19.5%
2094	20.2%	19.6%
2093	20.3%	19.7%
2092	20.5%	19.8%
2091	20.6%	19.9%
2090	20.7%	20%
2089	20.9%	20.1%
2088	21%	20.2%
2087	21.2%	20.4%
2086	21.3%	20.5%
2085	21.4%	20.6%
2084	21.6%	20.7%
2083	21.7%	20.8%
2082	21.8%	20.9%
2081	22%	21%
2080	22.1%	21.2%
2079	22.2%	21.3%
2078	22.3%	21.4%
2077	22.5%	21.5%
2076	22.6%	21.7%
2075	22.7%	21.8%
2074	22.9%	21.9%
2073	23%	22.1%
2072	23.1%	22.2%
2071	23.3%	22.4%
2070	23.4%	22.5%
2069	23.6%	22.7%
2068	23.8%	22.8%
2067	23.9%	23%
2066	24.1%	23.2%
2065	24.3%	23.3%
2064	24.5%	23.5%
2063	24.7%	23.7%
2062	25%	23.9%
2061	25.2%	24.1%
2060	25.4%	24.3%
2059	25.6%	24.5%
2058	25.8%	24.6%
2057	26.1%	24.8%
2056	26.3%	25%
2055	26.5%	25.2%
2054	26.7%	25.4%
2053	26.9%	25.6%
2052	27.1%	25.8%
2051	27.3%	26%
2050	27.5%	26.2%
2049	27.7%	26.4%
2048	27.9%	26.6%
2047	28%	26.8%
2046	28.2%	27%
2045	28.4%	27.2%
2044	28.5%	27.4%
2043	28.7%	27.6%
2042	28.9%	27.9%
2041	29.1%	28.1%
2040	29.3%	28.4%
2039	29.5%	28.7%
2038	29.8%	28.9%
2037	30.1%	29.2%
2036	30.4%	29.6%
2035	30.8%	29.9%
2034	31.1%	30.2%
2033	31.5%	30.6%
2032	31.8%	30.9%
2031	32.2%	31.2%
2030	32.6%	31.6%
2029	32.9%	31.9%
2028	33.3%	32.3%
2027	33.7%	32.6%
2026	34.2%	33%
2025	34.6%	33.3%
2024	34.7%	33.5%
2023	34.9%	33.8%
2022	35.1%	34.1%
2021	35.2%	34.4%
2020	35.2%	34.7%
2019	35.1%	35%
2018	35.1%	35.3%
2017	35%	35.6%
2016	35%	35.9%
2015	35.2%	36.2%
2014	35.4%	36.5%
2013	35.7%	36.7%
2012	36.1%	37%
2011	36.4%	37.2%
2010	36.6%	37.5%
2009	36.8%	37.7%
2008	37%	38%
2007	37.3%	38.3%
2006	37.6%	38.5%
2005	38%	38.8%
2004	38.4%	39%
2003	38.9%	39.3%
2002	39.3%	39.5%
2001	39.8%	39.8%
2000	40.1%	40%
1999	40.5%	40.2%
1998	40.8%	40.4%
1997	41%	40.6%
1996	41.1%	40.8%
1995	41.2%	41%
1994	41.2%	41.2%
1993	41%	41.5%
1992	40.8%	41.7%
1991	40.5%	41.9%
1990	40.2%	42.1%
1989	39.9%	42.3%
1988	39.7%	42.4%
1987	39.4%	42.4%
1986	39.2%	42.5%
1985	39.2%	42.6%
1984	39.2%	42.8%
1983	39.5%	42.9%
1982	39.9%	43%
1981	40.5%	43.2%
1980	41.1%	43.5%
1979	41.8%	44%
1978	42.3%	44.4%
1977	42.8%	44.9%
1976	43.2%	45.2%
1975	43.7%	45.5%
1974	44.2%	45.8%
1973	44.6%	45.9%
1972	44.8%	46%
1971	44.8%	46%
1970	44.9%	45.8%
1969	45%	45.6%
1968	44.9%	45.3%
1967	44.5%	45.1%
1966	44.1%	44.9%
1965	43.9%	44.6%
1964	44%	44.4%
1963	44%	44.2%
1962	43.8%	43.9%
1961	43.5%	43.7%
1960	43.2%	43.4%

Children aged 0-14 make up 34.7% of the population in Kiribati and 33.5% in Papua New Guinea in 2024, compared to 40.2% and 42.1% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Kiribati and Papua New Guinea compared.

Maternal mortality chart: Kiribati vs Papua New Guinea

Chart Table

Kiribati

Papua New Guinea

1x

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Kiribati	Papua New Guinea
2023	80	189
2022	86	189
2021	122	223
2020	89	194
2019	89	199
2018	87	205
2017	90	207
2016	88	214
2015	90	221
2014	91	232
2013	93	243
2012	98	257
2011	98	271
2010	102	289
2009	99	302
2008	100	315
2007	101	326
2006	102	325
2005	104	326
2004	106	326
2003	105	328
2002	109	329
2001	113	325
2000	119	323
1999	121	321
1998	126	325
1997	132	316
1996	141	316
1995	148	318
1994	150	324
1993	162	333
1992	175	340
1991	188	354
1990	199	360
1989	212	369
1988	220	377
1987	231	379
1986	232	386
1985	246	393

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 80 deaths per 100,000 live births in Kiribati, compared to 189 deaths in Papua New Guinea.

Under-five mortality rates

Chart Table

Kiribati

Papua New Guinea

Probability that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five

1x

Year	Under 5 mortality rate
	Kiribati	Papua New Guinea
2023	5.51%	4.03%
2022	5.65%	4.17%
2021	5.76%	4.31%
2020	5.86%	4.45%
2019	5.93%	4.59%
2018	5.98%	4.72%
2017	5.99%	4.87%
2016	5.95%	5.02%
2015	5.89%	5.17%
2014	5.84%	5.3%
2013	5.8%	5.44%
2012	5.78%	5.59%
2011	5.79%	5.73%
2010	5.82%	5.88%
2009	5.87%	6.02%
2008	5.93%	6.16%
2007	5.99%	6.31%
2006	6.03%	6.44%
2005	6.07%	6.58%
2004	6.13%	6.71%
2003	6.2%	6.84%
2002	6.31%	6.96%
2001	6.46%	7.08%
2000	6.64%	7.19%
1999	6.83%	7.3%
1998	7.02%	7.41%
1997	7.22%	7.52%
1996	7.42%	7.64%
1995	7.64%	7.77%
1994	7.87%	7.89%
1993	8.13%	8.03%
1992	8.44%	8.17%
1991	8.77%	8.31%
1990	9.13%	8.47%
1989	9.5%	8.63%
1988	9.87%	8.78%
1987	10.2%	8.96%
1986	10.6%	9.12%
1985	10.9%	9.3%
1984	11.1%	9.5%
1983	11.4%	9.71%
1982	11.6%	9.94%
1981	11.7%	10.2%
1980	11.9%	10.4%
1979	12%	10.7%
1978	12.2%	11%
1977	12.3%	11.3%
1976	12.4%	11.7%
1975	12.5%	12.1%
1974	12.7%	12.4%
1973	13%	12.9%
1972	13.3%	13.3%
1971	13.7%	13.7%
1970	14.1%	14.2%
1969	14.6%	14.7%
1968	15.2%	15.2%
1967	15.8%	15.8%
1966	16.4%	16.3%
1965	17.1%	16.9%
1964	17.7%	17.4%
1963	18.3%	18%
1962	18.9%	18.6%
1961	19.5%	19.2%
1960	19.9%	19.8%

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 5.51% in Kiribati and 4.03% in Papua New Guinea. Above is a chart with historical data on under-five mortality rates.