Fertility & birth rates in Papua New Guinea and Poland

Fertility rate in Papua New Guinea vs Poland chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Papua New Guinea was 3.1 children per woman in 2023, compared to 1.16 in Poland in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Papua New Guinea vs Poland population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Papua New Guinea	Poland
1960	6.02	2.98
1961	6.07	2.83
1962	6.14	2.72
1963	6.15	2.7
1964	6.19	2.57
1965	6.2	2.52
1966	6.23	2.34
1967	6.24	2.33
1968	6.25	2.24
1969	6.26	2.2
1970	6.25	2.2
1971	6.23	2.25
1972	6.2	2.24
1973	6.16	2.26
1974	6.11	2.26
1975	6.07	2.27
1976	6.02	2.3
1977	5.96	2.23
1978	5.88	2.21
1979	5.79	2.28
1980	5.71	2.28
1981	5.65	2.24
1982	5.59	2.34
1983	5.56	2.42
1984	5.51	2.37
1985	5.47	2.33
1986	5.42	2.22
1987	5.36	2.15
1988	5.3	2.13
1989	5.24	2.08
1990	5.18	2.06
1991	5.11	2.07
1992	5.03	1.95
1993	4.96	1.87
1994	4.87	1.81
1995	4.78	1.62
1996	4.73	1.59
1997	4.68	1.51
1998	4.63	1.44
1999	4.59	1.37
2000	4.53	1.37
2001	4.47	1.31
2002	4.42	1.25
2003	4.36	1.22
2004	4.28	1.23
2005	4.22	1.24
2006	4.15	1.27
2007	4.08	1.31
2008	4.01	1.39
2009	3.94	1.4
2010	3.88	1.41
2011	3.82	1.33
2012	3.75	1.33
2013	3.68	1.29
2014	3.63	1.32
2015	3.56	1.32
2016	3.5	1.39
2017	3.43	1.48
2018	3.38	1.46
2019	3.32	1.44
2020	3.27	1.39
2021	3.22	1.33
2022	3.17	1.29
2023	3.1	1.16
2024	3.07	1.16
2025	3.03	1.17
2026	2.99	1.17
2027	2.95	1.17
2028	2.92	1.18
2029	2.88	1.18
2030	2.84	1.19
2031	2.81	1.19
2032	2.78	1.19
2033	2.75	1.2
2034	2.73	1.2
2035	2.69	1.21
2036	2.67	1.21
2037	2.64	1.21
2038	2.61	1.21
2039	2.59	1.22
2040	2.56	1.22
2041	2.54	1.22
2042	2.51	1.22
2043	2.49	1.23
2044	2.48	1.23
2045	2.46	1.24
2046	2.44	1.24
2047	2.42	1.24
2048	2.4	1.24
2049	2.38	1.24
2050	2.36	1.25

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Papua New Guinea	Poland
1960	43.4%	33.4%
1961	43.7%	33.4%
1962	43.9%	33%
1963	44.2%	32.5%
1964	44.4%	31.9%
1965	44.6%	31.1%
1966	44.9%	30.3%
1967	45.1%	29.5%
1968	45.3%	28.6%
1969	45.6%	27.8%
1970	45.8%	26.9%
1971	46%	26.1%
1972	46%	25.4%
1973	45.9%	24.8%
1974	45.8%	24.3%
1975	45.5%	24%
1976	45.2%	24%
1977	44.9%	24%
1978	44.4%	24%
1979	44%	24.1%
1980	43.5%	24.3%
1981	43.2%	24.5%
1982	43%	24.7%
1983	42.9%	25%
1984	42.8%	25.3%
1985	42.6%	25.5%
1986	42.5%	25.6%
1987	42.4%	25.6%
1988	42.4%	25.5%
1989	42.3%	25.3%
1990	42.1%	25%
1991	41.9%	24.6%
1992	41.7%	24.3%
1993	41.5%	23.9%
1994	41.2%	23.4%
1995	41%	22.8%
1996	40.8%	22.2%
1997	40.6%	21.6%
1998	40.4%	20.9%
1999	40.2%	20.2%
2000	40%	19.4%
2001	39.8%	18.7%
2002	39.5%	18.1%
2003	39.3%	17.5%
2004	39%	17%
2005	38.8%	16.5%
2006	38.5%	16%
2007	38.3%	15.7%
2008	38%	15.4%
2009	37.7%	15.2%
2010	37.5%	15.1%
2011	37.2%	15.2%
2012	37%	15.1%
2013	36.7%	15.1%
2014	36.5%	15.1%
2015	36.2%	15.1%
2016	35.9%	15.1%
2017	35.6%	15.2%
2018	35.3%	15.3%
2019	35%	15.4%
2020	34.7%	15.5%
2021	34.4%	15.5%
2022	34.1%	15.3%
2023	33.8%	15.1%
2024	33.5%	14.8%
2025	33.1%	14.5%
2026	32.8%	14.1%
2027	32.5%	13.8%
2028	32.1%	13.5%
2029	31.8%	13.2%
2030	31.4%	13%
2031	31.1%	12.7%
2032	30.7%	12.4%
2033	30.4%	12.1%
2034	30.1%	11.8%
2035	29.7%	11.5%
2036	29.4%	11.3%
2037	29.1%	11.2%
2038	28.8%	11.1%
2039	28.5%	11.1%
2040	28.3%	11.1%
2041	28%	11%
2042	27.8%	11.1%
2043	27.5%	11.1%
2044	27.3%	11.1%
2045	27.1%	11.2%
2046	26.9%	11.3%
2047	26.7%	11.3%
2048	26.5%	11.4%
2049	26.3%	11.5%
2050	26.1%	11.5%

Children aged 0-14 make up 33.5% of the population in Papua New Guinea and 14.8% in Poland in 2024, compared to 42.1% and 25% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Papua New Guinea and Poland compared.

Natural population change in Papua New Guinea vs Poland by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +2% in Papua New Guinea and -0.18% in Poland. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Papua New Guinea	Poland
1960	56,326	444,562
1961	58,151	398,521
1962	59,974	360,671
1963	62,260	359,330
1964	64,558	326,965
1965	66,693	314,450
1966	69,206	297,801
1967	71,519	275,089
1968	73,983	280,963
1969	76,454	270,151
1970	78,712	280,913
1971	80,599	278,660
1972	82,672	314,028
1973	83,821	320,229
1974	84,829	346,893
1975	85,809	350,356
1976	86,965	367,612
1977	87,954	353,828
1978	88,747	339,166
1979	89,330	366,571
1980	90,266	348,627
1981	91,767	351,806
1982	93,522	369,551
1983	95,982	373,032
1984	98,103	332,137
1985	100,333	297,615
1986	102,346	258,448
1987	104,367	226,008
1988	106,256	215,599
1989	108,199	182,215
1990	110,033	160,066
1991	111,453	141,511
1992	114,818	118,928
1993	118,668	103,846
1994	122,113	96,357
1995	125,410	46,314
1996	129,802	42,487
1997	134,458	34,785
1998	136,677	19,332
1999	143,592	0
2000	147,496	11,478
2001	151,431	3,825
2002	155,091	-3,823
2003	158,611	-15,281
2004	161,023	-7,637
2005	163,888	-3,817
2006	166,540	3,814
2007	169,306	11,436
2008	172,823	34,313
2009	175,421	30,521
2010	178,998	38,043
2011	181,842	11,419
2012	183,658	0
2013	185,790	-19,020
2014	187,592	0
2015	188,600	-26,590
2016	189,281	-3,797
2017	189,715	0
2018	190,662	-26,582
2019	190,662	-34,169
2020	189,130	-120,050
2021	183,766	-184,907
2022	186,861	-143,605
2023	187,637	-135,743

Maternal mortality chart: Papua New Guinea vs Poland

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 189 deaths per 100,000 live births in Papua New Guinea, compared to 2 deaths in Poland.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Papua New Guinea	Poland
1985	393	19
1986	386	19
1987	379	18
1988	377	18
1989	369	18
1990	360	18
1991	354	18
1992	340	16
1993	333	15
1994	324	14
1995	318	12
1996	316	11
1997	316	10
1998	325	9
1999	321	8
2000	323	7
2001	325	6
2002	329	5
2003	328	5
2004	326	4
2005	326	4
2006	325	4
2007	326	3
2008	315	3
2009	302	3
2010	289	3
2011	271	2
2012	257	2
2013	243	2
2014	232	2
2015	221	2
2016	214	2
2017	207	2
2018	205	2
2019	199	2
2020	194	3
2021	223	2
2022	189	2
2023	189	2

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 4.03% in Papua New Guinea and 0.44% in Poland. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Papua New Guinea	Poland
1960	19.8%	6.51%
1961	19.2%	6.02%
1962	18.6%	5.6%
1963	18%	5.23%
1964	17.4%	4.89%
1965	16.9%	4.57%
1966	16.3%	4.29%
1967	15.8%	4.06%
1968	15.2%	3.89%
1969	14.7%	3.75%
1970	14.2%	3.59%
1971	13.7%	3.42%
1972	13.3%	3.24%
1973	12.9%	3.06%
1974	12.4%	2.9%
1975	12.1%	2.79%
1976	11.7%	2.7%
1977	11.3%	2.62%
1978	11%	2.54%
1979	10.7%	2.47%
1980	10.4%	2.4%
1981	10.2%	2.33%
1982	9.94%	2.26%
1983	9.71%	2.19%
1984	9.5%	2.11%
1985	9.3%	2.03%
1986	9.12%	1.96%
1987	8.96%	1.89%
1988	8.78%	1.84%
1989	8.63%	1.79%
1990	8.47%	1.74%
1991	8.31%	1.69%
1992	8.17%	1.65%
1993	8.03%	1.6%
1994	7.89%	1.53%
1995	7.77%	1.43%
1996	7.64%	1.32%
1997	7.52%	1.2%
1998	7.41%	1.09%
1999	7.3%	1%
2000	7.19%	0.93%
2001	7.08%	0.88%
2002	6.96%	0.84%
2003	6.84%	0.81%
2004	6.71%	0.78%
2005	6.58%	0.76%
2006	6.44%	0.73%
2007	6.31%	0.7%
2008	6.16%	0.67%
2009	6.02%	0.63%
2010	5.88%	0.6%
2011	5.73%	0.57%
2012	5.59%	0.54%
2013	5.44%	0.52%
2014	5.3%	0.5%
2015	5.17%	0.49%
2016	5.02%	0.48%
2017	4.87%	0.46%
2018	4.72%	0.45%
2019	4.59%	0.44%
2020	4.45%	0.44%
2021	4.31%	0.44%
2022	4.17%	0.44%
2023	4.03%	0.44%