Fertility & birth rates in Papua New Guinea and Seychelles

Fertility rate in Papua New Guinea vs Seychelles chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Papua New Guinea was 3.1 children per woman in 2023, compared to 2.02 in the Seychelles in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Papua New Guinea vs the Seychelles population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Papua New Guinea	Seychelles
1960	6.02	5.31
1961	6.07	5.42
1962	6.14	5.51
1963	6.15	5.61
1964	6.19	5.69
1965	6.2	5.72
1966	6.23	6.13
1967	6.24	5.9
1968	6.25	5.61
1969	6.26	5.48
1970	6.25	5.31
1971	6.23	5.69
1972	6.2	5.16
1973	6.16	4.78
1974	6.11	5.1
1975	6.07	4.75
1976	6.02	4.09
1977	5.96	3.75
1978	5.88	3.92
1979	5.79	3.66
1980	5.71	3.79
1981	5.65	3.67
1982	5.59	3.13
1983	5.56	3.22
1984	5.51	3.24
1985	5.47	3.09
1986	5.42	3.07
1987	5.36	2.92
1988	5.3	2.79
1989	5.24	2.67
1990	5.18	2.61
1991	5.11	2.69
1992	5.03	2.53
1993	4.96	2.58
1994	4.87	2.6
1995	4.78	2.36
1996	4.73	2.31
1997	4.68	2.1
1998	4.63	2.04
1999	4.59	2.04
2000	4.53	2.08
2001	4.47	1.98
2002	4.42	2.04
2003	4.36	2.06
2004	4.28	2.01
2005	4.22	2.2
2006	4.15	2.11
2007	4.08	2.24
2008	4.01	2.33
2009	3.94	2.38
2010	3.88	2.16
2011	3.82	2.33
2012	3.75	2.37
2013	3.68	2.26
2014	3.63	2.25
2015	3.56	2.31
2016	3.5	2.39
2017	3.43	2.41
2018	3.38	2.41
2019	3.32	2.36
2020	3.27	2.29
2021	3.22	2.46
2022	3.17	2.01
2023	3.1	2.02
2024	3.07	2
2025	3.03	1.97
2026	2.99	1.95
2027	2.95	1.93
2028	2.92	1.91
2029	2.88	1.89
2030	2.84	1.88
2031	2.81	1.86
2032	2.78	1.85
2033	2.75	1.84
2034	2.73	1.83
2035	2.69	1.82
2036	2.67	1.81
2037	2.64	1.8
2038	2.61	1.79
2039	2.59	1.79
2040	2.56	1.78
2041	2.54	1.78
2042	2.51	1.77
2043	2.49	1.77
2044	2.48	1.76
2045	2.46	1.75
2046	2.44	1.75
2047	2.42	1.75
2048	2.4	1.74
2049	2.38	1.74
2050	2.36	1.73

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Papua New Guinea	Seychelles
1960	43.4%	38.6%
1961	43.7%	39.1%
1962	43.9%	39.7%
1963	44.2%	40.3%
1964	44.4%	40.9%
1965	44.6%	41.5%
1966	44.9%	42.1%
1967	45.1%	42.7%
1968	45.3%	43.1%
1969	45.6%	43.4%
1970	45.8%	43.6%
1971	46%	43.4%
1972	46%	43%
1973	45.9%	42.5%
1974	45.8%	41.9%
1975	45.5%	41.2%
1976	45.2%	40.5%
1977	44.9%	39.7%
1978	44.4%	38.8%
1979	44%	37.9%
1980	43.5%	37.1%
1981	43.2%	36.4%
1982	43%	35.7%
1983	42.9%	35.2%
1984	42.8%	34.8%
1985	42.6%	34.4%
1986	42.5%	34.1%
1987	42.4%	33.8%
1988	42.4%	33.4%
1989	42.3%	32.9%
1990	42.1%	32.4%
1991	41.9%	31.9%
1992	41.7%	31.5%
1993	41.5%	31%
1994	41.2%	30.6%
1995	41%	30.3%
1996	40.8%	29.8%
1997	40.6%	29.3%
1998	40.4%	28.8%
1999	40.2%	28.2%
2000	40%	27.6%
2001	39.8%	27%
2002	39.5%	26.5%
2003	39.3%	26%
2004	39%	25.5%
2005	38.8%	25%
2006	38.5%	24.5%
2007	38.3%	24%
2008	38%	23.5%
2009	37.7%	22.9%
2010	37.5%	22.5%
2011	37.2%	22.2%
2012	37%	22%
2013	36.7%	21.8%
2014	36.5%	21.6%
2015	36.2%	21.4%
2016	35.9%	21.2%
2017	35.6%	21%
2018	35.3%	20.9%
2019	35%	20.7%
2020	34.7%	20.6%
2021	34.4%	20.4%
2022	34.1%	20.3%
2023	33.8%	20.1%
2024	33.5%	20%
2025	33.1%	19.8%
2026	32.8%	19.6%
2027	32.5%	19.4%
2028	32.1%	19.3%
2029	31.8%	19.2%
2030	31.4%	19.2%
2031	31.1%	19.1%
2032	30.7%	19%
2033	30.4%	18.8%
2034	30.1%	18.7%
2035	29.7%	18.5%
2036	29.4%	18.3%
2037	29.1%	18.1%
2038	28.8%	18%
2039	28.5%	17.8%
2040	28.3%	17.6%
2041	28%	17.4%
2042	27.8%	17.3%
2043	27.5%	17.1%
2044	27.3%	16.9%
2045	27.1%	16.8%
2046	26.9%	16.7%
2047	26.7%	16.6%
2048	26.5%	16.5%
2049	26.3%	16.4%
2050	26.1%	16.4%

Children aged 0-14 make up 33.5% of the population in Papua New Guinea and 20% in the Seychelles in 2024, compared to 42.1% and 32.4% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Papua New Guinea and the Seychelles compared.

Natural population change in Papua New Guinea vs Seychelles by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +2% in Papua New Guinea and +0.82% in the Seychelles. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Papua New Guinea	Seychelles
1960	56,326	977
1961	58,151	1,040
1962	59,974	1,083
1963	62,260	1,123
1964	64,558	1,155
1965	66,693	1,165
1966	69,206	1,280
1967	71,519	1,217
1968	73,983	1,145
1969	76,454	1,119
1970	78,712	1,087
1971	80,599	1,373
1972	82,672	1,199
1973	83,821	1,166
1974	84,829	1,361
1975	85,809	1,376
1976	86,965	1,174
1977	87,954	1,125
1978	88,747	1,330
1979	89,330	1,292
1980	90,266	1,386
1981	91,767	1,358
1982	93,522	1,069
1983	95,982	1,209
1984	98,103	1,255
1985	100,333	1,259
1986	102,346	1,222
1987	104,367	1,172
1988	106,256	1,135
1989	108,199	1,030
1990	110,033	1,070
1991	111,453	1,162
1992	114,818	1,076
1993	118,668	1,091
1994	122,113	1,136
1995	125,410	1,054
1996	129,802	1,047
1997	134,458	873
1998	136,677	844
1999	143,592	901
2000	147,496	958
2001	151,431	885
2002	155,091	837
2003	158,611	828
2004	161,023	842
2005	163,888	861
2006	166,540	804
2007	169,306	867
2008	172,823	887
2009	175,421	900
2010	178,998	844
2011	181,842	936
2012	183,658	989
2013	185,790	846
2014	187,592	832
2015	188,600	888
2016	189,281	900
2017	189,715	901
2018	190,662	842
2019	190,662	811
2020	189,130	886
2021	183,766	744
2022	186,861	635
2023	187,637	683

Maternal mortality chart: Papua New Guinea vs Seychelles

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 189 deaths per 100,000 live births in Papua New Guinea, compared to 42 deaths in the Seychelles.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Papua New Guinea	Seychelles
1985	393	69
1986	386	65
1987	379	62
1988	377	60
1989	369	61
1990	360	53
1991	354	54
1992	340	50
1993	333	49
1994	324	45
1995	318	40
1996	316	39
1997	316	37
1998	325	41
1999	321	41
2000	323	45
2001	325	43
2002	329	45
2003	328	47
2004	326	52
2005	326	50
2006	325	51
2007	326	52
2008	315	51
2009	302	51
2010	289	50
2011	271	50
2012	257	49
2013	243	48
2014	232	46
2015	221	46
2016	214	47
2017	207	47
2018	205	49
2019	199	48
2020	194	51
2021	223	74
2022	189	89
2023	189	42

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 4.03% in Papua New Guinea and 1.43% in the Seychelles. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Papua New Guinea	Seychelles
1960	19.8%	10.5%
1961	19.2%	10.3%
1962	18.6%	10.2%
1963	18%	10%
1964	17.4%	9.8%
1965	16.9%	9.55%
1966	16.3%	9.26%
1967	15.8%	8.92%
1968	15.2%	8.52%
1969	14.7%	8.07%
1970	14.2%	7.58%
1971	13.7%	7.09%
1972	13.3%	6.59%
1973	12.9%	6.09%
1974	12.4%	5.59%
1975	12.1%	5.09%
1976	11.7%	4.6%
1977	11.3%	4.14%
1978	11%	3.72%
1979	10.7%	3.34%
1980	10.4%	3.01%
1981	10.2%	2.74%
1982	9.94%	2.51%
1983	9.71%	2.32%
1984	9.5%	2.16%
1985	9.3%	2.04%
1986	9.12%	1.93%
1987	8.96%	1.84%
1988	8.78%	1.76%
1989	8.63%	1.69%
1990	8.47%	1.63%
1991	8.31%	1.58%
1992	8.17%	1.53%
1993	8.03%	1.49%
1994	7.89%	1.46%
1995	7.77%	1.43%
1996	7.64%	1.41%
1997	7.52%	1.4%
1998	7.41%	1.39%
1999	7.3%	1.38%
2000	7.19%	1.38%
2001	7.08%	1.37%
2002	6.96%	1.37%
2003	6.84%	1.37%
2004	6.71%	1.38%
2005	6.58%	1.38%
2006	6.44%	1.38%
2007	6.31%	1.39%
2008	6.16%	1.39%
2009	6.02%	1.4%
2010	5.88%	1.41%
2011	5.73%	1.42%
2012	5.59%	1.43%
2013	5.44%	1.44%
2014	5.3%	1.45%
2015	5.17%	1.45%
2016	5.02%	1.46%
2017	4.87%	1.47%
2018	4.72%	1.48%
2019	4.59%	1.48%
2020	4.45%	1.48%
2021	4.31%	1.47%
2022	4.17%	1.45%
2023	4.03%	1.43%