Fertility & birth rates in Papua New Guinea and Sri Lanka

Fertility rate in Papua New Guinea vs Sri Lanka chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Papua New Guinea was 3.1 children per woman in 2023, compared to 1.97 in Sri Lanka in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Papua New Guinea vs Sri Lanka population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Papua New Guinea	Sri Lanka
1960	6.02	5.35
1961	6.07	5.24
1962	6.14	5.18
1963	6.15	5.12
1964	6.19	5.06
1965	6.2	4.93
1966	6.23	4.83
1967	6.24	4.79
1968	6.25	4.66
1969	6.26	4.5
1970	6.25	4.39
1971	6.23	4.27
1972	6.2	4.16
1973	6.16	4
1974	6.11	3.86
1975	6.07	3.82
1976	6.02	3.78
1977	5.96	3.74
1978	5.88	3.81
1979	5.79	3.82
1980	5.71	3.73
1981	5.65	3.65
1982	5.59	3.32
1983	5.56	3.11
1984	5.51	3.01
1985	5.47	2.9
1986	5.42	2.74
1987	5.36	2.64
1988	5.3	2.57
1989	5.24	2.58
1990	5.18	2.54
1991	5.11	2.51
1992	5.03	2.49
1993	4.96	2.44
1994	4.87	2.4
1995	4.78	2.35
1996	4.73	2.29
1997	4.68	2.22
1998	4.63	2.14
1999	4.59	2.14
2000	4.53	2.21
2001	4.47	2.28
2002	4.42	2.31
2003	4.36	2.3
2004	4.28	2.27
2005	4.22	2.26
2006	4.15	2.29
2007	4.08	2.3
2008	4.01	2.23
2009	3.94	2.18
2010	3.88	2.13
2011	3.82	2.14
2012	3.75	2.17
2013	3.68	2.18
2014	3.63	2.13
2015	3.56	2.09
2016	3.5	2.06
2017	3.43	2.04
2018	3.38	2.03
2019	3.32	2.02
2020	3.27	2.01
2021	3.22	2
2022	3.17	1.98
2023	3.1	1.97
2024	3.07	1.95
2025	3.03	1.94
2026	2.99	1.93
2027	2.95	1.91
2028	2.92	1.9
2029	2.88	1.89
2030	2.84	1.88
2031	2.81	1.87
2032	2.78	1.86
2033	2.75	1.85
2034	2.73	1.85
2035	2.69	1.84
2036	2.67	1.83
2037	2.64	1.83
2038	2.61	1.82
2039	2.59	1.81
2040	2.56	1.81
2041	2.54	1.8
2042	2.51	1.8
2043	2.49	1.8
2044	2.48	1.79
2045	2.46	1.79
2046	2.44	1.79
2047	2.42	1.78
2048	2.4	1.78
2049	2.38	1.77
2050	2.36	1.77

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Papua New Guinea	Sri Lanka
1960	43.4%	41%
1961	43.7%	40.9%
1962	43.9%	40.8%
1963	44.2%	40.7%
1964	44.4%	40.6%
1965	44.6%	40.5%
1966	44.9%	40.4%
1967	45.1%	40.3%
1968	45.3%	40.1%
1969	45.6%	39.9%
1970	45.8%	39.7%
1971	46%	39.5%
1972	46%	39.2%
1973	45.9%	38.8%
1974	45.8%	38.4%
1975	45.5%	38%
1976	45.2%	37.6%
1977	44.9%	37.2%
1978	44.4%	36.9%
1979	44%	36.7%
1980	43.5%	36.4%
1981	43.2%	36.2%
1982	43%	36%
1983	42.9%	35.8%
1984	42.8%	35.5%
1985	42.6%	35.2%
1986	42.5%	34.6%
1987	42.4%	34%
1988	42.4%	33.5%
1989	42.3%	33%
1990	42.1%	32.5%
1991	41.9%	32.1%
1992	41.7%	31.4%
1993	41.5%	30.6%
1994	41.2%	29.9%
1995	41%	29.2%
1996	40.8%	28.6%
1997	40.6%	28.2%
1998	40.4%	27.8%
1999	40.2%	27.4%
2000	40%	27%
2001	39.8%	26.6%
2002	39.5%	26.3%
2003	39.3%	26.1%
2004	39%	26%
2005	38.8%	25.8%
2006	38.5%	25.7%
2007	38.3%	25.7%
2008	38%	25.6%
2009	37.7%	25.5%
2010	37.5%	25.4%
2011	37.2%	25.3%
2012	37%	25.2%
2013	36.7%	25%
2014	36.5%	24.9%
2015	36.2%	24.7%
2016	35.9%	24.5%
2017	35.6%	24.2%
2018	35.3%	24%
2019	35%	23.7%
2020	34.7%	23.3%
2021	34.4%	23%
2022	34.1%	22.7%
2023	33.8%	22.4%
2024	33.5%	22%
2025	33.1%	21.7%
2026	32.8%	21.4%
2027	32.5%	21.1%
2028	32.1%	20.8%
2029	31.8%	20.5%
2030	31.4%	20.2%
2031	31.1%	20%
2032	30.7%	19.8%
2033	30.4%	19.6%
2034	30.1%	19.4%
2035	29.7%	19.2%
2036	29.4%	19.1%
2037	29.1%	18.9%
2038	28.8%	18.8%
2039	28.5%	18.7%
2040	28.3%	18.6%
2041	28%	18.4%
2042	27.8%	18.3%
2043	27.5%	18.2%
2044	27.3%	18.1%
2045	27.1%	18%
2046	26.9%	17.9%
2047	26.7%	17.7%
2048	26.5%	17.6%
2049	26.3%	17.5%
2050	26.1%	17.3%

Children aged 0-14 make up 33.5% of the population in Papua New Guinea and 22% in Sri Lanka in 2024, compared to 42.1% and 32.5% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Papua New Guinea and Sri Lanka compared.

Natural population change in Papua New Guinea vs Sri Lanka by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +2% in Papua New Guinea and +0.75% in Sri Lanka. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Papua New Guinea	Sri Lanka
1960	56,326	247,631
1961	58,151	251,087
1962	59,974	256,719
1963	62,260	262,880
1964	64,558	269,584
1965	66,693	272,422
1966	69,206	275,549
1967	71,519	284,738
1968	73,983	286,642
1969	76,454	286,218
1970	78,712	286,719
1971	80,599	281,200
1972	82,672	282,494
1973	83,821	278,577
1974	84,829	275,521
1975	85,809	282,496
1976	86,965	291,816
1977	87,954	300,038
1978	88,747	317,055
1979	89,330	329,791
1980	90,266	328,155
1981	91,767	328,096
1982	93,522	300,030
1983	95,982	277,768
1984	98,103	263,175
1985	100,333	247,836
1986	102,346	233,782
1987	104,367	226,414
1988	106,256	219,184
1989	108,199	212,401
1990	110,033	224,454
1991	111,453	218,117
1992	114,818	222,230
1993	118,668	226,257
1994	122,113	228,904
1995	125,410	221,957
1996	129,802	215,290
1997	134,458	208,193
1998	136,677	201,059
1999	143,592	206,876
2000	147,496	227,060
2001	151,431	244,377
2002	155,091	252,840
2003	158,611	252,008
2004	161,023	212,527
2005	163,888	248,683
2006	166,540	248,706
2007	169,306	248,287
2008	172,823	232,225
2009	175,421	200,175
2010	178,998	224,325
2011	181,842	224,461
2012	183,658	229,138
2013	185,790	221,021
2014	187,592	211,541
2015	188,600	201,815
2016	189,281	194,232
2017	189,715	187,993
2018	190,662	183,610
2019	190,662	172,243
2020	189,130	170,968
2021	183,766	121,858
2022	186,861	95,378
2023	187,637	66,111

Maternal mortality chart: Papua New Guinea vs Sri Lanka

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 189 deaths per 100,000 live births in Papua New Guinea, compared to 18 deaths in Sri Lanka.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Papua New Guinea	Sri Lanka
1985	393	68
1986	386	66
1987	379	64
1988	377	62
1989	369	61
1990	360	59
1991	354	57
1992	340	54
1993	333	51
1994	324	49
1995	318	48
1996	316	47
1997	316	45
1998	325	43
1999	321	41
2000	323	39
2001	325	37
2002	329	36
2003	328	35
2004	326	37
2005	326	32
2006	325	32
2007	326	31
2008	315	30
2009	302	28
2010	289	26
2011	271	25
2012	257	24
2013	243	23
2014	232	23
2015	221	22
2016	214	22
2017	207	21
2018	205	21
2019	199	20
2020	194	23
2021	223	34
2022	189	22
2023	189	18

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 4.03% in Papua New Guinea and 0.61% in Sri Lanka. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Papua New Guinea	Sri Lanka
1960	19.8%	9.41%
1961	19.2%	8.95%
1962	18.6%	8.66%
1963	18%	8.48%
1964	17.4%	8.3%
1965	16.9%	8.07%
1966	16.3%	7.81%
1967	15.8%	7.55%
1968	15.2%	7.32%
1969	14.7%	7.14%
1970	14.2%	7.02%
1971	13.7%	6.94%
1972	13.3%	6.86%
1973	12.9%	6.77%
1974	12.4%	6.62%
1975	12.1%	6.41%
1976	11.7%	6.12%
1977	11.3%	5.77%
1978	11%	5.38%
1979	10.7%	4.99%
1980	10.4%	4.63%
1981	10.2%	4.29%
1982	9.94%	3.98%
1983	9.71%	3.67%
1984	9.5%	3.35%
1985	9.3%	3.02%
1986	9.12%	2.74%
1987	8.96%	2.54%
1988	8.78%	2.41%
1989	8.63%	2.74%
1990	8.47%	2.33%
1991	8.31%	2.32%
1992	8.17%	2.29%
1993	8.03%	2.22%
1994	7.89%	2.14%
1995	7.77%	2.05%
1996	7.64%	1.95%
1997	7.52%	1.86%
1998	7.41%	1.76%
1999	7.3%	1.69%
2000	7.19%	1.63%
2001	7.08%	1.58%
2002	6.96%	1.55%
2003	6.84%	1.52%
2004	6.71%	2.88%
2005	6.58%	1.4%
2006	6.44%	1.33%
2007	6.31%	1.26%
2008	6.16%	1.2%
2009	6.02%	2.08%
2010	5.88%	1.12%
2011	5.73%	1.08%
2012	5.59%	1.03%
2013	5.44%	0.98%
2014	5.3%	0.92%
2015	5.17%	0.87%
2016	5.02%	0.83%
2017	4.87%	0.79%
2018	4.72%	0.76%
2019	4.59%	0.72%
2020	4.45%	0.69%
2021	4.31%	0.66%
2022	4.17%	0.64%
2023	4.03%	0.61%