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Fertility & birth rates in Marshall Islands and Papua New Guinea

Updated on by Georank team

The Marshall Islands has an annual birth rate of 21.1 births per 1,000 people, compared to 24.6 for Papua New Guinea. The average number of children a woman is expected to have during her lifetime — the fertility rate, is 2.92 in the Marshall Islands and 3.1 in Papua New Guinea — 6.17% difference.

1960 vs 2023, the fertility rate has decreased by 63.9% in the Marshall Islands and by 48.5% in Papua New Guinea — in 1960, it was 8.08 and 6.02, respectively.

  • The Marshall Islands is ranked 67/196 by birth rate compared to 55/196 for Papua New Guinea.
  • The mean age for first-time mothers is 20.7 years in the Marshall Islands, compared to 21.9 years in Papua New Guinea.
  • The mean age at childbearing (for all the births, not just the first) is 27.1 in the Marshall Islands — it's 29.2 in Papua New Guinea.
  • Annual births per 1,000 women ages 15-19 (adolescent birth rate or teenage mother rate) is 71.8 in the Marshall Islands vs 54.1 in Papua New Guinea.
  • In the Marshall Islands, 23.8% of the population is composed of women of reproductive age (15-49), compared to 25.9% in Papua New Guinea.

Fertility rate in Marshall Islands vs Papua New Guinea by year

Marshall Islands
Papua New Guinea
1x
Year Fertility rate
Marshall Islands Papua New Guinea
2023 2.92 3.1
2022 2.94 3.17
2021 2.96 3.22
2020 2.99 3.27
2019 3.01 3.32
2018 3.04 3.38
2017 3.06 3.43
2016 3.09 3.5
2015 3.13 3.56
2014 3.18 3.63
2013 3.25 3.68
2012 3.38 3.75
2011 3.53 3.82
2010 3.67 3.88
2009 3.83 3.94
2008 3.97 4.01
2007 4.09 4.08
2006 4.2 4.15
2005 4.28 4.22
2004 4.34 4.28
2003 4.42 4.36
2002 4.49 4.42
2001 4.58 4.47
2000 4.7 4.53
1999 4.78 4.59
1998 4.87 4.63
1997 4.96 4.68
1996 5.02 4.73
1995 5.09 4.78
1994 5.23 4.87
1993 5.38 4.96
1992 5.55 5.03
1991 5.76 5.11
1990 5.97 5.18
1989 6.18 5.24
1988 6.38 5.3
1987 6.57 5.36
1986 6.73 5.42
1985 6.87 5.47
1984 6.99 5.51
1983 7.08 5.56
1982 7.18 5.59
1981 7.27 5.65
1980 7.37 5.71
1979 7.47 5.79
1978 7.58 5.88
1977 7.67 5.96
1976 7.76 6.02
1975 7.83 6.07
1974 7.9 6.11
1973 7.95 6.16
1972 8 6.2
1971 8.04 6.23
1970 8.07 6.25
1969 8.11 6.26
1968 8.14 6.25
1967 8.17 6.24
1966 8.2 6.23
1965 8.16 6.2
1964 8.14 6.19
1963 8.12 6.15
1962 8.12 6.14
1961 8.12 6.07
1960 8.08 6.02

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/marshall-islands/papua-new-guinea | CC BY

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in the Marshall Islands was 2.92 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.1 in Papua New Guinea in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check the Marshall Islands vs Papua New Guinea population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

Natural population change by year

Marshall Islands
Papua New Guinea
1x
Year Natural population change
Marshall Islands Papua New Guinea
2023 550 187,637
2022 606 186,861
2021 653 183,766
2020 689 189,130
2019 746 190,662
2018 785 190,662
2017 826 189,715
2016 866 189,281
2015 912 188,600
2014 959 187,592
2013 1,014 185,790
2012 1,097 183,658
2011 1,185 181,842
2010 1,273 178,998
2009 1,365 175,421
2008 1,443 172,823
2007 1,507 169,306
2006 1,556 166,540
2005 1,586 163,888
2004 1,595 161,023
2003 1,600 158,611
2002 1,594 155,091
2001 1,596 151,431
2000 1,592 147,496
1999 1,590 143,592
1998 1,576 136,677
1997 1,564 134,458
1996 1,542 129,802
1995 1,522 125,410
1994 1,524 122,113
1993 1,524 118,668
1992 1,525 114,818
1991 1,540 111,453
1990 1,556 110,033
1989 1,574 108,199
1988 1,575 106,256
1987 1,566 104,367
1986 1,544 102,346
1985 1,511 100,333
1984 1,470 98,103
1983 1,422 95,982
1982 1,375 93,522
1981 1,328 91,767
1980 1,287 90,266
1979 1,250 89,330
1978 1,207 88,747
1977 1,160 87,954
1976 1,109 86,965
1975 1,055 85,809
1974 1,000 84,829
1973 954 83,821
1972 913 82,672
1971 877 80,599
1970 819 78,712
1969 747 76,454
1968 685 73,983
1967 636 71,519
1966 603 69,206
1965 566 66,693
1964 536 64,558
1963 509 62,260
1962 488 59,974
1961 469 58,151
1960 452 56,326

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/marshall-islands/papua-new-guinea | CC BY

The chart above illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes in population resulting from births and deaths.

Excluding migration, the natural population change due to births and deaths from 2022 to 2023 was +1.42% in the Marshall Islands and +1.81% in Papua New Guinea.

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change has been +1.69% in the Marshall Islands and +2% in Papua New Guinea.

Birth rate in Marshall Islands vs Papua New Guinea by year

Marshall Islands
Papua New Guinea

Annual births per 1,000 people

1x
Year Annual births per 1,000 people
Marshall Islands Papua New Guinea
2023 21.1 24.6
2022 22 25.2
2021 23.2 25.6
2020 23.4 26.1
2019 23.7 26.5
2018 24.1 27
2017 24.4 27.4
2016 24.7 27.9
2015 25.2 28.4
2014 25.7 28.9
2013 26.4 29.4
2012 27.7 29.8
2011 29.2 30.3
2010 30.9 30.7
2009 32.8 31.1
2008 34.3 31.5
2007 35.6 31.9
2006 36.6 32.4
2005 37.2 32.8
2004 37.4 33.2
2003 37.6 33.7
2002 37.6 34
2001 37.8 34.2
2000 38.2 34.4
1999 38.3 34.7
1998 38.4 34.8
1997 38.6 34.8
1996 38.5 34.9
1995 38.5 35
1994 39 35.3
1993 39.6 35.6
1992 40.2 35.8
1991 41.2 36.1
1990 42.4 36.7
1989 43.8 37.1
1988 45 37.3
1987 46.2 37.4
1986 47.3 37.5
1985 48.2 37.7
1984 48.9 37.7
1983 49.5 37.8
1982 50 37.7
1981 50.5 37.9
1980 51.1 38.1
1979 51.6 38.7
1978 51.7 39.3
1977 51.6 39.9
1976 51.4 40.5
1975 50.9 41.1
1974 50.3 41.8
1973 49.7 42.6
1972 48.9 43.3
1971 48.5 43.7
1970 47.7 44
1969 47.2 44.2
1968 47.4 44.4
1967 47.7 44.5
1966 47.5 44.6
1965 46.6 44.6
1964 46.2 44.7
1963 46 44.7
1962 46.2 44.9
1961 46.5 44.9
1960 46.9 45.1

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/marshall-islands/papua-new-guinea | CC BY

The latest reported birth rate per 1,000 people in 2023 was 21.1 in the Marshall Islands and 24.6 in Papua New Guinea, compared with 46.9 and 45.1, respectively, in 1960.

Birth rate data compared

Marshall Islands Papua New Guinea
Fertility rate 2.92 3.1
Fertility rate rank 58/196 55/196
Birth rate 21.1 24.6
Birth rate rank 67/196 55/196
Population change due to births and deaths +550 +187,637
Natural population change rank 143/196 63/196
Natural population change rate +1.42% +1.81%
Population growth -3.29% +1.8%
Population growth rank 197/197 59/197
Age at first childbirth 20.7 years 21.9 years
Average age at childbearing 27.1 years 29.2 years
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 15-19 70.3 52.3
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 20-29 165.6 144.3
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 30+ 18.7 46.2
Female of reproductive age (15-49), share of population 23.8% 25.9%
Any modern method of contraceptive prevalence among married women ages 15-49 42.4% 30.5%
Share of births attended by skilled health staff 92.4% 56.4%
Maternal mortality per live birth 0.16% 0.19%
Neonatal mortality rate (before reaching 28 days of age) 1.3% 2.05%
Infant mortality rate (before reaching 1 year of age) 2.35% 3.2%
Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age 2.82% 4.03%
Life expectancy 67.3 years 66.5 years

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Marshall Islands
Factual

UN forecast
Papua New Guinea
Factual

UN forecast
1x
Year Young
Marshall Islands Papua New Guinea
2100 16.6% 19%
2099 16.6% 19.1%
2098 16.6% 19.2%
2097 16.7% 19.3%
2096 16.7% 19.4%
2095 16.8% 19.5%
2094 16.9% 19.6%
2093 17% 19.7%
2092 17.1% 19.8%
2091 17.3% 19.9%
2090 17.5% 20%
2089 17.7% 20.1%
2088 17.9% 20.2%
2087 18.2% 20.4%
2086 18.4% 20.5%
2085 18.7% 20.6%
2084 19% 20.7%
2083 19.3% 20.8%
2082 19.5% 20.9%
2081 19.8% 21%
2080 20% 21.2%
2079 20.2% 21.3%
2078 20.4% 21.4%
2077 20.6% 21.5%
2076 20.8% 21.7%
2075 20.9% 21.8%
2074 21% 21.9%
2073 21.1% 22.1%
2072 21.2% 22.2%
2071 21.3% 22.4%
2070 21.3% 22.5%
2069 21.4% 22.7%
2068 21.5% 22.8%
2067 21.7% 23%
2066 21.8% 23.2%
2065 22% 23.3%
2064 22.3% 23.5%
2063 22.6% 23.7%
2062 22.9% 23.9%
2061 23.3% 24.1%
2060 23.8% 24.3%
2059 24.3% 24.5%
2058 24.8% 24.6%
2057 25.4% 24.8%
2056 26% 25%
2055 26.5% 25.2%
2054 27.1% 25.4%
2053 27.6% 25.6%
2052 28% 25.8%
2051 28.4% 26%
2050 28.7% 26.2%
2049 28.9% 26.4%
2048 29% 26.6%
2047 29.1% 26.8%
2046 29% 27%
2045 28.9% 27.2%
2044 28.7% 27.4%
2043 28.4% 27.6%
2042 28.2% 27.9%
2041 27.8% 28.1%
2040 27.5% 28.4%
2039 27.3% 28.7%
2038 27.3% 28.9%
2037 27.4% 29.2%
2036 27.8% 29.6%
2035 28.4% 29.9%
2034 28.9% 30.2%
2033 29.5% 30.6%
2032 30% 30.9%
2031 30.6% 31.2%
2030 31.2% 31.6%
2029 31.7% 31.9%
2028 32.3% 32.3%
2027 32.9% 32.6%
2026 33.6% 33%
2025 34.2% 33.3%
2024 34.5% 33.5%
2023 34.7% 33.8%
2022 34.6% 34.1%
2021 34.4% 34.4%
2020 34.5% 34.7%
2019 35.1% 35%
2018 35.7% 35.3%
2017 36.2% 35.6%
2016 36.8% 35.9%
2015 37.5% 36.2%
2014 38.2% 36.5%
2013 38.8% 36.7%
2012 39.4% 37%
2011 39.7% 37.2%
2010 39.7% 37.5%
2009 39.4% 37.7%
2008 39.2% 38%
2007 39% 38.3%
2006 38.9% 38.5%
2005 39.1% 38.8%
2004 39.4% 39%
2003 39.9% 39.3%
2002 40.6% 39.5%
2001 41.3% 39.8%
2000 42% 40%
1999 42.8% 40.2%
1998 43.7% 40.4%
1997 44.7% 40.6%
1996 45.6% 40.8%
1995 46.6% 41%
1994 47.5% 41.2%
1993 48.4% 41.5%
1992 49.1% 41.7%
1991 49.7% 41.9%
1990 50.2% 42.1%
1989 50.6% 42.3%
1988 50.8% 42.4%
1987 50.8% 42.4%
1986 50.7% 42.5%
1985 50.6% 42.6%
1984 50.4% 42.8%
1983 50.4% 42.9%
1982 50.3% 43%
1981 50.3% 43.2%
1980 50.1% 43.5%
1979 49.8% 44%
1978 49.4% 44.4%
1977 49% 44.9%
1976 48.5% 45.2%
1975 48.2% 45.5%
1974 47.8% 45.8%
1973 47.3% 45.9%
1972 46.6% 46%
1971 45.6% 46%
1970 45% 45.8%
1969 45.3% 45.6%
1968 46.1% 45.3%
1967 46.7% 45.1%
1966 47.2% 44.9%
1965 47.5% 44.6%
1964 47.5% 44.4%
1963 47.4% 44.2%
1962 47.1% 43.9%
1961 46.7% 43.7%
1960 46.1% 43.4%

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2024, retrieved 2026-04-06); United Nations | World Population Prospects (2025–2100, retrieved 2026-03-10).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/marshall-islands/papua-new-guinea | CC BY

Children aged 0-14 make up 34.5% of the population in the Marshall Islands and 33.5% in Papua New Guinea in 2024, compared to 50.2% and 42.1% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of the Marshall Islands and Papua New Guinea compared.

Fertility rates around the globe

1x

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/marshall-islands/papua-new-guinea | CC BY

Maternal mortality chart: Marshall Islands vs Papua New Guinea

Marshall Islands
Papua New Guinea
1x
Year Maternal mortality per 100K births
Marshall Islands Papua New Guinea
2023 155 189
2022 174 189
2021 206 223
2020 178 194
2019 168 199
2018 167 205
2017 179 207
2016 183 214
2015 184 221
2014 199 232
2013 201 243
2012 207 257
2011 209 271
2010 212 289
2009 224 302
2008 226 315
2007 229 326
2006 233 325
2005 234 326
2004 238 326
2003 221 328
2002 223 329
2001 231 325
2000 251 323
1999 250 321
1998 259 325
1997 274 316
1996 292 316
1995 303 318
1994 303 324
1993 320 333
1992 322 340
1991 297 354
1990 311 360
1989 299 369
1988 276 377
1987 282 379
1986 274 386
1985 254 393

Data sources: World Bank | Gender (1985–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/marshall-islands/papua-new-guinea | CC BY

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 155 deaths per 100,000 live births in the Marshall Islands, compared to 189 deaths in Papua New Guinea.

Under-five mortality rates

Marshall Islands
Papua New Guinea

Probability that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five

1x
Year Under 5 mortality rate
Marshall Islands Papua New Guinea
2023 2.82% 4.03%
2022 2.91% 4.17%
2021 3% 4.31%
2020 3.1% 4.45%
2019 3.19% 4.59%
2018 3.29% 4.72%
2017 3.38% 4.87%
2016 3.48% 5.02%
2015 3.57% 5.17%
2014 3.66% 5.3%
2013 3.75% 5.44%
2012 3.82% 5.59%
2011 3.89% 5.73%
2010 3.94% 5.88%
2009 3.97% 6.02%
2008 4.02% 6.16%
2007 4.06% 6.31%
2006 4.1% 6.44%
2005 4.14% 6.58%
2004 4.18% 6.71%
2003 4.21% 6.84%
2002 4.24% 6.96%
2001 4.25% 7.08%
2000 4.25% 7.19%
1999 4.23% 7.3%
1998 4.19% 7.41%
1997 4.15% 7.52%
1996 4.14% 7.64%
1995 4.15% 7.77%
1994 4.2% 7.89%
1993 4.29% 8.03%
1992 4.43% 8.17%
1991 4.59% 8.31%
1990 4.76% 8.47%
1989 4.95% 8.63%
1988 5.13% 8.78%
1987 5.31% 8.96%
1986 5.49% 9.12%
1985 5.66% 9.3%
1984 5.83% 9.5%
1983 6% 9.71%
1982 6.15% 9.94%
1981 6.29% 10.2%
1980 6.42% 10.4%
1979 6.52% 10.7%
1978 6.61% 11%
1977 6.69% 11.3%
1976 6.77% 11.7%
1975 6.86% 12.1%
1974 6.97% 12.4%
1973 7.13% 12.9%
1972 7.33% 13.3%
1971 7.58% 13.7%
1970 7.87% 14.2%
1969 8.19% 14.7%
1968 8.53% 15.2%
1967 8.88% 15.8%
1966 9.25% 16.3%
1965 9.64% 16.9%
1964 10.1% 17.4%
1963 10.5% 18%
1962 11% 18.6%
1961 11.6% 19.2%
1960 12.2% 19.8%

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/marshall-islands/papua-new-guinea | CC BY

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 2.82% in the Marshall Islands and 4.03% in Papua New Guinea. Above is a chart with historical data on under-five mortality rates.

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Data sources:

  1. World Bank | Health (1960–2024, retrieved 2026-04-06)
  2. United Nations | World Population Prospects (2025–2100, retrieved 2026-03-10)
  3. Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) (2017–2025, retrieved 2026-02-20)

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