Fertility & birth rates in Italy and Papua New Guinea

Fertility rate in Italy vs Papua New Guinea chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Italy was 1.2 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.1 in Papua New Guinea in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Italy vs Papua New Guinea population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Italy	Papua New Guinea
1960	2.4	6.02
1961	2.44	6.07
1962	2.46	6.14
1963	2.51	6.15
1964	2.66	6.19
1965	2.6	6.2
1966	2.58	6.23
1967	2.5	6.24
1968	2.46	6.25
1969	2.47	6.26
1970	2.38	6.25
1971	2.4	6.23
1972	2.35	6.2
1973	2.3	6.16
1974	2.28	6.11
1975	2.17	6.07
1976	2.04	6.02
1977	1.93	5.96
1978	1.84	5.88
1979	1.73	5.79
1980	1.64	5.71
1981	1.58	5.65
1982	1.56	5.59
1983	1.51	5.56
1984	1.46	5.51
1985	1.42	5.47
1986	1.35	5.42
1987	1.33	5.36
1988	1.36	5.3
1989	1.33	5.24
1990	1.33	5.18
1991	1.3	5.11
1992	1.3	5.03
1993	1.25	4.96
1994	1.21	4.87
1995	1.19	4.78
1996	1.2	4.73
1997	1.22	4.68
1998	1.22	4.63
1999	1.23	4.59
2000	1.26	4.53
2001	1.25	4.47
2002	1.27	4.42
2003	1.29	4.36
2004	1.34	4.28
2005	1.33	4.22
2006	1.37	4.15
2007	1.39	4.08
2008	1.44	4.01
2009	1.44	3.94
2010	1.44	3.88
2011	1.42	3.82
2012	1.42	3.75
2013	1.39	3.68
2014	1.38	3.63
2015	1.36	3.56
2016	1.36	3.5
2017	1.34	3.43
2018	1.31	3.38
2019	1.27	3.32
2020	1.24	3.27
2021	1.25	3.22
2022	1.24	3.17
2023	1.2	3.1
2024	1.21	3.07
2025	1.22	3.03
2026	1.22	2.99
2027	1.23	2.95
2028	1.24	2.92
2029	1.24	2.88
2030	1.25	2.84
2031	1.26	2.81
2032	1.26	2.78
2033	1.27	2.75
2034	1.28	2.73
2035	1.28	2.69
2036	1.29	2.67
2037	1.29	2.64
2038	1.3	2.61
2039	1.3	2.59
2040	1.31	2.56
2041	1.31	2.54
2042	1.31	2.51
2043	1.32	2.49
2044	1.32	2.48
2045	1.33	2.46
2046	1.33	2.44
2047	1.34	2.42
2048	1.34	2.4
2049	1.35	2.38
2050	1.35	2.36

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Italy	Papua New Guinea
1960	25%	43.4%
1961	25%	43.7%
1962	24.7%	43.9%
1963	24.5%	44.2%
1964	24.5%	44.4%
1965	24.5%	44.6%
1966	24.5%	44.9%
1967	24.6%	45.1%
1968	24.6%	45.3%
1969	24.7%	45.6%
1970	24.7%	45.8%
1971	24.6%	46%
1972	24.6%	46%
1973	24.6%	45.9%
1974	24.5%	45.8%
1975	24.3%	45.5%
1976	24.1%	45.2%
1977	23.7%	44.9%
1978	23.4%	44.4%
1979	22.8%	44%
1980	22.3%	43.5%
1981	21.6%	43.2%
1982	21.1%	43%
1983	20.5%	42.9%
1984	19.9%	42.8%
1985	19.3%	42.6%
1986	18.7%	42.5%
1987	18.1%	42.4%
1988	17.5%	42.4%
1989	17%	42.3%
1990	16.5%	42.1%
1991	15.8%	41.9%
1992	15.2%	41.7%
1993	15%	41.5%
1994	14.8%	41.2%
1995	14.6%	41%
1996	14.5%	40.8%
1997	14.4%	40.6%
1998	14.3%	40.4%
1999	14.3%	40.2%
2000	14.3%	40%
2001	14.2%	39.8%
2002	14.2%	39.5%
2003	14.2%	39.3%
2004	14.2%	39%
2005	14.1%	38.8%
2006	14.1%	38.5%
2007	14%	38.3%
2008	14%	38%
2009	14%	37.7%
2010	14%	37.5%
2011	14%	37.2%
2012	14%	37%
2013	13.9%	36.7%
2014	13.8%	36.5%
2015	13.7%	36.2%
2016	13.6%	35.9%
2017	13.4%	35.6%
2018	13.2%	35.3%
2019	13%	35%
2020	12.8%	34.7%
2021	12.6%	34.4%
2022	12.4%	34.1%
2023	12.1%	33.8%
2024	11.9%	33.5%
2025	11.7%	33.1%
2026	11.4%	32.8%
2027	11.2%	32.5%
2028	11%	32.1%
2029	10.9%	31.8%
2030	10.7%	31.4%
2031	10.6%	31.1%
2032	10.5%	30.7%
2033	10.4%	30.4%
2034	10.3%	30.1%
2035	10.3%	29.7%
2036	10.3%	29.4%
2037	10.3%	29.1%
2038	10.3%	28.8%
2039	10.4%	28.5%
2040	10.4%	28.3%
2041	10.5%	28%
2042	10.5%	27.8%
2043	10.6%	27.5%
2044	10.7%	27.3%
2045	10.7%	27.1%
2046	10.8%	26.9%
2047	10.8%	26.7%
2048	10.9%	26.5%
2049	10.9%	26.3%
2050	10.9%	26.1%

Children aged 0-14 make up 11.9% of the population in Italy and 33.5% in Papua New Guinea in 2024, compared to 16.5% and 42.1% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Italy and Papua New Guinea compared.

Natural population change in Italy vs Papua New Guinea by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been -0.38% in Italy and +2% in Papua New Guinea. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Italy	Papua New Guinea
1960	426,697	56,326
1961	459,880	58,151
1962	427,387	59,974
1963	440,767	62,260
1964	527,089	64,558
1965	474,222	66,693
1966	488,427	69,206
1967	439,074	71,519
1968	399,268	73,983
1969	390,827	76,454
1970	376,753	78,712
1971	383,922	80,599
1972	364,355	82,672
1973	328,508	83,821
1974	336,176	84,829
1975	271,660	85,809
1976	228,445	86,965
1977	190,248	87,954
1978	168,465	88,747
1979	129,531	89,330
1980	84,650	90,266
1981	73,452	91,767
1982	79,161	93,522
1983	33,939	95,982
1984	50,919	98,103
1985	28,297	100,333
1986	11,319	102,346
1987	16,980	104,367
1988	33,977	106,256
1989	28,336	108,199
1990	22,688	110,033
1991	11,352	111,453
1992	22,718	114,818
1993	0	118,668
1994	-17,053	122,113
1995	-34,107	125,410
1996	-22,744	129,802
1997	-22,756	134,458
1998	-39,835	136,677
1999	-22,766	143,592
2000	-17,082	147,496
2001	-11,396	151,431
2002	-22,836	155,091
2003	-40,179	158,611
2004	11,566	161,023
2005	-17,450	163,888
2006	0	166,540
2007	-5,876	169,306
2008	-11,842	172,823
2009	-17,866	175,421
2010	-23,928	178,998
2011	-48,021	181,842
2012	-78,248	183,658
2013	-90,468	185,790
2014	-96,513	187,592
2015	-162,620	188,600
2016	-138,265	189,281
2017	-192,007	189,715
2018	-192,475	190,662
2019	-215,025	190,662
2020	-338,801	189,130
2021	-301,579	183,766
2022	-318,674	186,861
2023	-283,168	187,637

Maternal mortality chart: Italy vs Papua New Guinea

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 6 deaths per 100,000 live births in Italy, compared to 189 deaths in Papua New Guinea.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Italy	Papua New Guinea
1985	22	393
1986	22	386
1987	21	379
1988	20	377
1989	19	369
1990	18	360
1991	18	354
1992	17	340
1993	16	333
1994	15	324
1995	15	318
1996	14	316
1997	13	316
1998	12	325
1999	11	321
2000	11	323
2001	10	325
2002	10	329
2003	8	328
2004	8	326
2005	8	326
2006	7	325
2007	7	326
2008	7	315
2009	8	302
2010	8	289
2011	8	271
2012	8	257
2013	8	243
2014	8	232
2015	8	221
2016	8	214
2017	8	207
2018	7	205
2019	7	199
2020	8	194
2021	7	223
2022	10	189
2023	6	189

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 0.28% in Italy and 4.03% in Papua New Guinea. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Italy	Papua New Guinea
1960	5.19%	19.8%
1961	4.98%	19.2%
1962	4.76%	18.6%
1963	4.53%	18%
1964	4.31%	17.4%
1965	4.11%	16.9%
1966	3.93%	16.3%
1967	3.78%	15.8%
1968	3.64%	15.2%
1969	3.51%	14.7%
1970	3.36%	14.2%
1971	3.18%	13.7%
1972	2.98%	13.3%
1973	2.76%	12.9%
1974	2.53%	12.4%
1975	2.31%	12.1%
1976	2.11%	11.7%
1977	1.95%	11.3%
1978	1.82%	11%
1979	1.7%	10.7%
1980	1.61%	10.4%
1981	1.52%	10.2%
1982	1.43%	9.94%
1983	1.35%	9.71%
1984	1.27%	9.5%
1985	1.2%	9.3%
1986	1.14%	9.12%
1987	1.08%	8.96%
1988	1.04%	8.78%
1989	1%	8.63%
1990	0.97%	8.47%
1991	0.93%	8.31%
1992	0.89%	8.17%
1993	0.85%	8.03%
1994	0.8%	7.89%
1995	0.75%	7.77%
1996	0.7%	7.64%
1997	0.66%	7.52%
1998	0.62%	7.41%
1999	0.59%	7.3%
2000	0.56%	7.19%
2001	0.53%	7.08%
2002	0.51%	6.96%
2003	0.48%	6.84%
2004	0.46%	6.71%
2005	0.45%	6.58%
2006	0.43%	6.44%
2007	0.42%	6.31%
2008	0.41%	6.16%
2009	0.41%	6.02%
2010	0.4%	5.88%
2011	0.39%	5.73%
2012	0.38%	5.59%
2013	0.37%	5.44%
2014	0.36%	5.3%
2015	0.35%	5.17%
2016	0.34%	5.02%
2017	0.33%	4.87%
2018	0.32%	4.72%
2019	0.31%	4.59%
2020	0.3%	4.45%
2021	0.29%	4.31%
2022	0.28%	4.17%
2023	0.28%	4.03%