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Fertility & birth rates in Estonia and Sweden

Updated on by Georank team

Estonia has an annual birth rate of 8 births per 1,000 people, compared to 9.5 for Sweden. The average number of children a woman is expected to have during her lifetime — the fertility rate, is 1.31 in Estonia and 1.45 in Sweden — 10.7% difference.

1960 vs 2023, the fertility rate has decreased by 33.8% in Estonia and by 33.2% in Sweden — in 1960, it was 1.98 and 2.17, respectively.

  • Estonia is ranked 176/196 by birth rate compared to 153/196 for Sweden.
  • The mean age for first-time mothers is 28.7 years in Estonia, compared to 30 years in Sweden.
  • The mean age at childbearing (for all the births, not just the first) is 31.3 in Estonia — it's 31.7 in Sweden.
  • Annual births per 1,000 women ages 15-19 (adolescent birth rate or teenage mother rate) is 5.03 in Estonia vs 1.79 in Sweden.
  • In Estonia, 21.1% of the population is composed of women of reproductive age (15-49), compared to 21.3% in Sweden.

Fertility rate in Estonia vs Sweden by year

Estonia
Sweden
1x
Year Fertility rate
Estonia Sweden
2023 1.31 1.45
2022 1.41 1.53
2021 1.61 1.67
2020 1.58 1.67
2019 1.66 1.71
2018 1.67 1.76
2017 1.59 1.78
2016 1.6 1.85
2015 1.58 1.85
2014 1.54 1.88
2013 1.52 1.89
2012 1.56 1.91
2011 1.61 1.9
2010 1.72 1.98
2009 1.7 1.94
2008 1.72 1.91
2007 1.69 1.88
2006 1.58 1.85
2005 1.52 1.77
2004 1.47 1.75
2003 1.37 1.71
2002 1.36 1.65
2001 1.32 1.57
2000 1.36 1.54
1999 1.3 1.5
1998 1.28 1.5
1997 1.32 1.52
1996 1.37 1.6
1995 1.38 1.73
1994 1.42 1.88
1993 1.49 1.99
1992 1.71 2.09
1991 1.8 2.11
1990 2.05 2.13
1989 2.22 2.01
1988 2.27 1.96
1987 2.27 1.84
1986 2.18 1.8
1985 2.13 1.74
1984 2.17 1.66
1983 2.16 1.61
1982 2.07 1.62
1981 2.07 1.63
1980 2.02 1.68
1979 2 1.66
1978 2.02 1.6
1977 2.06 1.64
1976 2.07 1.68
1975 2.04 1.77
1974 2.07 1.87
1973 2.06 1.87
1972 2.13 1.91
1971 2.19 1.96
1970 2.17 1.92
1969 2.13 1.93
1968 2.03 2.07
1967 1.9 2.28
1966 1.87 2.37
1965 1.88 2.39
1964 1.94 2.47
1963 1.89 2.33
1962 1.95 2.25
1961 1.98 2.21
1960 1.98 2.17

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/estonia/sweden | CC BY

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Estonia was 1.31 children per woman in 2023, compared to 1.45 in Sweden in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Estonia vs Sweden population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

Natural population change by year

Estonia
Sweden
1x
Year Natural population change
Estonia Sweden
2023 -5,070 5,269
2022 -5,665 10,487
2021 -5,324 22,914
2020 -2,659 14,495
2019 -1,327 25,697
2018 -1,322 23,403
2017 -1,713 24,138
2016 -1,316 25,800
2015 -1,315 23,518
2014 -1,972 26,179
2013 -1,713 23,041
2012 -1,455 20,943
2011 -531 21,733
2010 0 25,320
2009 -400 21,387
2008 -668 18,439
2007 -1,608 15,552
2006 -2,559 15,436
2005 -2,981 9,030
2004 -3,679 9,893
2003 -5,072 6,271
2002 -5,380 893
2001 -5,830 -1,779
2000 -5,309 -2,662
1999 -6,117 -6,201
1998 -7,208 -3,541
1997 -6,018 -3,539
1996 -5,662 1,768
1995 -7,327 9,710
1994 -8,044 20,196
1993 -5,976 20,924
1992 -1,993 28,605
1991 -312 29,299
1990 2,825 29,100
1989 5,803 24,629
1988 6,404 15,186
1987 6,829 11,757
1986 6,160 9,206
1985 4,281 4,175
1984 5,163 3,335
1983 5,884 833
1982 5,244 1,665
1981 4,612 1,664
1980 3,989 5,818
1979 3,818 4,976
1978 4,088 4,138
1977 4,931 7,426
1976 4,319 8,222
1975 4,717 14,746
1974 5,956 23,664
1973 5,623 24,409
1972 6,267 28,428
1971 7,160 31,583
1970 6,257 30,563
1969 5,515 23,904
1968 5,592 30,858
1967 5,012 41,700
1966 4,842 45,286
1965 5,437 44,857
1964 6,897 45,968
1963 6,043 35,741
1962 6,457 30,246
1961 7,228 30,832
1960 7,511 27,693

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/estonia/sweden | CC BY

The chart above illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes in population resulting from births and deaths.

Excluding migration, the natural population change due to births and deaths from 2022 to 2023 was -0.37% in Estonia and +0.05% in Sweden.

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change has been -0.21% in Estonia and +0.2% in Sweden.

Birth rate in Estonia vs Sweden by year

Estonia
Sweden

Annual births per 1,000 people

1x
Year Annual births per 1,000 people
Estonia Sweden
2023 8 9.5
2022 8.6 10
2021 10 11
2020 9.9 10.9
2019 10.6 11.1
2018 10.9 11.4
2017 10.5 11.5
2016 10.7 11.8
2015 10.6 11.7
2014 10.3 11.9
2013 10.3 11.8
2012 10.6 11.9
2011 11.1 11.8
2010 11.9 12.3
2009 11.8 12
2008 12 11.9
2007 11.8 11.7
2006 11 11.7
2005 10.6 11.2
2004 10.3 11.2
2003 9.5 11.1
2002 9.4 10.7
2001 9.1 10.3
2000 9.4 10.2
1999 9 10
1998 8.8 10.1
1997 9 10.2
1996 9.4 10.8
1995 9.4 11.7
1994 9.7 12.8
1993 10.2 13.5
1992 11.8 14.2
1991 12.4 14.4
1990 14.2 14.5
1989 15.5 13.7
1988 16 13.3
1987 16.2 12.5
1986 15.7 12.2
1985 15.5 11.8
1984 16 11.3
1983 16 11
1982 15.4 11.1
1981 15.4 11.3
1980 15 11.7
1979 14.9 11.6
1978 15 11.3
1977 15.2 11.6
1976 15.1 12
1975 14.9 12.6
1974 15.1 13.5
1973 15.1 13.5
1972 15.6 13.8
1971 16.1 14.1
1970 15.8 13.7
1969 15.4 13.5
1968 14.9 14.3
1967 14.2 15.4
1966 14.2 15.8
1965 14.6 15.9
1964 15.4 16
1963 15.3 14.8
1962 16.1 14.2
1961 16.5 13.9
1960 16.7 13.7

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/estonia/sweden | CC BY

The latest reported birth rate per 1,000 people in 2023 was 8 in Estonia and 9.5 in Sweden, compared with 16.7 and 13.7, respectively, in 1960.

Birth rate data compared

Estonia Sweden
Fertility rate 1.31 1.45
Fertility rate rank 175/196 156/196
Birth rate 8 9.5
Birth rate rank 176/196 153/196
Population change due to births and deaths -5,070 +5,269
Natural population change rank 167/196 125/196
Natural population change rate -0.37% +0.05%
Population growth +0.15% +0.31%
Population growth rank 158/197 149/197
Age at first childbirth 28.7 years 30 years
Average age at childbearing 31.3 years 31.7 years
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 15-19 4.23 1.6
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 20-29 55.1 53.3
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 30+ 13.1 18.2
Female of reproductive age (15-49), share of population 21.1% 21.3%
Any modern method of contraceptive prevalence among married women ages 15-49 60.9% n/a
Share of births attended by skilled health staff 99.6% 100%
Maternal mortality per live birth 0.005% 0.004%
Neonatal mortality rate (before reaching 28 days of age) 0.1% 0.14%
Infant mortality rate (before reaching 1 year of age) 0.16% 0.2%
Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age 0.21% 0.25%
Life expectancy 79.6 years 83.7 years

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Estonia
Factual

UN forecast
Sweden
Factual

UN forecast
1x
Year Young
Estonia Sweden
2100 11.7% 13%
2099 11.7% 13%
2098 11.8% 13.1%
2097 11.9% 13.1%
2096 11.9% 13.2%
2095 12% 13.2%
2094 12.1% 13.3%
2093 12.2% 13.3%
2092 12.3% 13.4%
2091 12.4% 13.4%
2090 12.4% 13.5%
2089 12.5% 13.5%
2088 12.5% 13.5%
2087 12.6% 13.5%
2086 12.6% 13.6%
2085 12.6% 13.6%
2084 12.5% 13.5%
2083 12.5% 13.5%
2082 12.4% 13.5%
2081 12.3% 13.4%
2080 12.3% 13.4%
2079 12.2% 13.3%
2078 12.1% 13.3%
2077 12% 13.2%
2076 11.9% 13.2%
2075 11.8% 13.2%
2074 11.7% 13.1%
2073 11.7% 13.1%
2072 11.6% 13.1%
2071 11.6% 13.1%
2070 11.6% 13.1%
2069 11.6% 13.1%
2068 11.7% 13.2%
2067 11.7% 13.2%
2066 11.8% 13.3%
2065 11.9% 13.4%
2064 12.1% 13.5%
2063 12.2% 13.6%
2062 12.4% 13.7%
2061 12.5% 13.8%
2060 12.7% 13.9%
2059 12.8% 14.1%
2058 12.9% 14.2%
2057 13% 14.2%
2056 13.1% 14.3%
2055 13.2% 14.4%
2054 13.2% 14.4%
2053 13.2% 14.4%
2052 13.2% 14.4%
2051 13.1% 14.4%
2050 13% 14.4%
2049 12.9% 14.3%
2048 12.8% 14.3%
2047 12.7% 14.2%
2046 12.5% 14.1%
2045 12.4% 14%
2044 12.3% 14%
2043 12.1% 13.9%
2042 12% 13.8%
2041 11.9% 13.8%
2040 11.9% 13.8%
2039 11.8% 13.8%
2038 11.8% 13.8%
2037 11.9% 13.8%
2036 12.1% 14%
2035 12.3% 14.2%
2034 12.6% 14.4%
2033 12.9% 14.7%
2032 13.2% 14.9%
2031 13.6% 15.2%
2030 13.9% 15.5%
2029 14.2% 15.8%
2028 14.4% 16%
2027 14.7% 16.3%
2026 15% 16.6%
2025 15.5% 16.9%
2024 15.6% 17%
2023 16% 17.2%
2022 16.2% 17.5%
2021 16.4% 17.7%
2020 16.4% 17.7%
2019 16.4% 17.8%
2018 16.4% 17.8%
2017 16.3% 17.7%
2016 16.2% 17.5%
2015 16% 17.3%
2014 15.9% 17.2%
2013 15.7% 17%
2012 15.6% 16.8%
2011 15.4% 16.7%
2010 15.2% 16.6%
2009 15% 16.6%
2008 14.9% 16.7%
2007 14.9% 16.9%
2006 15% 17.1%
2005 15.2% 17.4%
2004 15.6% 17.7%
2003 16.1% 17.9%
2002 16.6% 18.1%
2001 17.2% 18.3%
2000 17.6% 18.4%
1999 18.4% 18.6%
1998 19.2% 18.7%
1997 19.8% 18.7%
1996 20.3% 18.8%
1995 20.7% 18.9%
1994 21.1% 18.8%
1993 21.4% 18.6%
1992 21.8% 18.4%
1991 22.1% 18.1%
1990 22.3% 17.9%
1989 22.3% 17.8%
1988 22.2% 17.8%
1987 22.2% 17.9%
1986 22.1% 18%
1985 22.1% 18.2%
1984 22.1% 18.3%
1983 22% 18.6%
1982 21.9% 18.9%
1981 21.8% 19.2%
1980 21.7% 19.6%
1979 21.6% 19.9%
1978 21.5% 20.3%
1977 21.5% 20.5%
1976 21.6% 20.6%
1975 21.6% 20.7%
1974 21.8% 20.7%
1973 21.9% 20.7%
1972 22% 20.8%
1971 22% 20.8%
1970 22.1% 20.8%
1969 22.1% 20.9%
1968 22.2% 20.9%
1967 22.3% 21%
1966 22.6% 20.9%
1965 22.8% 20.9%
1964 23% 21%
1963 23.2% 21.2%
1962 23.3% 21.5%
1961 23.3% 22%
1960 23.1% 22.4%

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2024, retrieved 2026-04-06); United Nations | World Population Prospects (2025–2100, retrieved 2026-03-10).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/estonia/sweden | CC BY

Children aged 0-14 make up 15.6% of the population in Estonia and 17% in Sweden in 2024, compared to 22.3% and 17.9% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Estonia and Sweden compared.

Fertility rates around the globe

1x

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/estonia/sweden | CC BY

Maternal mortality chart: Estonia vs Sweden

Estonia
Sweden
1x
Year Maternal mortality per 100K births
Estonia Sweden
2023 5 4
2022 7 5
2021 8 5
2020 6 5
2019 6 4
2018 5 5
2017 5 5
2016 7 5
2015 6 5
2014 7 5
2013 6 5
2012 8 5
2011 9 5
2010 8 5
2009 10 5
2008 11 5
2007 13 5
2006 13 5
2005 15 5
2004 15 5
2003 18 5
2002 22 5
2001 25 5
2000 27 5
1999 28 6
1998 32 6
1997 31 6
1996 36 6
1995 45 7
1994 60 7
1993 46 8
1992 40 8
1991 42 8
1990 44 8
1989 48 9
1988 43 9
1987 42 8
1986 46 8
1985 56 8

Data sources: World Bank | Gender (1985–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/estonia/sweden | CC BY

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 5 deaths per 100,000 live births in Estonia, compared to 4 deaths in Sweden.

Under-five mortality rates

Estonia
Sweden

Probability that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five

1x
Year Under 5 mortality rate
Estonia Sweden
2023 0.21% 0.25%
2022 0.22% 0.25%
2021 0.23% 0.25%
2020 0.24% 0.26%
2019 0.25% 0.26%
2018 0.27% 0.27%
2017 0.28% 0.28%
2016 0.3% 0.28%
2015 0.32% 0.29%
2014 0.34% 0.29%
2013 0.36% 0.29%
2012 0.39% 0.3%
2011 0.42% 0.3%
2010 0.46% 0.31%
2009 0.5% 0.31%
2008 0.54% 0.32%
2007 0.59% 0.33%
2006 0.65% 0.35%
2005 0.71% 0.36%
2004 0.78% 0.37%
2003 0.85% 0.39%
2002 0.93% 0.4%
2001 1.01% 0.4%
2000 1.1% 0.41%
1999 1.2% 0.41%
1998 1.29% 0.42%
1997 1.39% 0.44%
1996 1.48% 0.46%
1995 1.57% 0.48%
1994 1.64% 0.52%
1993 1.69% 0.57%
1992 1.73% 0.62%
1991 1.75% 0.66%
1990 1.77% 0.7%
1989 1.79% 0.72%
1988 1.81% 0.73%
1987 1.83% 0.74%
1986 1.86% 0.75%
1985 1.91% 0.76%
1984 1.96% 0.77%
1983 2.02% 0.78%
1982 2.09% 0.8%
1981 2.16% 0.82%
1980 2.24% 0.84%
1979 - 0.87%
1978 - 0.9%
1977 - 0.94%
1976 - 0.98%
1975 - 1.03%
1974 - 1.09%
1973 - 1.16%
1972 - 1.23%
1971 - 1.29%
1970 - 1.34%
1969 - 1.39%
1968 - 1.44%
1967 - 1.49%
1966 - 1.56%
1965 - 1.63%
1964 - 1.71%
1963 - 1.79%
1962 - 1.86%
1961 - 1.92%
1960 - 1.96%

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/estonia/sweden | CC BY

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 0.21% in Estonia and 0.25% in Sweden. Above is a chart with historical data on under-five mortality rates.

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Data sources:

  1. World Bank | Health (1960–2024, retrieved 2026-04-06)
  2. United Nations | World Population Prospects (2025–2100, retrieved 2026-03-10)
  3. United Nations Economic Commission for Europe (UNECE) (2023, retrieved 2026-03-10)

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