Fertility & birth rates in Papua New Guinea and Rwanda

Fertility rate in Papua New Guinea vs Rwanda chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Papua New Guinea was 3.1 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.7 in Rwanda in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Papua New Guinea vs Rwanda population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Papua New Guinea	Rwanda
1960	6.02	8.28
1961	6.07	8.28
1962	6.14	8.27
1963	6.15	8.27
1964	6.19	8.27
1965	6.2	8.25
1966	6.23	8.23
1967	6.24	8.21
1968	6.25	8.19
1969	6.26	8.18
1970	6.25	8.15
1971	6.23	8.09
1972	6.2	8.09
1973	6.16	8.09
1974	6.11	8.1
1975	6.07	8.1
1976	6.02	8.12
1977	5.96	8.14
1978	5.88	8.16
1979	5.79	8.13
1980	5.71	8.12
1981	5.65	8.1
1982	5.59	8.06
1983	5.56	8
1984	5.51	7.91
1985	5.47	7.79
1986	5.42	7.61
1987	5.36	7.43
1988	5.3	7.23
1989	5.24	7.03
1990	5.18	6.8
1991	5.11	6.62
1992	5.03	6.54
1993	4.96	6.48
1994	4.87	6.42
1995	4.78	6.35
1996	4.73	6.29
1997	4.68	6.24
1998	4.63	6.17
1999	4.59	6.06
2000	4.53	5.97
2001	4.47	5.89
2002	4.42	5.82
2003	4.36	5.74
2004	4.28	5.64
2005	4.22	5.5
2006	4.15	5.34
2007	4.08	5.14
2008	4.01	4.92
2009	3.94	4.71
2010	3.88	4.52
2011	3.82	4.33
2012	3.75	4.2
2013	3.68	4.14
2014	3.63	4.12
2015	3.56	4.11
2016	3.5	4.11
2017	3.43	4.08
2018	3.38	4.05
2019	3.32	3.99
2020	3.27	3.91
2021	3.22	3.84
2022	3.17	3.78
2023	3.1	3.7
2024	3.07	3.64
2025	3.03	3.59
2026	2.99	3.54
2027	2.95	3.49
2028	2.92	3.43
2029	2.88	3.38
2030	2.84	3.33
2031	2.81	3.28
2032	2.78	3.24
2033	2.75	3.19
2034	2.73	3.15
2035	2.69	3.11
2036	2.67	3.07
2037	2.64	3.03
2038	2.61	2.99
2039	2.59	2.95
2040	2.56	2.92
2041	2.54	2.89
2042	2.51	2.85
2043	2.49	2.81
2044	2.48	2.78
2045	2.46	2.75
2046	2.44	2.72
2047	2.42	2.69
2048	2.4	2.67
2049	2.38	2.64
2050	2.36	2.61

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Papua New Guinea	Rwanda
1960	43.4%	49.2%
1961	43.7%	49.7%
1962	43.9%	50.2%
1963	44.2%	50.6%
1964	44.4%	50.8%
1965	44.6%	50.6%
1966	44.9%	50.2%
1967	45.1%	49.7%
1968	45.3%	49.2%
1969	45.6%	48.7%
1970	45.8%	48.2%
1971	46%	47.9%
1972	46%	47.5%
1973	45.9%	47.2%
1974	45.8%	46.9%
1975	45.5%	46.6%
1976	45.2%	46.4%
1977	44.9%	46.4%
1978	44.4%	46.4%
1979	44%	46.5%
1980	43.5%	46.8%
1981	43.2%	47.1%
1982	43%	47.4%
1983	42.9%	47.7%
1984	42.8%	48.1%
1985	42.6%	48.3%
1986	42.5%	48.6%
1987	42.4%	48.8%
1988	42.4%	48.9%
1989	42.3%	48.9%
1990	42.1%	49%
1991	41.9%	48.9%
1992	41.7%	48.7%
1993	41.5%	48.4%
1994	41.2%	50.1%
1995	41%	52.4%
1996	40.8%	51.4%
1997	40.6%	50.5%
1998	40.4%	49.2%
1999	40.2%	47.8%
2000	40%	46.4%
2001	39.8%	45.2%
2002	39.5%	44.3%
2003	39.3%	43.7%
2004	39%	43.3%
2005	38.8%	43.1%
2006	38.5%	42.9%
2007	38.3%	42.9%
2008	38%	42.8%
2009	37.7%	42.6%
2010	37.5%	42.4%
2011	37.2%	42.2%
2012	37%	41.9%
2013	36.7%	41.7%
2014	36.5%	41.4%
2015	36.2%	41.1%
2016	35.9%	40.9%
2017	35.6%	40.5%
2018	35.3%	40.1%
2019	35%	39.7%
2020	34.7%	39.2%
2021	34.4%	38.6%
2022	34.1%	38.2%
2023	33.8%	37.7%
2024	33.5%	37.4%
2025	33.1%	37%
2026	32.8%	36.7%
2027	32.5%	36.4%
2028	32.1%	36%
2029	31.8%	35.7%
2030	31.4%	35.4%
2031	31.1%	35%
2032	30.7%	34.7%
2033	30.4%	34.4%
2034	30.1%	34.1%
2035	29.7%	33.7%
2036	29.4%	33.4%
2037	29.1%	33.1%
2038	28.8%	32.9%
2039	28.5%	32.6%
2040	28.3%	32.3%
2041	28%	32%
2042	27.8%	31.7%
2043	27.5%	31.4%
2044	27.3%	31.1%
2045	27.1%	30.8%
2046	26.9%	30.5%
2047	26.7%	30.2%
2048	26.5%	29.9%
2049	26.3%	29.7%
2050	26.1%	29.4%

Children aged 0-14 make up 33.5% of the population in Papua New Guinea and 37.4% in Rwanda in 2024, compared to 42.1% and 49% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Papua New Guinea and Rwanda compared.

Natural population change in Papua New Guinea vs Rwanda by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +2% in Papua New Guinea and +2.45% in Rwanda. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Papua New Guinea	Rwanda
1960	56,326	100,627
1961	58,151	102,051
1962	59,974	102,548
1963	62,260	94,296
1964	64,558	102,562
1965	66,693	103,422
1966	69,206	105,128
1967	71,519	108,053
1968	73,983	111,422
1969	76,454	115,394
1970	78,712	119,273
1971	80,599	122,567
1972	82,672	126,403
1973	83,821	131,021
1974	84,829	135,743
1975	85,809	140,596
1976	86,965	147,665
1977	87,954	155,011
1978	88,747	163,779
1979	89,330	174,477
1980	90,266	184,988
1981	91,767	195,769
1982	93,522	205,147
1983	95,982	212,750
1984	98,103	219,337
1985	100,333	223,794
1986	102,346	225,526
1987	104,367	225,744
1988	106,256	223,759
1989	108,199	217,632
1990	110,033	207,895
1991	111,453	196,431
1992	114,818	188,025
1993	118,668	183,926
1994	122,113	-719,479
1995	125,410	121,137
1996	129,802	140,455
1997	134,458	174,687
1998	136,677	197,185
1999	143,592	210,518
2000	147,496	221,276
2001	151,431	230,845
2002	155,091	239,036
2003	158,611	251,243
2004	161,023	265,273
2005	163,888	275,121
2006	166,540	282,149
2007	169,306	285,791
2008	172,823	287,334
2009	175,421	287,034
2010	178,998	286,848
2011	181,842	282,922
2012	183,658	282,584
2013	185,790	286,331
2014	187,592	292,779
2015	188,600	299,114
2016	189,281	305,549
2017	189,715	310,323
2018	190,662	312,512
2019	190,662	313,525
2020	189,130	312,692
2021	183,766	309,895
2022	186,861	312,145
2023	187,637	312,762

Maternal mortality chart: Papua New Guinea vs Rwanda

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 189 deaths per 100,000 live births in Papua New Guinea, compared to 229 deaths in Rwanda.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Papua New Guinea	Rwanda
1985	393	1,116
1986	386	1,126
1987	379	1,145
1988	377	1,188
1989	369	1,238
1990	360	1,309
1991	354	1,386
1992	340	1,530
1993	333	1,619
1994	324	5,721
1995	318	1,505
1996	316	1,295
1997	316	1,318
1998	325	1,268
1999	321	1,073
2000	323	885
2001	325	769
2002	329	677
2003	328	551
2004	326	460
2005	326	465
2006	325	494
2007	326	494
2008	315	454
2009	302	418
2010	289	393
2011	271	358
2012	257	331
2013	243	317
2014	232	301
2015	221	292
2016	214	278
2017	207	275
2018	205	269
2019	199	261
2020	194	252
2021	223	254
2022	189	234
2023	189	229

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 4.03% in Papua New Guinea and 4% in Rwanda. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Papua New Guinea	Rwanda
1960	19.8%	22.4%
1961	19.2%	21.9%
1962	18.6%	21.5%
1963	18%	21.3%
1964	17.4%	21.1%
1965	16.9%	21.1%
1966	16.3%	21.2%
1967	15.8%	21.4%
1968	15.2%	21.7%
1969	14.7%	22%
1970	14.2%	22.3%
1971	13.7%	22.6%
1972	13.3%	23%
1973	12.9%	23.4%
1974	12.4%	24%
1975	12.1%	24.6%
1976	11.7%	25.1%
1977	11.3%	25.1%
1978	11%	24.6%
1979	10.7%	23.4%
1980	10.4%	21.8%
1981	10.2%	20.1%
1982	9.94%	18.6%
1983	9.71%	17.4%
1984	9.5%	16.6%
1985	9.3%	16.1%
1986	9.12%	15.6%
1987	8.96%	15.2%
1988	8.78%	14.8%
1989	8.63%	14.8%
1990	8.47%	15.1%
1991	8.31%	16%
1992	8.17%	17.5%
1993	8.03%	19.3%
1994	7.89%	38.9%
1995	7.77%	21.8%
1996	7.64%	22.2%
1997	7.52%	22.2%
1998	7.41%	21.5%
1999	7.3%	20.2%
2000	7.19%	18.5%
2001	7.08%	16.7%
2002	6.96%	14.9%
2003	6.84%	13.3%
2004	6.71%	11.8%
2005	6.58%	10.5%
2006	6.44%	9.37%
2007	6.31%	8.45%
2008	6.16%	7.62%
2009	6.02%	6.92%
2010	5.88%	6.33%
2011	5.73%	5.81%
2012	5.59%	5.45%
2013	5.44%	5.17%
2014	5.3%	4.96%
2015	5.17%	4.78%
2016	5.02%	4.63%
2017	4.87%	4.52%
2018	4.72%	4.43%
2019	4.59%	4.34%
2020	4.45%	4.25%
2021	4.31%	4.16%
2022	4.17%	4.08%
2023	4.03%	4%