Fertility & birth rates in Nepal and Papua New Guinea

Fertility rate in Nepal vs Papua New Guinea chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Nepal was 1.98 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.1 in Papua New Guinea in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Nepal vs Papua New Guinea population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Nepal	Papua New Guinea
1960	6.07	6.02
1961	6.09	6.07
1962	6.08	6.14
1963	6.06	6.15
1964	6.04	6.19
1965	6.01	6.2
1966	5.98	6.23
1967	5.95	6.24
1968	5.94	6.25
1969	5.89	6.26
1970	5.87	6.25
1971	5.85	6.23
1972	5.8	6.2
1973	5.7	6.16
1974	5.75	6.11
1975	5.73	6.07
1976	5.72	6.02
1977	5.69	5.96
1978	5.68	5.88
1979	5.64	5.79
1980	5.6	5.71
1981	5.58	5.65
1982	5.55	5.59
1983	5.54	5.56
1984	5.51	5.51
1985	5.46	5.47
1986	5.4	5.42
1987	5.35	5.36
1988	5.31	5.3
1989	5.26	5.24
1990	5.21	5.18
1991	5.15	5.11
1992	5.07	5.03
1993	5.04	4.96
1994	4.96	4.87
1995	4.87	4.78
1996	4.67	4.73
1997	4.44	4.68
1998	4.28	4.63
1999	4.13	4.59
2000	3.98	4.53
2001	3.79	4.47
2002	3.6	4.42
2003	3.44	4.36
2004	3.28	4.28
2005	3.12	4.22
2006	2.97	4.15
2007	2.86	4.08
2008	2.74	4.01
2009	2.63	3.94
2010	2.54	3.88
2011	2.46	3.82
2012	2.42	3.75
2013	2.36	3.68
2014	2.32	3.63
2015	2.27	3.56
2016	2.23	3.5
2017	2.17	3.43
2018	2.12	3.38
2019	2.08	3.32
2020	2.05	3.27
2021	2.03	3.22
2022	2	3.17
2023	1.98	3.1
2024	1.96	3.07
2025	1.94	3.03
2026	1.92	2.99
2027	1.9	2.95
2028	1.89	2.92
2029	1.88	2.88
2030	1.86	2.84
2031	1.85	2.81
2032	1.84	2.78
2033	1.83	2.75
2034	1.82	2.73
2035	1.81	2.69
2036	1.8	2.67
2037	1.79	2.64
2038	1.79	2.61
2039	1.78	2.59
2040	1.78	2.56
2041	1.77	2.54
2042	1.77	2.51
2043	1.76	2.49
2044	1.76	2.48
2045	1.75	2.46
2046	1.75	2.44
2047	1.74	2.42
2048	1.74	2.4
2049	1.74	2.38
2050	1.73	2.36

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Nepal	Papua New Guinea
1960	40.7%	43.4%
1961	40.7%	43.7%
1962	40.6%	43.9%
1963	40.5%	44.2%
1964	40.4%	44.4%
1965	40.4%	44.6%
1966	40.4%	44.9%
1967	40.3%	45.1%
1968	40.3%	45.3%
1969	40.3%	45.6%
1970	40.3%	45.8%
1971	40.4%	46%
1972	40.4%	46%
1973	40.5%	45.9%
1974	40.5%	45.8%
1975	40.6%	45.5%
1976	40.7%	45.2%
1977	40.7%	44.9%
1978	40.8%	44.4%
1979	40.8%	44%
1980	40.9%	43.5%
1981	40.9%	43.2%
1982	40.9%	43%
1983	41%	42.9%
1984	41%	42.8%
1985	41.1%	42.6%
1986	41.2%	42.5%
1987	41.3%	42.4%
1988	41.4%	42.4%
1989	41.5%	42.3%
1990	41.5%	42.1%
1991	41.5%	41.9%
1992	41.4%	41.7%
1993	41.3%	41.5%
1994	41.4%	41.2%
1995	41.4%	41%
1996	41.5%	40.8%
1997	41.4%	40.6%
1998	41.3%	40.4%
1999	41.1%	40.2%
2000	40.9%	40%
2001	40.7%	39.8%
2002	40.4%	39.5%
2003	40%	39.3%
2004	39.6%	39%
2005	39.2%	38.8%
2006	38.7%	38.5%
2007	38.1%	38.3%
2008	37.5%	38%
2009	36.7%	37.7%
2010	36%	37.5%
2011	35.3%	37.2%
2012	34.7%	37%
2013	34.2%	36.7%
2014	33.6%	36.5%
2015	33%	36.2%
2016	32.5%	35.9%
2017	32.1%	35.6%
2018	31.6%	35.3%
2019	30.9%	35%
2020	30.1%	34.7%
2021	29.4%	34.4%
2022	28.9%	34.1%
2023	28.7%	33.8%
2024	28.4%	33.5%
2025	28.1%	33.1%
2026	27.7%	32.8%
2027	27.3%	32.5%
2028	26.8%	32.1%
2029	26.4%	31.8%
2030	26%	31.4%
2031	25.6%	31.1%
2032	25.2%	30.7%
2033	24.8%	30.4%
2034	24.5%	30.1%
2035	24.1%	29.7%
2036	23.8%	29.4%
2037	23.4%	29.1%
2038	23%	28.8%
2039	22.7%	28.5%
2040	22.4%	28.3%
2041	22.1%	28%
2042	21.7%	27.8%
2043	21.4%	27.5%
2044	21.1%	27.3%
2045	20.8%	27.1%
2046	20.5%	26.9%
2047	20.3%	26.7%
2048	20%	26.5%
2049	19.7%	26.3%
2050	19.5%	26.1%

Children aged 0-14 make up 28.4% of the population in Nepal and 33.5% in Papua New Guinea in 2024, compared to 41.5% and 42.1% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Nepal and Papua New Guinea compared.

Natural population change in Nepal vs Papua New Guinea by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +1.37% in Nepal and +2% in Papua New Guinea. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Nepal	Papua New Guinea
1960	203,374	56,326
1961	209,917	58,151
1962	215,368	59,974
1963	219,586	62,260
1964	227,948	64,558
1965	233,726	66,693
1966	241,716	69,206
1967	249,240	71,519
1968	258,259	73,983
1969	264,560	76,454
1970	272,439	78,712
1971	280,752	80,599
1972	286,708	82,672
1973	288,750	83,821
1974	303,078	84,829
1975	312,479	85,809
1976	323,222	86,965
1977	332,843	87,954
1978	345,765	88,747
1979	355,597	89,330
1980	364,254	90,266
1981	374,145	91,767
1982	385,741	93,522
1983	399,103	95,982
1984	411,122	98,103
1985	423,240	100,333
1986	434,802	102,346
1987	449,400	104,367
1988	463,581	106,256
1989	478,771	108,199
1990	495,202	110,033
1991	512,233	111,453
1992	533,029	114,818
1993	561,549	118,668
1994	578,293	122,113
1995	591,283	125,410
1996	580,099	129,802
1997	565,882	134,458
1998	562,787	136,677
1999	557,847	143,592
2000	554,506	147,496
2001	542,118	151,431
2002	525,045	155,091
2003	516,575	158,611
2004	504,853	161,023
2005	489,093	163,888
2006	475,335	166,540
2007	464,780	169,306
2008	452,353	172,823
2009	441,290	175,421
2010	432,631	178,998
2011	429,957	181,842
2012	430,151	183,658
2013	424,804	185,790
2014	423,166	187,592
2015	410,565	188,600
2016	415,921	189,281
2017	406,219	189,715
2018	394,576	190,662
2019	387,113	190,662
2020	373,553	189,130
2021	351,165	183,766
2022	379,021	186,861
2023	368,450	187,637

Maternal mortality chart: Nepal vs Papua New Guinea

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 142 deaths per 100,000 live births in Nepal, compared to 189 deaths in Papua New Guinea.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Nepal	Papua New Guinea
1985	1,186	393
1986	1,143	386
1987	1,088	379
1988	1,038	377
1989	973	369
1990	920	360
1991	850	354
1992	768	340
1993	703	333
1994	657	324
1995	625	318
1996	584	316
1997	550	316
1998	522	325
1999	512	321
2000	480	323
2001	443	325
2002	414	329
2003	387	328
2004	364	326
2005	344	326
2006	318	325
2007	309	326
2008	302	315
2009	299	302
2010	297	289
2011	286	271
2012	272	257
2013	258	243
2014	245	232
2015	236	221
2016	214	214
2017	197	207
2018	183	205
2019	170	199
2020	153	194
2021	173	223
2022	139	189
2023	142	189

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 2.65% in Nepal and 4.03% in Papua New Guinea. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Nepal	Papua New Guinea
1960	32.8%	19.8%
1961	32.4%	19.2%
1962	31.9%	18.6%
1963	31.3%	18%
1964	30.7%	17.4%
1965	30%	16.9%
1966	29.4%	16.3%
1967	28.7%	15.8%
1968	28%	15.2%
1969	27.3%	14.7%
1970	26.7%	14.2%
1971	26.2%	13.7%
1972	25.6%	13.3%
1973	25%	12.9%
1974	24.5%	12.4%
1975	23.9%	12.1%
1976	23.3%	11.7%
1977	22.7%	11.3%
1978	22.1%	11%
1979	21.5%	10.7%
1980	20.8%	10.4%
1981	20.2%	10.2%
1982	19.5%	9.94%
1983	18.8%	9.71%
1984	18.2%	9.5%
1985	17.5%	9.3%
1986	16.8%	9.12%
1987	16.1%	8.96%
1988	15.3%	8.78%
1989	14.6%	8.63%
1990	13.9%	8.47%
1991	13.2%	8.31%
1992	12.5%	8.17%
1993	11.8%	8.03%
1994	11.2%	7.89%
1995	10.6%	7.77%
1996	10%	7.64%
1997	9.44%	7.52%
1998	8.91%	7.41%
1999	8.4%	7.3%
2000	7.92%	7.19%
2001	7.48%	7.08%
2002	7.06%	6.96%
2003	6.69%	6.84%
2004	6.35%	6.71%
2005	6.04%	6.58%
2006	5.76%	6.44%
2007	5.51%	6.31%
2008	5.27%	6.16%
2009	5.05%	6.02%
2010	4.83%	5.88%
2011	4.62%	5.73%
2012	4.41%	5.59%
2013	4.21%	5.44%
2014	4.01%	5.3%
2015	3.82%	5.17%
2016	3.64%	5.02%
2017	3.46%	4.87%
2018	3.3%	4.72%
2019	3.14%	4.59%
2020	2.99%	4.45%
2021	2.86%	4.31%
2022	2.75%	4.17%
2023	2.65%	4.03%