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Fertility & birth rates in Japan and Papua New Guinea

Updated on by Georank team

Japan has an annual birth rate of 6 births per 1,000 people, compared to 24.6 for Papua New Guinea. The average number of children a woman is expected to have during her lifetime — the fertility rate, is 1.2 in Japan and 3.1 in Papua New Guinea — 158.3% difference.

1960 vs 2023, the fertility rate has decreased by 40% in Japan and by 48.5% in Papua New Guinea — in 1960, it was 2 and 6.02, respectively.

  • Japan is ranked 192/196 by birth rate compared to 55/196 for Papua New Guinea.
  • The mean age for first-time mothers is 30.7 years in Japan, compared to 21.9 years in Papua New Guinea.
  • The mean age at childbearing (for all the births, not just the first) is 32.2 in Japan — it's 29.2 in Papua New Guinea.
  • Annual births per 1,000 women ages 15-19 (adolescent birth rate or teenage mother rate) is 1.74 in Japan vs 54.1 in Papua New Guinea.
  • In Japan, 18.6% of the population is composed of women of reproductive age (15-49), compared to 25.9% in Papua New Guinea.

Fertility rate in Japan vs Papua New Guinea by year

Japan
Papua New Guinea
1x
Year Fertility rate
Japan Papua New Guinea
2023 1.2 3.1
2022 1.26 3.17
2021 1.3 3.22
2020 1.33 3.27
2019 1.36 3.32
2018 1.42 3.38
2017 1.43 3.43
2016 1.44 3.5
2015 1.45 3.56
2014 1.42 3.63
2013 1.43 3.68
2012 1.41 3.75
2011 1.39 3.82
2010 1.39 3.88
2009 1.37 3.94
2008 1.37 4.01
2007 1.34 4.08
2006 1.32 4.15
2005 1.26 4.22
2004 1.29 4.28
2003 1.29 4.36
2002 1.32 4.42
2001 1.33 4.47
2000 1.36 4.53
1999 1.34 4.59
1998 1.38 4.63
1997 1.39 4.68
1996 1.43 4.73
1995 1.42 4.78
1994 1.5 4.87
1993 1.46 4.96
1992 1.5 5.03
1991 1.53 5.11
1990 1.54 5.18
1989 1.57 5.24
1988 1.66 5.3
1987 1.69 5.36
1986 1.72 5.42
1985 1.76 5.47
1984 1.81 5.51
1983 1.8 5.56
1982 1.77 5.59
1981 1.74 5.65
1980 1.75 5.71
1979 1.77 5.79
1978 1.79 5.88
1977 1.8 5.96
1976 1.85 6.02
1975 1.91 6.07
1974 2.05 6.11
1973 2.14 6.16
1972 2.14 6.2
1971 2.16 6.23
1970 2.13 6.25
1969 2.13 6.26
1968 2.13 6.25
1967 2.23 6.24
1966 1.58 6.23
1965 2.14 6.2
1964 2.05 6.19
1963 2 6.15
1962 1.98 6.14
1961 1.96 6.07
1960 2 6.02

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/japan/papua-new-guinea | CC BY

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Japan was 1.2 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.1 in Papua New Guinea in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Japan vs Papua New Guinea population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

Natural population change by year

Japan
Papua New Guinea
1x
Year Natural population change
Japan Papua New Guinea
2023 -871,617 187,637
2022 -825,825 186,861
2021 -640,976 183,766
2020 -542,923 189,130
2019 -531,858 190,662
2018 -456,520 190,662
2017 -406,310 189,715
2016 -343,106 189,281
2015 -292,424 188,600
2014 -267,279 187,592
2013 -242,146 185,790
2012 -229,733 183,658
2011 -204,533 181,842
2010 -128,070 178,998
2009 -76,828 175,421
2008 -51,225 172,823
2007 -25,600 169,306
2006 12,785 166,540
2005 -25,554 163,888
2004 76,656 161,023
2003 114,946 158,611
2002 178,423 155,091
2001 203,438 151,431
2000 228,317 147,496
1999 202,610 143,592
1998 265,440 136,677
1997 277,325 134,458
1996 314,392 129,802
1995 276,039 125,410
1994 363,017 122,113
1993 312,073 118,668
1992 360,833 114,818
1991 396,685 111,453
1990 407,478 110,033
1989 467,662 108,199
1988 527,085 106,256
1987 598,138 104,367
1986 631,706 102,346
1985 676,687 100,333
1984 756,523 98,103
1983 775,495 95,982
1982 805,664 93,522
1981 811,861 91,767
1980 864,372 90,266
1979 950,298 89,330
1978 1,011,234 88,747
1977 1,070,397 87,954
1976 1,127,750 86,965
1975 1,204,989 85,809
1974 1,332,960 84,829
1973 1,391,449 83,821
1972 1,372,006 82,672
1971 1,331,782 80,599
1970 1,230,496 78,712
1969 1,195,962 76,454
1968 1,191,930 73,983
1967 1,258,475 71,519
1966 682,072 69,206
1965 1,126,448 66,693
1964 1,046,553 64,558
1963 987,770 62,260
1962 901,864 59,974
1961 893,522 58,151
1960 894,874 56,326

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/japan/papua-new-guinea | CC BY

The chart above illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes in population resulting from births and deaths.

Excluding migration, the natural population change due to births and deaths from 2022 to 2023 was -0.7% in Japan and +1.81% in Papua New Guinea.

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change has been -0.41% in Japan and +2% in Papua New Guinea.

Birth rate in Japan vs Papua New Guinea by year

Japan
Papua New Guinea

Annual births per 1,000 people

1x
Year Annual births per 1,000 people
Japan Papua New Guinea
2023 6 24.6
2022 6.3 25.2
2021 6.6 25.6
2020 6.8 26.1
2019 7 26.5
2018 7.4 27
2017 7.6 27.4
2016 7.8 27.9
2015 8 28.4
2014 8 28.9
2013 8.2 29.4
2012 8.2 29.8
2011 8.3 30.3
2010 8.5 30.7
2009 8.5 31.1
2008 8.7 31.5
2007 8.6 31.9
2006 8.7 32.4
2005 8.4 32.8
2004 8.8 33.2
2003 8.9 33.7
2002 9.2 34
2001 9.3 34.2
2000 9.5 34.4
1999 9.4 34.7
1998 9.6 34.8
1997 9.5 34.8
1996 9.7 34.9
1995 9.6 35
1994 10 35.3
1993 9.6 35.6
1992 9.8 35.8
1991 9.9 36.1
1990 10 36.7
1989 10.2 37.1
1988 10.8 37.3
1987 11.1 37.4
1986 11.4 37.5
1985 11.9 37.7
1984 12.5 37.7
1983 12.7 37.8
1982 12.8 37.7
1981 13 37.9
1980 13.6 38.1
1979 14.2 38.7
1978 14.9 39.3
1977 15.5 39.9
1976 16.3 40.5
1975 17.1 41.1
1974 18.6 41.8
1973 19.4 42.6
1972 19.3 43.3
1971 19.2 43.7
1970 18.8 44
1969 18.5 44.2
1968 18.6 44.4
1967 19.4 44.5
1966 13.7 44.6
1965 18.6 44.6
1964 17.7 44.7
1963 17.3 44.7
1962 17 44.9
1961 16.9 44.9
1960 17.2 45.1

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/japan/papua-new-guinea | CC BY

The latest reported birth rate per 1,000 people in 2023 was 6 in Japan and 24.6 in Papua New Guinea, compared with 17.2 and 45.1, respectively, in 1960.

Birth rate data compared

Japan Papua New Guinea
Fertility rate 1.2 3.1
Fertility rate rank 183/196 55/196
Birth rate 6 24.6
Birth rate rank 192/196 55/196
Population change due to births and deaths -871,617 +187,637
Natural population change rank 195/196 63/196
Natural population change rate -0.7% +1.81%
Population growth -0.43% +1.8%
Population growth rank 185/197 59/197
Age at first childbirth 30.7 years 21.9 years
Average age at childbearing 32.2 years 29.2 years
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 15-19 1.46 52.3
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 20-29 40.5 144.3
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 30+ 10.5 46.2
Female of reproductive age (15-49), share of population 18.6% 25.9%
Any modern method of contraceptive prevalence among married women ages 15-49 52.8% 30.5%
Share of births attended by skilled health staff 99.8% 56.4%
Maternal mortality per live birth 0.003% 0.19%
Neonatal mortality rate (before reaching 28 days of age) 0.08% 2.05%
Infant mortality rate (before reaching 1 year of age) 0.18% 3.2%
Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age 0.24% 4.03%
Life expectancy 85.1 years 66.5 years

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Japan
Factual

UN forecast
Papua New Guinea
Factual

UN forecast
1x
Year Young
Japan Papua New Guinea
2100 11.5% 19%
2099 11.5% 19.1%
2098 11.5% 19.2%
2097 11.5% 19.3%
2096 11.6% 19.4%
2095 11.6% 19.5%
2094 11.6% 19.6%
2093 11.7% 19.7%
2092 11.7% 19.8%
2091 11.8% 19.9%
2090 11.8% 20%
2089 11.8% 20.1%
2088 11.8% 20.2%
2087 11.9% 20.4%
2086 11.9% 20.5%
2085 11.8% 20.6%
2084 11.8% 20.7%
2083 11.8% 20.8%
2082 11.8% 20.9%
2081 11.7% 21%
2080 11.6% 21.2%
2079 11.6% 21.3%
2078 11.5% 21.4%
2077 11.4% 21.5%
2076 11.3% 21.7%
2075 11.2% 21.8%
2074 11.1% 21.9%
2073 11.1% 22.1%
2072 11% 22.2%
2071 10.9% 22.4%
2070 10.9% 22.5%
2069 10.8% 22.7%
2068 10.8% 22.8%
2067 10.8% 23%
2066 10.8% 23.2%
2065 10.8% 23.3%
2064 10.8% 23.5%
2063 10.8% 23.7%
2062 10.9% 23.9%
2061 10.9% 24.1%
2060 11% 24.3%
2059 11% 24.5%
2058 11.1% 24.6%
2057 11.1% 24.8%
2056 11.2% 25%
2055 11.2% 25.2%
2054 11.3% 25.4%
2053 11.3% 25.6%
2052 11.3% 25.8%
2051 11.3% 26%
2050 11.2% 26.2%
2049 11.2% 26.4%
2048 11.1% 26.6%
2047 11.1% 26.8%
2046 11% 27%
2045 10.9% 27.2%
2044 10.8% 27.4%
2043 10.7% 27.6%
2042 10.6% 27.9%
2041 10.5% 28.1%
2040 10.4% 28.4%
2039 10.3% 28.7%
2038 10.2% 28.9%
2037 10.1% 29.2%
2036 10.1% 29.6%
2035 10.1% 29.9%
2034 10.1% 30.2%
2033 10.1% 30.6%
2032 10.2% 30.9%
2031 10.3% 31.2%
2030 10.5% 31.6%
2029 10.6% 31.9%
2028 10.8% 32.3%
2027 11% 32.6%
2026 11.1% 33%
2025 11.3% 33.3%
2024 11.4% 33.5%
2023 11.6% 33.8%
2022 11.9% 34.1%
2021 12% 34.4%
2020 12.2% 34.7%
2019 12.4% 35%
2018 12.5% 35.3%
2017 12.6% 35.6%
2016 12.7% 35.9%
2015 12.8% 36.2%
2014 13% 36.5%
2013 13.1% 36.7%
2012 13.2% 37%
2011 13.3% 37.2%
2010 13.4% 37.5%
2009 13.5% 37.7%
2008 13.5% 38%
2007 13.6% 38.3%
2006 13.7% 38.5%
2005 13.8% 38.8%
2004 13.8% 39%
2003 13.9% 39.3%
2002 14.1% 39.5%
2001 14.2% 39.8%
2000 14.4% 40%
1999 14.6% 40.2%
1998 14.8% 40.4%
1997 15.1% 40.6%
1996 15.3% 40.8%
1995 15.6% 41%
1994 16% 41.2%
1993 16.4% 41.5%
1992 16.9% 41.7%
1991 17.4% 41.9%
1990 18% 42.1%
1989 18.8% 42.3%
1988 19.5% 42.4%
1987 20.3% 42.4%
1986 21% 42.5%
1985 21.7% 42.6%
1984 22.2% 42.8%
1983 22.6% 42.9%
1982 23.1% 43%
1981 23.3% 43.2%
1980 23.4% 43.5%
1979 23.7% 44%
1978 23.8% 44.4%
1977 23.9% 44.9%
1976 23.9% 45.2%
1975 23.8% 45.5%
1974 23.8% 45.8%
1973 23.6% 45.9%
1972 23.4% 46%
1971 23.3% 46%
1970 23.3% 45.8%
1969 23.4% 45.6%
1968 23.5% 45.3%
1967 23.8% 45.1%
1966 24.4% 44.9%
1965 25.1% 44.6%
1964 25.8% 44.4%
1963 26.8% 44.2%
1962 28% 43.9%
1961 29.1% 43.7%
1960 29.8% 43.4%

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2024, retrieved 2026-04-06); United Nations | World Population Prospects (2025–2100, retrieved 2026-03-10).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/japan/papua-new-guinea | CC BY

Children aged 0-14 make up 11.4% of the population in Japan and 33.5% in Papua New Guinea in 2024, compared to 18% and 42.1% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Japan and Papua New Guinea compared.

Fertility rates around the globe

1x

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/japan/papua-new-guinea | CC BY

Maternal mortality chart: Japan vs Papua New Guinea

Japan
Papua New Guinea
1x
Year Maternal mortality per 100K births
Japan Papua New Guinea
2023 3 189
2022 5 189
2021 4 223
2020 4 194
2019 5 199
2018 5 205
2017 5 207
2016 5 214
2015 5 221
2014 5 232
2013 5 243
2012 6 257
2011 6 271
2010 6 289
2009 6 302
2008 6 315
2007 6 326
2006 7 325
2005 7 326
2004 7 326
2003 8 328
2002 8 329
2001 8 325
2000 9 323
1999 9 321
1998 10 325
1997 10 316
1996 11 316
1995 11 318
1994 11 324
1993 12 333
1992 13 340
1991 13 354
1990 14 360
1989 15 369
1988 16 377
1987 17 379
1986 18 386
1985 19 393

Data sources: World Bank | Gender (1985–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/japan/papua-new-guinea | CC BY

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 3 deaths per 100,000 live births in Japan, compared to 189 deaths in Papua New Guinea.

Under-five mortality rates

Japan
Papua New Guinea

Probability that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five

1x
Year Under 5 mortality rate
Japan Papua New Guinea
2023 0.24% 4.03%
2022 0.24% 4.17%
2021 0.24% 4.31%
2020 0.24% 4.45%
2019 0.25% 4.59%
2018 0.25% 4.72%
2017 0.26% 4.87%
2016 0.27% 5.02%
2015 0.28% 5.17%
2014 0.29% 5.3%
2013 0.3% 5.44%
2012 0.31% 5.59%
2011 0.33% 5.73%
2010 0.33% 5.88%
2009 0.34% 6.02%
2008 0.34% 6.16%
2007 0.35% 6.31%
2006 0.36% 6.44%
2005 0.37% 6.58%
2004 0.39% 6.71%
2003 0.4% 6.84%
2002 0.41% 6.96%
2001 0.43% 7.08%
2000 0.45% 7.19%
1999 0.47% 7.3%
1998 0.5% 7.41%
1997 0.52% 7.52%
1996 0.55% 7.64%
1995 0.57% 7.77%
1994 0.59% 7.89%
1993 0.6% 8.03%
1992 0.61% 8.17%
1991 0.62% 8.31%
1990 0.63% 8.47%
1989 0.64% 8.63%
1988 0.66% 8.78%
1987 0.68% 8.96%
1986 0.71% 9.12%
1985 0.75% 9.3%
1984 0.79% 9.5%
1983 0.83% 9.71%
1982 0.88% 9.94%
1981 0.93% 10.2%
1980 0.99% 10.4%
1979 1.05% 10.7%
1978 1.11% 11%
1977 1.18% 11.3%
1976 1.25% 11.7%
1975 1.33% 12.1%
1974 1.41% 12.4%
1973 1.49% 12.9%
1972 1.57% 13.3%
1971 1.65% 13.7%
1970 1.75% 14.2%
1969 1.85% 14.7%
1968 1.96% 15.2%
1967 2.1% 15.8%
1966 2.26% 16.3%
1965 2.46% 16.9%
1964 2.7% 17.4%
1963 2.98% 18%
1962 3.29% 18.6%
1961 3.62% 19.2%
1960 3.97% 19.8%

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/japan/papua-new-guinea | CC BY

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 0.24% in Japan and 4.03% in Papua New Guinea. Above is a chart with historical data on under-five mortality rates.

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Data sources:

  1. World Bank | Health (1960–2024, retrieved 2026-04-06)
  2. United Nations | World Population Prospects (2025–2100, retrieved 2026-03-10)
  3. Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) (2025, retrieved 2026-02-20)

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