Fertility & birth rates in Antigua and Barbuda and Papua New Guinea

Fertility rate in Antigua and Barbuda vs Papua New Guinea chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Antigua and Barbuda was 1.58 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.1 in Papua New Guinea in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Antigua and Barbuda vs Papua New Guinea population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Antigua	Papua New Guinea
1960	4.6	6.02
1961	4.56	6.07
1962	4.55	6.14
1963	4.54	6.15
1964	4.48	6.19
1965	4.42	6.2
1966	4.32	6.23
1967	4.18	6.24
1968	4.01	6.25
1969	3.83	6.26
1970	3.63	6.25
1971	3.46	6.23
1972	3.29	6.2
1973	3.13	6.16
1974	2.93	6.11
1975	2.77	6.07
1976	2.78	6.02
1977	2.78	5.96
1978	2.57	5.88
1979	2.63	5.79
1980	2.31	5.71
1981	2.17	5.65
1982	2.09	5.59
1983	2.12	5.56
1984	2.04	5.51
1985	2.15	5.47
1986	2.03	5.42
1987	2.07	5.36
1988	2.13	5.3
1989	2.2	5.24
1990	2.25	5.18
1991	2.04	5.11
1992	2.13	5.03
1993	2.04	4.96
1994	2.07	4.87
1995	2.16	4.78
1996	2.27	4.73
1997	2.19	4.68
1998	2.02	4.63
1999	1.96	4.59
2000	2.2	4.53
2001	2.02	4.47
2002	1.94	4.42
2003	1.89	4.36
2004	1.85	4.28
2005	1.83	4.22
2006	1.83	4.15
2007	1.86	4.08
2008	2.04	4.01
2009	2.01	3.94
2010	1.79	3.88
2011	1.75	3.82
2012	1.66	3.75
2013	1.54	3.68
2014	1.53	3.63
2015	1.57	3.56
2016	1.46	3.5
2017	1.49	3.43
2018	1.37	3.38
2019	1.47	3.32
2020	1.57	3.27
2021	1.58	3.22
2022	1.58	3.17
2023	1.58	3.1
2024	1.58	3.07
2025	1.58	3.03
2026	1.57	2.99
2027	1.57	2.95
2028	1.57	2.92
2029	1.57	2.88
2030	1.56	2.84
2031	1.56	2.81
2032	1.56	2.78
2033	1.56	2.75
2034	1.56	2.73
2035	1.56	2.69
2036	1.56	2.67
2037	1.57	2.64
2038	1.57	2.61
2039	1.57	2.59
2040	1.57	2.56
2041	1.57	2.54
2042	1.57	2.51
2043	1.57	2.49
2044	1.57	2.48
2045	1.57	2.46
2046	1.57	2.44
2047	1.57	2.42
2048	1.57	2.4
2049	1.57	2.38
2050	1.58	2.36

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Antigua	Papua New Guinea
1960	40.1%	43.4%
1961	40%	43.7%
1962	39.9%	43.9%
1963	39.9%	44.2%
1964	40.4%	44.4%
1965	41.3%	44.6%
1966	42.1%	44.9%
1967	42.8%	45.1%
1968	43.4%	45.3%
1969	43.9%	45.6%
1970	43.7%	45.8%
1971	42.7%	46%
1972	41.6%	46%
1973	40.4%	45.9%
1974	39.1%	45.8%
1975	37.8%	45.5%
1976	36.4%	45.2%
1977	35.2%	44.9%
1978	34%	44.4%
1979	33%	44%
1980	32%	43.5%
1981	31%	43.2%
1982	30%	43%
1983	29.2%	42.9%
1984	28.6%	42.8%
1985	28.6%	42.6%
1986	28.7%	42.5%
1987	28.9%	42.4%
1988	29.1%	42.4%
1989	29.4%	42.3%
1990	29.8%	42.1%
1991	29.7%	41.9%
1992	29.3%	41.7%
1993	29%	41.5%
1994	28.8%	41.2%
1995	28.6%	41%
1996	28.6%	40.8%
1997	28.4%	40.6%
1998	28.3%	40.4%
1999	28%	40.2%
2000	27.8%	40%
2001	27.5%	39.8%
2002	27.2%	39.5%
2003	26.8%	39.3%
2004	26.4%	39%
2005	25.9%	38.8%
2006	25.4%	38.5%
2007	25%	38.3%
2008	24.6%	38%
2009	24.2%	37.7%
2010	23.8%	37.5%
2011	23.2%	37.2%
2012	22.6%	37%
2013	22.1%	36.7%
2014	21.7%	36.5%
2015	21.2%	36.2%
2016	20.6%	35.9%
2017	20.2%	35.6%
2018	19.8%	35.3%
2019	19.4%	35%
2020	19.1%	34.7%
2021	18.8%	34.4%
2022	18.6%	34.1%
2023	18.2%	33.8%
2024	17.8%	33.5%
2025	17.5%	33.1%
2026	17.2%	32.8%
2027	17%	32.5%
2028	16.9%	32.1%
2029	16.8%	31.8%
2030	16.7%	31.4%
2031	16.6%	31.1%
2032	16.5%	30.7%
2033	16.4%	30.4%
2034	16.4%	30.1%
2035	16.3%	29.7%
2036	16.1%	29.4%
2037	15.9%	29.1%
2038	15.7%	28.8%
2039	15.5%	28.5%
2040	15.4%	28.3%
2041	15.2%	28%
2042	15%	27.8%
2043	14.8%	27.5%
2044	14.7%	27.3%
2045	14.5%	27.1%
2046	14.4%	26.9%
2047	14.2%	26.7%
2048	14.1%	26.5%
2049	14%	26.3%
2050	13.8%	26.1%

Children aged 0-14 make up 17.8% of the population in Antigua and Barbuda and 33.5% in Papua New Guinea in 2024, compared to 29.8% and 42.1% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Antigua and Barbuda and Papua New Guinea compared.

Natural population change in Antigua and Barbuda vs Papua New Guinea by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +0.55% in Antigua and Barbuda and +2% in Papua New Guinea. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Antigua	Papua New Guinea
1960	1,434	56,326
1961	1,476	58,151
1962	1,509	59,974
1963	1,543	62,260
1964	1,559	64,558
1965	1,528	66,693
1966	1,489	69,206
1967	1,431	71,519
1968	1,369	73,983
1969	1,308	76,454
1970	1,248	78,712
1971	1,219	80,599
1972	1,179	82,672
1973	1,135	83,821
1974	1,074	84,829
1975	1,028	85,809
1976	1,075	86,965
1977	1,124	87,954
1978	1,064	88,747
1979	1,150	89,330
1980	1,002	90,266
1981	940	91,767
1982	913	93,522
1983	941	95,982
1984	899	98,103
1985	955	100,333
1986	855	102,346
1987	845	104,367
1988	848	106,256
1989	845	108,199
1990	833	110,033
1991	673	111,453
1992	728	114,818
1993	706	118,668
1994	757	122,113
1995	844	125,410
1996	947	129,802
1997	932	134,458
1998	845	136,677
1999	828	143,592
2000	1,009	147,496
2001	900	151,431
2002	843	155,091
2003	793	158,611
2004	757	161,023
2005	738	163,888
2006	742	166,540
2007	770	169,306
2008	911	172,823
2009	900	175,421
2010	758	178,998
2011	743	181,842
2012	678	183,658
2013	586	185,790
2014	564	187,592
2015	583	188,600
2016	496	189,281
2017	504	189,715
2018	411	190,662
2019	461	190,662
2020	512	189,130
2021	492	183,766
2022	486	186,861
2023	462	187,637

Maternal mortality chart: Antigua and Barbuda vs Papua New Guinea

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 35 deaths per 100,000 live births in Antigua and Barbuda, compared to 189 deaths in Papua New Guinea.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Antigua	Papua New Guinea
1985	38	393
1986	38	386
1987	40	379
1988	38	377
1989	41	369
1990	41	360
1991	42	354
1992	40	340
1993	40	333
1994	38	324
1995	38	318
1996	37	316
1997	37	316
1998	34	325
1999	34	321
2000	37	323
2001	36	325
2002	36	329
2003	33	328
2004	34	326
2005	33	326
2006	32	325
2007	32	326
2008	31	315
2009	32	302
2010	31	289
2011	31	271
2012	30	257
2013	32	243
2014	32	232
2015	30	221
2016	28	214
2017	31	207
2018	31	205
2019	32	199
2020	35	194
2021	32	223
2022	36	189
2023	35	189

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 0.93% in Antigua and Barbuda and 4.03% in Papua New Guinea. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Antigua	Papua New Guinea
1960	8.25%	19.8%
1961	7.74%	19.2%
1962	7.18%	18.6%
1963	6.59%	18%
1964	6%	17.4%
1965	5.41%	16.9%
1966	4.86%	16.3%
1967	4.36%	15.8%
1968	3.92%	15.2%
1969	3.54%	14.7%
1970	3.23%	14.2%
1971	2.96%	13.7%
1972	2.74%	13.3%
1973	2.56%	12.9%
1974	2.4%	12.4%
1975	2.25%	12.1%
1976	2.11%	11.7%
1977	1.97%	11.3%
1978	1.84%	11%
1979	1.71%	10.7%
1980	1.6%	10.4%
1981	1.5%	10.2%
1982	1.42%	9.94%
1983	1.36%	9.71%
1984	1.31%	9.5%
1985	1.29%	9.3%
1986	1.28%	9.12%
1987	1.28%	8.96%
1988	1.3%	8.78%
1989	1.32%	8.63%
1990	1.35%	8.47%
1991	1.39%	8.31%
1992	1.43%	8.17%
1993	1.47%	8.03%
1994	1.51%	7.89%
1995	1.54%	7.77%
1996	1.55%	7.64%
1997	1.55%	7.52%
1998	1.54%	7.41%
1999	1.52%	7.3%
2000	1.49%	7.19%
2001	1.46%	7.08%
2002	1.43%	6.96%
2003	1.4%	6.84%
2004	1.36%	6.71%
2005	1.33%	6.58%
2006	1.3%	6.44%
2007	1.27%	6.31%
2008	1.24%	6.16%
2009	1.22%	6.02%
2010	1.19%	5.88%
2011	1.17%	5.73%
2012	1.15%	5.59%
2013	1.13%	5.44%
2014	1.12%	5.3%
2015	1.1%	5.17%
2016	1.08%	5.02%
2017	1.06%	4.87%
2018	1.05%	4.72%
2019	1.03%	4.59%
2020	1.01%	4.45%
2021	0.98%	4.31%
2022	0.96%	4.17%
2023	0.93%	4.03%