Fertility & birth rates in Estonia and Kenya

Fertility rate in Estonia vs Kenya by year

Chart Table

Estonia

Kenya

1x

Year	Fertility rate
	Estonia	Kenya
2023	1.31	3.21
2022	1.41	3.26
2021	1.61	3.31
2020	1.58	3.36
2019	1.66	3.43
2018	1.67	3.54
2017	1.59	3.61
2016	1.6	3.69
2015	1.58	3.77
2014	1.54	3.84
2013	1.52	3.96
2012	1.56	4.12
2011	1.61	4.28
2010	1.72	4.45
2009	1.7	4.57
2008	1.72	4.66
2007	1.69	4.72
2006	1.58	4.75
2005	1.52	4.8
2004	1.47	4.86
2003	1.37	4.94
2002	1.36	5.03
2001	1.32	5.09
2000	1.36	5.14
1999	1.3	5.18
1998	1.28	5.24
1997	1.32	5.27
1996	1.37	5.31
1995	1.38	5.37
1994	1.42	5.44
1993	1.49	5.57
1992	1.71	5.74
1991	1.8	5.94
1990	2.05	6.14
1989	2.22	6.33
1988	2.27	6.52
1987	2.27	6.69
1986	2.18	6.84
1985	2.13	6.96
1984	2.17	7.08
1983	2.16	7.22
1982	2.07	7.35
1981	2.07	7.45
1980	2.02	7.53
1979	2	7.6
1978	2.02	7.67
1977	2.06	7.73
1976	2.07	7.77
1975	2.04	7.8
1974	2.07	7.82
1973	2.06	7.86
1972	2.13	7.89
1971	2.19	7.92
1970	2.17	7.94
1969	2.13	7.95
1968	2.03	7.95
1967	1.9	7.95
1966	1.87	7.96
1965	1.88	7.92
1964	1.94	7.87
1963	1.89	7.82
1962	1.95	7.77
1961	1.98	7.72
1960	1.98	7.65

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Estonia was 1.31 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.21 in Kenya in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Estonia vs Kenya population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

Natural population change by year

Chart Table

Estonia

Kenya

1x

Year	Natural population change
	Estonia	Kenya
2023	-5,070	1,100,970
2022	-5,665	1,092,102
2021	-5,324	1,037,082
2020	-2,659	1,036,253
2019	-1,327	1,071,777
2018	-1,322	1,097,075
2017	-1,713	1,105,769
2016	-1,316	1,108,801
2015	-1,315	1,119,200
2014	-1,972	1,123,333
2013	-1,713	1,136,006
2012	-1,455	1,161,548
2011	-531	1,185,863
2010	0	1,199,786
2009	-400	1,193,598
2008	-668	1,174,818
2007	-1,608	1,147,063
2006	-2,559	1,113,357
2005	-2,981	1,080,446
2004	-3,679	1,048,590
2003	-5,072	1,018,182
2002	-5,380	992,044
2001	-5,830	963,721
2000	-5,309	928,357
1999	-6,117	898,484
1998	-7,208	875,511
1997	-6,018	847,493
1996	-5,662	827,326
1995	-7,327	812,391
1994	-8,044	792,702
1993	-5,976	788,579
1992	-1,993	785,018
1991	-312	790,030
1990	2,825	789,087
1989	5,803	795,622
1988	6,404	785,652
1987	6,829	775,124
1986	6,160	755,606
1985	4,281	732,739
1984	5,163	709,639
1983	5,884	684,587
1982	5,244	663,109
1981	4,612	642,379
1980	3,989	616,390
1979	3,818	595,390
1978	4,088	574,695
1977	4,931	554,124
1976	4,319	536,740
1975	4,717	517,579
1974	5,956	500,008
1973	5,623	485,556
1972	6,267	472,557
1971	7,160	459,897
1970	6,257	443,065
1969	5,515	427,819
1968	5,592	411,948
1967	5,012	396,920
1966	4,842	382,891
1965	5,437	366,444
1964	6,897	349,322
1963	6,043	332,763
1962	6,457	315,797
1961	7,228	298,463
1960	7,511	280,032

The chart above illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes in population resulting from births and deaths.

Excluding migration, the natural population change due to births and deaths from 2022 to 2023 was -0.37% in Estonia and +1.99% in Kenya.

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change has been -0.21% in Estonia and +2.16% in Kenya.

Birth rate in Estonia vs Kenya by year

Chart Table

Estonia

Kenya

Annual births per 1,000 people

1x

Year	Annual births per 1,000 people
	Estonia	Kenya
2023	8	27.1
2022	8.6	27.3
2021	10	27.6
2020	9.9	27.8
2019	10.6	28.2
2018	10.9	29
2017	10.5	29.6
2016	10.7	30.2
2015	10.6	30.9
2014	10.3	31.5
2013	10.3	32.4
2012	10.6	33.7
2011	11.1	35
2010	11.9	36.3
2009	11.8	37.2
2008	12	37.9
2007	11.8	38.3
2006	11	38.5
2005	10.6	38.8
2004	10.3	39.1
2003	9.5	39.5
2002	9.4	39.9
2001	9.1	40.2
2000	9.4	40.2
1999	9	40.3
1998	8.8	40.6
1997	9	40.5
1996	9.4	40.6
1995	9.4	40.8
1994	9.7	40.9
1993	10.2	41.4
1992	11.8	42.1
1991	12.4	43.1
1990	14.2	43.9
1989	15.5	44.9
1988	16	45.6
1987	16.2	46.3
1986	15.7	46.6
1985	15.5	46.9
1984	16	47.2
1983	16	47.4
1982	15.4	47.8
1981	15.4	48.2
1980	15	48.2
1979	14.9	48.6
1978	15	48.9
1977	15.2	49.2
1976	15.1	49.6
1975	14.9	49.8
1974	15.1	50.2
1973	15.1	50.8
1972	15.6	51.5
1971	16.1	52.2
1970	15.8	52.5
1969	15.4	53.1
1968	14.9	53.5
1967	14.2	54.1
1966	14.2	54.6
1965	14.6	54.9
1964	15.4	55.1
1963	15.3	55.3
1962	16.1	55.4
1961	16.5	55.4
1960	16.7	55.2

The latest reported birth rate per 1,000 people in 2023 was 8 in Estonia and 27.1 in Kenya, compared with 16.7 and 55.2, respectively, in 1960.

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Chart Table

Estonia

Factual

UN forecast

Kenya

Factual

UN forecast

1x

Year	Young
	Estonia	Kenya
2100	11.7%	18.9%
2099	11.7%	19%
2098	11.8%	19.1%
2097	11.9%	19.2%
2096	11.9%	19.3%
2095	12%	19.5%
2094	12.1%	19.6%
2093	12.2%	19.7%
2092	12.3%	19.8%
2091	12.4%	19.9%
2090	12.4%	20%
2089	12.5%	20.1%
2088	12.5%	20.2%
2087	12.6%	20.4%
2086	12.6%	20.5%
2085	12.6%	20.7%
2084	12.5%	20.8%
2083	12.5%	21%
2082	12.4%	21.1%
2081	12.3%	21.3%
2080	12.3%	21.5%
2079	12.2%	21.7%
2078	12.1%	21.9%
2077	12%	22.1%
2076	11.9%	22.3%
2075	11.8%	22.5%
2074	11.7%	22.7%
2073	11.7%	22.9%
2072	11.6%	23.1%
2071	11.6%	23.3%
2070	11.6%	23.5%
2069	11.6%	23.7%
2068	11.7%	23.8%
2067	11.7%	24%
2066	11.8%	24.2%
2065	11.9%	24.4%
2064	12.1%	24.6%
2063	12.2%	24.8%
2062	12.4%	25%
2061	12.5%	25.2%
2060	12.7%	25.4%
2059	12.8%	25.6%
2058	12.9%	25.9%
2057	13%	26.1%
2056	13.1%	26.4%
2055	13.2%	26.7%
2054	13.2%	27%
2053	13.2%	27.3%
2052	13.2%	27.6%
2051	13.1%	28%
2050	13%	28.4%
2049	12.9%	28.7%
2048	12.8%	29.1%
2047	12.7%	29.5%
2046	12.5%	29.8%
2045	12.4%	30.2%
2044	12.3%	30.6%
2043	12.1%	30.9%
2042	12%	31.2%
2041	11.9%	31.5%
2040	11.9%	31.8%
2039	11.8%	32.1%
2038	11.8%	32.4%
2037	11.9%	32.6%
2036	12.1%	32.8%
2035	12.3%	33%
2034	12.6%	33.3%
2033	12.9%	33.5%
2032	13.2%	33.8%
2031	13.6%	34%
2030	13.9%	34.4%
2029	14.2%	34.7%
2028	14.4%	35%
2027	14.7%	35.5%
2026	15%	36%
2025	15.5%	36.5%
2024	15.6%	36.8%
2023	16%	37.4%
2022	16.2%	38.1%
2021	16.4%	38.7%
2020	16.4%	39.3%
2019	16.4%	39.9%
2018	16.4%	40.5%
2017	16.3%	41%
2016	16.2%	41.5%
2015	16%	42%
2014	15.9%	42.4%
2013	15.7%	42.8%
2012	15.6%	43.2%
2011	15.4%	43.4%
2010	15.2%	43.6%
2009	15%	43.8%
2008	14.9%	43.9%
2007	14.9%	44%
2006	15%	44.2%
2005	15.2%	44.4%
2004	15.6%	44.6%
2003	16.1%	45%
2002	16.6%	45.3%
2001	17.2%	45.7%
2000	17.6%	46.1%
1999	18.4%	46.5%
1998	19.2%	46.8%
1997	19.8%	47.1%
1996	20.3%	47.4%
1995	20.7%	47.7%
1994	21.1%	48%
1993	21.4%	48.4%
1992	21.8%	48.7%
1991	22.1%	48.9%
1990	22.3%	49.2%
1989	22.3%	49.5%
1988	22.2%	49.7%
1987	22.2%	49.9%
1986	22.1%	50.1%
1985	22.1%	50.3%
1984	22.1%	50.6%
1983	22%	50.8%
1982	21.9%	51.1%
1981	21.8%	51.3%
1980	21.7%	51.5%
1979	21.6%	51.7%
1978	21.5%	51.9%
1977	21.5%	52%
1976	21.6%	52.1%
1975	21.6%	52%
1974	21.8%	52%
1973	21.9%	52%
1972	22%	51.9%
1971	22%	51.7%
1970	22.1%	51.6%
1969	22.1%	51.4%
1968	22.2%	51.2%
1967	22.3%	50.9%
1966	22.6%	50.6%
1965	22.8%	50.2%
1964	23%	49.8%
1963	23.2%	49.7%
1962	23.3%	49.4%
1961	23.3%	49.1%
1960	23.1%	48.7%

Children aged 0-14 make up 15.6% of the population in Estonia and 36.8% in Kenya in 2024, compared to 22.3% and 49.2% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Estonia and Kenya compared.

Maternal mortality chart: Estonia vs Kenya

Chart Table

Estonia

Kenya

1x

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Estonia	Kenya
2023	5	149
2022	7	155
2021	8	183
2020	6	184
2019	6	176
2018	5	183
2017	5	186
2016	7	196
2015	6	203
2014	7	203
2013	6	206
2012	8	214
2011	9	209
2010	8	210
2009	10	208
2008	11	197
2007	13	198
2006	13	188
2005	15	178
2004	15	177
2003	18	177
2002	22	182
2001	25	188
2000	27	206
1999	28	217
1998	32	250
1997	31	253
1996	36	275
1995	45	308
1994	60	342
1993	46	363
1992	40	419
1991	42	493
1990	44	586
1989	48	663
1988	43	756
1987	42	960
1986	46	1,059
1985	56	1,375

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 5 deaths per 100,000 live births in Estonia, compared to 149 deaths in Kenya.

Under-five mortality rates

Chart Table

Estonia

Kenya

Probability that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five

1x

Year	Under 5 mortality rate
	Estonia	Kenya
2023	0.21%	3.99%
2022	0.22%	4.11%
2021	0.23%	4.19%
2020	0.24%	4.28%
2019	0.25%	4.33%
2018	0.27%	4.43%
2017	0.28%	4.53%
2016	0.3%	4.6%
2015	0.32%	4.74%
2014	0.34%	4.88%
2013	0.36%	5%
2012	0.39%	5.12%
2011	0.42%	5.22%
2010	0.46%	5.35%
2009	0.5%	5.54%
2008	0.54%	5.82%
2007	0.59%	6.32%
2006	0.65%	6.71%
2005	0.71%	7.15%
2004	0.78%	7.66%
2003	0.85%	8.16%
2002	0.93%	8.66%
2001	1.01%	9.16%
2000	1.1%	9.63%
1999	1.2%	10.1%
1998	1.29%	10.4%
1997	1.39%	10.7%
1996	1.48%	10.9%
1995	1.57%	11%
1994	1.64%	11%
1993	1.69%	10.9%
1992	1.73%	10.7%
1991	1.75%	10.5%
1990	1.77%	10.1%
1989	1.79%	9.85%
1988	1.81%	9.63%
1987	1.83%	9.51%
1986	1.86%	9.49%
1985	1.91%	9.57%
1984	1.96%	9.74%
1983	2.02%	9.98%
1982	2.09%	10.3%
1981	2.16%	10.6%
1980	2.24%	11%
1979	-	11.4%
1978	-	11.8%
1977	-	12.2%
1976	-	12.7%
1975	-	13.1%
1974	-	13.5%
1973	-	14%
1972	-	14.3%
1971	-	14.7%
1970	-	15%
1969	-	15.4%
1968	-	15.7%
1967	-	16%
1966	-	16.3%
1965	-	16.6%
1964	-	17%
1963	-	17.5%
1962	-	18.1%
1961	-	18.8%
1960	-	19.6%

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 0.21% in Estonia and 3.99% in Kenya. Above is a chart with historical data on under-five mortality rates.