Fertility & birth rates in Papua New Guinea and Tanzania

Fertility rate in Papua New Guinea vs Tanzania chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Papua New Guinea was 3.1 children per woman in 2023, compared to 4.61 in Tanzania in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Papua New Guinea vs Tanzania population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Papua New Guinea	Tanzania
1960	6.02	6.54
1961	6.07	6.56
1962	6.14	6.61
1963	6.15	6.65
1964	6.19	6.68
1965	6.2	6.73
1966	6.23	6.8
1967	6.24	6.86
1968	6.25	6.9
1969	6.26	6.95
1970	6.25	7
1971	6.23	7.04
1972	6.2	7.05
1973	6.16	7.06
1974	6.11	7.12
1975	6.07	7.1
1976	6.02	7.09
1977	5.96	7.07
1978	5.88	7.06
1979	5.79	7.04
1980	5.71	6.99
1981	5.65	6.93
1982	5.59	6.87
1983	5.56	6.81
1984	5.51	6.72
1985	5.47	6.6
1986	5.42	6.49
1987	5.36	6.41
1988	5.3	6.38
1989	5.24	6.3
1990	5.18	6.2
1991	5.11	6.14
1992	5.03	6.08
1993	4.96	6
1994	4.87	5.89
1995	4.78	5.82
1996	4.73	5.83
1997	4.68	5.84
1998	4.63	5.81
1999	4.59	5.75
2000	4.53	5.67
2001	4.47	5.62
2002	4.42	5.57
2003	4.36	5.58
2004	4.28	5.6
2005	4.22	5.58
2006	4.15	5.51
2007	4.08	5.4
2008	4.01	5.32
2009	3.94	5.26
2010	3.88	5.23
2011	3.82	5.14
2012	3.75	5.14
2013	3.68	5.16
2014	3.63	5.12
2015	3.56	5.03
2016	3.5	5.01
2017	3.43	4.99
2018	3.38	4.93
2019	3.32	4.87
2020	3.27	4.8
2021	3.22	4.73
2022	3.17	4.67
2023	3.1	4.61
2024	3.07	4.54
2025	3.03	4.47
2026	2.99	4.41
2027	2.95	4.34
2028	2.92	4.28
2029	2.88	4.22
2030	2.84	4.16
2031	2.81	4.11
2032	2.78	4.04
2033	2.75	3.98
2034	2.73	3.94
2035	2.69	3.88
2036	2.67	3.83
2037	2.64	3.76
2038	2.61	3.72
2039	2.59	3.67
2040	2.56	3.63
2041	2.54	3.57
2042	2.51	3.54
2043	2.49	3.49
2044	2.48	3.46
2045	2.46	3.4
2046	2.44	3.39
2047	2.42	3.35
2048	2.4	3.31
2049	2.38	3.25
2050	2.36	3.23

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Papua New Guinea	Tanzania
1960	43.4%	44.9%
1961	43.7%	44.8%
1962	43.9%	44.8%
1963	44.2%	44.8%
1964	44.4%	45%
1965	44.6%	45.2%
1966	44.9%	45.4%
1967	45.1%	45.6%
1968	45.3%	45.8%
1969	45.6%	45.9%
1970	45.8%	46%
1971	46%	46.1%
1972	46%	46.1%
1973	45.9%	46.2%
1974	45.8%	46.3%
1975	45.5%	46.4%
1976	45.2%	46.5%
1977	44.9%	46.6%
1978	44.4%	46.7%
1979	44%	46.9%
1980	43.5%	47.2%
1981	43.2%	47.4%
1982	43%	47.5%
1983	42.9%	47.6%
1984	42.8%	47.5%
1985	42.6%	47.4%
1986	42.5%	47.2%
1987	42.4%	46.9%
1988	42.4%	46.7%
1989	42.3%	46.5%
1990	42.1%	46.3%
1991	41.9%	46.2%
1992	41.7%	46%
1993	41.5%	45.5%
1994	41.2%	44.9%
1995	41%	44.5%
1996	40.8%	44.7%
1997	40.6%	44.8%
1998	40.4%	44.7%
1999	40.2%	44.7%
2000	40%	44.6%
2001	39.8%	44.5%
2002	39.5%	44.6%
2003	39.3%	44.6%
2004	39%	44.7%
2005	38.8%	44.8%
2006	38.5%	44.9%
2007	38.3%	45%
2008	38%	45.1%
2009	37.7%	45.3%
2010	37.5%	45.3%
2011	37.2%	45.2%
2012	37%	45.1%
2013	36.7%	44.9%
2014	36.5%	44.8%
2015	36.2%	44.5%
2016	35.9%	44.2%
2017	35.6%	44%
2018	35.3%	43.8%
2019	35%	43.6%
2020	34.7%	43.4%
2021	34.4%	43.1%
2022	34.1%	42.9%
2023	33.8%	42.7%
2024	33.5%	42.5%
2025	33.1%	42.3%
2026	32.8%	42.1%
2027	32.5%	41.9%
2028	32.1%	41.7%
2029	31.8%	41.4%
2030	31.4%	41.1%
2031	31.1%	40.9%
2032	30.7%	40.5%
2033	30.4%	40.2%
2034	30.1%	39.8%
2035	29.7%	39.5%
2036	29.4%	39.1%
2037	29.1%	38.8%
2038	28.8%	38.4%
2039	28.5%	38.1%
2040	28.3%	37.8%
2041	28%	37.5%
2042	27.8%	37.1%
2043	27.5%	36.8%
2044	27.3%	36.5%
2045	27.1%	36.2%
2046	26.9%	35.9%
2047	26.7%	35.6%
2048	26.5%	35.4%
2049	26.3%	35.1%
2050	26.1%	34.8%

Children aged 0-14 make up 33.5% of the population in Papua New Guinea and 42.5% in Tanzania in 2024, compared to 42.1% and 46.3% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Papua New Guinea and Tanzania compared.

Natural population change in Papua New Guinea vs Tanzania by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +2% in Papua New Guinea and +3.05% in Tanzania. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Papua New Guinea	Tanzania
1960	56,326	275,814
1961	58,151	286,839
1962	59,974	300,663
1963	62,260	314,644
1964	64,558	328,527
1965	66,693	343,456
1966	69,206	360,229
1967	71,519	374,763
1968	73,983	389,467
1969	76,454	408,322
1970	78,712	427,988
1971	80,599	449,014
1972	82,672	467,305
1973	83,821	488,429
1974	84,829	515,152
1975	85,809	533,906
1976	86,965	553,617
1977	87,954	574,938
1978	88,747	595,024
1979	89,330	613,388
1980	90,266	629,444
1981	91,767	645,496
1982	93,522	662,627
1983	95,982	679,720
1984	98,103	687,435
1985	100,333	697,867
1986	102,346	705,677
1987	104,367	718,580
1988	106,256	736,551
1989	108,199	743,854
1990	110,033	750,825
1991	111,453	762,011
1992	114,818	767,961
1993	118,668	778,044
1994	122,113	803,953
1995	125,410	838,980
1996	129,802	868,524
1997	134,458	882,544
1998	136,677	920,806
1999	143,592	948,659
2000	147,496	985,185
2001	151,431	1,026,242
2002	155,091	1,063,195
2003	158,611	1,118,435
2004	161,023	1,175,379
2005	163,888	1,224,165
2006	166,540	1,257,927
2007	169,306	1,278,285
2008	172,823	1,303,728
2009	175,421	1,332,015
2010	178,998	1,363,477
2011	181,842	1,384,886
2012	183,658	1,439,325
2013	185,790	1,509,008
2014	187,592	1,565,630
2015	188,600	1,592,882
2016	189,281	1,659,502
2017	189,715	1,726,909
2018	190,662	1,777,852
2019	190,662	1,816,669
2020	189,130	1,861,377
2021	183,766	1,880,137
2022	186,861	1,927,960
2023	187,637	1,960,623

Maternal mortality chart: Papua New Guinea vs Tanzania

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 189 deaths per 100,000 live births in Papua New Guinea, compared to 276 deaths in Tanzania.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Papua New Guinea	Tanzania
1985	393	980
1986	386	971
1987	379	964
1988	377	949
1989	369	927
1990	360	900
1991	354	873
1992	340	864
1993	333	851
1994	324	816
1995	318	797
1996	316	775
1997	316	777
1998	325	739
1999	321	635
2000	323	568
2001	325	493
2002	329	454
2003	328	397
2004	326	365
2005	326	350
2006	325	366
2007	326	453
2008	315	511
2009	302	502
2010	289	486
2011	271	475
2012	257	448
2013	243	479
2014	232	454
2015	221	433
2016	214	396
2017	207	345
2018	205	319
2019	199	292
2020	194	160
2021	223	162
2022	189	152
2023	189	276

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 4.03% in Papua New Guinea and 3.89% in Tanzania. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Papua New Guinea	Tanzania
1960	19.8%	24.2%
1961	19.2%	24%
1962	18.6%	23.8%
1963	18%	23.6%
1964	17.4%	23.4%
1965	16.9%	23.1%
1966	16.3%	22.8%
1967	15.8%	22.5%
1968	15.2%	22.2%
1969	14.7%	21.9%
1970	14.2%	21.6%
1971	13.7%	21.2%
1972	13.3%	20.9%
1973	12.9%	20.5%
1974	12.4%	20.1%
1975	12.1%	19.6%
1976	11.7%	19.2%
1977	11.3%	18.8%
1978	11%	18.4%
1979	10.7%	18.1%
1980	10.4%	17.9%
1981	10.2%	17.8%
1982	9.94%	17.8%
1983	9.71%	17.8%
1984	9.5%	17.8%
1985	9.3%	17.7%
1986	9.12%	17.6%
1987	8.96%	17.4%
1988	8.78%	17.2%
1989	8.63%	16.9%
1990	8.47%	16.7%
1991	8.31%	16.5%
1992	8.17%	16.3%
1993	8.03%	16.1%
1994	7.89%	15.9%
1995	7.77%	15.6%
1996	7.64%	15.2%
1997	7.52%	14.8%
1998	7.41%	14.2%
1999	7.3%	13.6%
2000	7.19%	12.8%
2001	7.08%	12.1%
2002	6.96%	11.3%
2003	6.84%	10.5%
2004	6.71%	9.86%
2005	6.58%	9.24%
2006	6.44%	8.69%
2007	6.31%	8.16%
2008	6.16%	7.7%
2009	6.02%	7.24%
2010	5.88%	6.86%
2011	5.73%	6.5%
2012	5.59%	6.21%
2013	5.44%	5.95%
2014	5.3%	5.67%
2015	5.17%	5.48%
2016	5.02%	5.25%
2017	4.87%	5.02%
2018	4.72%	4.8%
2019	4.59%	4.6%
2020	4.45%	4.42%
2021	4.31%	4.22%
2022	4.17%	4.05%
2023	4.03%	3.89%