Fertility & birth rates in Papua New Guinea and Vanuatu

Fertility rate in Papua New Guinea vs Vanuatu by year

Chart Table

Papua New Guinea

Vanuatu

1x

Year	Fertility rate
	Papua New Guinea	Vanuatu
2023	3.1	3.6
2022	3.17	3.65
2021	3.22	3.7
2020	3.27	3.74
2019	3.32	3.79
2018	3.38	3.83
2017	3.43	3.88
2016	3.5	3.92
2015	3.56	3.95
2014	3.63	4
2013	3.68	4.04
2012	3.75	4.06
2011	3.82	4.09
2010	3.88	4.13
2009	3.94	4.16
2008	4.01	4.16
2007	4.08	4.12
2006	4.15	4.1
2005	4.22	4.13
2004	4.28	4.21
2003	4.36	4.29
2002	4.42	4.38
2001	4.47	4.5
2000	4.53	4.54
1999	4.59	4.56
1998	4.63	4.6
1997	4.68	4.66
1996	4.73	4.75
1995	4.78	4.85
1994	4.87	4.94
1993	4.96	5.02
1992	5.03	5.09
1991	5.11	5.13
1990	5.18	5.17
1989	5.24	5.21
1988	5.3	5.27
1987	5.36	5.33
1986	5.42	5.38
1985	5.47	5.43
1984	5.51	5.49
1983	5.56	5.55
1982	5.59	5.6
1981	5.65	5.65
1980	5.71	5.69
1979	5.79	5.73
1978	5.88	5.77
1977	5.96	5.81
1976	6.02	5.89
1975	6.07	5.98
1974	6.11	6.06
1973	6.16	6.15
1972	6.2	6.23
1971	6.23	6.29
1970	6.25	6.35
1969	6.26	6.41
1968	6.25	6.46
1967	6.24	6.51
1966	6.23	6.51
1965	6.2	6.52
1964	6.19	6.57
1963	6.15	6.62
1962	6.14	6.67
1961	6.07	6.73
1960	6.02	6.78

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Papua New Guinea was 3.1 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.6 in Vanuatu in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Papua New Guinea vs Vanuatu population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

Natural population change by year

Chart Table

Papua New Guinea

Vanuatu

1x

Year	Natural population change
	Papua New Guinea	Vanuatu
2023	187,637	7,359
2022	186,861	7,358
2021	183,766	7,199
2020	189,130	7,233
2019	190,662	7,364
2018	190,662	7,379
2017	189,715	7,371
2016	189,281	7,315
2015	188,600	7,220
2014	187,592	7,143
2013	185,790	7,036
2012	183,658	6,877
2011	181,842	6,715
2010	178,998	6,548
2009	175,421	6,362
2008	172,823	6,138
2007	169,306	5,842
2006	166,540	5,606
2005	163,888	5,454
2004	161,023	5,353
2003	158,611	5,258
2002	155,091	5,181
2001	151,431	5,144
2000	147,496	5,026
1999	143,592	4,871
1998	136,677	4,866
1997	134,458	4,854
1996	129,802	4,897
1995	125,410	4,945
1994	122,113	4,973
1993	118,668	4,973
1992	114,818	4,941
1991	111,453	4,859
1990	110,033	4,762
1989	108,199	4,656
1988	106,256	4,577
1987	104,367	4,427
1986	102,346	4,360
1985	100,333	4,219
1984	98,103	4,088
1983	95,982	3,944
1982	93,522	3,778
1981	91,767	3,592
1980	90,266	3,383
1979	89,330	3,590
1978	88,747	3,428
1977	87,954	3,285
1976	86,965	3,174
1975	85,809	3,074
1974	84,829	2,968
1973	83,821	2,876
1972	82,672	2,775
1971	80,599	2,685
1970	78,712	2,597
1969	76,454	2,529
1968	73,983	2,470
1967	71,519	2,384
1966	69,206	2,278
1965	66,693	2,180
1964	64,558	2,098
1963	62,260	2,025
1962	59,974	1,947
1961	58,151	1,872
1960	56,326	1,796

The chart above illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes in population resulting from births and deaths.

Excluding migration, the natural population change due to births and deaths from 2022 to 2023 was +1.81% in Papua New Guinea and +2.3% in Vanuatu.

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change has been +2% in Papua New Guinea and +2.53% in Vanuatu.

Birth rate in Papua New Guinea vs Vanuatu by year

Chart Table

Papua New Guinea

Vanuatu

Annual births per 1,000 people

1x

Year	Annual births per 1,000 people
	Papua New Guinea	Vanuatu
2023	24.6	28.1
2022	25.2	28.7
2021	25.6	29.3
2020	26.1	29.9
2019	26.5	30.7
2018	27	31.4
2017	27.4	32.1
2016	27.9	32.5
2015	28.4	32.8
2014	28.9	33.1
2013	29.4	33.2
2012	29.8	33.2
2011	30.3	33.1
2010	30.7	33
2009	31.1	32.8
2008	31.5	32.5
2007	31.9	31.9
2006	32.4	31.4
2005	32.8	31.2
2004	33.2	31.4
2003	33.7	31.6
2002	34	31.8
2001	34.2	32.3
2000	34.4	32.3
1999	34.7	32.4
1998	34.8	32.8
1997	34.8	33.3
1996	34.9	34.3
1995	35	35.4
1994	35.3	36.3
1993	35.6	37.3
1992	35.8	38.1
1991	36.1	38.5
1990	36.7	39
1989	37.1	39.4
1988	37.3	39.9
1987	37.4	40.4
1986	37.5	40.8
1985	37.7	41
1984	37.7	41.2
1983	37.8	41.2
1982	37.7	41.1
1981	37.9	40.8
1980	38.1	40.3
1979	38.7	40.3
1978	39.3	40.2
1977	39.9	40.2
1976	40.5	40.6
1975	41.1	41
1974	41.8	41.3
1973	42.6	41.6
1972	43.3	41.9
1971	43.7	42.1
1970	44	42.3
1969	44.2	42.6
1968	44.4	42.9
1967	44.5	43.2
1966	44.6	43.2
1965	44.6	43.2
1964	44.7	43.4
1963	44.7	43.7
1962	44.9	43.9
1961	44.9	44.2
1960	45.1	44.3

The latest reported birth rate per 1,000 people in 2023 was 24.6 in Papua New Guinea and 28.1 in Vanuatu, compared with 45.1 and 44.3, respectively, in 1960.

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Chart Table

Papua New Guinea

Factual

UN forecast

Vanuatu

Factual

UN forecast

1x

Year	Young
	Papua New Guinea	Vanuatu
2100	19%	20.6%
2099	19.1%	20.7%
2098	19.2%	20.9%
2097	19.3%	21%
2096	19.4%	21.2%
2095	19.5%	21.3%
2094	19.6%	21.5%
2093	19.7%	21.7%
2092	19.8%	21.8%
2091	19.9%	22%
2090	20%	22.2%
2089	20.1%	22.3%
2088	20.2%	22.5%
2087	20.4%	22.7%
2086	20.5%	22.9%
2085	20.6%	23.1%
2084	20.7%	23.3%
2083	20.8%	23.5%
2082	20.9%	23.7%
2081	21%	23.8%
2080	21.2%	24%
2079	21.3%	24.2%
2078	21.4%	24.4%
2077	21.5%	24.6%
2076	21.7%	24.8%
2075	21.8%	25%
2074	21.9%	25.1%
2073	22.1%	25.3%
2072	22.2%	25.5%
2071	22.4%	25.7%
2070	22.5%	25.9%
2069	22.7%	26.1%
2068	22.8%	26.2%
2067	23%	26.5%
2066	23.2%	26.7%
2065	23.3%	26.9%
2064	23.5%	27.1%
2063	23.7%	27.4%
2062	23.9%	27.6%
2061	24.1%	27.9%
2060	24.3%	28.1%
2059	24.5%	28.4%
2058	24.6%	28.7%
2057	24.8%	28.9%
2056	25%	29.2%
2055	25.2%	29.5%
2054	25.4%	29.8%
2053	25.6%	30%
2052	25.8%	30.3%
2051	26%	30.5%
2050	26.2%	30.8%
2049	26.4%	31%
2048	26.6%	31.2%
2047	26.8%	31.4%
2046	27%	31.6%
2045	27.2%	31.7%
2044	27.4%	31.9%
2043	27.6%	32.1%
2042	27.9%	32.2%
2041	28.1%	32.4%
2040	28.4%	32.6%
2039	28.7%	32.8%
2038	28.9%	33%
2037	29.2%	33.3%
2036	29.6%	33.6%
2035	29.9%	33.9%
2034	30.2%	34.3%
2033	30.6%	34.7%
2032	30.9%	35.1%
2031	31.2%	35.5%
2030	31.6%	36%
2029	31.9%	36.5%
2028	32.3%	36.9%
2027	32.6%	37.4%
2026	33%	37.8%
2025	33.3%	38.2%
2024	33.5%	38.3%
2023	33.8%	38.6%
2022	34.1%	38.8%
2021	34.4%	39%
2020	34.7%	39%
2019	35%	39%
2018	35.3%	38.9%
2017	35.6%	38.8%
2016	35.9%	38.7%
2015	36.2%	38.5%
2014	36.5%	38.4%
2013	36.7%	38.2%
2012	37%	38.2%
2011	37.2%	38.1%
2010	37.5%	38.2%
2009	37.7%	38.5%
2008	38%	38.8%
2007	38.3%	39.2%
2006	38.5%	39.6%
2005	38.8%	40.2%
2004	39%	40.7%
2003	39.3%	41.3%
2002	39.5%	41.8%
2001	39.8%	42.4%
2000	40%	42.9%
1999	40.2%	43.5%
1998	40.4%	44%
1997	40.6%	44.4%
1996	40.8%	44.8%
1995	41%	45%
1994	41.2%	45.2%
1993	41.5%	44.8%
1992	41.7%	44.1%
1991	41.9%	43.9%
1990	42.1%	43.9%
1989	42.3%	44%
1988	42.4%	44.1%
1987	42.4%	44.1%
1986	42.5%	44.2%
1985	42.6%	44.2%
1984	42.8%	44.1%
1983	42.9%	44%
1982	43%	44%
1981	43.2%	43.9%
1980	43.5%	44%
1979	44%	44.5%
1978	44.4%	45%
1977	44.9%	45.1%
1976	45.2%	45.2%
1975	45.5%	45.4%
1974	45.8%	45.5%
1973	45.9%	45.5%
1972	46%	45.6%
1971	46%	45.7%
1970	45.8%	45.7%
1969	45.6%	45.8%
1968	45.3%	45.8%
1967	45.1%	45.8%
1966	44.9%	45.7%
1965	44.6%	45.5%
1964	44.4%	45.4%
1963	44.2%	45.2%
1962	43.9%	45.1%
1961	43.7%	44.8%
1960	43.4%	44.6%

Children aged 0-14 make up 33.5% of the population in Papua New Guinea and 38.3% in Vanuatu in 2024, compared to 42.1% and 43.9% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Papua New Guinea and Vanuatu compared.

Maternal mortality chart: Papua New Guinea vs Vanuatu

Chart Table

Papua New Guinea

Vanuatu

1x

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Papua New Guinea	Vanuatu
2023	189	100
2022	189	105
2021	223	124
2020	194	107
2019	199	105
2018	205	108
2017	207	107
2016	214	107
2015	221	109
2014	232	110
2013	243	110
2012	257	109
2011	271	112
2010	289	114
2009	302	114
2008	315	117
2007	326	120
2006	325	123
2005	326	127
2004	326	131
2003	328	131
2002	329	128
2001	325	132
2000	323	133
1999	321	146
1998	325	134
1997	316	131
1996	316	129
1995	318	131
1994	324	131
1993	333	133
1992	340	140
1991	354	140
1990	360	151
1989	369	162
1988	377	172
1987	379	200
1986	386	194
1985	393	211

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 189 deaths per 100,000 live births in Papua New Guinea, compared to 100 deaths in Vanuatu.

Under-five mortality rates

Chart Table

Papua New Guinea

Vanuatu

Probability that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five

1x

Year	Under 5 mortality rate
	Papua New Guinea	Vanuatu
2023	4.03%	1.68%
2022	4.17%	1.71%
2021	4.31%	1.74%
2020	4.45%	1.77%
2019	4.59%	1.78%
2018	4.72%	1.8%
2017	4.87%	1.82%
2016	5.02%	1.84%
2015	5.17%	1.87%
2014	5.3%	1.9%
2013	5.44%	1.94%
2012	5.59%	1.99%
2011	5.73%	2.05%
2010	5.88%	2.12%
2009	6.02%	2.2%
2008	6.16%	2.27%
2007	6.31%	2.34%
2006	6.44%	2.4%
2005	6.58%	2.45%
2004	6.71%	2.5%
2003	6.84%	2.54%
2002	6.96%	2.58%
2001	7.08%	2.63%
2000	7.19%	2.68%
1999	7.3%	2.74%
1998	7.41%	2.79%
1997	7.52%	2.86%
1996	7.64%	2.92%
1995	7.77%	3%
1994	7.89%	3.08%
1993	8.03%	3.18%
1992	8.17%	3.29%
1991	8.31%	3.43%
1990	8.47%	3.58%
1989	8.63%	3.76%
1988	8.78%	3.96%
1987	8.96%	4.2%
1986	9.12%	4.47%
1985	9.3%	4.78%
1984	9.5%	5.12%
1983	9.71%	5.48%
1982	9.94%	5.87%
1981	10.2%	6.27%
1980	10.4%	6.67%
1979	10.7%	7.07%
1978	11%	7.45%
1977	11.3%	7.84%
1976	11.7%	8.21%
1975	12.1%	8.58%
1974	12.4%	8.95%
1973	12.9%	9.34%
1972	13.3%	9.73%
1971	13.7%	10.2%
1970	14.2%	10.6%
1969	14.7%	11%
1968	15.2%	11.5%
1967	15.8%	12%
1966	16.3%	12.4%
1965	16.9%	12.9%
1964	17.4%	13.4%
1963	18%	13.8%
1962	18.6%	14.3%
1961	19.2%	14.7%
1960	19.8%	15.2%

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 4.03% in Papua New Guinea and 1.68% in Vanuatu. Above is a chart with historical data on under-five mortality rates.