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Fertility & birth rates in China and Poland

Updated on by Georank team

China has an annual birth rate of 6.39 births per 1,000 people, compared to 7.4 for Poland. The average number of children a woman is expected to have during her lifetime — the fertility rate, is 1 in China and 1.16 in Poland — 15.9% difference.

1960 vs 2023, the fertility rate has decreased by 77.6% in China and by 61.1% in Poland — in 1960, it was 4.45 and 2.98, respectively.

  • China is ranked 191/196 by birth rate compared to 183/196 for Poland.
  • The mean age at childbearing (for all the births, not just the first) is 29.4 in China — it's 30.1 in Poland.
  • Annual births per 1,000 women ages 15-19 (adolescent birth rate or teenage mother rate) is 5.23 in China vs 6.19 in Poland.
  • In China, 22.3% of the population is composed of women of reproductive age (15-49), compared to 22.9% in Poland.

Fertility rate in China vs Poland by year

China
Poland
1x
Year Fertility rate
China Poland
2023 1 1.16
2022 1.03 1.29
2021 1.12 1.33
2020 1.24 1.39
2019 1.5 1.44
2018 1.54 1.46
2017 1.8 1.48
2016 1.77 1.39
2015 1.67 1.32
2014 1.77 1.32
2013 1.71 1.29
2012 1.8 1.33
2011 1.67 1.33
2010 1.69 1.41
2009 1.71 1.4
2008 1.7 1.39
2007 1.67 1.31
2006 1.64 1.27
2005 1.62 1.24
2004 1.61 1.23
2003 1.57 1.22
2002 1.57 1.25
2001 1.56 1.31
2000 1.63 1.37
1999 1.53 1.37
1998 1.52 1.44
1997 1.53 1.51
1996 1.55 1.59
1995 1.59 1.62
1994 1.63 1.81
1993 1.69 1.87
1992 1.78 1.95
1991 1.93 2.07
1990 2.51 2.06
1989 2.52 2.08
1988 2.54 2.13
1987 2.76 2.15
1986 2.72 2.22
1985 2.63 2.33
1984 2.61 2.37
1983 2.56 2.42
1982 2.97 2.34
1981 2.79 2.24
1980 2.74 2.28
1979 2.75 2.28
1978 2.72 2.21
1977 2.84 2.23
1976 3.24 2.3
1975 3.57 2.27
1974 4.17 2.26
1973 4.73 2.26
1972 5.11 2.24
1971 5.52 2.25
1970 6.09 2.2
1969 6.18 2.2
1968 6.51 2.24
1967 5.81 2.33
1966 6.31 2.34
1965 6.61 2.52
1964 6.67 2.57
1963 7.51 2.7
1962 6.09 2.72
1961 3.86 2.83
1960 4.45 2.98

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/china/poland | CC BY

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in China was 1 children per woman in 2023, compared to 1.16 in Poland in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check China vs Poland population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

Natural population change by year

China
Poland
1x
Year Natural population change
China Poland
2023 -2,087,851 -135,743
2022 -847,305 -143,605
2021 480,203 -184,907
2020 2,046,095 -120,050
2019 4,673,713 -34,169
2018 5,302,433 -26,582
2017 7,790,880 0
2016 9,062,269 -3,797
2015 6,788,911 -26,590
2014 9,205,180 0
2013 8,043,116 -19,020
2012 10,075,174 0
2011 8,245,065 11,419
2010 6,407,607 38,043
2009 6,483,236 30,521
2008 6,729,247 34,313
2007 6,813,465 11,436
2006 6,922,185 3,814
2005 7,678,911 -3,817
2004 7,607,960 -7,637
2003 7,743,284 -15,281
2002 8,258,580 -3,823
2001 8,839,358 3,825
2000 9,570,849 11,478
1999 10,247,372 0
1998 11,351,286 19,332
1997 12,374,554 34,785
1996 12,686,872 42,487
1995 12,711,220 46,314
1994 13,360,470 96,357
1993 13,493,138 103,846
1992 13,548,601 118,928
1991 14,937,124 141,511
1990 16,335,313 160,066
1989 16,824,495 182,215
1988 17,328,640 215,599
1987 18,005,821 226,008
1986 16,609,920 258,448
1985 14,987,830 297,615
1984 13,561,671 332,137
1983 13,599,789 373,032
1982 15,815,318 369,551
1981 14,461,027 351,806
1980 11,647,260 348,627
1979 11,250,148 366,571
1978 11,473,980 339,166
1977 11,378,068 353,828
1976 11,782,472 367,612
1975 14,378,237 350,356
1974 15,738,118 346,893
1973 18,423,727 320,229
1972 19,102,585 314,028
1971 19,622,980 278,660
1970 21,137,076 280,913
1969 20,760,332 270,151
1968 21,206,083 280,963
1967 19,263,662 275,089
1966 19,282,187 297,801
1965 20,296,950 314,450
1964 19,302,532 326,965
1963 22,742,225 359,330
1962 17,969,132 360,671
1961 2,496,047 398,521
1960 -3,048,510 444,562

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/china/poland | CC BY

The chart above illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes in population resulting from births and deaths.

Excluding migration, the natural population change due to births and deaths from 2022 to 2023 was -0.15% in China and -0.37% in Poland.

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change has been +0.31% in China and -0.18% in Poland.

Birth rate in China vs Poland by year

China
Poland

Annual births per 1,000 people

1x
Year Annual births per 1,000 people
China Poland
2023 6.39 7.4
2022 6.77 8.3
2021 7.52 9
2020 8.52 9.5
2019 10.4 9.9
2018 10.9 10.2
2017 12.6 10.6
2016 13.6 10.1
2015 12 9.7
2014 13.8 9.9
2013 13 9.7
2012 14.6 10.1
2011 13.3 10.2
2010 11.9 10.9
2009 12 10.9
2008 12.1 10.9
2007 12.1 10.2
2006 12.1 9.8
2005 12.4 9.5
2004 12.3 9.3
2003 12.4 9.2
2002 12.9 9.3
2001 13.4 9.6
2000 14 9.9
1999 14.6 9.9
1998 15.6 10.2
1997 16.6 10.7
1996 17 11.1
1995 17.1 11.2
1994 17.7 12.5
1993 18.1 12.9
1992 18.3 13.4
1991 19.7 14.3
1990 21.1 14.4
1989 21.6 14.9
1988 22.4 15.6
1987 23.3 16.1
1986 22.4 17
1985 21 18.3
1984 19.9 19
1983 20.2 19.8
1982 22.3 19.5
1981 20.9 19
1980 18.2 19.6
1979 17.8 19.6
1978 18.3 19.1
1977 18.9 19.2
1976 19.9 19.6
1975 23 19
1974 24.8 18.5
1973 27.9 18
1972 29.8 17.5
1971 30.7 17.2
1970 33.4 16.8
1969 34.1 16.4
1968 35.6 16.3
1967 34 16.3
1966 35.1 16.8
1965 37.9 17.4
1964 39.1 18.1
1963 43.4 19.2
1962 37 19.8
1961 18 20.9
1960 20.9 22.6

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/china/poland | CC BY

The latest reported birth rate per 1,000 people in 2023 was 6.39 in China and 7.4 in Poland, compared with 20.9 and 22.6, respectively, in 1960.

Birth rate data compared

China Poland
Fertility rate 1 1.16
Fertility rate rank 192/196 187/196
Birth rate 6.39 7.4
Birth rate rank 191/196 183/196
Population change due to births and deaths -2,087,851 -135,743
Natural population change rank 196/196 190/196
Natural population change rate -0.15% -0.37%
Population growth -0.12% -0.35%
Population growth rank 173/197 181/197
Age at first childbirth n/a 28.4 years
Average age at childbearing 29.4 years 30.1 years
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 15-19 5.17 5.39
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 20-29 56.6 64.8
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 30+ 8.76 11.4
Female of reproductive age (15-49), share of population 22.3% 22.9%
Any modern method of contraceptive prevalence among married women ages 15-49 80.5% 50.7%
Share of births attended by skilled health staff 99.9% 99.6%
Maternal mortality per live birth 0.02% 0.002%
Neonatal mortality rate (before reaching 28 days of age) 0.28% 0.24%
Infant mortality rate (before reaching 1 year of age) 0.45% 0.37%
Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age 0.62% 0.44%
Life expectancy 79 years 79.2 years

Children 0-14 years as share of population

China
Factual

UN forecast
Poland
Factual

UN forecast
1x
Year Young
China Poland
2100 7.83% 10.3%
2099 7.84% 10.3%
2098 7.87% 10.4%
2097 7.91% 10.4%
2096 7.96% 10.5%
2095 8.03% 10.5%
2094 8.1% 10.6%
2093 8.18% 10.7%
2092 8.26% 10.7%
2091 8.34% 10.8%
2090 8.41% 10.9%
2089 8.47% 10.9%
2088 8.52% 10.9%
2087 8.55% 10.9%
2086 8.57% 10.9%
2085 8.57% 10.9%
2084 8.56% 10.9%
2083 8.53% 10.9%
2082 8.48% 10.8%
2081 8.41% 10.7%
2080 8.34% 10.7%
2079 8.25% 10.6%
2078 8.15% 10.5%
2077 8.06% 10.4%
2076 7.96% 10.3%
2075 7.86% 10.3%
2074 7.77% 10.2%
2073 7.7% 10.1%
2072 7.64% 10.1%
2071 7.6% 10.1%
2070 7.58% 10.1%
2069 7.59% 10.1%
2068 7.63% 10.2%
2067 7.7% 10.2%
2066 7.8% 10.3%
2065 7.93% 10.4%
2064 8.08% 10.5%
2063 8.25% 10.6%
2062 8.44% 10.7%
2061 8.64% 10.9%
2060 8.84% 11%
2059 9.03% 11.1%
2058 9.22% 11.2%
2057 9.39% 11.3%
2056 9.54% 11.4%
2055 9.67% 11.5%
2054 9.78% 11.5%
2053 9.86% 11.5%
2052 9.92% 11.5%
2051 9.94% 11.5%
2050 9.94% 11.5%
2049 9.92% 11.4%
2048 9.88% 11.4%
2047 9.82% 11.3%
2046 9.75% 11.2%
2045 9.67% 11.2%
2044 9.59% 11.1%
2043 9.52% 11.1%
2042 9.46% 11%
2041 9.4% 11%
2040 9.35% 11.1%
2039 9.32% 11.1%
2038 9.3% 11.2%
2037 9.32% 11.3%
2036 9.42% 11.4%
2035 9.63% 11.6%
2034 10% 11.9%
2033 10.5% 12.2%
2032 11.2% 12.5%
2031 11.8% 12.8%
2030 12.4% 13.1%
2029 13.1% 13.4%
2028 13.8% 13.7%
2027 14.5% 14%
2026 15.1% 14.3%
2025 15.7% 14.6%
2024 16% 14.8%
2023 16.6% 15.1%
2022 17.1% 15.3%
2021 17.6% 15.5%
2020 18% 15.5%
2019 18.2% 15.4%
2018 18.3% 15.3%
2017 18.4% 15.2%
2016 18.3% 15.1%
2015 18.3% 15.1%
2014 18.3% 15.1%
2013 18.3% 15.1%
2012 18.3% 15.1%
2011 18.3% 15.2%
2010 18.5% 15.1%
2009 18.6% 15.2%
2008 18.9% 15.4%
2007 19.2% 15.7%
2006 19.6% 16%
2005 20.3% 16.5%
2004 21.2% 17%
2003 22% 17.5%
2002 22.9% 18.1%
2001 23.8% 18.7%
2000 24.5% 19.4%
1999 25.2% 20.2%
1998 25.7% 20.9%
1997 26.3% 21.6%
1996 27% 22.2%
1995 27.4% 22.8%
1994 27.8% 23.4%
1993 28.2% 23.9%
1992 28.4% 24.3%
1991 28.6% 24.6%
1990 28.8% 25%
1989 28.9% 25.3%
1988 29.3% 25.5%
1987 29.8% 25.6%
1986 30.4% 25.6%
1985 31.2% 25.5%
1984 32.2% 25.3%
1983 33.3% 25%
1982 34.3% 24.7%
1981 35.1% 24.5%
1980 36.1% 24.3%
1979 37.2% 24.1%
1978 38.6% 24%
1977 39.8% 24%
1976 40.3% 24%
1975 40.2% 24%
1974 40.2% 24.3%
1973 40.1% 24.8%
1972 40.4% 25.4%
1971 40.7% 26.1%
1970 40.8% 26.9%
1969 41% 27.8%
1968 41% 28.6%
1967 41.3% 29.5%
1966 41.5% 30.3%
1965 41.5% 31.1%
1964 41.2% 31.9%
1963 40.6% 32.5%
1962 40% 33%
1961 40% 33.4%
1960 40.3% 33.4%

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2024, retrieved 2026-04-06); United Nations | World Population Prospects (2025–2100, retrieved 2026-03-10).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/china/poland | CC BY

Children aged 0-14 make up 16% of the population in China and 14.8% in Poland in 2024, compared to 28.8% and 25% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of China and Poland compared.

Fertility rates around the globe

1x

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/china/poland | CC BY

Maternal mortality chart: China vs Poland

China
Poland
1x
Year Maternal mortality per 100K births
China Poland
2023 16 2
2022 18 2
2021 21 2
2020 20 3
2019 21 2
2018 22 2
2017 24 2
2016 25 2
2015 26 2
2014 28 2
2013 30 2
2012 32 2
2011 33 2
2010 34 3
2009 35 3
2008 38 3
2007 38 3
2006 40 4
2005 42 4
2004 45 4
2003 47 5
2002 50 5
2001 52 6
2000 56 7
1999 58 8
1998 60 9
1997 63 10
1996 67 11
1995 71 12
1994 76 14
1993 80 15
1992 86 16
1991 92 18
1990 102 18
1989 104 18
1988 108 18
1987 114 18
1986 120 19
1985 125 19

Data sources: World Bank | Gender (1985–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/china/poland | CC BY

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 16 deaths per 100,000 live births in China, compared to 2 deaths in Poland.

Under-five mortality rates

China
Poland

Probability that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five

1x
Year Under 5 mortality rate
China Poland
2023 0.62% 0.44%
2022 0.66% 0.44%
2021 0.7% 0.44%
2020 0.75% 0.44%
2019 0.8% 0.44%
2018 0.86% 0.45%
2017 0.92% 0.46%
2016 0.99% 0.48%
2015 1.07% 0.49%
2014 1.15% 0.5%
2013 1.25% 0.52%
2012 1.35% 0.54%
2011 1.46% 0.57%
2010 1.58% 0.6%
2009 1.71% 0.63%
2008 1.85% 0.67%
2007 2.01% 0.7%
2006 2.19% 0.73%
2005 2.4% 0.76%
2004 2.64% 0.78%
2003 2.89% 0.81%
2002 3.15% 0.84%
2001 3.42% 0.88%
2000 3.67% 0.93%
1999 3.91% 1%
1998 4.14% 1.09%
1997 4.36% 1.2%
1996 4.56% 1.32%
1995 4.75% 1.43%
1994 4.93% 1.53%
1993 5.08% 1.6%
1992 5.22% 1.65%
1991 5.31% 1.69%
1990 5.37% 1.74%
1989 5.39% 1.79%
1988 5.4% 1.84%
1987 5.4% 1.89%
1986 5.4% 1.96%
1985 5.43% 2.03%
1984 5.5% 2.11%
1983 5.61% 2.19%
1982 5.78% 2.26%
1981 6% 2.33%
1980 6.28% 2.4%
1979 6.62% 2.47%
1978 7.01% 2.54%
1977 7.47% 2.62%
1976 7.97% 2.7%
1975 8.5% 2.79%
1974 9.05% 2.9%
1973 9.61% 3.06%
1972 10.2% 3.24%
1971 10.7% 3.42%
1970 11.3% 3.59%
1969 11.9% 3.75%
1968 - 3.89%
1967 - 4.06%
1966 - 4.29%
1965 - 4.57%
1964 - 4.89%
1963 - 5.23%
1962 - 5.6%
1961 - 6.02%
1960 - 6.51%

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/china/poland | CC BY

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 0.62% in China and 0.44% in Poland. Above is a chart with historical data on under-five mortality rates.

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Data sources:

  1. World Bank | Health (1960–2024, retrieved 2026-04-06)
  2. United Nations | World Population Prospects (2025–2100, retrieved 2026-03-10)
  3. United Nations Economic Commission for Europe (UNECE) (2023, retrieved 2026-03-10)

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