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Fertility & birth rates in China and Pakistan

Updated on by Georank team

China has an annual birth rate of 6.39 births per 1,000 people, compared to 27.8 for Pakistan. The average number of children a woman is expected to have during her lifetime — the fertility rate, is 1 in China and 3.61 in Pakistan — 260.9% difference.

1960 vs 2023, the fertility rate has decreased by 77.6% in China and by 47% in Pakistan — in 1960, it was 4.45 and 6.8, respectively.

  • China is ranked 191/196 by birth rate compared to 41/196 for Pakistan.
  • The mean age at childbearing (for all the births, not just the first) is 29.4 in China — it's 28.9 in Pakistan.
  • Annual births per 1,000 women ages 15-19 (adolescent birth rate or teenage mother rate) is 5.23 in China vs 41.1 in Pakistan.
  • In China, 22.3% of the population is composed of women of reproductive age (15-49), compared to 24.6% in Pakistan.

Fertility rate in China vs Pakistan by year

China
Pakistan
1x
Year Fertility rate
China Pakistan
2023 1 3.61
2022 1.03 3.66
2021 1.12 3.72
2020 1.24 3.77
2019 1.5 3.81
2018 1.54 3.86
2017 1.8 3.9
2016 1.77 3.9
2015 1.67 3.99
2014 1.77 4.06
2013 1.71 4.13
2012 1.8 4.2
2011 1.67 4.31
2010 1.69 4.4
2009 1.71 4.47
2008 1.7 4.51
2007 1.67 4.55
2006 1.64 4.59
2005 1.62 4.6
2004 1.61 4.68
2003 1.57 4.89
2002 1.57 5.01
2001 1.56 5.18
2000 1.63 5.35
1999 1.53 5.46
1998 1.52 5.51
1997 1.53 5.64
1996 1.55 5.77
1995 1.59 5.89
1994 1.63 6.01
1993 1.69 6.11
1992 1.78 6.21
1991 1.93 6.29
1990 2.51 6.36
1989 2.52 6.43
1988 2.54 6.48
1987 2.76 6.52
1986 2.72 6.55
1985 2.63 6.59
1984 2.61 6.62
1983 2.56 6.64
1982 2.97 6.67
1981 2.79 6.7
1980 2.74 6.73
1979 2.75 6.76
1978 2.72 6.78
1977 2.84 6.8
1976 3.24 6.81
1975 3.57 6.81
1974 4.17 6.81
1973 4.73 6.81
1972 5.11 6.81
1971 5.52 6.8
1970 6.09 6.8
1969 6.18 6.8
1968 6.51 6.8
1967 5.81 6.8
1966 6.31 6.8
1965 6.61 6.8
1964 6.67 6.8
1963 7.51 6.8
1962 6.09 6.8
1961 3.86 6.8
1960 4.45 6.8

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/china/pakistan | CC BY

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in China was 1 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.61 in Pakistan in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check China vs Pakistan population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

Natural population change by year

China
Pakistan
1x
Year Natural population change
China Pakistan
2023 -2,087,851 5,281,745
2022 -847,305 5,268,077
2021 480,203 5,065,913
2020 2,046,095 5,011,177
2019 4,673,713 5,127,011
2018 5,302,433 5,103,858
2017 7,790,880 5,090,200
2016 9,062,269 5,044,922
2015 6,788,911 5,113,507
2014 9,205,180 5,148,994
2013 8,043,116 5,176,590
2012 10,075,174 5,191,263
2011 8,245,065 5,189,412
2010 6,407,607 5,147,142
2009 6,483,236 5,028,132
2008 6,729,247 4,885,855
2007 6,813,465 4,690,187
2006 6,922,185 4,538,426
2005 7,678,911 4,294,393
2004 7,607,960 4,294,654
2003 7,743,284 4,340,688
2002 8,258,580 4,307,607
2001 8,839,358 4,304,297
2000 9,570,849 4,281,169
1999 10,247,372 4,228,026
1998 11,351,286 4,104,824
1997 12,374,554 4,043,912
1996 12,686,872 4,021,758
1995 12,711,220 3,977,175
1994 13,360,470 3,956,699
1993 13,493,138 3,915,776
1992 13,548,601 3,888,637
1991 14,937,124 3,822,363
1990 16,335,313 3,731,730
1989 16,824,495 3,648,132
1988 17,328,640 3,554,755
1987 18,005,821 3,448,813
1986 16,609,920 3,341,643
1985 14,987,830 3,233,315
1984 13,561,671 3,145,772
1983 13,599,789 3,052,738
1982 15,815,318 2,934,689
1981 14,461,027 2,790,454
1980 11,647,260 2,598,421
1979 11,250,148 2,461,311
1978 11,473,980 2,356,601
1977 11,378,068 2,257,849
1976 11,782,472 2,171,812
1975 14,378,237 2,099,811
1974 15,738,118 2,028,061
1973 18,423,727 1,971,909
1972 19,102,585 1,912,774
1971 19,622,980 1,695,374
1970 21,137,076 1,793,570
1969 20,760,332 1,733,601
1968 21,206,083 1,683,296
1967 19,263,662 1,626,737
1966 19,282,187 1,566,343
1965 20,296,950 1,496,050
1964 19,302,532 1,447,394
1963 22,742,225 1,384,934
1962 17,969,132 1,328,675
1961 2,496,047 1,273,772
1960 -3,048,510 1,217,147

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/china/pakistan | CC BY

The chart above illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes in population resulting from births and deaths.

Excluding migration, the natural population change due to births and deaths from 2022 to 2023 was -0.15% in China and +2.13% in Pakistan.

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change has been +0.31% in China and +2.23% in Pakistan.

Birth rate in China vs Pakistan by year

China
Pakistan

Annual births per 1,000 people

1x
Year Annual births per 1,000 people
China Pakistan
2023 6.39 27.8
2022 6.77 28.1
2021 7.52 28.4
2020 8.52 28.6
2019 10.4 29
2018 10.9 29.3
2017 12.6 29.7
2016 13.6 30
2015 12 30.7
2014 13.8 31.3
2013 13 31.9
2012 14.6 32.5
2011 13.3 33
2010 11.9 33.5
2009 12 33.6
2008 12.1 33.6
2007 12.1 33.3
2006 12.1 33.2
2005 12.4 32.9
2004 12.3 33.2
2003 12.4 34.3
2002 12.9 34.9
2001 13.4 35.7
2000 14 36.5
1999 14.6 37.2
1998 15.6 37.4
1997 16.6 38
1996 17 38.9
1995 17.1 39.6
1994 17.7 40.4
1993 18.1 41.2
1992 18.3 42
1991 19.7 42.5
1990 21.1 42.9
1989 21.6 43.4
1988 22.4 43.8
1987 23.3 44
1986 22.4 44.1
1985 21 44.3
1984 19.9 44.5
1983 20.2 44.7
1982 22.3 44.6
1981 20.9 44.4
1980 18.2 43.6
1979 17.8 43.5
1978 18.3 43.5
1977 18.9 43.4
1976 19.9 43.4
1975 23 43.5
1974 24.8 43.6
1973 27.9 43.7
1972 29.8 43.8
1971 30.7 43.9
1970 33.4 44.1
1969 34.1 44.3
1968 35.6 44.7
1967 34 45.1
1966 35.1 45.4
1965 37.9 45.7
1964 39.1 46
1963 43.4 46.2
1962 37 46.4
1961 18 46.6
1960 20.9 46.7

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/china/pakistan | CC BY

The latest reported birth rate per 1,000 people in 2023 was 6.39 in China and 27.8 in Pakistan, compared with 20.9 and 46.7, respectively, in 1960.

Birth rate data compared

China Pakistan
Fertility rate 1 3.61
Fertility rate rank 192/196 42/196
Birth rate 6.39 27.8
Birth rate rank 191/196 41/196
Population change due to births and deaths -2,087,851 +5,281,745
Natural population change rank 196/196 2/196
Natural population change rate -0.15% +2.13%
Population growth -0.12% +1.52%
Population growth rank 173/197 70/197
Age at first childbirth n/a 22.8 years
Average age at childbearing 29.4 years 28.9 years
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 15-19 5.17 38.9
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 20-29 56.6 190.2
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 30+ 8.76 48.6
Female of reproductive age (15-49), share of population 22.3% 24.6%
Any modern method of contraceptive prevalence among married women ages 15-49 80.5% 25%
Share of births attended by skilled health staff 99.9% 68%
Maternal mortality per live birth 0.02% 0.16%
Neonatal mortality rate (before reaching 28 days of age) 0.28% 3.76%
Infant mortality rate (before reaching 1 year of age) 0.45% 5.01%
Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age 0.62% 5.85%
Life expectancy 79 years 68.1 years

Children 0-14 years as share of population

China
Factual

UN forecast
Pakistan
Factual

UN forecast
1x
Year Young
China Pakistan
2100 7.83% 19.3%
2099 7.84% 19.4%
2098 7.87% 19.5%
2097 7.91% 19.7%
2096 7.96% 19.8%
2095 8.03% 19.9%
2094 8.1% 20%
2093 8.18% 20.2%
2092 8.26% 20.3%
2091 8.34% 20.4%
2090 8.41% 20.6%
2089 8.47% 20.7%
2088 8.52% 20.9%
2087 8.55% 21%
2086 8.57% 21.2%
2085 8.57% 21.4%
2084 8.56% 21.5%
2083 8.53% 21.7%
2082 8.48% 21.9%
2081 8.41% 22%
2080 8.34% 22.2%
2079 8.25% 22.4%
2078 8.15% 22.6%
2077 8.06% 22.8%
2076 7.96% 23%
2075 7.86% 23.1%
2074 7.77% 23.3%
2073 7.7% 23.5%
2072 7.64% 23.7%
2071 7.6% 23.9%
2070 7.58% 24.1%
2069 7.59% 24.3%
2068 7.63% 24.5%
2067 7.7% 24.7%
2066 7.8% 24.9%
2065 7.93% 25.1%
2064 8.08% 25.3%
2063 8.25% 25.5%
2062 8.44% 25.7%
2061 8.64% 26%
2060 8.84% 26.2%
2059 9.03% 26.5%
2058 9.22% 26.7%
2057 9.39% 27%
2056 9.54% 27.3%
2055 9.67% 27.5%
2054 9.78% 27.8%
2053 9.86% 28.1%
2052 9.92% 28.4%
2051 9.94% 28.7%
2050 9.94% 29%
2049 9.92% 29.3%
2048 9.88% 29.6%
2047 9.82% 29.9%
2046 9.75% 30.2%
2045 9.67% 30.4%
2044 9.59% 30.7%
2043 9.52% 30.9%
2042 9.46% 31.1%
2041 9.4% 31.4%
2040 9.35% 31.6%
2039 9.32% 31.8%
2038 9.3% 32.1%
2037 9.32% 32.3%
2036 9.42% 32.6%
2035 9.63% 32.9%
2034 10% 33.1%
2033 10.5% 33.4%
2032 11.2% 33.7%
2031 11.8% 34%
2030 12.4% 34.3%
2029 13.1% 34.7%
2028 13.8% 35.1%
2027 14.5% 35.6%
2026 15.1% 36%
2025 15.7% 36.5%
2024 16% 36.7%
2023 16.6% 37%
2022 17.1% 37.3%
2021 17.6% 37.6%
2020 18% 37.9%
2019 18.2% 38.1%
2018 18.3% 38.3%
2017 18.4% 38.5%
2016 18.3% 38.6%
2015 18.3% 38.8%
2014 18.3% 38.9%
2013 18.3% 38.9%
2012 18.3% 39%
2011 18.3% 39.1%
2010 18.5% 39.3%
2009 18.6% 39.6%
2008 18.9% 40%
2007 19.2% 40.4%
2006 19.6% 40.9%
2005 20.3% 41.3%
2004 21.2% 41.8%
2003 22% 42.3%
2002 22.9% 42.6%
2001 23.8% 42.9%
2000 24.5% 43.3%
1999 25.2% 43.6%
1998 25.7% 43.9%
1997 26.3% 44.1%
1996 27% 44.3%
1995 27.4% 44.5%
1994 27.8% 44.5%
1993 28.2% 44.5%
1992 28.4% 44.3%
1991 28.6% 44.1%
1990 28.8% 44.1%
1989 28.9% 44%
1988 29.3% 43.8%
1987 29.8% 43.7%
1986 30.4% 43.6%
1985 31.2% 43.5%
1984 32.2% 43.3%
1983 33.3% 43.1%
1982 34.3% 43%
1981 35.1% 43.1%
1980 36.1% 43.3%
1979 37.2% 43.7%
1978 38.6% 43.8%
1977 39.8% 43.9%
1976 40.3% 44%
1975 40.2% 44.1%
1974 40.2% 44.1%
1973 40.1% 44.1%
1972 40.4% 44.1%
1971 40.7% 44%
1970 40.8% 43.9%
1969 41% 43.7%
1968 41% 43.5%
1967 41.3% 43.3%
1966 41.5% 43%
1965 41.5% 42.7%
1964 41.2% 42.2%
1963 40.6% 41.8%
1962 40% 41.6%
1961 40% 41.4%
1960 40.3% 41.3%

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2024, retrieved 2026-04-06); United Nations | World Population Prospects (2025–2100, retrieved 2026-03-10).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/china/pakistan | CC BY

Children aged 0-14 make up 16% of the population in China and 36.7% in Pakistan in 2024, compared to 28.8% and 44.1% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of China and Pakistan compared.

Fertility rates around the globe

1x

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/china/pakistan | CC BY

Maternal mortality chart: China vs Pakistan

China
Pakistan
1x
Year Maternal mortality per 100K births
China Pakistan
2023 16 155
2022 18 160
2021 21 193
2020 20 178
2019 21 173
2018 22 178
2017 24 184
2016 25 193
2015 26 202
2014 28 211
2013 30 220
2012 32 227
2011 33 234
2010 34 240
2009 35 246
2008 38 254
2007 38 265
2006 40 284
2005 42 316
2004 45 333
2003 47 358
2002 50 380
2001 52 400
2000 56 419
1999 58 438
1998 60 456
1997 63 476
1996 67 482
1995 71 485
1994 76 479
1993 80 473
1992 86 459
1991 92 443
1990 102 434
1989 104 439
1988 108 441
1987 114 442
1986 120 436
1985 125 432

Data sources: World Bank | Gender (1985–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/china/pakistan | CC BY

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 16 deaths per 100,000 live births in China, compared to 155 deaths in Pakistan.

Under-five mortality rates

China
Pakistan

Probability that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five

1x
Year Under 5 mortality rate
China Pakistan
2023 0.62% 5.85%
2022 0.66% 6.05%
2021 0.7% 6.25%
2020 0.75% 6.46%
2019 0.8% 6.67%
2018 0.86% 6.88%
2017 0.92% 7.1%
2016 0.99% 7.33%
2015 1.07% 7.56%
2014 1.15% 7.8%
2013 1.25% 8.04%
2012 1.35% 8.27%
2011 1.46% 8.49%
2010 1.58% 8.71%
2009 1.71% 8.91%
2008 1.85% 9.1%
2007 2.01% 9.29%
2006 2.19% 9.47%
2005 2.4% 9.65%
2004 2.64% 9.85%
2003 2.89% 10.1%
2002 3.15% 10.3%
2001 3.42% 10.5%
2000 3.67% 10.8%
1999 3.91% 11.1%
1998 4.14% 11.5%
1997 4.36% 11.8%
1996 4.56% 12.1%
1995 4.75% 12.5%
1994 4.93% 12.8%
1993 5.08% 13.1%
1992 5.22% 13.4%
1991 5.31% 13.7%
1990 5.37% 14%
1989 5.39% 14.2%
1988 5.4% 14.5%
1987 5.4% 14.8%
1986 5.4% 15%
1985 5.43% 15.3%
1984 5.5% 15.6%
1983 5.61% 15.8%
1982 5.78% 16.1%
1981 6% 16.3%
1980 6.28% 16.5%
1979 6.62% 16.7%
1978 7.01% 16.9%
1977 7.47% 17.1%
1976 7.97% 17.4%
1975 8.5% 17.6%
1974 9.05% 17.8%
1973 9.61% 18.1%
1972 10.2% 18.4%
1971 10.7% 18.7%
1970 11.3% 19%
1969 11.9% 19.4%
1968 - 19.7%
1967 - 20.2%
1966 - 20.6%
1965 - 21.2%
1964 - 21.8%
1963 - 22.5%
1962 - 23.3%
1961 - 24.1%
1960 - 25%

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/china/pakistan | CC BY

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 0.62% in China and 5.85% in Pakistan. Above is a chart with historical data on under-five mortality rates.

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Data sources:

  1. World Bank | Health (1960–2024, retrieved 2026-04-06)
  2. United Nations | World Population Prospects (2025–2100, retrieved 2026-03-10)
  3. Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) (2025, retrieved 2026-02-20)

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