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Fertility & birth rates in Eritrea and Poland

Updated on by Georank team

Eritrea has an annual birth rate of 28.5 births per 1,000 people, compared to 7.4 for Poland. The average number of children a woman is expected to have during her lifetime — the fertility rate, is 3.71 in Eritrea and 1.16 in Poland — 68.8% difference.

1960 vs 2023, the fertility rate has decreased by 42.7% in Eritrea and by 61.1% in Poland — in 1960, it was 6.48 and 2.98, respectively.

  • Eritrea is ranked 37/196 by birth rate compared to 183/196 for Poland.
  • The mean age for first-time mothers is 21.3 years in Eritrea, compared to 28.4 years in Poland.
  • The mean age at childbearing (for all the births, not just the first) is 29.1 in Eritrea — it's 30.1 in Poland.
  • Annual births per 1,000 women ages 15-19 (adolescent birth rate or teenage mother rate) is 65.2 in Eritrea vs 6.19 in Poland.
  • In Eritrea, 24.8% of the population is composed of women of reproductive age (15-49), compared to 22.9% in Poland.

Fertility rate in Eritrea vs Poland by year

Eritrea
Poland
1x
Year Fertility rate
Eritrea Poland
2023 3.71 1.16
2022 3.79 1.29
2021 3.87 1.33
2020 3.93 1.39
2019 4 1.44
2018 4.06 1.46
2017 4.11 1.48
2016 4.16 1.39
2015 4.22 1.32
2014 4.27 1.32
2013 4.34 1.29
2012 4.41 1.33
2011 4.49 1.33
2010 4.57 1.41
2009 4.66 1.4
2008 4.74 1.39
2007 4.81 1.31
2006 4.88 1.27
2005 4.93 1.24
2004 5.04 1.23
2003 5.14 1.22
2002 5.23 1.25
2001 5.31 1.31
2000 5.4 1.37
1999 5.52 1.37
1998 5.63 1.44
1997 5.74 1.51
1996 5.84 1.59
1995 5.94 1.62
1994 6.01 1.81
1993 6.07 1.87
1992 6.16 1.95
1991 6.24 2.07
1990 6.34 2.06
1989 6.41 2.08
1988 6.47 2.13
1987 6.52 2.15
1986 6.56 2.22
1985 6.59 2.33
1984 6.62 2.37
1983 6.65 2.42
1982 6.63 2.34
1981 6.62 2.24
1980 6.61 2.28
1979 6.62 2.28
1978 6.61 2.21
1977 6.61 2.23
1976 6.6 2.3
1975 6.59 2.27
1974 6.57 2.26
1973 6.55 2.26
1972 6.54 2.24
1971 6.54 2.25
1970 6.54 2.2
1969 6.5 2.2
1968 6.5 2.24
1967 6.5 2.33
1966 6.5 2.34
1965 6.49 2.52
1964 6.49 2.57
1963 6.48 2.7
1962 6.5 2.72
1961 6.47 2.83
1960 6.48 2.98

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/eritrea/poland | CC BY

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Eritrea was 3.71 children per woman in 2023, compared to 1.16 in Poland in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Eritrea vs Poland population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

Natural population change by year

Eritrea
Poland
1x
Year Natural population change
Eritrea Poland
2023 78,073 -135,743
2022 76,221 -143,605
2021 74,394 -184,907
2020 73,362 -120,050
2019 73,572 -34,169
2018 72,511 -26,582
2017 72,291 0
2016 73,002 -3,797
2015 73,682 -26,590
2014 75,729 0
2013 75,562 -19,020
2012 76,416 0
2011 76,806 11,419
2010 76,098 38,043
2009 76,206 30,521
2008 73,391 34,313
2007 73,101 11,436
2006 74,470 3,814
2005 72,930 -3,817
2004 72,147 -7,637
2003 66,291 -15,281
2002 65,436 -3,823
2001 61,180 3,825
2000 60,274 11,478
1999 45,120 0
1998 55,332 19,332
1997 63,953 34,785
1996 66,557 42,487
1995 56,157 46,314
1994 56,288 96,357
1993 51,679 103,846
1992 51,443 118,928
1991 57,741 141,511
1990 56,903 160,066
1989 54,299 182,215
1988 54,163 215,599
1987 52,229 226,008
1986 39,470 258,448
1985 37,362 297,615
1984 35,101 332,137
1983 33,420 373,032
1982 44,146 369,551
1981 42,924 351,806
1980 41,392 348,627
1979 39,577 366,571
1978 38,353 339,166
1977 37,295 353,828
1976 36,250 367,612
1975 30,971 350,356
1974 30,111 346,893
1973 31,969 320,229
1972 30,951 314,028
1971 31,490 278,660
1970 30,686 280,913
1969 29,535 270,151
1968 28,777 280,963
1967 27,992 275,089
1966 24,713 297,801
1965 26,285 314,450
1964 25,327 326,965
1963 24,393 359,330
1962 23,478 360,671
1961 22,351 398,521
1960 21,424 444,562

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/eritrea/poland | CC BY

The chart above illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes in population resulting from births and deaths.

Excluding migration, the natural population change due to births and deaths from 2022 to 2023 was +2.25% in Eritrea and -0.37% in Poland.

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change has been +2.29% in Eritrea and -0.18% in Poland.

Birth rate in Eritrea vs Poland by year

Eritrea
Poland

Annual births per 1,000 people

1x
Year Annual births per 1,000 people
Eritrea Poland
2023 28.5 7.4
2022 28.7 8.3
2021 28.8 9
2020 28.9 9.5
2019 29.1 9.9
2018 29.2 10.2
2017 29.6 10.6
2016 30.1 10.1
2015 30.6 9.7
2014 31.5 9.9
2013 31.7 9.7
2012 32.4 10.1
2011 33 10.2
2010 33.5 10.9
2009 34.2 10.9
2008 34.1 10.9
2007 35 10.2
2006 36.2 9.8
2005 36.4 9.5
2004 37 9.3
2003 35.9 9.2
2002 37.1 9.3
2001 36.4 9.6
2000 38 9.9
1999 38.4 9.9
1998 39.9 10.2
1997 41.2 10.7
1996 43.3 11.1
1995 39.5 11.2
1994 42.1 12.5
1993 40.9 12.9
1992 42.3 13.4
1991 46.1 14.3
1990 43.3 14.4
1989 43.9 14.9
1988 44.3 15.6
1987 44.5 16.1
1986 44.7 17
1985 44.8 18.3
1984 44.9 19
1983 45 19.8
1982 44.8 19.5
1981 44.8 19
1980 44.8 19.6
1979 44.9 19.6
1978 45.1 19.1
1977 45.4 19.2
1976 45.7 19.6
1975 45.8 19
1974 45.9 18.5
1973 46 18
1972 46.2 17.5
1971 46.6 17.2
1970 47 16.8
1969 47 16.4
1968 47.3 16.3
1967 47.6 16.3
1966 47.7 16.8
1965 47.8 17.4
1964 47.9 18.1
1963 47.9 19.2
1962 48 19.8
1961 47.8 20.9
1960 47.7 22.6

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/eritrea/poland | CC BY

The latest reported birth rate per 1,000 people in 2023 was 28.5 in Eritrea and 7.4 in Poland, compared with 47.7 and 22.6, respectively, in 1960.

Birth rate data compared

Eritrea Poland
Fertility rate 3.71 1.16
Fertility rate rank 37/196 187/196
Birth rate 28.5 7.4
Birth rate rank 37/196 183/196
Population change due to births and deaths +78,073 -135,743
Natural population change rank 84/196 190/196
Natural population change rate +2.25% -0.37%
Population growth +1.88% -0.35%
Population growth rank 58/197 181/197
Age at first childbirth 21.3 years 28.4 years
Average age at childbearing 29.1 years 30.1 years
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 15-19 63.4 5.39
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 20-29 171 64.8
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 30+ 52.7 11.4
Female of reproductive age (15-49), share of population 24.8% 22.9%
Any modern method of contraceptive prevalence among married women ages 15-49 7.1% 50.7%
Share of births attended by skilled health staff 34.1% 99.6%
Maternal mortality per live birth 0.29% 0.002%
Neonatal mortality rate (before reaching 28 days of age) 1.64% 0.24%
Infant mortality rate (before reaching 1 year of age) 2.55% 0.37%
Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age 3.54% 0.44%
Life expectancy 69.4 years 79.2 years

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Eritrea
Factual

UN forecast
Poland
Factual

UN forecast
1x
Year Young
Eritrea Poland
2100 19% 10.3%
2099 19.1% 10.3%
2098 19.2% 10.4%
2097 19.4% 10.4%
2096 19.5% 10.5%
2095 19.6% 10.5%
2094 19.8% 10.6%
2093 19.9% 10.7%
2092 20% 10.7%
2091 20.2% 10.8%
2090 20.3% 10.9%
2089 20.5% 10.9%
2088 20.6% 10.9%
2087 20.8% 10.9%
2086 21% 10.9%
2085 21.1% 10.9%
2084 21.3% 10.9%
2083 21.5% 10.9%
2082 21.7% 10.8%
2081 22% 10.7%
2080 22.2% 10.7%
2079 22.4% 10.6%
2078 22.6% 10.5%
2077 22.9% 10.4%
2076 23.1% 10.3%
2075 23.3% 10.3%
2074 23.6% 10.2%
2073 23.8% 10.1%
2072 24% 10.1%
2071 24.3% 10.1%
2070 24.5% 10.1%
2069 24.7% 10.1%
2068 25% 10.2%
2067 25.2% 10.2%
2066 25.4% 10.3%
2065 25.6% 10.4%
2064 25.9% 10.5%
2063 26.1% 10.6%
2062 26.3% 10.7%
2061 26.6% 10.9%
2060 26.8% 11%
2059 27.1% 11.1%
2058 27.4% 11.2%
2057 27.6% 11.3%
2056 27.9% 11.4%
2055 28.3% 11.5%
2054 28.6% 11.5%
2053 29% 11.5%
2052 29.3% 11.5%
2051 29.7% 11.5%
2050 30.1% 11.5%
2049 30.5% 11.4%
2048 30.9% 11.4%
2047 31.3% 11.3%
2046 31.7% 11.2%
2045 32.1% 11.2%
2044 32.5% 11.1%
2043 32.9% 11.1%
2042 33.2% 11%
2041 33.6% 11%
2040 33.8% 11.1%
2039 34.1% 11.1%
2038 34.3% 11.2%
2037 34.6% 11.3%
2036 34.8% 11.4%
2035 34.9% 11.6%
2034 35.1% 11.9%
2033 35.2% 12.2%
2032 35.4% 12.5%
2031 35.6% 12.8%
2030 35.8% 13.1%
2029 36.1% 13.4%
2028 36.4% 13.7%
2027 36.9% 14%
2026 37.3% 14.3%
2025 37.9% 14.6%
2024 38.1% 14.8%
2023 38.7% 15.1%
2022 39.2% 15.3%
2021 39.8% 15.5%
2020 40.4% 15.5%
2019 41% 15.4%
2018 41.5% 15.3%
2017 41.9% 15.2%
2016 42.1% 15.1%
2015 42.1% 15.1%
2014 42% 15.1%
2013 42% 15.1%
2012 42.1% 15.1%
2011 42.3% 15.2%
2010 42.6% 15.1%
2009 42.7% 15.2%
2008 43% 15.4%
2007 43.3% 15.7%
2006 43.1% 16%
2005 42.9% 16.5%
2004 43% 17%
2003 43.7% 17.5%
2002 44.4% 18.1%
2001 45% 18.7%
2000 45.2% 19.4%
1999 44.9% 20.2%
1998 44.4% 20.9%
1997 43.7% 21.6%
1996 42.9% 22.2%
1995 43.5% 22.8%
1994 44.4% 23.4%
1993 44.5% 23.9%
1992 44.7% 24.3%
1991 44.6% 24.6%
1990 44.5% 25%
1989 44.3% 25.3%
1988 44.2% 25.5%
1987 44% 25.6%
1986 44% 25.6%
1985 44.1% 25.5%
1984 44.2% 25.3%
1983 44.4% 25%
1982 44.4% 24.7%
1981 44.4% 24.5%
1980 44.4% 24.3%
1979 44.4% 24.1%
1978 44.3% 24%
1977 44.3% 24%
1976 44.2% 24%
1975 44.1% 24%
1974 44.1% 24.3%
1973 44% 24.8%
1972 43.8% 25.4%
1971 43.6% 26.1%
1970 43.3% 26.9%
1969 43% 27.8%
1968 42.8% 28.6%
1967 42.4% 29.5%
1966 42.1% 30.3%
1965 41.8% 31.1%
1964 41.6% 31.9%
1963 41.5% 32.5%
1962 41.4% 33%
1961 41.4% 33.4%
1960 41.5% 33.4%

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2024, retrieved 2026-04-06); United Nations | World Population Prospects (2025–2100, retrieved 2026-03-10).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/eritrea/poland | CC BY

Children aged 0-14 make up 38.1% of the population in Eritrea and 14.8% in Poland in 2024, compared to 44.5% and 25% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Eritrea and Poland compared.

Fertility rates around the globe

1x

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/eritrea/poland | CC BY

Maternal mortality chart: Eritrea vs Poland

Eritrea
Poland
1x
Year Maternal mortality per 100K births
Eritrea Poland
2023 291 2
2022 301 2
2021 338 2
2020 334 3
2019 351 2
2018 363 2
2017 379 2
2016 395 2
2015 413 2
2014 430 2
2013 443 2
2012 458 2
2011 478 2
2010 498 3
2009 515 3
2008 530 3
2007 541 3
2006 555 4
2005 567 4
2004 588 4
2003 588 5
2002 636 5
2001 651 6
2000 741 7
1999 734 8
1998 865 9
1997 817 10
1996 878 11
1995 854 12
1994 998 14
1993 1,040 15
1992 1,149 16
1991 1,384 18
1990 1,352 18
1989 1,473 18
1988 1,499 18
1987 1,555 18
1986 1,625 19
1985 1,678 19

Data sources: World Bank | Gender (1985–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/eritrea/poland | CC BY

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 291 deaths per 100,000 live births in Eritrea, compared to 2 deaths in Poland.

Under-five mortality rates

Eritrea
Poland

Probability that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five

1x
Year Under 5 mortality rate
Eritrea Poland
2023 3.54% 0.44%
2022 3.66% 0.44%
2021 3.79% 0.44%
2020 3.91% 0.44%
2019 4.03% 0.44%
2018 4.17% 0.45%
2017 4.32% 0.46%
2016 4.46% 0.48%
2015 4.61% 0.49%
2014 4.78% 0.5%
2013 4.94% 0.52%
2012 5.12% 0.54%
2011 5.31% 0.57%
2010 5.5% 0.6%
2009 5.71% 0.63%
2008 5.94% 0.67%
2007 6.19% 0.7%
2006 6.46% 0.73%
2005 6.75% 0.76%
2004 7.05% 0.78%
2003 7.38% 0.81%
2002 7.73% 0.84%
2001 8.11% 0.88%
2000 8.53% 0.93%
1999 10.9% 1%
1998 9.51% 1.09%
1997 10.1% 1.2%
1996 10.8% 1.32%
1995 11.5% 1.43%
1994 12.3% 1.53%
1993 13.1% 1.6%
1992 13.9% 1.65%
1991 14.7% 1.69%
1990 15.4% 1.74%
1989 16% 1.79%
1988 16.6% 1.84%
1987 17.1% 1.89%
1986 25.6% 1.96%
1985 26.2% 2.03%
1984 27.2% 2.11%
1983 27.8% 2.19%
1982 18.8% 2.26%
1981 19.1% 2.33%
1980 19.4% 2.4%
1979 19.7% 2.47%
1978 20% 2.54%
1977 20.4% 2.62%
1976 20.8% 2.7%
1975 25% 2.79%
1974 25.6% 2.9%
1973 - 3.06%
1972 - 3.24%
1971 - 3.42%
1970 - 3.59%
1969 - 3.75%
1968 - 3.89%
1967 - 4.06%
1966 - 4.29%
1965 - 4.57%
1964 - 4.89%
1963 - 5.23%
1962 - 5.6%
1961 - 6.02%
1960 - 6.51%

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/eritrea/poland | CC BY

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 3.54% in Eritrea and 0.44% in Poland. Above is a chart with historical data on under-five mortality rates.

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Data sources:

  1. World Bank | Health (1960–2024, retrieved 2026-04-06)
  2. United Nations | World Population Prospects (2025–2100, retrieved 2026-03-10)
  3. United Nations Economic Commission for Europe (UNECE) (2023, retrieved 2026-03-10)
  4. Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) (2025, retrieved 2026-02-20)

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