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Fertility & birth rates in China and Zambia

Updated on by Georank team

China has an annual birth rate of 6.39 births per 1,000 people, compared to 33.1 for Zambia. The average number of children a woman is expected to have during her lifetime — the fertility rate, is 1 in China and 4.1 in Zambia — 311% difference.

1960 vs 2023, the fertility rate has decreased by -77.6% in China and by -41% in Zambia — in 1960, it was 4.45 and 6.95, respectively.

Birth rates facts compared:

  • China is ranked 191/196 by birth rate compared to 19/196 for Zambia.
  • The mean age at childbearing (for all the births, not just the first) is 29.3 in China — it's 28.4 in Zambia.
  • Annual births per 1,000 women ages 15-19 (adolescent birth rate or teenage mother rate) is 5.23 in China vs 115.9 in Zambia.
  • In China, 22.3% of the population is composed of women of reproductive age (15-49), compared to 25.3% in Zambia.
  • Excluding migration, the natural population change due to births and deaths from 2022 to 2023 was -0.15% in China and +2.79% in Zambia.

Birth rate data compared

China Zambia
Fertility rate 1 4.1
Birth rate 6.39 33.1
Birth rate rank 191/196 19/196
Age at first childbirth n/a 19.2 years
Average age at childbearing 29.3 years 28.4 years
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 15-19 5.15 115
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 20-29 57.4 175.9
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 30+ 8.77 65.3
Female of reproductive age (15-49), share of population 22.3% 25.3%
Any modern method of contraceptive prevalence among married women ages 15-49 80.5% 47.5%
Share of births attended by skilled health staff 99.9% 80.4%
Maternal mortality per live birth 0.02% 0.09%
Neonatal mortality rate (before reaching 28 days of age) 0.28% 2.2%
Infant mortality rate (before reaching 1 year of age) 0.45% 3.09%
Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births 0.62% 4.47%
Population change due to births and deaths -2,087,851 +577,660
Natural population change rank 196/196 34/196
Natural population change rate -0.15% +2.79%
Population growth -0.12% +2.85%
Population growth rank 173/197 22/197
Life expectancy 78.4 years 66.7 years

Fertility rate in China vs Zambia chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in China was 1 children per woman in 2023, compared to 4.1 in Zambia in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check China vs Zambia population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

China
Factual

UN forecast
Zambia
Factual

UN forecast

Births per woman

Year Fertility rate
China Zambia
1960 4.45 6.95
1961 3.86 6.98
1962 6.09 7.01
1963 7.51 7.06
1964 6.67 7.09
1965 6.61 7.12
1966 6.31 7.14
1967 5.81 7.15
1968 6.51 7.18
1969 6.18 7.18
1970 6.09 7.22
1971 5.52 7.26
1972 5.11 7.3
1973 4.73 7.34
1974 4.17 7.36
1975 3.57 7.42
1976 3.24 7.39
1977 2.84 7.35
1978 2.72 7.29
1979 2.75 7.22
1980 2.74 7.14
1981 2.79 7.07
1982 2.97 7.04
1983 2.56 7.01
1984 2.61 6.97
1985 2.63 6.93
1986 2.72 6.87
1987 2.76 6.8
1988 2.54 6.7
1989 2.52 6.64
1990 2.51 6.57
1991 1.93 6.46
1992 1.78 6.35
1993 1.69 6.3
1994 1.63 6.26
1995 1.59 6.23
1996 1.55 6.18
1997 1.53 6.12
1998 1.52 6.07
1999 1.53 6
2000 1.63 5.92
2001 1.56 5.85
2002 1.57 5.77
2003 1.57 5.71
2004 1.61 5.7
2005 1.62 5.7
2006 1.64 5.68
2007 1.67 5.61
2008 1.7 5.53
2009 1.71 5.45
2010 1.69 5.36
2011 1.67 5.26
2012 1.8 5.14
2013 1.71 5.01
2014 1.77 4.89
2015 1.67 4.78
2016 1.77 4.67
2017 1.8 4.57
2018 1.54 4.49
2019 1.5 4.42
2020 1.24 4.32
2021 1.12 4.25
2022 1.03 4.18
2023 1 4.1
2024 1.01 4.04
2025 1.02 3.97
2026 1.03 3.91
2027 1.04 3.85
2028 1.05 3.77
2029 1.05 3.72
2030 1.06 3.67
2031 1.07 3.61
2032 1.08 3.56
2033 1.08 3.5
2034 1.09 3.45
2035 1.1 3.4
2036 1.1 3.35
2037 1.11 3.3
2038 1.12 3.25
2039 1.12 3.19
2040 1.13 3.15
2041 1.13 3.11
2042 1.14 3.07
2043 1.15 3.03
2044 1.15 3
2045 1.16 2.96
2046 1.16 2.93
2047 1.17 2.9
2048 1.17 2.87
2049 1.18 2.84
2050 1.18 2.81

Children 0-14 years as share of population

China
Factual

UN forecast
Zambia
Factual

UN forecast
Year Share of people 0-14 years old
China Zambia
1960 40.3% 46%
1961 40% 46.2%
1962 40% 46.3%
1963 40.6% 46.5%
1964 41.2% 46.7%
1965 41.5% 46.9%
1966 41.5% 46.9%
1967 41.3% 47%
1968 41% 47.1%
1969 41% 47.2%
1970 40.8% 47.4%
1971 40.7% 47.7%
1972 40.4% 48%
1973 40.1% 48.3%
1974 40.2% 48.6%
1975 40.2% 48.8%
1976 40.3% 49.1%
1977 39.8% 49.2%
1978 38.6% 49.4%
1979 37.2% 49.5%
1980 36.1% 49.5%
1981 35.1% 49.4%
1982 34.3% 49.3%
1983 33.3% 49.1%
1984 32.2% 49%
1985 31.2% 48.9%
1986 30.4% 48.8%
1987 29.8% 48.7%
1988 29.3% 48.6%
1989 28.9% 48.5%
1990 28.8% 48.4%
1991 28.6% 48.3%
1992 28.4% 48.2%
1993 28.2% 48.2%
1994 27.8% 48.2%
1995 27.4% 48.2%
1996 27% 48.2%
1997 26.3% 48.2%
1998 25.7% 48.2%
1999 25.2% 48.1%
2000 24.5% 48%
2001 23.8% 47.8%
2002 22.9% 47.6%
2003 22% 47.4%
2004 21.2% 47.3%
2005 20.3% 47.1%
2006 19.6% 47%
2007 19.2% 46.8%
2008 18.9% 46.6%
2009 18.6% 46.4%
2010 18.5% 46.3%
2011 18.3% 46.1%
2012 18.3% 45.9%
2013 18.3% 45.7%
2014 18.3% 45.5%
2015 18.3% 45.2%
2016 18.3% 44.9%
2017 18.4% 44.5%
2018 18.3% 44.1%
2019 18.2% 43.8%
2020 18% 43.3%
2021 17.6% 42.9%
2022 17.1% 42.4%
2023 16.6% 42%
2024 16% 41.5%
2025 15.4% 41%
2026 14.8% 40.5%
2027 14.1% 40%
2028 13.5% 39.6%
2029 12.8% 39.2%
2030 12.1% 38.8%
2031 11.5% 38.5%
2032 10.8% 38.1%
2033 10.3% 37.8%
2034 9.83% 37.5%
2035 9.53% 37.1%
2036 9.37% 36.8%
2037 9.31% 36.5%
2038 9.31% 36.1%
2039 9.34% 35.8%
2040 9.38% 35.4%
2041 9.43% 35.1%
2042 9.49% 34.7%
2043 9.56% 34.4%
2044 9.63% 34%
2045 9.71% 33.7%
2046 9.78% 33.3%
2047 9.85% 33%
2048 9.9% 32.6%
2049 9.93% 32.3%
2050 9.94% 32%

Children aged 0-14 make up 16% of the population in China and 41.5% in Zambia in 2024, compared to 28.8% and 48.4% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of China and Zambia compared.

Natural population change in China vs Zambia by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +0.31% in China and +2.87% in Zambia. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

China
Zambia

Natural population change

Year Population change due to births and deaths
China Zambia
1960 -3,048,510 102,335
1961 2,496,047 106,318
1962 17,969,132 110,173
1963 22,742,225 114,555
1964 19,302,532 117,197
1965 20,296,950 122,814
1966 19,282,187 127,164
1967 19,263,662 131,938
1968 21,206,083 137,315
1969 20,760,332 142,660
1970 21,137,076 149,380
1971 19,622,980 155,249
1972 19,102,585 161,648
1973 18,423,727 168,258
1974 15,738,118 174,484
1975 14,378,237 182,258
1976 11,782,472 186,762
1977 11,378,068 191,557
1978 11,473,980 194,933
1979 11,250,148 197,578
1980 11,647,260 198,817
1981 14,461,027 202,822
1982 15,815,318 207,621
1983 13,599,789 212,712
1984 13,561,671 216,695
1985 14,987,830 221,351
1986 16,609,920 224,768
1987 18,005,821 227,813
1988 17,328,640 230,118
1989 16,824,495 233,429
1990 16,335,313 235,835
1991 14,937,124 237,957
1992 13,548,601 239,953
1993 13,493,138 245,917
1994 13,360,470 252,023
1995 12,711,220 257,897
1996 12,686,872 262,468
1997 12,374,554 268,198
1998 11,351,286 275,568
1999 10,247,372 283,297
2000 9,570,849 293,186
2001 8,839,358 302,682
2002 8,258,580 316,041
2003 7,743,284 331,189
2004 7,607,960 349,352
2005 7,678,911 368,756
2006 6,922,185 387,891
2007 6,813,465 403,729
2008 6,729,247 419,560
2009 6,483,236 434,458
2010 6,407,607 448,337
2011 8,245,065 459,743
2012 10,075,174 469,406
2013 8,043,116 476,846
2014 9,205,180 483,663
2015 6,788,911 491,021
2016 9,062,269 497,521
2017 7,790,880 504,630
2018 5,302,433 515,644
2019 4,673,713 528,089
2020 2,046,095 536,484
2021 480,203 535,629
2022 -847,305 563,456
2023 -2,087,851 577,660

Fertility rates around the globe

Fertility rate

Maternal mortality chart: China vs Zambia

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 16 deaths per 100,000 live births in China, compared to 85 deaths in Zambia.

China
Zambia
Year Maternal mortality per 100K births
China Zambia
1985 125 596
1986 120 619
1987 114 630
1988 108 635
1989 104 635
1990 102 625
1991 92 611
1992 86 581
1993 80 532
1994 76 507
1995 71 466
1996 67 433
1997 63 403
1998 60 392
1999 58 378
2000 56 340
2001 52 306
2002 50 274
2003 47 250
2004 45 260
2005 42 264
2006 40 262
2007 38 324
2008 38 394
2009 35 406
2010 34 332
2011 33 291
2012 32 256
2013 30 213
2014 28 174
2015 26 154
2016 25 158
2017 24 141
2018 22 117
2019 21 103
2020 20 99
2021 21 140
2022 18 89
2023 16 85

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 0.62% in China and 4.47% in Zambia. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

China
Zambia

Probability that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five

Year Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
China Zambia
1960 - 20.5%
1961 - 20.1%
1962 - 19.8%
1963 - 19.5%
1964 - 19.2%
1965 - 19%
1966 - 18.9%
1967 - 18.7%
1968 - 18.5%
1969 11.9% 18.3%
1970 11.3% 17.9%
1971 10.7% 17.4%
1972 10.2% 16.9%
1973 9.61% 16.3%
1974 9.05% 15.9%
1975 8.5% 15.5%
1976 7.97% 15.4%
1977 7.47% 15.3%
1978 7.01% 15.3%
1979 6.62% 15.4%
1980 6.28% 15.5%
1981 6% 15.6%
1982 5.78% 15.7%
1983 5.61% 15.9%
1984 5.5% 16.2%
1985 5.43% 16.6%
1986 5.4% 17%
1987 5.4% 17.3%
1988 5.4% 17.7%
1989 5.39% 17.9%
1990 5.37% 18.1%
1991 5.31% 18.1%
1992 5.22% 18.1%
1993 5.08% 17.9%
1994 4.93% 17.7%
1995 4.75% 17.3%
1996 4.56% 17%
1997 4.36% 16.7%
1998 4.14% 16.3%
1999 3.91% 15.9%
2000 3.67% 15.3%
2001 3.42% 14.4%
2002 3.15% 13.4%
2003 2.89% 12.4%
2004 2.64% 11.4%
2005 2.4% 10.5%
2006 2.19% 9.71%
2007 2.01% 9.14%
2008 1.85% 8.62%
2009 1.71% 8%
2010 1.58% 7.57%
2011 1.46% 7.31%
2012 1.35% 7.04%
2013 1.25% 6.72%
2014 1.15% 6.38%
2015 1.07% 6.15%
2016 0.99% 5.9%
2017 0.92% 5.61%
2018 0.86% 5.52%
2019 0.8% 5.41%
2020 0.75% 5.24%
2021 0.7% 4.92%
2022 0.66% 4.67%
2023 0.62% 4.47%

Compare countries by 7 more topics

Birth rate comparisons

Birth rate vs China vs Zambia
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