China has an annual birth rate of 6.39 births per 1,000 people, compared to 27.1 for Kenya. The average number of children a woman is expected to have during her lifetime — the fertility rate, is 1 in China and 3.21 in Kenya — 221.1% difference.
1960 vs 2023, the fertility rate has decreased by -77.6% in China and by -58.1% in Kenya — in 1960, it was 4.45 and 7.65, respectively.
Birth rates facts compared:
- China is ranked 191/196 by birth rate compared to 43/196 for Kenya.
- The mean age at childbearing (for all the births, not just the first) is 29.3 in China — it's 28.2 in Kenya.
- Annual births per 1,000 women ages 15-19 (adolescent birth rate or teenage mother rate) is 5.23 in China vs 56.3 in Kenya.
- In China, 22.3% of the population is composed of women of reproductive age (15-49), compared to 26.4% in Kenya.
- Excluding migration, the natural population change due to births and deaths from 2022 to 2023 was -0.15% in China and +1.99% in Kenya.
Birth rate data compared
China
|
Kenya
|
|
|---|---|---|
| Fertility rate | 1 | 3.21 |
| Birth rate | 6.39 | 27.1 |
| Birth rate rank | 191/196 | 43/196 |
| Age at first childbirth | n/a | 20.3 years |
| Average age at childbearing | 29.3 years | 28.2 years |
| Annual births per 1,000 women ages 15-19 | 5.15 | 52.8 |
| Annual births per 1,000 women ages 20-29 | 57.4 | 167.9 |
| Annual births per 1,000 women ages 30+ | 8.77 | 46.7 |
| Female of reproductive age (15-49), share of population | 22.3% | 26.4% |
| Any modern method of contraceptive prevalence among married women ages 15-49 | 80.5% | 56.9% |
| Share of births attended by skilled health staff | 99.9% | 70.2% |
| Maternal mortality per live birth | 0.02% | 0.15% |
| Neonatal mortality rate (before reaching 28 days of age) | 0.28% | 2.15% |
| Infant mortality rate (before reaching 1 year of age) | 0.45% | 3.47% |
| Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births | 0.62% | 3.99% |
| Population change due to births and deaths | -2,087,851 | +1,100,970 |
| Natural population change rank | 196/196 | 18/196 |
| Natural population change rate | -0.15% | +1.99% |
| Population growth | -0.12% | +1.98% |
| Population growth rank | 173/197 | 55/197 |
| Life expectancy | 78.4 years | 64 years |
Fertility rate in China vs Kenya chart
According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in China was 1 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.21 in Kenya in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.
Check China vs Kenya population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.
The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.
China
Factual
UN forecast
Kenya
Factual
UN forecast
Births per woman
| Year | Fertility rate | |
|---|---|---|
|
China
|
Kenya
|
|
| 1960 | 4.45 | 7.65 |
| 1961 | 3.86 | 7.72 |
| 1962 | 6.09 | 7.77 |
| 1963 | 7.51 | 7.82 |
| 1964 | 6.67 | 7.87 |
| 1965 | 6.61 | 7.92 |
| 1966 | 6.31 | 7.96 |
| 1967 | 5.81 | 7.95 |
| 1968 | 6.51 | 7.95 |
| 1969 | 6.18 | 7.95 |
| 1970 | 6.09 | 7.94 |
| 1971 | 5.52 | 7.92 |
| 1972 | 5.11 | 7.89 |
| 1973 | 4.73 | 7.86 |
| 1974 | 4.17 | 7.82 |
| 1975 | 3.57 | 7.8 |
| 1976 | 3.24 | 7.77 |
| 1977 | 2.84 | 7.73 |
| 1978 | 2.72 | 7.67 |
| 1979 | 2.75 | 7.6 |
| 1980 | 2.74 | 7.53 |
| 1981 | 2.79 | 7.45 |
| 1982 | 2.97 | 7.35 |
| 1983 | 2.56 | 7.22 |
| 1984 | 2.61 | 7.08 |
| 1985 | 2.63 | 6.96 |
| 1986 | 2.72 | 6.84 |
| 1987 | 2.76 | 6.69 |
| 1988 | 2.54 | 6.52 |
| 1989 | 2.52 | 6.33 |
| 1990 | 2.51 | 6.14 |
| 1991 | 1.93 | 5.94 |
| 1992 | 1.78 | 5.74 |
| 1993 | 1.69 | 5.57 |
| 1994 | 1.63 | 5.44 |
| 1995 | 1.59 | 5.37 |
| 1996 | 1.55 | 5.31 |
| 1997 | 1.53 | 5.27 |
| 1998 | 1.52 | 5.24 |
| 1999 | 1.53 | 5.18 |
| 2000 | 1.63 | 5.14 |
| 2001 | 1.56 | 5.09 |
| 2002 | 1.57 | 5.03 |
| 2003 | 1.57 | 4.94 |
| 2004 | 1.61 | 4.86 |
| 2005 | 1.62 | 4.8 |
| 2006 | 1.64 | 4.75 |
| 2007 | 1.67 | 4.72 |
| 2008 | 1.7 | 4.66 |
| 2009 | 1.71 | 4.57 |
| 2010 | 1.69 | 4.45 |
| 2011 | 1.67 | 4.28 |
| 2012 | 1.8 | 4.12 |
| 2013 | 1.71 | 3.96 |
| 2014 | 1.77 | 3.84 |
| 2015 | 1.67 | 3.77 |
| 2016 | 1.77 | 3.69 |
| 2017 | 1.8 | 3.61 |
| 2018 | 1.54 | 3.54 |
| 2019 | 1.5 | 3.43 |
| 2020 | 1.24 | 3.36 |
| 2021 | 1.12 | 3.31 |
| 2022 | 1.03 | 3.26 |
| 2023 | 1 | 3.21 |
| 2024 | 1.01 | 3.17 |
| 2025 | 1.02 | 3.12 |
| 2026 | 1.03 | 3.07 |
| 2027 | 1.04 | 3.03 |
| 2028 | 1.05 | 2.99 |
| 2029 | 1.05 | 2.95 |
| 2030 | 1.06 | 2.92 |
| 2031 | 1.07 | 2.89 |
| 2032 | 1.08 | 2.85 |
| 2033 | 1.08 | 2.82 |
| 2034 | 1.09 | 2.78 |
| 2035 | 1.1 | 2.75 |
| 2036 | 1.1 | 2.72 |
| 2037 | 1.11 | 2.69 |
| 2038 | 1.12 | 2.66 |
| 2039 | 1.12 | 2.63 |
| 2040 | 1.13 | 2.61 |
| 2041 | 1.13 | 2.58 |
| 2042 | 1.14 | 2.55 |
| 2043 | 1.15 | 2.53 |
| 2044 | 1.15 | 2.5 |
| 2045 | 1.16 | 2.47 |
| 2046 | 1.16 | 2.44 |
| 2047 | 1.17 | 2.42 |
| 2048 | 1.17 | 2.4 |
| 2049 | 1.18 | 2.38 |
| 2050 | 1.18 | 2.36 |
Children 0-14 years as share of population
China
Factual
UN forecast
Kenya
Factual
UN forecast
| Year | Share of people 0-14 years old | |
|---|---|---|
|
China
|
Kenya
|
|
| 1960 | 40.3% | 48.7% |
| 1961 | 40% | 49.1% |
| 1962 | 40% | 49.4% |
| 1963 | 40.6% | 49.7% |
| 1964 | 41.2% | 49.8% |
| 1965 | 41.5% | 50.2% |
| 1966 | 41.5% | 50.6% |
| 1967 | 41.3% | 50.9% |
| 1968 | 41% | 51.2% |
| 1969 | 41% | 51.4% |
| 1970 | 40.8% | 51.6% |
| 1971 | 40.7% | 51.7% |
| 1972 | 40.4% | 51.9% |
| 1973 | 40.1% | 52% |
| 1974 | 40.2% | 52% |
| 1975 | 40.2% | 52% |
| 1976 | 40.3% | 52.1% |
| 1977 | 39.8% | 52% |
| 1978 | 38.6% | 51.9% |
| 1979 | 37.2% | 51.7% |
| 1980 | 36.1% | 51.5% |
| 1981 | 35.1% | 51.3% |
| 1982 | 34.3% | 51.1% |
| 1983 | 33.3% | 50.8% |
| 1984 | 32.2% | 50.6% |
| 1985 | 31.2% | 50.3% |
| 1986 | 30.4% | 50.1% |
| 1987 | 29.8% | 49.9% |
| 1988 | 29.3% | 49.7% |
| 1989 | 28.9% | 49.5% |
| 1990 | 28.8% | 49.2% |
| 1991 | 28.6% | 48.9% |
| 1992 | 28.4% | 48.7% |
| 1993 | 28.2% | 48.4% |
| 1994 | 27.8% | 48% |
| 1995 | 27.4% | 47.7% |
| 1996 | 27% | 47.4% |
| 1997 | 26.3% | 47.1% |
| 1998 | 25.7% | 46.8% |
| 1999 | 25.2% | 46.5% |
| 2000 | 24.5% | 46.1% |
| 2001 | 23.8% | 45.7% |
| 2002 | 22.9% | 45.3% |
| 2003 | 22% | 45% |
| 2004 | 21.2% | 44.6% |
| 2005 | 20.3% | 44.4% |
| 2006 | 19.6% | 44.2% |
| 2007 | 19.2% | 44% |
| 2008 | 18.9% | 43.9% |
| 2009 | 18.6% | 43.8% |
| 2010 | 18.5% | 43.6% |
| 2011 | 18.3% | 43.4% |
| 2012 | 18.3% | 43.2% |
| 2013 | 18.3% | 42.8% |
| 2014 | 18.3% | 42.4% |
| 2015 | 18.3% | 42% |
| 2016 | 18.3% | 41.5% |
| 2017 | 18.4% | 41% |
| 2018 | 18.3% | 40.5% |
| 2019 | 18.2% | 39.9% |
| 2020 | 18% | 39.3% |
| 2021 | 17.6% | 38.7% |
| 2022 | 17.1% | 38.1% |
| 2023 | 16.6% | 37.4% |
| 2024 | 16% | 36.8% |
| 2025 | 15.4% | 36.3% |
| 2026 | 14.8% | 35.7% |
| 2027 | 14.1% | 35.3% |
| 2028 | 13.5% | 34.9% |
| 2029 | 12.8% | 34.5% |
| 2030 | 12.1% | 34.2% |
| 2031 | 11.5% | 33.9% |
| 2032 | 10.8% | 33.6% |
| 2033 | 10.3% | 33.4% |
| 2034 | 9.83% | 33.2% |
| 2035 | 9.53% | 32.9% |
| 2036 | 9.37% | 32.7% |
| 2037 | 9.31% | 32.5% |
| 2038 | 9.31% | 32.2% |
| 2039 | 9.34% | 32% |
| 2040 | 9.38% | 31.7% |
| 2041 | 9.43% | 31.4% |
| 2042 | 9.49% | 31% |
| 2043 | 9.56% | 30.7% |
| 2044 | 9.63% | 30.4% |
| 2045 | 9.71% | 30% |
| 2046 | 9.78% | 29.7% |
| 2047 | 9.85% | 29.3% |
| 2048 | 9.9% | 28.9% |
| 2049 | 9.93% | 28.5% |
| 2050 | 9.94% | 28.2% |
Children aged 0-14 make up 16% of the population in China and 36.8% in Kenya in 2024, compared to 28.8% and 49.2% respectively in 1990.
Natural population change in China vs Kenya by year
For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +0.31% in China and +2.16% in Kenya. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.
China
Kenya
Natural population change
| Year | Population change due to births and deaths | |
|---|---|---|
|
China
|
Kenya
|
|
| 1960 | -3,048,510 | 280,032 |
| 1961 | 2,496,047 | 298,463 |
| 1962 | 17,969,132 | 315,797 |
| 1963 | 22,742,225 | 332,763 |
| 1964 | 19,302,532 | 349,322 |
| 1965 | 20,296,950 | 366,444 |
| 1966 | 19,282,187 | 382,891 |
| 1967 | 19,263,662 | 396,920 |
| 1968 | 21,206,083 | 411,948 |
| 1969 | 20,760,332 | 427,819 |
| 1970 | 21,137,076 | 443,065 |
| 1971 | 19,622,980 | 459,897 |
| 1972 | 19,102,585 | 472,557 |
| 1973 | 18,423,727 | 485,556 |
| 1974 | 15,738,118 | 500,008 |
| 1975 | 14,378,237 | 517,579 |
| 1976 | 11,782,472 | 536,740 |
| 1977 | 11,378,068 | 554,124 |
| 1978 | 11,473,980 | 574,695 |
| 1979 | 11,250,148 | 595,390 |
| 1980 | 11,647,260 | 616,390 |
| 1981 | 14,461,027 | 642,379 |
| 1982 | 15,815,318 | 663,109 |
| 1983 | 13,599,789 | 684,587 |
| 1984 | 13,561,671 | 709,639 |
| 1985 | 14,987,830 | 732,739 |
| 1986 | 16,609,920 | 755,606 |
| 1987 | 18,005,821 | 775,124 |
| 1988 | 17,328,640 | 785,652 |
| 1989 | 16,824,495 | 795,622 |
| 1990 | 16,335,313 | 789,087 |
| 1991 | 14,937,124 | 790,030 |
| 1992 | 13,548,601 | 785,018 |
| 1993 | 13,493,138 | 788,579 |
| 1994 | 13,360,470 | 792,702 |
| 1995 | 12,711,220 | 812,391 |
| 1996 | 12,686,872 | 827,326 |
| 1997 | 12,374,554 | 847,493 |
| 1998 | 11,351,286 | 875,511 |
| 1999 | 10,247,372 | 898,484 |
| 2000 | 9,570,849 | 928,357 |
| 2001 | 8,839,358 | 963,721 |
| 2002 | 8,258,580 | 992,044 |
| 2003 | 7,743,284 | 1,018,182 |
| 2004 | 7,607,960 | 1,048,590 |
| 2005 | 7,678,911 | 1,080,446 |
| 2006 | 6,922,185 | 1,113,357 |
| 2007 | 6,813,465 | 1,147,063 |
| 2008 | 6,729,247 | 1,174,818 |
| 2009 | 6,483,236 | 1,193,598 |
| 2010 | 6,407,607 | 1,199,786 |
| 2011 | 8,245,065 | 1,185,863 |
| 2012 | 10,075,174 | 1,161,548 |
| 2013 | 8,043,116 | 1,136,006 |
| 2014 | 9,205,180 | 1,123,333 |
| 2015 | 6,788,911 | 1,119,200 |
| 2016 | 9,062,269 | 1,108,801 |
| 2017 | 7,790,880 | 1,105,769 |
| 2018 | 5,302,433 | 1,097,075 |
| 2019 | 4,673,713 | 1,071,777 |
| 2020 | 2,046,095 | 1,036,253 |
| 2021 | 480,203 | 1,037,082 |
| 2022 | -847,305 | 1,092,102 |
| 2023 | -2,087,851 | 1,100,970 |
Fertility rates around the globe
Fertility rate
Maternal mortality chart: China vs Kenya
The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 16 deaths per 100,000 live births in China, compared to 149 deaths in Kenya.
China
Kenya
| Year | Maternal mortality per 100K births | |
|---|---|---|
|
China
|
Kenya
|
|
| 1985 | 125 | 1,375 |
| 1986 | 120 | 1,059 |
| 1987 | 114 | 960 |
| 1988 | 108 | 756 |
| 1989 | 104 | 663 |
| 1990 | 102 | 586 |
| 1991 | 92 | 493 |
| 1992 | 86 | 419 |
| 1993 | 80 | 363 |
| 1994 | 76 | 342 |
| 1995 | 71 | 308 |
| 1996 | 67 | 275 |
| 1997 | 63 | 253 |
| 1998 | 60 | 250 |
| 1999 | 58 | 217 |
| 2000 | 56 | 206 |
| 2001 | 52 | 188 |
| 2002 | 50 | 182 |
| 2003 | 47 | 177 |
| 2004 | 45 | 177 |
| 2005 | 42 | 178 |
| 2006 | 40 | 188 |
| 2007 | 38 | 198 |
| 2008 | 38 | 197 |
| 2009 | 35 | 208 |
| 2010 | 34 | 210 |
| 2011 | 33 | 209 |
| 2012 | 32 | 214 |
| 2013 | 30 | 206 |
| 2014 | 28 | 203 |
| 2015 | 26 | 203 |
| 2016 | 25 | 196 |
| 2017 | 24 | 186 |
| 2018 | 22 | 183 |
| 2019 | 21 | 176 |
| 2020 | 20 | 184 |
| 2021 | 21 | 183 |
| 2022 | 18 | 155 |
| 2023 | 16 | 149 |
Under-five mortality rates
The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 0.62% in China and 3.99% in Kenya. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.
China
Kenya
Probability that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five
| Year | Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births | |
|---|---|---|
|
China
|
Kenya
|
|
| 1960 | - | 19.6% |
| 1961 | - | 18.8% |
| 1962 | - | 18.1% |
| 1963 | - | 17.5% |
| 1964 | - | 17% |
| 1965 | - | 16.6% |
| 1966 | - | 16.3% |
| 1967 | - | 16% |
| 1968 | - | 15.7% |
| 1969 | 11.9% | 15.4% |
| 1970 | 11.3% | 15% |
| 1971 | 10.7% | 14.7% |
| 1972 | 10.2% | 14.3% |
| 1973 | 9.61% | 14% |
| 1974 | 9.05% | 13.5% |
| 1975 | 8.5% | 13.1% |
| 1976 | 7.97% | 12.7% |
| 1977 | 7.47% | 12.2% |
| 1978 | 7.01% | 11.8% |
| 1979 | 6.62% | 11.4% |
| 1980 | 6.28% | 11% |
| 1981 | 6% | 10.6% |
| 1982 | 5.78% | 10.3% |
| 1983 | 5.61% | 9.98% |
| 1984 | 5.5% | 9.74% |
| 1985 | 5.43% | 9.57% |
| 1986 | 5.4% | 9.49% |
| 1987 | 5.4% | 9.51% |
| 1988 | 5.4% | 9.63% |
| 1989 | 5.39% | 9.85% |
| 1990 | 5.37% | 10.1% |
| 1991 | 5.31% | 10.5% |
| 1992 | 5.22% | 10.7% |
| 1993 | 5.08% | 10.9% |
| 1994 | 4.93% | 11% |
| 1995 | 4.75% | 11% |
| 1996 | 4.56% | 10.9% |
| 1997 | 4.36% | 10.7% |
| 1998 | 4.14% | 10.4% |
| 1999 | 3.91% | 10.1% |
| 2000 | 3.67% | 9.63% |
| 2001 | 3.42% | 9.16% |
| 2002 | 3.15% | 8.66% |
| 2003 | 2.89% | 8.16% |
| 2004 | 2.64% | 7.66% |
| 2005 | 2.4% | 7.15% |
| 2006 | 2.19% | 6.71% |
| 2007 | 2.01% | 6.32% |
| 2008 | 1.85% | 5.82% |
| 2009 | 1.71% | 5.54% |
| 2010 | 1.58% | 5.35% |
| 2011 | 1.46% | 5.22% |
| 2012 | 1.35% | 5.12% |
| 2013 | 1.25% | 5% |
| 2014 | 1.15% | 4.88% |
| 2015 | 1.07% | 4.74% |
| 2016 | 0.99% | 4.6% |
| 2017 | 0.92% | 4.53% |
| 2018 | 0.86% | 4.43% |
| 2019 | 0.8% | 4.33% |
| 2020 | 0.75% | 4.28% |
| 2021 | 0.7% | 4.19% |
| 2022 | 0.66% | 4.11% |
| 2023 | 0.62% | 3.99% |
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