Fertility & birth rates in China and Kenya

Fertility rate in China vs Kenya by year

Chart Table

China

Kenya

1x

Year	Fertility rate
	China	Kenya
2023	1	3.21
2022	1.03	3.26
2021	1.12	3.31
2020	1.24	3.36
2019	1.5	3.43
2018	1.54	3.54
2017	1.8	3.61
2016	1.77	3.69
2015	1.67	3.77
2014	1.77	3.84
2013	1.71	3.96
2012	1.8	4.12
2011	1.67	4.28
2010	1.69	4.45
2009	1.71	4.57
2008	1.7	4.66
2007	1.67	4.72
2006	1.64	4.75
2005	1.62	4.8
2004	1.61	4.86
2003	1.57	4.94
2002	1.57	5.03
2001	1.56	5.09
2000	1.63	5.14
1999	1.53	5.18
1998	1.52	5.24
1997	1.53	5.27
1996	1.55	5.31
1995	1.59	5.37
1994	1.63	5.44
1993	1.69	5.57
1992	1.78	5.74
1991	1.93	5.94
1990	2.51	6.14
1989	2.52	6.33
1988	2.54	6.52
1987	2.76	6.69
1986	2.72	6.84
1985	2.63	6.96
1984	2.61	7.08
1983	2.56	7.22
1982	2.97	7.35
1981	2.79	7.45
1980	2.74	7.53
1979	2.75	7.6
1978	2.72	7.67
1977	2.84	7.73
1976	3.24	7.77
1975	3.57	7.8
1974	4.17	7.82
1973	4.73	7.86
1972	5.11	7.89
1971	5.52	7.92
1970	6.09	7.94
1969	6.18	7.95
1968	6.51	7.95
1967	5.81	7.95
1966	6.31	7.96
1965	6.61	7.92
1964	6.67	7.87
1963	7.51	7.82
1962	6.09	7.77
1961	3.86	7.72
1960	4.45	7.65

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in China was 1 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.21 in Kenya in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check China vs Kenya population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

Natural population change by year

Chart Table

China

Kenya

1x

Year	Natural population change
	China	Kenya
2023	-2,087,851	1,100,970
2022	-847,305	1,092,102
2021	480,203	1,037,082
2020	2,046,095	1,036,253
2019	4,673,713	1,071,777
2018	5,302,433	1,097,075
2017	7,790,880	1,105,769
2016	9,062,269	1,108,801
2015	6,788,911	1,119,200
2014	9,205,180	1,123,333
2013	8,043,116	1,136,006
2012	10,075,174	1,161,548
2011	8,245,065	1,185,863
2010	6,407,607	1,199,786
2009	6,483,236	1,193,598
2008	6,729,247	1,174,818
2007	6,813,465	1,147,063
2006	6,922,185	1,113,357
2005	7,678,911	1,080,446
2004	7,607,960	1,048,590
2003	7,743,284	1,018,182
2002	8,258,580	992,044
2001	8,839,358	963,721
2000	9,570,849	928,357
1999	10,247,372	898,484
1998	11,351,286	875,511
1997	12,374,554	847,493
1996	12,686,872	827,326
1995	12,711,220	812,391
1994	13,360,470	792,702
1993	13,493,138	788,579
1992	13,548,601	785,018
1991	14,937,124	790,030
1990	16,335,313	789,087
1989	16,824,495	795,622
1988	17,328,640	785,652
1987	18,005,821	775,124
1986	16,609,920	755,606
1985	14,987,830	732,739
1984	13,561,671	709,639
1983	13,599,789	684,587
1982	15,815,318	663,109
1981	14,461,027	642,379
1980	11,647,260	616,390
1979	11,250,148	595,390
1978	11,473,980	574,695
1977	11,378,068	554,124
1976	11,782,472	536,740
1975	14,378,237	517,579
1974	15,738,118	500,008
1973	18,423,727	485,556
1972	19,102,585	472,557
1971	19,622,980	459,897
1970	21,137,076	443,065
1969	20,760,332	427,819
1968	21,206,083	411,948
1967	19,263,662	396,920
1966	19,282,187	382,891
1965	20,296,950	366,444
1964	19,302,532	349,322
1963	22,742,225	332,763
1962	17,969,132	315,797
1961	2,496,047	298,463
1960	-3,048,510	280,032

The chart above illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes in population resulting from births and deaths.

Excluding migration, the natural population change due to births and deaths from 2022 to 2023 was -0.15% in China and +1.99% in Kenya.

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change has been +0.31% in China and +2.16% in Kenya.

Birth rate in China vs Kenya by year

Chart Table

China

Kenya

Annual births per 1,000 people

1x

Year	Annual births per 1,000 people
	China	Kenya
2023	6.39	27.1
2022	6.77	27.3
2021	7.52	27.6
2020	8.52	27.8
2019	10.4	28.2
2018	10.9	29
2017	12.6	29.6
2016	13.6	30.2
2015	12	30.9
2014	13.8	31.5
2013	13	32.4
2012	14.6	33.7
2011	13.3	35
2010	11.9	36.3
2009	12	37.2
2008	12.1	37.9
2007	12.1	38.3
2006	12.1	38.5
2005	12.4	38.8
2004	12.3	39.1
2003	12.4	39.5
2002	12.9	39.9
2001	13.4	40.2
2000	14	40.2
1999	14.6	40.3
1998	15.6	40.6
1997	16.6	40.5
1996	17	40.6
1995	17.1	40.8
1994	17.7	40.9
1993	18.1	41.4
1992	18.3	42.1
1991	19.7	43.1
1990	21.1	43.9
1989	21.6	44.9
1988	22.4	45.6
1987	23.3	46.3
1986	22.4	46.6
1985	21	46.9
1984	19.9	47.2
1983	20.2	47.4
1982	22.3	47.8
1981	20.9	48.2
1980	18.2	48.2
1979	17.8	48.6
1978	18.3	48.9
1977	18.9	49.2
1976	19.9	49.6
1975	23	49.8
1974	24.8	50.2
1973	27.9	50.8
1972	29.8	51.5
1971	30.7	52.2
1970	33.4	52.5
1969	34.1	53.1
1968	35.6	53.5
1967	34	54.1
1966	35.1	54.6
1965	37.9	54.9
1964	39.1	55.1
1963	43.4	55.3
1962	37	55.4
1961	18	55.4
1960	20.9	55.2

The latest reported birth rate per 1,000 people in 2023 was 6.39 in China and 27.1 in Kenya, compared with 20.9 and 55.2, respectively, in 1960.

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Chart Table

China

Factual

UN forecast

Kenya

Factual

UN forecast

1x

Year	Young
	China	Kenya
2100	7.83%	18.9%
2099	7.84%	19%
2098	7.87%	19.1%
2097	7.91%	19.2%
2096	7.96%	19.3%
2095	8.03%	19.5%
2094	8.1%	19.6%
2093	8.18%	19.7%
2092	8.26%	19.8%
2091	8.34%	19.9%
2090	8.41%	20%
2089	8.47%	20.1%
2088	8.52%	20.2%
2087	8.55%	20.4%
2086	8.57%	20.5%
2085	8.57%	20.7%
2084	8.56%	20.8%
2083	8.53%	21%
2082	8.48%	21.1%
2081	8.41%	21.3%
2080	8.34%	21.5%
2079	8.25%	21.7%
2078	8.15%	21.9%
2077	8.06%	22.1%
2076	7.96%	22.3%
2075	7.86%	22.5%
2074	7.77%	22.7%
2073	7.7%	22.9%
2072	7.64%	23.1%
2071	7.6%	23.3%
2070	7.58%	23.5%
2069	7.59%	23.7%
2068	7.63%	23.8%
2067	7.7%	24%
2066	7.8%	24.2%
2065	7.93%	24.4%
2064	8.08%	24.6%
2063	8.25%	24.8%
2062	8.44%	25%
2061	8.64%	25.2%
2060	8.84%	25.4%
2059	9.03%	25.6%
2058	9.22%	25.9%
2057	9.39%	26.1%
2056	9.54%	26.4%
2055	9.67%	26.7%
2054	9.78%	27%
2053	9.86%	27.3%
2052	9.92%	27.6%
2051	9.94%	28%
2050	9.94%	28.4%
2049	9.92%	28.7%
2048	9.88%	29.1%
2047	9.82%	29.5%
2046	9.75%	29.8%
2045	9.67%	30.2%
2044	9.59%	30.6%
2043	9.52%	30.9%
2042	9.46%	31.2%
2041	9.4%	31.5%
2040	9.35%	31.8%
2039	9.32%	32.1%
2038	9.3%	32.4%
2037	9.32%	32.6%
2036	9.42%	32.8%
2035	9.63%	33%
2034	10%	33.3%
2033	10.5%	33.5%
2032	11.2%	33.8%
2031	11.8%	34%
2030	12.4%	34.4%
2029	13.1%	34.7%
2028	13.8%	35%
2027	14.5%	35.5%
2026	15.1%	36%
2025	15.7%	36.5%
2024	16%	36.8%
2023	16.6%	37.4%
2022	17.1%	38.1%
2021	17.6%	38.7%
2020	18%	39.3%
2019	18.2%	39.9%
2018	18.3%	40.5%
2017	18.4%	41%
2016	18.3%	41.5%
2015	18.3%	42%
2014	18.3%	42.4%
2013	18.3%	42.8%
2012	18.3%	43.2%
2011	18.3%	43.4%
2010	18.5%	43.6%
2009	18.6%	43.8%
2008	18.9%	43.9%
2007	19.2%	44%
2006	19.6%	44.2%
2005	20.3%	44.4%
2004	21.2%	44.6%
2003	22%	45%
2002	22.9%	45.3%
2001	23.8%	45.7%
2000	24.5%	46.1%
1999	25.2%	46.5%
1998	25.7%	46.8%
1997	26.3%	47.1%
1996	27%	47.4%
1995	27.4%	47.7%
1994	27.8%	48%
1993	28.2%	48.4%
1992	28.4%	48.7%
1991	28.6%	48.9%
1990	28.8%	49.2%
1989	28.9%	49.5%
1988	29.3%	49.7%
1987	29.8%	49.9%
1986	30.4%	50.1%
1985	31.2%	50.3%
1984	32.2%	50.6%
1983	33.3%	50.8%
1982	34.3%	51.1%
1981	35.1%	51.3%
1980	36.1%	51.5%
1979	37.2%	51.7%
1978	38.6%	51.9%
1977	39.8%	52%
1976	40.3%	52.1%
1975	40.2%	52%
1974	40.2%	52%
1973	40.1%	52%
1972	40.4%	51.9%
1971	40.7%	51.7%
1970	40.8%	51.6%
1969	41%	51.4%
1968	41%	51.2%
1967	41.3%	50.9%
1966	41.5%	50.6%
1965	41.5%	50.2%
1964	41.2%	49.8%
1963	40.6%	49.7%
1962	40%	49.4%
1961	40%	49.1%
1960	40.3%	48.7%

Children aged 0-14 make up 16% of the population in China and 36.8% in Kenya in 2024, compared to 28.8% and 49.2% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of China and Kenya compared.

Maternal mortality chart: China vs Kenya

Chart Table

China

Kenya

1x

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	China	Kenya
2023	16	149
2022	18	155
2021	21	183
2020	20	184
2019	21	176
2018	22	183
2017	24	186
2016	25	196
2015	26	203
2014	28	203
2013	30	206
2012	32	214
2011	33	209
2010	34	210
2009	35	208
2008	38	197
2007	38	198
2006	40	188
2005	42	178
2004	45	177
2003	47	177
2002	50	182
2001	52	188
2000	56	206
1999	58	217
1998	60	250
1997	63	253
1996	67	275
1995	71	308
1994	76	342
1993	80	363
1992	86	419
1991	92	493
1990	102	586
1989	104	663
1988	108	756
1987	114	960
1986	120	1,059
1985	125	1,375

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 16 deaths per 100,000 live births in China, compared to 149 deaths in Kenya.

Under-five mortality rates

Chart Table

China

Kenya

Probability that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five

1x

Year	Under 5 mortality rate
	China	Kenya
2023	0.62%	3.99%
2022	0.66%	4.11%
2021	0.7%	4.19%
2020	0.75%	4.28%
2019	0.8%	4.33%
2018	0.86%	4.43%
2017	0.92%	4.53%
2016	0.99%	4.6%
2015	1.07%	4.74%
2014	1.15%	4.88%
2013	1.25%	5%
2012	1.35%	5.12%
2011	1.46%	5.22%
2010	1.58%	5.35%
2009	1.71%	5.54%
2008	1.85%	5.82%
2007	2.01%	6.32%
2006	2.19%	6.71%
2005	2.4%	7.15%
2004	2.64%	7.66%
2003	2.89%	8.16%
2002	3.15%	8.66%
2001	3.42%	9.16%
2000	3.67%	9.63%
1999	3.91%	10.1%
1998	4.14%	10.4%
1997	4.36%	10.7%
1996	4.56%	10.9%
1995	4.75%	11%
1994	4.93%	11%
1993	5.08%	10.9%
1992	5.22%	10.7%
1991	5.31%	10.5%
1990	5.37%	10.1%
1989	5.39%	9.85%
1988	5.4%	9.63%
1987	5.4%	9.51%
1986	5.4%	9.49%
1985	5.43%	9.57%
1984	5.5%	9.74%
1983	5.61%	9.98%
1982	5.78%	10.3%
1981	6%	10.6%
1980	6.28%	11%
1979	6.62%	11.4%
1978	7.01%	11.8%
1977	7.47%	12.2%
1976	7.97%	12.7%
1975	8.5%	13.1%
1974	9.05%	13.5%
1973	9.61%	14%
1972	10.2%	14.3%
1971	10.7%	14.7%
1970	11.3%	15%
1969	11.9%	15.4%
1968	-	15.7%
1967	-	16%
1966	-	16.3%
1965	-	16.6%
1964	-	17%
1963	-	17.5%
1962	-	18.1%
1961	-	18.8%
1960	-	19.6%

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 0.62% in China and 3.99% in Kenya. Above is a chart with historical data on under-five mortality rates.