Fertility & birth rates in China and Tajikistan

Fertility rate in China vs Tajikistan by year

Chart Table

China

Tajikistan

1x

Year	Fertility rate
	China	Tajikistan
2023	1	3.07
2022	1.03	3.13
2021	1.12	3.17
2020	1.24	3.21
2019	1.5	3.28
2018	1.54	3.29
2017	1.8	3.29
2016	1.77	3.38
2015	1.67	3.46
2014	1.77	3.46
2013	1.71	3.43
2012	1.8	3.42
2011	1.67	3.46
2010	1.69	3.46
2009	1.71	3.43
2008	1.7	3.39
2007	1.67	3.37
2006	1.64	3.34
2005	1.62	3.4
2004	1.61	3.51
2003	1.57	3.42
2002	1.57	3.47
2001	1.56	3.49
2000	1.63	3.49
1999	1.53	3.85
1998	1.52	4.07
1997	1.53	4.06
1996	1.55	3.94
1995	1.59	4.66
1994	1.63	4.79
1993	1.69	4.92
1992	1.78	5.06
1991	1.93	5.28
1990	2.51	5.46
1989	2.52	5.61
1988	2.54	5.75
1987	2.76	5.84
1986	2.72	5.91
1985	2.63	5.94
1984	2.61	5.96
1983	2.56	5.98
1982	2.97	6.03
1981	2.79	6.12
1980	2.74	6.21
1979	2.75	6.31
1978	2.72	6.4
1977	2.84	6.49
1976	3.24	6.6
1975	3.57	6.69
1974	4.17	6.77
1973	4.73	6.84
1972	5.11	6.89
1971	5.52	6.91
1970	6.09	6.91
1969	6.18	6.91
1968	6.51	6.91
1967	5.81	6.89
1966	6.31	6.82
1965	6.61	6.74
1964	6.67	6.68
1963	7.51	6.62
1962	6.09	6.48
1961	3.86	6.35
1960	4.45	6.24

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in China was 1 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.07 in Tajikistan in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check China vs Tajikistan population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

Natural population change by year

Chart Table

China

Tajikistan

1x

Year	Natural population change
	China	Tajikistan
2023	-2,087,851	223,828
2022	-847,305	228,336
2021	480,203	222,850
2020	2,046,095	219,467
2019	4,673,713	231,817
2018	5,302,433	228,597
2017	7,790,880	224,396
2016	9,062,269	228,547
2015	6,788,911	230,903
2014	9,205,180	227,304
2013	8,043,116	220,693
2012	10,075,174	213,078
2011	8,245,065	208,429
2010	6,407,607	201,389
2009	6,483,236	192,851
2008	6,729,247	182,337
2007	6,813,465	173,200
2006	6,922,185	164,046
2005	7,678,911	160,189
2004	7,607,960	161,201
2003	7,743,284	150,391
2002	8,258,580	146,492
2001	8,839,358	142,276
2000	9,570,849	136,549
1999	10,247,372	147,622
1998	11,351,286	153,508
1997	12,374,554	149,825
1996	12,686,872	138,287
1995	12,711,220	168,934
1994	13,360,470	167,590
1993	13,493,138	157,975
1992	13,548,601	163,652
1991	14,937,124	177,585
1990	16,335,313	178,429
1989	16,824,495	179,212
1988	17,328,640	172,805
1987	18,005,821	163,611
1986	16,609,920	155,987
1985	14,987,830	145,720
1984	13,561,671	139,145
1983	13,599,789	133,280
1982	15,815,318	127,838
1981	14,461,027	121,418
1980	11,647,260	117,888
1979	11,250,148	114,496
1978	11,473,980	110,564
1977	11,378,068	106,920
1976	11,782,472	103,777
1975	14,378,237	100,604
1974	15,738,118	97,481
1973	18,423,727	94,523
1972	19,102,585	91,677
1971	19,622,980	88,618
1970	21,137,076	85,645
1969	20,760,332	82,931
1968	21,206,083	80,698
1967	19,263,662	78,733
1966	19,282,187	76,702
1965	20,296,950	75,139
1964	19,302,532	74,030
1963	22,742,225	73,065
1962	17,969,132	70,700
1961	2,496,047	68,182
1960	-3,048,510	65,415

The chart above illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes in population resulting from births and deaths.

Excluding migration, the natural population change due to births and deaths from 2022 to 2023 was -0.15% in China and +2.15% in Tajikistan.

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change has been +0.31% in China and +2.42% in Tajikistan.

Birth rate in China vs Tajikistan by year

Chart Table

China

Tajikistan

Annual births per 1,000 people

1x

Year	Annual births per 1,000 people
	China	Tajikistan
2023	6.39	26.1
2022	6.77	27
2021	7.52	27.7
2020	8.52	28.4
2019	10.4	29.2
2018	10.9	29.5
2017	12.6	29.7
2016	13.6	30.9
2015	12	32
2014	13.8	32.2
2013	13	32.1
2012	14.6	32
2011	13.3	32.2
2010	11.9	32
2009	12	31.4
2008	12.1	30.6
2007	12.1	29.9
2006	12.1	29.2
2005	12.4	29.3
2004	12.3	29.9
2003	12.4	29
2002	12.9	29.2
2001	13.4	29.3
2000	14	29.1
1999	14.6	31.6
1998	15.6	33.1
1997	16.6	32.9
1996	17	31.9
1995	17.1	37.7
1994	17.7	38.8
1993	18.1	39.7
1992	18.3	40.7
1991	19.7	41.9
1990	21.1	43.1
1989	21.6	44.1
1988	22.4	43.8
1987	23.3	43.1
1986	22.4	42.5
1985	21	41.6
1984	19.9	41.2
1983	20.2	40.9
1982	22.3	40.7
1981	20.9	40.7
1980	18.2	40.8
1979	17.8	40.9
1978	18.3	40.8
1977	18.9	40.9
1976	19.9	41.1
1975	23	41.3
1974	24.8	41.5
1973	27.9	41.7
1972	29.8	42
1971	30.7	42.1
1970	33.4	42.3
1969	34.1	42.5
1968	35.6	43
1967	34	43.6
1966	35.1	44.2
1965	37.9	45.1
1964	39.1	46.1
1963	43.4	47.1
1962	37	47.5
1961	18	47.7
1960	20.9	47.7

The latest reported birth rate per 1,000 people in 2023 was 6.39 in China and 26.1 in Tajikistan, compared with 20.9 and 47.7, respectively, in 1960.

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Chart Table

China

Factual

UN forecast

Tajikistan

Factual

UN forecast

1x

Year	Young
	China	Tajikistan
2100	7.83%	17.4%
2099	7.84%	17.5%
2098	7.87%	17.6%
2097	7.91%	17.7%
2096	7.96%	17.9%
2095	8.03%	18%
2094	8.1%	18.1%
2093	8.18%	18.2%
2092	8.26%	18.3%
2091	8.34%	18.4%
2090	8.41%	18.6%
2089	8.47%	18.7%
2088	8.52%	18.9%
2087	8.55%	19%
2086	8.57%	19.2%
2085	8.57%	19.4%
2084	8.56%	19.6%
2083	8.53%	19.8%
2082	8.48%	20%
2081	8.41%	20.2%
2080	8.34%	20.4%
2079	8.25%	20.7%
2078	8.15%	20.9%
2077	8.06%	21.1%
2076	7.96%	21.3%
2075	7.86%	21.5%
2074	7.77%	21.7%
2073	7.7%	21.9%
2072	7.64%	22.1%
2071	7.6%	22.3%
2070	7.58%	22.4%
2069	7.59%	22.6%
2068	7.63%	22.7%
2067	7.7%	22.9%
2066	7.8%	23%
2065	7.93%	23.2%
2064	8.08%	23.4%
2063	8.25%	23.6%
2062	8.44%	23.8%
2061	8.64%	24.1%
2060	8.84%	24.3%
2059	9.03%	24.6%
2058	9.22%	24.9%
2057	9.39%	25.3%
2056	9.54%	25.6%
2055	9.67%	26%
2054	9.78%	26.3%
2053	9.86%	26.7%
2052	9.92%	27%
2051	9.94%	27.4%
2050	9.94%	27.7%
2049	9.92%	28%
2048	9.88%	28.3%
2047	9.82%	28.5%
2046	9.75%	28.6%
2045	9.67%	28.8%
2044	9.59%	28.9%
2043	9.52%	29%
2042	9.46%	29.2%
2041	9.4%	29.3%
2040	9.35%	29.5%
2039	9.32%	29.7%
2038	9.3%	29.9%
2037	9.32%	30.2%
2036	9.42%	30.6%
2035	9.63%	31%
2034	10%	31.4%
2033	10.5%	31.8%
2032	11.2%	32.3%
2031	11.8%	32.8%
2030	12.4%	33.5%
2029	13.1%	34.2%
2028	13.8%	34.8%
2027	14.5%	35.2%
2026	15.1%	35.6%
2025	15.7%	36.1%
2024	16%	36.3%
2023	16.6%	36.5%
2022	17.1%	36.6%
2021	17.6%	36.6%
2020	18%	36.4%
2019	18.2%	36.3%
2018	18.3%	36.2%
2017	18.4%	36.2%
2016	18.3%	36.3%
2015	18.3%	36.3%
2014	18.3%	36.4%
2013	18.3%	36.5%
2012	18.3%	36.7%
2011	18.3%	36.7%
2010	18.5%	36.8%
2009	18.6%	37%
2008	18.9%	37.3%
2007	19.2%	37.6%
2006	19.6%	38%
2005	20.3%	38.6%
2004	21.2%	39.3%
2003	22%	39.9%
2002	22.9%	40.7%
2001	23.8%	41.5%
2000	24.5%	42.3%
1999	25.2%	43%
1998	25.7%	43.7%
1997	26.3%	44.3%
1996	27%	44.7%
1995	27.4%	44.9%
1994	27.8%	44.8%
1993	28.2%	44.6%
1992	28.4%	44.3%
1991	28.6%	44%
1990	28.8%	43.7%
1989	28.9%	43.4%
1988	29.3%	43.2%
1987	29.8%	43.1%
1986	30.4%	43.1%
1985	31.2%	43.3%
1984	32.2%	43.3%
1983	33.3%	43.3%
1982	34.3%	43.2%
1981	35.1%	43.2%
1980	36.1%	43.2%
1979	37.2%	43.2%
1978	38.6%	43.4%
1977	39.8%	43.6%
1976	40.3%	43.8%
1975	40.2%	44%
1974	40.2%	44.2%
1973	40.1%	44.3%
1972	40.4%	44.4%
1971	40.7%	44.5%
1970	40.8%	44.6%
1969	41%	44.6%
1968	41%	44.7%
1967	41.3%	44.7%
1966	41.5%	44.6%
1965	41.5%	44.4%
1964	41.2%	44.1%
1963	40.6%	43.4%
1962	40%	42.5%
1961	40%	41.4%
1960	40.3%	40.2%

Children aged 0-14 make up 16% of the population in China and 36.3% in Tajikistan in 2024, compared to 28.8% and 43.7% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of China and Tajikistan compared.

Maternal mortality chart: China vs Tajikistan

Chart Table

China

Tajikistan

1x

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	China	Tajikistan
2023	16	14
2022	18	14
2021	21	25
2020	20	25
2019	21	16
2018	22	16
2017	24	17
2016	25	20
2015	26	20
2014	28	21
2013	30	21
2012	32	23
2011	33	25
2010	34	26
2009	35	29
2008	38	29
2007	38	30
2006	40	35
2005	42	36
2004	45	36
2003	47	39
2002	50	48
2001	52	58
2000	56	58
1999	58	64
1998	60	72
1997	63	76
1996	67	82
1995	71	81
1994	76	85
1993	80	84
1992	86	84
1991	92	79
1990	102	80
1989	104	85
1988	108	83
1987	114	91
1986	120	91
1985	125	98

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 16 deaths per 100,000 live births in China, compared to 14 deaths in Tajikistan.

Under-five mortality rates

Chart Table

China

Tajikistan

Probability that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five

1x

Year	Under 5 mortality rate
	China	Tajikistan
2023	0.62%	2.73%
2022	0.66%	2.77%
2021	0.7%	2.79%
2020	0.75%	2.8%
2019	0.8%	2.81%
2018	0.86%	2.83%
2017	0.92%	2.88%
2016	0.99%	2.94%
2015	1.07%	3.02%
2014	1.15%	3.12%
2013	1.25%	3.23%
2012	1.35%	3.36%
2011	1.46%	3.52%
2010	1.58%	3.7%
2009	1.71%	3.92%
2008	1.85%	4.17%
2007	2.01%	4.47%
2006	2.19%	4.82%
2005	2.4%	5.22%
2004	2.64%	5.67%
2003	2.89%	6.18%
2002	3.15%	6.75%
2001	3.42%	7.34%
2000	3.67%	7.97%
1999	3.91%	8.62%
1998	4.14%	9.26%
1997	4.36%	9.86%
1996	4.56%	10.4%
1995	4.75%	10.8%
1994	4.93%	11%
1993	5.08%	10.9%
1992	5.22%	10.6%
1991	5.31%	10.2%
1990	5.37%	9.92%
1989	5.39%	9.88%
1988	5.4%	10.1%
1987	5.4%	10.5%
1986	5.4%	11.1%
1985	5.43%	11.6%
1984	5.5%	12%
1983	5.61%	12.3%
1982	5.78%	12.5%
1981	6%	12.6%
1980	6.28%	12.7%
1979	6.62%	12.8%
1978	7.01%	13%
1977	7.47%	13.2%
1976	7.97%	13.5%
1975	8.5%	14%
1974	9.05%	14.4%
1973	9.61%	15%
1972	10.2%	15.5%
1971	10.7%	-
1970	11.3%	-
1969	11.9%	-

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 0.62% in China and 2.73% in Tajikistan. Above is a chart with historical data on under-five mortality rates.