Fertility & birth rates in China and Guatemala

Fertility rate in China vs Guatemala chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in China was 1 children per woman in 2023, compared to 2.31 in Guatemala in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check China vs Guatemala population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	China	Guatemala
1960	4.45	7
1961	3.86	6.98
1962	6.09	6.93
1963	7.51	6.9
1964	6.67	6.87
1965	6.61	6.84
1966	6.31	6.8
1967	5.81	6.76
1968	6.51	6.7
1969	6.18	6.65
1970	6.09	6.6
1971	5.52	6.55
1972	5.11	6.51
1973	4.73	6.49
1974	4.17	6.46
1975	3.57	6.41
1976	3.24	6.37
1977	2.84	6.32
1978	2.72	6.26
1979	2.75	6.22
1980	2.74	6.17
1981	2.79	6.12
1982	2.97	6.06
1983	2.56	5.98
1984	2.61	5.86
1985	2.63	5.73
1986	2.72	5.66
1987	2.76	5.64
1988	2.54	5.62
1989	2.52	5.56
1990	2.51	5.48
1991	1.93	5.38
1992	1.78	5.31
1993	1.69	5.25
1994	1.63	5.19
1995	1.59	5.11
1996	1.55	5.01
1997	1.53	4.91
1998	1.52	4.8
1999	1.53	4.69
2000	1.63	4.58
2001	1.56	4.5
2002	1.57	4.37
2003	1.57	4.25
2004	1.61	4.13
2005	1.62	3.97
2006	1.64	3.85
2007	1.67	3.72
2008	1.7	3.57
2009	1.71	3.47
2010	1.69	3.38
2011	1.67	3.29
2012	1.8	3.22
2013	1.71	3.15
2014	1.77	3.09
2015	1.67	3.03
2016	1.77	2.97
2017	1.8	2.86
2018	1.54	2.74
2019	1.5	2.59
2020	1.24	2.47
2021	1.12	2.39
2022	1.03	2.34
2023	1	2.31
2024	1.01	2.29
2025	1.02	2.26
2026	1.03	2.23
2027	1.04	2.2
2028	1.05	2.17
2029	1.05	2.15
2030	1.06	2.13
2031	1.07	2.11
2032	1.08	2.09
2033	1.08	2.08
2034	1.09	2.06
2035	1.1	2.05
2036	1.1	2.03
2037	1.11	2.02
2038	1.12	2
2039	1.12	1.99
2040	1.13	1.97
2041	1.13	1.96
2042	1.14	1.95
2043	1.15	1.93
2044	1.15	1.92
2045	1.16	1.92
2046	1.16	1.91
2047	1.17	1.9
2048	1.17	1.89
2049	1.18	1.89
2050	1.18	1.88

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	China	Guatemala
1960	40.3%	46.7%
1961	40%	46.7%
1962	40%	46.8%
1963	40.6%	46.7%
1964	41.2%	46.6%
1965	41.5%	46.6%
1966	41.5%	46.5%
1967	41.3%	46.4%
1968	41%	46.2%
1969	41%	46.2%
1970	40.8%	46.1%
1971	40.7%	46%
1972	40.4%	46%
1973	40.1%	46%
1974	40.2%	45.9%
1975	40.2%	45.8%
1976	40.3%	45.7%
1977	39.8%	45.6%
1978	38.6%	45.6%
1979	37.2%	45.5%
1980	36.1%	45.5%
1981	35.1%	45.6%
1982	34.3%	45.6%
1983	33.3%	45.7%
1984	32.2%	45.7%
1985	31.2%	45.7%
1986	30.4%	45.7%
1987	29.8%	45.6%
1988	29.3%	45.6%
1989	28.9%	45.5%
1990	28.8%	45.4%
1991	28.6%	45.3%
1992	28.4%	45.2%
1993	28.2%	45.1%
1994	27.8%	44.9%
1995	27.4%	44.8%
1996	27%	44.7%
1997	26.3%	44.5%
1998	25.7%	44.3%
1999	25.2%	44.1%
2000	24.5%	43.8%
2001	23.8%	43.6%
2002	22.9%	43.3%
2003	22%	43%
2004	21.2%	42.5%
2005	20.3%	42.1%
2006	19.6%	41.6%
2007	19.2%	41%
2008	18.9%	40.5%
2009	18.6%	39.9%
2010	18.5%	39.3%
2011	18.3%	38.7%
2012	18.3%	38.1%
2013	18.3%	37.5%
2014	18.3%	36.9%
2015	18.3%	36.4%
2016	18.3%	35.9%
2017	18.4%	35.4%
2018	18.3%	34.9%
2019	18.2%	34.4%
2020	18%	33.8%
2021	17.6%	33.3%
2022	17.1%	32.7%
2023	16.6%	32.1%
2024	16%	31.6%
2025	15.4%	31%
2026	14.8%	30.5%
2027	14.1%	29.9%
2028	13.5%	29.4%
2029	12.8%	28.8%
2030	12.1%	28.3%
2031	11.5%	27.8%
2032	10.8%	27.3%
2033	10.3%	26.8%
2034	9.83%	26.4%
2035	9.53%	26%
2036	9.37%	25.7%
2037	9.31%	25.5%
2038	9.31%	25.2%
2039	9.34%	24.9%
2040	9.38%	24.6%
2041	9.43%	24.3%
2042	9.49%	24%
2043	9.56%	23.7%
2044	9.63%	23.4%
2045	9.71%	23.1%
2046	9.78%	22.8%
2047	9.85%	22.5%
2048	9.9%	22.2%
2049	9.93%	21.9%
2050	9.94%	21.6%

Children aged 0-14 make up 16% of the population in China and 31.6% in Guatemala in 2024, compared to 28.8% and 45.4% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of China and Guatemala compared.

Natural population change in China vs Guatemala by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +0.31% in China and +1.83% in Guatemala. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	China	Guatemala
1960	-3,048,510	120,728
1961	2,496,047	123,753
1962	17,969,132	126,429
1963	22,742,225	129,065
1964	19,302,532	132,832
1965	20,296,950	135,997
1966	19,282,187	140,494
1967	19,263,662	143,859
1968	21,206,083	146,946
1969	20,760,332	149,516
1970	21,137,076	155,946
1971	19,622,980	165,104
1972	19,102,585	173,162
1973	18,423,727	179,871
1974	15,738,118	184,992
1975	14,378,237	188,501
1976	11,782,472	171,903
1977	11,378,068	203,299
1978	11,473,980	211,301
1979	11,250,148	216,810
1980	11,647,260	218,460
1981	14,461,027	221,044
1982	15,815,318	199,809
1983	13,599,789	238,059
1984	13,561,671	241,892
1985	14,987,830	246,119
1986	16,609,920	252,754
1987	18,005,821	261,746
1988	17,328,640	271,466
1989	16,824,495	276,736
1990	16,335,313	280,318
1991	14,937,124	283,917
1992	13,548,601	288,411
1993	13,493,138	295,515
1994	13,360,470	302,708
1995	12,711,220	309,236
1996	12,686,872	315,252
1997	12,374,554	320,087
1998	11,351,286	325,174
1999	10,247,372	328,890
2000	9,570,849	332,891
2001	8,839,358	335,503
2002	8,258,580	334,255
2003	7,743,284	333,539
2004	7,607,960	331,699
2005	7,678,911	325,816
2006	6,922,185	325,604
2007	6,813,465	326,298
2008	6,729,247	323,226
2009	6,483,236	323,320
2010	6,407,607	324,802
2011	8,245,065	328,548
2012	10,075,174	332,365
2013	8,043,116	331,321
2014	9,205,180	333,551
2015	6,788,911	335,072
2016	9,062,269	338,114
2017	7,790,880	332,838
2018	5,302,433	323,100
2019	4,673,713	307,389
2020	2,046,095	281,328
2021	480,203	255,145
2022	-847,305	281,675
2023	-2,087,851	289,635

Maternal mortality chart: China vs Guatemala

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 16 deaths per 100,000 live births in China, compared to 94 deaths in Guatemala.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	China	Guatemala
1985	125	301
1986	120	286
1987	114	277
1988	108	273
1989	104	271
1990	102	270
1991	92	268
1992	86	269
1993	80	262
1994	76	244
1995	71	229
1996	67	213
1997	63	198
1998	60	185
1999	58	174
2000	56	166
2001	52	162
2002	50	153
2003	47	150
2004	45	148
2005	42	153
2006	40	142
2007	38	135
2008	38	133
2009	35	130
2010	34	127
2011	33	120
2012	32	115
2013	30	111
2014	28	111
2015	26	112
2016	25	110
2017	24	107
2018	22	107
2019	21	106
2020	20	102
2021	21	125
2022	18	97
2023	16	94

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 0.62% in China and 2.14% in Guatemala. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	China	Guatemala
1960	-	22.2%
1961	-	21.6%
1962	-	21.1%
1963	-	20.6%
1964	-	20.1%
1965	-	19.6%
1966	-	19.1%
1967	-	18.6%
1968	-	18.1%
1969	11.9%	17.6%
1970	11.3%	17.1%
1971	10.7%	16.6%
1972	10.2%	16.1%
1973	9.61%	15.6%
1974	9.05%	15.1%
1975	8.5%	14.6%
1976	7.97%	16.5%
1977	7.47%	13.6%
1978	7.01%	13.2%
1979	6.62%	12.7%
1980	6.28%	12.2%
1981	6%	11.8%
1982	5.78%	13.6%
1983	5.61%	10.9%
1984	5.5%	10.5%
1985	5.43%	10%
1986	5.4%	9.6%
1987	5.4%	9.19%
1988	5.4%	8.79%
1989	5.39%	8.41%
1990	5.37%	8.04%
1991	5.31%	7.68%
1992	5.22%	7.34%
1993	5.08%	7.02%
1994	4.93%	6.71%
1995	4.75%	6.42%
1996	4.56%	6.15%
1997	4.36%	5.89%
1998	4.14%	5.65%
1999	3.91%	5.42%
2000	3.67%	5.21%
2001	3.42%	5%
2002	3.15%	4.8%
2003	2.89%	4.61%
2004	2.64%	4.43%
2005	2.4%	4.26%
2006	2.19%	4.1%
2007	2.01%	3.93%
2008	1.85%	3.78%
2009	1.71%	3.62%
2010	1.58%	3.48%
2011	1.46%	3.33%
2012	1.35%	3.2%
2013	1.25%	3.07%
2014	1.15%	2.94%
2015	1.07%	2.83%
2016	0.99%	2.72%
2017	0.92%	2.63%
2018	0.86%	2.54%
2019	0.8%	2.45%
2020	0.75%	2.37%
2021	0.7%	2.28%
2022	0.66%	2.21%
2023	0.62%	2.14%