Fertility & birth rates in Bulgaria and Poland

Fertility rate in Bulgaria vs Poland by year

Chart Table

Bulgaria

Poland

1x

Year	Fertility rate
	Bulgaria	Poland
2023	1.81	1.16
2022	1.78	1.29
2021	1.8	1.33
2020	1.77	1.39
2019	1.79	1.44
2018	1.73	1.46
2017	1.71	1.48
2016	1.67	1.39
2015	1.64	1.32
2014	1.62	1.32
2013	1.54	1.29
2012	1.5	1.33
2011	1.51	1.33
2010	1.57	1.41
2009	1.66	1.4
2008	1.56	1.39
2007	1.49	1.31
2006	1.44	1.27
2005	1.37	1.24
2004	1.33	1.23
2003	1.26	1.22
2002	1.23	1.25
2001	1.21	1.31
2000	1.26	1.37
1999	1.23	1.37
1998	1.11	1.44
1997	1.09	1.51
1996	1.23	1.59
1995	1.23	1.62
1994	1.37	1.81
1993	1.46	1.87
1992	1.55	1.95
1991	1.66	2.07
1990	1.82	2.06
1989	1.9	2.08
1988	1.97	2.13
1987	1.96	2.15
1986	2.02	2.22
1985	1.97	2.33
1984	2.01	2.37
1983	2.01	2.42
1982	2.01	2.34
1981	2	2.24
1980	2.05	2.28
1979	2.16	2.28
1978	2.15	2.21
1977	2.21	2.23
1976	2.24	2.3
1975	2.23	2.27
1974	2.29	2.26
1973	2.15	2.26
1972	2.03	2.24
1971	2.1	2.25
1970	2.17	2.2
1969	2.27	2.2
1968	2.27	2.24
1967	2.02	2.33
1966	2.03	2.34
1965	2.09	2.52
1964	2.19	2.57
1963	2.21	2.7
1962	2.24	2.72
1961	2.29	2.83
1960	2.31	2.98

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Bulgaria was 1.81 children per woman in 2023, compared to 1.16 in Poland in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Bulgaria vs Poland population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

Natural population change by year

Chart Table

Bulgaria

Poland

1x

Year	Natural population change
	Bulgaria	Poland
2023	-43,837	-135,743
2022	-62,065	-143,605
2021	-90,452	-184,907
2020	-65,507	-120,050
2019	-46,317	-34,169
2018	-46,304	-26,582
2017	-45,583	0
2016	-42,744	-3,797
2015	-44,699	-26,590
2014	-41,027	0
2013	-37,948	-19,020
2012	-40,183	0
2011	-37,477	11,419
2010	-34,759	38,043
2009	-26,800	30,521
2008	-32,967	34,313
2007	-37,727	11,436
2006	-39,526	3,814
2005	-42,124	-3,817
2004	-40,128	-7,637
2003	-44,319	-15,281
2002	-46,240	-3,823
2001	-44,050	3,825
2000	-41,668	11,478
1999	-39,411	0
1998	-52,844	19,332
1997	-58,185	34,785
1996	-45,159	42,487
1995	-42,030	46,314
1994	-32,086	96,357
1993	-24,569	103,846
1992	-18,789	118,928
1991	-14,675	141,511
1990	-3,487	160,066
1989	5,326	182,215
1988	9,879	215,599
1987	8,971	226,008
1986	16,125	258,448
1985	11,649	297,615
1984	20,610	332,137
1983	21,455	373,032
1982	24,077	369,551
1981	29,341	351,806
1980	30,129	348,627
1979	40,599	366,571
1978	44,070	339,166
1977	47,543	353,828
1976	56,055	367,612
1975	54,941	350,356
1974	64,223	346,893
1973	57,760	320,229
1972	47,169	314,028
1971	52,925	278,660
1970	61,125	280,913
1969	63,256	270,151
1968	69,468	280,963
1967	49,861	275,089
1966	54,504	297,801
1965	58,249	314,450
1964	66,783	326,965
1963	66,241	359,330
1962	64,104	360,671
1961	75,460	398,521
1960	76,314	444,562

The chart above illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes in population resulting from births and deaths.

Excluding migration, the natural population change due to births and deaths from 2022 to 2023 was -0.68% in Bulgaria and -0.37% in Poland.

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change has been -0.79% in Bulgaria and -0.18% in Poland.

Birth rate in Bulgaria vs Poland by year

Chart Table

Bulgaria

Poland

Annual births per 1,000 people

1x

Year	Annual births per 1,000 people
	Bulgaria	Poland
2023	8.9	7.4
2022	8.8	8.3
2021	9	9
2020	9	9.5
2019	9.3	9.9
2018	9.3	10.2
2017	9.4	10.6
2016	9.4	10.1
2015	9.4	9.7
2014	9.6	9.9
2013	9.3	9.7
2012	9.5	10.1
2011	9.6	10.2
2010	10.2	10.9
2009	10.9	10.9
2008	10.4	10.9
2007	10	10.2
2006	9.7	9.8
2005	9.3	9.5
2004	9.1	9.3
2003	8.7	9.2
2002	8.5	9.3
2001	8.5	9.6
2000	9	9.9
1999	8.8	9.9
1998	7.9	10.2
1997	7.7	10.7
1996	8.6	11.1
1995	8.6	11.2
1994	9.4	12.5
1993	10	12.9
1992	10.4	13.4
1991	11.1	14.3
1990	12.1	14.4
1989	12.6	14.9
1988	13.1	15.6
1987	13	16.1
1986	13.4	17
1985	13.3	18.3
1984	13.6	19
1983	13.8	19.8
1982	13.9	19.5
1981	14	19
1980	14.5	19.6
1979	15.3	19.6
1978	15.5	19.1
1977	16.1	19.2
1976	16.5	19.6
1975	16.6	19
1974	17.2	18.5
1973	16.2	18
1972	15.3	17.5
1971	15.9	17.2
1970	16.3	16.8
1969	17	16.4
1968	16.9	16.3
1967	15	16.3
1966	14.9	16.8
1965	15.3	17.4
1964	16.1	18.1
1963	16.4	19.2
1962	16.7	19.8
1961	17.4	20.9
1960	17.8	22.6

The latest reported birth rate per 1,000 people in 2023 was 8.9 in Bulgaria and 7.4 in Poland, compared with 17.8 and 22.6, respectively, in 1960.

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Chart Table

Bulgaria

Factual

UN forecast

Poland

Factual

UN forecast

1x

Year	Young
	Bulgaria	Poland
2100	13%	10.3%
2099	13.1%	10.3%
2098	13.1%	10.4%
2097	13.1%	10.4%
2096	13.2%	10.5%
2095	13.2%	10.5%
2094	13.3%	10.6%
2093	13.4%	10.7%
2092	13.4%	10.7%
2091	13.4%	10.8%
2090	13.5%	10.9%
2089	13.5%	10.9%
2088	13.6%	10.9%
2087	13.6%	10.9%
2086	13.6%	10.9%
2085	13.6%	10.9%
2084	13.6%	10.9%
2083	13.6%	10.9%
2082	13.6%	10.8%
2081	13.6%	10.7%
2080	13.6%	10.7%
2079	13.6%	10.6%
2078	13.6%	10.5%
2077	13.6%	10.4%
2076	13.6%	10.3%
2075	13.5%	10.3%
2074	13.5%	10.2%
2073	13.5%	10.1%
2072	13.5%	10.1%
2071	13.5%	10.1%
2070	13.5%	10.1%
2069	13.6%	10.1%
2068	13.6%	10.2%
2067	13.6%	10.2%
2066	13.6%	10.3%
2065	13.6%	10.4%
2064	13.7%	10.5%
2063	13.7%	10.6%
2062	13.7%	10.7%
2061	13.8%	10.9%
2060	13.8%	11%
2059	13.8%	11.1%
2058	13.9%	11.2%
2057	13.9%	11.3%
2056	13.9%	11.4%
2055	13.9%	11.5%
2054	13.9%	11.5%
2053	13.9%	11.5%
2052	13.9%	11.5%
2051	13.8%	11.5%
2050	13.8%	11.5%
2049	13.8%	11.4%
2048	13.7%	11.4%
2047	13.7%	11.3%
2046	13.6%	11.2%
2045	13.6%	11.2%
2044	13.6%	11.1%
2043	13.6%	11.1%
2042	13.6%	11%
2041	13.6%	11%
2040	13.6%	11.1%
2039	13.6%	11.1%
2038	13.7%	11.2%
2037	13.7%	11.3%
2036	13.7%	11.4%
2035	13.7%	11.6%
2034	13.8%	11.9%
2033	13.8%	12.2%
2032	13.9%	12.5%
2031	14%	12.8%
2030	14.1%	13.1%
2029	14.2%	13.4%
2028	14.2%	13.7%
2027	14.3%	14%
2026	14.4%	14.3%
2025	14.4%	14.6%
2024	14.5%	14.8%
2023	14.5%	15.1%
2022	14.5%	15.3%
2021	14.5%	15.5%
2020	14.4%	15.5%
2019	14.4%	15.4%
2018	14.3%	15.3%
2017	14.2%	15.2%
2016	14%	15.1%
2015	13.9%	15.1%
2014	13.8%	15.1%
2013	13.7%	15.1%
2012	13.6%	15.1%
2011	13.5%	15.2%
2010	13.5%	15.1%
2009	13.4%	15.2%
2008	13.3%	15.4%
2007	13.4%	15.7%
2006	13.5%	16%
2005	13.7%	16.5%
2004	14%	17%
2003	14.4%	17.5%
2002	14.8%	18.1%
2001	15.2%	18.7%
2000	15.7%	19.4%
1999	16.1%	20.2%
1998	16.5%	20.9%
1997	17%	21.6%
1996	17.4%	22.2%
1995	17.9%	22.8%
1994	18.3%	23.4%
1993	18.8%	23.9%
1992	19.3%	24.3%
1991	19.8%	24.6%
1990	20.3%	25%
1989	20.8%	25.3%
1988	21.1%	25.5%
1987	21.3%	25.6%
1986	21.4%	25.6%
1985	21.6%	25.5%
1984	21.8%	25.3%
1983	22%	25%
1982	22.1%	24.7%
1981	22.1%	24.5%
1980	22.1%	24.3%
1979	22.1%	24.1%
1978	22.2%	24%
1977	22.2%	24%
1976	22.3%	24%
1975	22.3%	24%
1974	22.2%	24.3%
1973	22.3%	24.8%
1972	22.4%	25.4%
1971	22.6%	26.1%
1970	22.8%	26.9%
1969	23%	27.8%
1968	23.2%	28.6%
1967	23.4%	29.5%
1966	23.8%	30.3%
1965	24.2%	31.1%
1964	24.7%	31.9%
1963	25.1%	32.5%
1962	25.4%	33%
1961	25.8%	33.4%
1960	26.1%	33.4%

Children aged 0-14 make up 14.5% of the population in Bulgaria and 14.8% in Poland in 2024, compared to 20.3% and 25% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Bulgaria and Poland compared.

Maternal mortality chart: Bulgaria vs Poland

Chart Table

Bulgaria

Poland

1x

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Bulgaria	Poland
2023	6	2
2022	10	2
2021	9	2
2020	9	3
2019	6	2
2018	7	2
2017	7	2
2016	7	2
2015	7	2
2014	7	2
2013	7	2
2012	7	2
2011	8	2
2010	9	3
2009	9	3
2008	10	3
2007	11	3
2006	12	4
2005	13	4
2004	14	4
2003	14	5
2002	15	5
2001	17	6
2000	19	7
1999	20	8
1998	20	9
1997	23	10
1996	22	11
1995	23	12
1994	25	14
1993	23	15
1992	25	16
1991	25	18
1990	27	18
1989	25	18
1988	26	18
1987	25	18
1986	25	19
1985	26	19

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 6 deaths per 100,000 live births in Bulgaria, compared to 2 deaths in Poland.

Under-five mortality rates

Chart Table

Bulgaria

Poland

Probability that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five

1x

Year	Under 5 mortality rate
	Bulgaria	Poland
2023	0.61%	0.44%
2022	0.62%	0.44%
2021	0.63%	0.44%
2020	0.65%	0.44%
2019	0.67%	0.44%
2018	0.7%	0.45%
2017	0.73%	0.46%
2016	0.77%	0.48%
2015	0.82%	0.49%
2014	0.87%	0.5%
2013	0.93%	0.52%
2012	0.99%	0.54%
2011	1.04%	0.57%
2010	1.08%	0.6%
2009	1.12%	0.63%
2008	1.14%	0.67%
2007	1.18%	0.7%
2006	1.24%	0.73%
2005	1.33%	0.76%
2004	1.42%	0.78%
2003	1.51%	0.81%
2002	1.6%	0.84%
2001	1.68%	0.88%
2000	1.75%	0.93%
1999	1.82%	1%
1998	1.89%	1.09%
1997	1.93%	1.2%
1996	1.94%	1.32%
1995	1.92%	1.43%
1994	1.91%	1.53%
1993	1.92%	1.6%
1992	1.92%	1.65%
1991	1.89%	1.69%
1990	1.83%	1.74%
1989	1.79%	1.79%
1988	1.78%	1.84%
1987	1.8%	1.89%
1986	1.87%	1.96%
1985	1.97%	2.03%
1984	2.07%	2.11%
1983	2.15%	2.19%
1982	2.22%	2.26%
1981	2.3%	2.33%
1980	2.38%	2.4%
1979	2.49%	2.47%
1978	2.6%	2.54%
1977	2.72%	2.62%
1976	2.8%	2.7%
1975	2.86%	2.79%
1974	2.91%	2.9%
1973	2.95%	3.06%
1972	3.01%	3.24%
1971	3.11%	3.42%
1970	3.25%	3.59%
1969	3.4%	3.75%
1968	3.54%	3.89%
1967	3.64%	4.06%
1966	3.7%	4.29%
1965	3.75%	4.57%
1964	3.86%	4.89%
1963	4.08%	5.23%
1962	4.43%	5.6%
1961	4.89%	6.02%
1960	5.47%	6.51%

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 0.61% in Bulgaria and 0.44% in Poland. Above is a chart with historical data on under-five mortality rates.