Fertility & birth rates in Poland and Tajikistan

Fertility rate in Poland vs Tajikistan chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Poland was 1.16 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.07 in Tajikistan in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Poland vs Tajikistan population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Poland	Tajikistan
1960	2.98	6.24
1961	2.83	6.35
1962	2.72	6.48
1963	2.7	6.62
1964	2.57	6.68
1965	2.52	6.74
1966	2.34	6.82
1967	2.33	6.89
1968	2.24	6.91
1969	2.2	6.91
1970	2.2	6.91
1971	2.25	6.91
1972	2.24	6.89
1973	2.26	6.84
1974	2.26	6.77
1975	2.27	6.69
1976	2.3	6.6
1977	2.23	6.49
1978	2.21	6.4
1979	2.28	6.31
1980	2.28	6.21
1981	2.24	6.12
1982	2.34	6.03
1983	2.42	5.98
1984	2.37	5.96
1985	2.33	5.94
1986	2.22	5.91
1987	2.15	5.84
1988	2.13	5.75
1989	2.08	5.61
1990	2.06	5.46
1991	2.07	5.28
1992	1.95	5.06
1993	1.87	4.92
1994	1.81	4.79
1995	1.62	4.66
1996	1.59	3.94
1997	1.51	4.06
1998	1.44	4.07
1999	1.37	3.85
2000	1.37	3.49
2001	1.31	3.49
2002	1.25	3.47
2003	1.22	3.42
2004	1.23	3.51
2005	1.24	3.4
2006	1.27	3.34
2007	1.31	3.37
2008	1.39	3.39
2009	1.4	3.43
2010	1.41	3.46
2011	1.33	3.46
2012	1.33	3.42
2013	1.29	3.43
2014	1.32	3.46
2015	1.32	3.46
2016	1.39	3.38
2017	1.48	3.29
2018	1.46	3.29
2019	1.44	3.28
2020	1.39	3.21
2021	1.33	3.17
2022	1.29	3.13
2023	1.16	3.07
2024	1.16	3.04
2025	1.17	2.99
2026	1.17	2.96
2027	1.17	2.93
2028	1.18	2.89
2029	1.18	2.86
2030	1.19	2.83
2031	1.19	2.8
2032	1.19	2.76
2033	1.2	2.73
2034	1.2	2.7
2035	1.21	2.68
2036	1.21	2.65
2037	1.21	2.63
2038	1.21	2.6
2039	1.22	2.58
2040	1.22	2.55
2041	1.22	2.53
2042	1.22	2.51
2043	1.23	2.49
2044	1.23	2.46
2045	1.24	2.44
2046	1.24	2.42
2047	1.24	2.4
2048	1.24	2.38
2049	1.24	2.37
2050	1.25	2.35

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Poland	Tajikistan
1960	33.4%	40.2%
1961	33.4%	41.4%
1962	33%	42.5%
1963	32.5%	43.4%
1964	31.9%	44.1%
1965	31.1%	44.4%
1966	30.3%	44.6%
1967	29.5%	44.7%
1968	28.6%	44.7%
1969	27.8%	44.6%
1970	26.9%	44.6%
1971	26.1%	44.5%
1972	25.4%	44.4%
1973	24.8%	44.3%
1974	24.3%	44.2%
1975	24%	44%
1976	24%	43.8%
1977	24%	43.6%
1978	24%	43.4%
1979	24.1%	43.2%
1980	24.3%	43.2%
1981	24.5%	43.2%
1982	24.7%	43.2%
1983	25%	43.3%
1984	25.3%	43.3%
1985	25.5%	43.3%
1986	25.6%	43.1%
1987	25.6%	43.1%
1988	25.5%	43.2%
1989	25.3%	43.4%
1990	25%	43.7%
1991	24.6%	44%
1992	24.3%	44.3%
1993	23.9%	44.6%
1994	23.4%	44.8%
1995	22.8%	44.9%
1996	22.2%	44.7%
1997	21.6%	44.3%
1998	20.9%	43.7%
1999	20.2%	43%
2000	19.4%	42.3%
2001	18.7%	41.5%
2002	18.1%	40.7%
2003	17.5%	39.9%
2004	17%	39.3%
2005	16.5%	38.6%
2006	16%	38%
2007	15.7%	37.6%
2008	15.4%	37.3%
2009	15.2%	37%
2010	15.1%	36.8%
2011	15.2%	36.7%
2012	15.1%	36.7%
2013	15.1%	36.5%
2014	15.1%	36.4%
2015	15.1%	36.3%
2016	15.1%	36.3%
2017	15.2%	36.2%
2018	15.3%	36.2%
2019	15.4%	36.3%
2020	15.5%	36.4%
2021	15.5%	36.6%
2022	15.3%	36.6%
2023	15.1%	36.5%
2024	14.8%	36.3%
2025	14.5%	35.9%
2026	14.1%	35.4%
2027	13.8%	35%
2028	13.5%	34.5%
2029	13.2%	33.9%
2030	13%	33.2%
2031	12.7%	32.5%
2032	12.4%	32%
2033	12.1%	31.6%
2034	11.8%	31.2%
2035	11.5%	30.8%
2036	11.3%	30.4%
2037	11.2%	30.1%
2038	11.1%	29.8%
2039	11.1%	29.6%
2040	11.1%	29.4%
2041	11%	29.2%
2042	11.1%	29.1%
2043	11.1%	29%
2044	11.1%	28.9%
2045	11.2%	28.7%
2046	11.3%	28.6%
2047	11.3%	28.4%
2048	11.4%	28.1%
2049	11.5%	27.9%
2050	11.5%	27.6%

Children aged 0-14 make up 14.8% of the population in Poland and 36.3% in Tajikistan in 2024, compared to 25% and 43.7% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Poland and Tajikistan compared.

Natural population change in Poland vs Tajikistan by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been -0.18% in Poland and +2.42% in Tajikistan. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Poland	Tajikistan
1960	444,562	65,415
1961	398,521	68,182
1962	360,671	70,700
1963	359,330	73,065
1964	326,965	74,030
1965	314,450	75,139
1966	297,801	76,702
1967	275,089	78,733
1968	280,963	80,698
1969	270,151	82,931
1970	280,913	85,645
1971	278,660	88,618
1972	314,028	91,677
1973	320,229	94,523
1974	346,893	97,481
1975	350,356	100,604
1976	367,612	103,777
1977	353,828	106,920
1978	339,166	110,564
1979	366,571	114,496
1980	348,627	117,888
1981	351,806	121,418
1982	369,551	127,838
1983	373,032	133,280
1984	332,137	139,145
1985	297,615	145,720
1986	258,448	155,987
1987	226,008	163,611
1988	215,599	172,805
1989	182,215	179,212
1990	160,066	178,429
1991	141,511	177,585
1992	118,928	163,652
1993	103,846	157,975
1994	96,357	167,590
1995	46,314	168,934
1996	42,487	138,287
1997	34,785	149,825
1998	19,332	153,508
1999	0	147,622
2000	11,478	136,549
2001	3,825	142,276
2002	-3,823	146,492
2003	-15,281	150,391
2004	-7,637	161,201
2005	-3,817	160,189
2006	3,814	164,046
2007	11,436	173,200
2008	34,313	182,337
2009	30,521	192,851
2010	38,043	201,389
2011	11,419	208,429
2012	0	213,078
2013	-19,020	220,693
2014	0	227,304
2015	-26,590	230,903
2016	-3,797	228,547
2017	0	224,396
2018	-26,582	228,597
2019	-34,169	231,817
2020	-120,050	219,467
2021	-184,907	222,850
2022	-143,605	228,336
2023	-135,743	223,828

Maternal mortality chart: Poland vs Tajikistan

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 2 deaths per 100,000 live births in Poland, compared to 14 deaths in Tajikistan.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Poland	Tajikistan
1985	19	98
1986	19	91
1987	18	91
1988	18	83
1989	18	85
1990	18	80
1991	18	79
1992	16	84
1993	15	84
1994	14	85
1995	12	81
1996	11	82
1997	10	76
1998	9	72
1999	8	64
2000	7	58
2001	6	58
2002	5	48
2003	5	39
2004	4	36
2005	4	36
2006	4	35
2007	3	30
2008	3	29
2009	3	29
2010	3	26
2011	2	25
2012	2	23
2013	2	21
2014	2	21
2015	2	20
2016	2	20
2017	2	17
2018	2	16
2019	2	16
2020	3	25
2021	2	25
2022	2	14
2023	2	14

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 0.44% in Poland and 2.73% in Tajikistan. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Poland	Tajikistan
1960	6.51%	-
1961	6.02%	-
1962	5.6%	-
1963	5.23%	-
1964	4.89%	-
1965	4.57%	-
1966	4.29%	-
1967	4.06%	-
1968	3.89%	-
1969	3.75%	-
1970	3.59%	-
1971	3.42%	-
1972	3.24%	15.5%
1973	3.06%	15%
1974	2.9%	14.4%
1975	2.79%	14%
1976	2.7%	13.5%
1977	2.62%	13.2%
1978	2.54%	13%
1979	2.47%	12.8%
1980	2.4%	12.7%
1981	2.33%	12.6%
1982	2.26%	12.5%
1983	2.19%	12.3%
1984	2.11%	12%
1985	2.03%	11.6%
1986	1.96%	11.1%
1987	1.89%	10.5%
1988	1.84%	10.1%
1989	1.79%	9.88%
1990	1.74%	9.92%
1991	1.69%	10.2%
1992	1.65%	10.6%
1993	1.6%	10.9%
1994	1.53%	11%
1995	1.43%	10.8%
1996	1.32%	10.4%
1997	1.2%	9.86%
1998	1.09%	9.26%
1999	1%	8.62%
2000	0.93%	7.97%
2001	0.88%	7.34%
2002	0.84%	6.75%
2003	0.81%	6.18%
2004	0.78%	5.67%
2005	0.76%	5.22%
2006	0.73%	4.82%
2007	0.7%	4.47%
2008	0.67%	4.17%
2009	0.63%	3.92%
2010	0.6%	3.7%
2011	0.57%	3.52%
2012	0.54%	3.36%
2013	0.52%	3.23%
2014	0.5%	3.12%
2015	0.49%	3.02%
2016	0.48%	2.94%
2017	0.46%	2.88%
2018	0.45%	2.83%
2019	0.44%	2.81%
2020	0.44%	2.8%
2021	0.44%	2.79%
2022	0.44%	2.77%
2023	0.44%	2.73%