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Fertility & birth rates in Kenya and Serbia

Updated on by Georank team

Kenya has an annual birth rate of 27.1 births per 1,000 people, compared to 9.2 for Serbia. The average number of children a woman is expected to have during her lifetime — the fertility rate, is 3.21 in Kenya and 1.61 in Serbia — 49.8% difference.

1960 vs 2023, the fertility rate has decreased by -58.1% in Kenya and by -25.3% in Serbia — in 1960, it was 7.65 and 2.15, respectively.

Birth rates facts compared:

  • Kenya is ranked 43/196 by birth rate compared to 159/196 for Serbia.
  • The mean age for first-time mothers is 20.3 years in Kenya, compared to 28.4 years in Serbia.
  • The mean age at childbearing (for all the births, not just the first) is 28.2 in Kenya — it's 29.7 in Serbia.
  • Annual births per 1,000 women ages 15-19 (adolescent birth rate or teenage mother rate) is 56.3 in Kenya vs 13.7 in Serbia.
  • In Kenya, 26.4% of the population is composed of women of reproductive age (15-49), compared to 21.5% in Serbia.
  • Excluding migration, the natural population change due to births and deaths from 2022 to 2023 was +1.99% in Kenya and -0.55% in Serbia.

Birth rate data compared

Kenya Serbia
Fertility rate 3.21 1.61
Birth rate 27.1 9.2
Birth rate rank 43/196 159/196
Age at first childbirth 20.3 years 28.4 years
Average age at childbearing 28.2 years 29.7 years
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 15-19 52.8 12.6
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 20-29 167.9 73
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 30+ 46.7 11.9
Female of reproductive age (15-49), share of population 26.4% 21.5%
Any modern method of contraceptive prevalence among married women ages 15-49 56.9% 21.3%
Share of births attended by skilled health staff 70.2% 99.9%
Maternal mortality per live birth 0.15% 0.01%
Neonatal mortality rate (before reaching 28 days of age) 2.15% 0.32%
Infant mortality rate (before reaching 1 year of age) 3.47% 0.45%
Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births 3.99% 0.52%
Population change due to births and deaths +1,100,970 -36,427
Natural population change rank 18/196 180/196
Natural population change rate +1.99% -0.55%
Population growth +1.98% -0.54%
Population growth rank 55/197 186/197
Life expectancy 64 years 77.1 years

Fertility rate in Kenya vs Serbia chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Kenya was 3.21 children per woman in 2023, compared to 1.61 in Serbia in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Kenya vs Serbia population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Kenya
Factual

UN forecast
Serbia
Factual

UN forecast

Births per woman

Year Fertility rate
Kenya Serbia
1960 7.65 2.15
1961 7.72 2.13
1962 7.77 2.11
1963 7.82 2.08
1964 7.87 2.07
1965 7.92 2.06
1966 7.96 2.04
1967 7.95 2.02
1968 7.95 2.01
1969 7.95 1.99
1970 7.94 1.97
1971 7.92 1.96
1972 7.89 1.95
1973 7.86 1.94
1974 7.82 1.93
1975 7.8 1.92
1976 7.77 1.91
1977 7.73 1.9
1978 7.67 1.89
1979 7.6 1.88
1980 7.53 1.86
1981 7.45 1.85
1982 7.35 1.84
1983 7.22 1.83
1984 7.08 1.81
1985 6.96 1.8
1986 6.84 1.78
1987 6.69 1.75
1988 6.52 1.72
1989 6.33 1.69
1990 6.14 1.65
1991 5.94 1.61
1992 5.74 1.57
1993 5.57 1.54
1994 5.44 1.51
1995 5.37 1.47
1996 5.31 1.44
1997 5.27 1.4
1998 5.24 1.37
1999 5.18 1.35
2000 5.14 1.48
2001 5.09 1.58
2002 5.03 1.57
2003 4.94 1.59
2004 4.86 1.57
2005 4.8 1.45
2006 4.75 1.43
2007 4.72 1.38
2008 4.66 1.4
2009 4.57 1.44
2010 4.45 1.4
2011 4.28 1.4
2012 4.12 1.45
2013 3.96 1.43
2014 3.84 1.46
2015 3.77 1.46
2016 3.69 1.46
2017 3.61 1.49
2018 3.54 1.49
2019 3.43 1.52
2020 3.36 1.48
2021 3.31 1.52
2022 3.26 1.59
2023 3.21 1.61
2024 3.17 1.61
2025 3.12 1.61
2026 3.07 1.62
2027 3.03 1.62
2028 2.99 1.62
2029 2.95 1.63
2030 2.92 1.63
2031 2.89 1.63
2032 2.85 1.63
2033 2.82 1.64
2034 2.78 1.64
2035 2.75 1.65
2036 2.72 1.65
2037 2.69 1.65
2038 2.66 1.65
2039 2.63 1.65
2040 2.61 1.65
2041 2.58 1.66
2042 2.55 1.66
2043 2.53 1.66
2044 2.5 1.66
2045 2.47 1.67
2046 2.44 1.67
2047 2.42 1.67
2048 2.4 1.67
2049 2.38 1.67
2050 2.36 1.67

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Kenya
Factual

UN forecast
Serbia
Factual

UN forecast
Year Share of people 0-14 years old
Kenya Serbia
1960 48.7% 27.2%
1961 49.1% 27.1%
1962 49.4% 27%
1963 49.7% 26.7%
1964 49.8% 26.3%
1965 50.2% 25.8%
1966 50.6% 25.3%
1967 50.9% 24.7%
1968 51.2% 24.1%
1969 51.4% 23.5%
1970 51.6% 23%
1971 51.7% 22.5%
1972 51.9% 22.2%
1973 52% 22%
1974 52% 21.7%
1975 52% 21.5%
1976 52.1% 21.3%
1977 52% 21%
1978 51.9% 20.9%
1979 51.7% 20.7%
1980 51.5% 20.6%
1981 51.3% 20.6%
1982 51.1% 20.6%
1983 50.8% 20.5%
1984 50.6% 20.5%
1985 50.3% 20.3%
1986 50.1% 20.2%
1987 49.9% 20%
1988 49.7% 19.8%
1989 49.5% 19.6%
1990 49.2% 19.3%
1991 48.9% 19.1%
1992 48.7% 18.8%
1993 48.4% 18.6%
1994 48% 18.3%
1995 47.7% 18%
1996 47.4% 17.7%
1997 47.1% 17.4%
1998 46.8% 17.1%
1999 46.5% 16.7%
2000 46.1% 16.4%
2001 45.7% 16.1%
2002 45.3% 15.8%
2003 45% 15.6%
2004 44.6% 15.4%
2005 44.4% 15.2%
2006 44.2% 15%
2007 44% 14.9%
2008 43.9% 14.7%
2009 43.8% 14.6%
2010 43.6% 14.5%
2011 43.4% 14.4%
2012 43.2% 14.3%
2013 42.8% 14.3%
2014 42.4% 14.3%
2015 42% 14.3%
2016 41.5% 14.3%
2017 41% 14.3%
2018 40.5% 14.3%
2019 39.9% 14.3%
2020 39.3% 14.3%
2021 38.7% 14.3%
2022 38.1% 14.4%
2023 37.4% 14.4%
2024 36.8% 14.3%
2025 36.3% 14.3%
2026 35.7% 14.2%
2027 35.3% 14.1%
2028 34.9% 14.1%
2029 34.5% 14%
2030 34.2% 13.9%
2031 33.9% 13.8%
2032 33.6% 13.7%
2033 33.4% 13.6%
2034 33.2% 13.5%
2035 32.9% 13.4%
2036 32.7% 13.3%
2037 32.5% 13.3%
2038 32.2% 13.2%
2039 32% 13.2%
2040 31.7% 13.1%
2041 31.4% 13.1%
2042 31% 13.1%
2043 30.7% 13.1%
2044 30.4% 13.1%
2045 30% 13.1%
2046 29.7% 13.1%
2047 29.3% 13.1%
2048 28.9% 13.1%
2049 28.5% 13.1%
2050 28.2% 13.1%

Children aged 0-14 make up 36.8% of the population in Kenya and 14.3% in Serbia in 2024, compared to 49.2% and 19.3% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Kenya and Serbia compared.

Natural population change in Kenya vs Serbia by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +2.16% in Kenya and -0.63% in Serbia. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Kenya
Serbia

Natural population change

Year Population change due to births and deaths
Kenya Serbia
1960 280,032 63,642
1961 298,463 61,065
1962 315,797 59,307
1963 332,763 55,580
1964 349,322 54,185
1965 366,444 53,383
1966 382,891 53,338
1967 396,920 53,120
1968 411,948 51,653
1969 427,819 50,304
1970 443,065 48,343
1971 459,897 47,424
1972 472,557 48,248
1973 485,556 49,596
1974 500,008 51,583
1975 517,579 52,502
1976 536,740 51,399
1977 554,124 48,105
1978 574,695 43,636
1979 595,390 39,022
1980 616,390 36,273
1981 642,379 34,304
1982 663,109 30,603
1983 684,587 27,515
1984 709,639 23,815
1985 732,739 22,090
1986 755,606 19,407
1987 775,124 16,711
1988 785,652 13,852
1989 795,622 11,872
1990 789,087 7,416
1991 790,030 2,210
1992 785,018 -3,779
1993 788,579 -5,703
1994 792,702 -7,157
1995 812,391 -7,628
1996 827,326 -16,007
1997 847,493 -18,389
1998 875,511 -23,006
1999 898,484 -29,408
2000 928,357 -30,065
2001 963,721 -20,259
2002 992,044 -24,750
2003 1,018,182 -24,686
2004 1,048,590 -26,121
2005 1,080,446 -34,227
2006 1,113,357 -31,870
2007 1,147,063 -34,693
2008 1,174,818 -33,590
2009 1,193,598 -33,676
2010 1,199,786 -34,999
2011 1,185,863 -36,906
2012 1,161,548 -35,288
2013 1,136,006 -34,399
2014 1,123,333 -34,946
2015 1,119,200 -37,605
2016 1,108,801 -35,998
2017 1,105,769 -39,317
2018 1,097,075 -37,707
2019 1,071,777 -36,810
2020 1,036,253 -55,193
2021 1,037,082 -74,494
2022 1,092,102 -46,651
2023 1,100,970 -36,427

Fertility rates around the globe

Fertility rate

Maternal mortality chart: Kenya vs Serbia

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 149 deaths per 100,000 live births in Kenya, compared to 11 deaths in Serbia.

Kenya
Serbia
Year Maternal mortality per 100K births
Kenya Serbia
1985 1,375 15
1986 1,059 15
1987 960 15
1988 756 14
1989 663 14
1990 586 14
1991 493 14
1992 419 15
1993 363 16
1994 342 16
1995 308 17
1996 275 17
1997 253 17
1998 250 19
1999 217 17
2000 206 16
2001 188 15
2002 182 14
2003 177 14
2004 177 13
2005 178 13
2006 188 12
2007 198 12
2008 197 12
2009 208 12
2010 210 13
2011 209 13
2012 214 13
2013 206 13
2014 203 13
2015 203 13
2016 196 13
2017 186 13
2018 183 12
2019 176 12
2020 184 16
2021 183 26
2022 155 14
2023 149 11

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 3.99% in Kenya and 0.52% in Serbia. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Kenya
Serbia

Probability that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five

Year Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
Kenya Serbia
1960 19.6% -
1961 18.8% -
1962 18.1% -
1963 17.5% -
1964 17% -
1965 16.6% -
1966 16.3% -
1967 16% -
1968 15.7% -
1969 15.4% -
1970 15% -
1971 14.7% -
1972 14.3% -
1973 14% -
1974 13.5% -
1975 13.1% -
1976 12.7% -
1977 12.2% -
1978 11.8% -
1979 11.4% -
1980 11% -
1981 10.6% -
1982 10.3% -
1983 9.98% -
1984 9.74% 4.07%
1985 9.57% 3.93%
1986 9.49% 3.78%
1987 9.51% 3.59%
1988 9.63% 3.36%
1989 9.85% 3.1%
1990 10.1% 2.85%
1991 10.5% 2.61%
1992 10.7% 2.43%
1993 10.9% 2.29%
1994 11% 2.14%
1995 11% 1.95%
1996 10.9% 1.74%
1997 10.7% 1.56%
1998 10.4% 1.42%
1999 10.1% 1.32%
2000 9.63% 1.26%
2001 9.16% 1.2%
2002 8.66% 1.14%
2003 8.16% 1.05%
2004 7.66% 0.97%
2005 7.15% 0.9%
2006 6.71% 0.85%
2007 6.32% 0.82%
2008 5.82% 0.79%
2009 5.54% 0.78%
2010 5.35% 0.76%
2011 5.22% 0.73%
2012 5.12% 0.71%
2013 5% 0.68%
2014 4.88% 0.66%
2015 4.74% 0.63%
2016 4.6% 0.61%
2017 4.53% 0.59%
2018 4.43% 0.58%
2019 4.33% 0.57%
2020 4.28% 0.55%
2021 4.19% 0.54%
2022 4.11% 0.53%
2023 3.99% 0.52%

Compare countries by 7 more topics

Birth rate comparisons

Birth rate vs Kenya vs Serbia
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