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Fertility & birth rates in Kenya and Thailand

Updated on by Georank team

Kenya has an annual birth rate of 27.1 births per 1,000 people, compared to 8.24 for Thailand. The average number of children a woman is expected to have during her lifetime — the fertility rate, is 3.21 in Kenya and 1.21 in Thailand — 62.2% difference.

1960 vs 2023, the fertility rate has decreased by -58.1% in Kenya and by -80.8% in Thailand — in 1960, it was 7.65 and 6.33, respectively.

Birth rates facts compared:

  • Kenya is ranked 43/196 by birth rate compared to 173/196 for Thailand.
  • The mean age for first-time mothers is 20.3 years in Kenya, compared to 23.3 years in Thailand.
  • The mean age at childbearing (for all the births, not just the first) is 28.2 in Kenya — it's 28.5 in Thailand.
  • Annual births per 1,000 women ages 15-19 (adolescent birth rate or teenage mother rate) is 56.3 in Kenya vs 26.1 in Thailand.
  • In Kenya, 26.4% of the population is composed of women of reproductive age (15-49), compared to 24.1% in Thailand.
  • Excluding migration, the natural population change due to births and deaths from 2022 to 2023 was +1.99% in Kenya and -0.06% in Thailand.

Birth rate data compared

Kenya Thailand
Fertility rate 3.21 1.21
Birth rate 27.1 8.24
Birth rate rank 43/196 173/196
Age at first childbirth 20.3 years 23.3 years
Average age at childbearing 28.2 years 28.5 years
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 15-19 52.8 23.9
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 20-29 167.9 58.2
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 30+ 46.7 9.91
Female of reproductive age (15-49), share of population 26.4% 24.1%
Any modern method of contraceptive prevalence among married women ages 15-49 56.9% 70.7%
Share of births attended by skilled health staff 70.2% 99.1%
Maternal mortality per live birth 0.15% 0.03%
Neonatal mortality rate (before reaching 28 days of age) 2.15% 0.52%
Infant mortality rate (before reaching 1 year of age) 3.47% 0.8%
Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births 3.99% 0.92%
Population change due to births and deaths +1,100,970 -46,105
Natural population change rank 18/196 183/196
Natural population change rate +1.99% -0.06%
Population growth +1.98% -0.05%
Population growth rank 55/197 170/197
Life expectancy 64 years 76.8 years

Fertility rate in Kenya vs Thailand chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Kenya was 3.21 children per woman in 2023, compared to 1.21 in Thailand in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Kenya vs Thailand population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Kenya
Factual

UN forecast
Thailand
Factual

UN forecast

Births per woman

Year Fertility rate
Kenya Thailand
1960 7.65 6.33
1961 7.72 6.32
1962 7.77 6.33
1963 7.82 6.34
1964 7.87 6.31
1965 7.92 6.26
1966 7.96 6.18
1967 7.95 6.08
1968 7.95 5.93
1969 7.95 5.7
1970 7.94 5.45
1971 7.92 5.25
1972 7.89 5.08
1973 7.86 4.85
1974 7.82 4.6
1975 7.8 4.36
1976 7.77 4.12
1977 7.73 3.87
1978 7.67 3.62
1979 7.6 3.45
1980 7.53 3.29
1981 7.45 3.13
1982 7.35 2.94
1983 7.22 2.76
1984 7.08 2.58
1985 6.96 2.45
1986 6.84 2.36
1987 6.69 2.26
1988 6.52 2.17
1989 6.33 2.14
1990 6.14 2.07
1991 5.94 2.04
1992 5.74 2.01
1993 5.57 1.97
1994 5.44 1.93
1995 5.37 1.89
1996 5.31 1.87
1997 5.27 1.85
1998 5.24 1.82
1999 5.18 1.77
2000 5.14 1.73
2001 5.09 1.71
2002 5.03 1.69
2003 4.94 1.67
2004 4.86 1.67
2005 4.8 1.64
2006 4.75 1.63
2007 4.72 1.62
2008 4.66 1.59
2009 4.57 1.57
2010 4.45 1.56
2011 4.28 1.57
2012 4.12 1.56
2013 3.96 1.53
2014 3.84 1.48
2015 3.77 1.45
2016 3.69 1.4
2017 3.61 1.36
2018 3.54 1.32
2019 3.43 1.29
2020 3.36 1.26
2021 3.31 1.23
2022 3.26 1.22
2023 3.21 1.21
2024 3.17 1.2
2025 3.12 1.19
2026 3.07 1.19
2027 3.03 1.19
2028 2.99 1.19
2029 2.95 1.19
2030 2.92 1.2
2031 2.89 1.2
2032 2.85 1.21
2033 2.82 1.21
2034 2.78 1.22
2035 2.75 1.22
2036 2.72 1.23
2037 2.69 1.23
2038 2.66 1.24
2039 2.63 1.24
2040 2.61 1.25
2041 2.58 1.25
2042 2.55 1.26
2043 2.53 1.26
2044 2.5 1.26
2045 2.47 1.27
2046 2.44 1.27
2047 2.42 1.28
2048 2.4 1.28
2049 2.38 1.28
2050 2.36 1.29

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Kenya
Factual

UN forecast
Thailand
Factual

UN forecast
Year Share of people 0-14 years old
Kenya Thailand
1960 48.7% 44.3%
1961 49.1% 44.6%
1962 49.4% 44.8%
1963 49.7% 45.1%
1964 49.8% 45.3%
1965 50.2% 45.4%
1966 50.6% 45.4%
1967 50.9% 45.3%
1968 51.2% 45.2%
1969 51.4% 45%
1970 51.6% 44.8%
1971 51.7% 44.4%
1972 51.9% 44%
1973 52% 43.5%
1974 52% 43%
1975 52% 42.4%
1976 52.1% 41.8%
1977 52% 41.1%
1978 51.9% 40.3%
1979 51.7% 39.5%
1980 51.5% 38.7%
1981 51.3% 37.8%
1982 51.1% 37%
1983 50.8% 36%
1984 50.6% 35.1%
1985 50.3% 34.1%
1986 50.1% 33.2%
1987 49.9% 32.4%
1988 49.7% 31.5%
1989 49.5% 30.7%
1990 49.2% 30%
1991 48.9% 29.2%
1992 48.7% 28.5%
1993 48.4% 28%
1994 48% 27.4%
1995 47.7% 26.9%
1996 47.4% 26.4%
1997 47.1% 25.9%
1998 46.8% 25.4%
1999 46.5% 24.9%
2000 46.1% 24.4%
2001 45.7% 23.9%
2002 45.3% 23.4%
2003 45% 23%
2004 44.6% 22.6%
2005 44.4% 22.2%
2006 44.2% 21.7%
2007 44% 21.3%
2008 43.9% 20.9%
2009 43.8% 20.6%
2010 43.6% 20.1%
2011 43.4% 19.7%
2012 43.2% 19.2%
2013 42.8% 18.8%
2014 42.4% 18.5%
2015 42% 18.1%
2016 41.5% 17.7%
2017 41% 17.3%
2018 40.5% 16.9%
2019 39.9% 16.6%
2020 39.3% 16.2%
2021 38.7% 15.8%
2022 38.1% 15.4%
2023 37.4% 15.1%
2024 36.8% 14.7%
2025 36.3% 14.4%
2026 35.7% 14.1%
2027 35.3% 13.7%
2028 34.9% 13.4%
2029 34.5% 13.1%
2030 34.2% 12.9%
2031 33.9% 12.7%
2032 33.6% 12.5%
2033 33.4% 12.3%
2034 33.2% 12.2%
2035 32.9% 12.1%
2036 32.7% 12%
2037 32.5% 11.9%
2038 32.2% 11.9%
2039 32% 11.8%
2040 31.7% 11.8%
2041 31.4% 11.8%
2042 31% 11.8%
2043 30.7% 11.7%
2044 30.4% 11.7%
2045 30% 11.7%
2046 29.7% 11.7%
2047 29.3% 11.6%
2048 28.9% 11.6%
2049 28.5% 11.6%
2050 28.2% 11.5%

Children aged 0-14 make up 36.8% of the population in Kenya and 14.7% in Thailand in 2024, compared to 49.2% and 30% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Kenya and Thailand compared.

Natural population change in Kenya vs Thailand by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +2.16% in Kenya and +0.18% in Thailand. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Kenya
Thailand

Natural population change

Year Population change due to births and deaths
Kenya Thailand
1960 280,032 774,190
1961 298,463 801,140
1962 315,797 828,741
1963 332,763 860,728
1964 349,322 885,137
1965 366,444 909,000
1966 382,891 929,469
1967 396,920 944,980
1968 411,948 953,806
1969 427,819 948,314
1970 443,065 937,116
1971 459,897 936,215
1972 472,557 940,420
1973 485,556 933,540
1974 500,008 923,151
1975 517,579 911,980
1976 536,740 894,072
1977 554,124 871,232
1978 574,695 847,799
1979 595,390 843,434
1980 616,390 845,575
1981 642,379 839,297
1982 663,109 817,951
1983 684,587 794,239
1984 709,639 779,856
1985 732,739 776,935
1986 755,606 783,430
1987 775,124 774,498
1988 785,652 765,252
1989 795,622 774,563
1990 789,087 760,808
1991 790,030 760,508
1992 785,018 754,999
1993 788,579 737,696
1994 792,702 712,589
1995 812,391 682,703
1996 827,326 661,397
1997 847,493 644,834
1998 875,511 617,318
1999 898,484 578,073
2000 928,357 543,884
2001 963,721 524,230
2002 992,044 504,299
2003 1,018,182 488,003
2004 1,048,590 466,542
2005 1,080,446 456,378
2006 1,113,357 441,211
2007 1,147,063 425,362
2008 1,174,818 401,730
2009 1,193,598 382,636
2010 1,199,786 370,466
2011 1,185,863 365,670
2012 1,161,548 351,485
2013 1,136,006 325,059
2014 1,123,333 294,628
2015 1,119,200 266,362
2016 1,108,801 226,255
2017 1,105,769 194,695
2018 1,097,075 159,383
2019 1,071,777 116,867
2020 1,036,253 84,107
2021 1,037,082 57,382
2022 1,092,102 -61,046
2023 1,100,970 -46,105

Fertility rates around the globe

Fertility rate

Maternal mortality chart: Kenya vs Thailand

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 149 deaths per 100,000 live births in Kenya, compared to 34 deaths in Thailand.

Kenya
Thailand
Year Maternal mortality per 100K births
Kenya Thailand
1985 1,375 88
1986 1,059 78
1987 960 72
1988 756 67
1989 663 64
1990 586 60
1991 493 59
1992 419 58
1993 363 57
1994 342 54
1995 308 52
1996 275 49
1997 253 48
1998 250 47
1999 217 48
2000 206 49
2001 188 47
2002 182 44
2003 177 42
2004 177 44
2005 178 40
2006 188 38
2007 198 38
2008 197 37
2009 208 37
2010 210 37
2011 209 37
2012 214 36
2013 206 35
2014 203 34
2015 203 34
2016 196 34
2017 186 34
2018 183 34
2019 176 34
2020 184 36
2021 183 38
2022 155 112
2023 149 34

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 3.99% in Kenya and 0.92% in Thailand. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Kenya
Thailand

Probability that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five

Year Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
Kenya Thailand
1960 19.6% 14.7%
1961 18.8% 14.2%
1962 18.1% 13.7%
1963 17.5% 13.2%
1964 17% 12.8%
1965 16.6% 12.3%
1966 16.3% 11.8%
1967 16% 11.4%
1968 15.7% 10.9%
1969 15.4% 10.4%
1970 15% 9.95%
1971 14.7% 9.47%
1972 14.3% 9.01%
1973 14% 8.56%
1974 13.5% 8.14%
1975 13.1% 7.73%
1976 12.7% 7.35%
1977 12.2% 7%
1978 11.8% 6.67%
1979 11.4% 6.36%
1980 11% 6.07%
1981 10.6% 5.79%
1982 10.3% 5.53%
1983 9.98% 5.28%
1984 9.74% 5.03%
1985 9.57% 4.8%
1986 9.49% 4.57%
1987 9.51% 4.34%
1988 9.63% 4.12%
1989 9.85% 3.91%
1990 10.1% 3.69%
1991 10.5% 3.49%
1992 10.7% 3.3%
1993 10.9% 3.12%
1994 11% 2.96%
1995 11% 2.81%
1996 10.9% 2.67%
1997 10.7% 2.53%
1998 10.4% 2.41%
1999 10.1% 2.29%
2000 9.63% 2.18%
2001 9.16% 2.08%
2002 8.66% 1.98%
2003 8.16% 1.89%
2004 7.66% 1.81%
2005 7.15% 1.73%
2006 6.71% 1.66%
2007 6.32% 1.59%
2008 5.82% 1.53%
2009 5.54% 1.47%
2010 5.35% 1.42%
2011 5.22% 1.37%
2012 5.12% 1.32%
2013 5% 1.27%
2014 4.88% 1.23%
2015 4.74% 1.19%
2016 4.6% 1.15%
2017 4.53% 1.11%
2018 4.43% 1.08%
2019 4.33% 1.04%
2020 4.28% 1.01%
2021 4.19% 0.98%
2022 4.11% 0.95%
2023 3.99% 0.92%

Compare countries by 7 more topics

Birth rate comparisons

Birth rate vs Kenya vs Thailand
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