Fertility & birth rates in Bulgaria and Kenya

Fertility rate in Bulgaria vs Kenya by year

Chart Table

Bulgaria

Kenya

1x

Year	Fertility rate
	Bulgaria	Kenya
2023	1.81	3.21
2022	1.78	3.26
2021	1.8	3.31
2020	1.77	3.36
2019	1.79	3.43
2018	1.73	3.54
2017	1.71	3.61
2016	1.67	3.69
2015	1.64	3.77
2014	1.62	3.84
2013	1.54	3.96
2012	1.5	4.12
2011	1.51	4.28
2010	1.57	4.45
2009	1.66	4.57
2008	1.56	4.66
2007	1.49	4.72
2006	1.44	4.75
2005	1.37	4.8
2004	1.33	4.86
2003	1.26	4.94
2002	1.23	5.03
2001	1.21	5.09
2000	1.26	5.14
1999	1.23	5.18
1998	1.11	5.24
1997	1.09	5.27
1996	1.23	5.31
1995	1.23	5.37
1994	1.37	5.44
1993	1.46	5.57
1992	1.55	5.74
1991	1.66	5.94
1990	1.82	6.14
1989	1.9	6.33
1988	1.97	6.52
1987	1.96	6.69
1986	2.02	6.84
1985	1.97	6.96
1984	2.01	7.08
1983	2.01	7.22
1982	2.01	7.35
1981	2	7.45
1980	2.05	7.53
1979	2.16	7.6
1978	2.15	7.67
1977	2.21	7.73
1976	2.24	7.77
1975	2.23	7.8
1974	2.29	7.82
1973	2.15	7.86
1972	2.03	7.89
1971	2.1	7.92
1970	2.17	7.94
1969	2.27	7.95
1968	2.27	7.95
1967	2.02	7.95
1966	2.03	7.96
1965	2.09	7.92
1964	2.19	7.87
1963	2.21	7.82
1962	2.24	7.77
1961	2.29	7.72
1960	2.31	7.65

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Bulgaria was 1.81 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.21 in Kenya in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Bulgaria vs Kenya population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

Natural population change by year

Chart Table

Bulgaria

Kenya

1x

Year	Natural population change
	Bulgaria	Kenya
2023	-43,837	1,100,970
2022	-62,065	1,092,102
2021	-90,452	1,037,082
2020	-65,507	1,036,253
2019	-46,317	1,071,777
2018	-46,304	1,097,075
2017	-45,583	1,105,769
2016	-42,744	1,108,801
2015	-44,699	1,119,200
2014	-41,027	1,123,333
2013	-37,948	1,136,006
2012	-40,183	1,161,548
2011	-37,477	1,185,863
2010	-34,759	1,199,786
2009	-26,800	1,193,598
2008	-32,967	1,174,818
2007	-37,727	1,147,063
2006	-39,526	1,113,357
2005	-42,124	1,080,446
2004	-40,128	1,048,590
2003	-44,319	1,018,182
2002	-46,240	992,044
2001	-44,050	963,721
2000	-41,668	928,357
1999	-39,411	898,484
1998	-52,844	875,511
1997	-58,185	847,493
1996	-45,159	827,326
1995	-42,030	812,391
1994	-32,086	792,702
1993	-24,569	788,579
1992	-18,789	785,018
1991	-14,675	790,030
1990	-3,487	789,087
1989	5,326	795,622
1988	9,879	785,652
1987	8,971	775,124
1986	16,125	755,606
1985	11,649	732,739
1984	20,610	709,639
1983	21,455	684,587
1982	24,077	663,109
1981	29,341	642,379
1980	30,129	616,390
1979	40,599	595,390
1978	44,070	574,695
1977	47,543	554,124
1976	56,055	536,740
1975	54,941	517,579
1974	64,223	500,008
1973	57,760	485,556
1972	47,169	472,557
1971	52,925	459,897
1970	61,125	443,065
1969	63,256	427,819
1968	69,468	411,948
1967	49,861	396,920
1966	54,504	382,891
1965	58,249	366,444
1964	66,783	349,322
1963	66,241	332,763
1962	64,104	315,797
1961	75,460	298,463
1960	76,314	280,032

The chart above illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes in population resulting from births and deaths.

Excluding migration, the natural population change due to births and deaths from 2022 to 2023 was -0.68% in Bulgaria and +1.99% in Kenya.

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change has been -0.79% in Bulgaria and +2.16% in Kenya.

Birth rate in Bulgaria vs Kenya by year

Chart Table

Bulgaria

Kenya

Annual births per 1,000 people

1x

Year	Annual births per 1,000 people
	Bulgaria	Kenya
2023	8.9	27.1
2022	8.8	27.3
2021	9	27.6
2020	9	27.8
2019	9.3	28.2
2018	9.3	29
2017	9.4	29.6
2016	9.4	30.2
2015	9.4	30.9
2014	9.6	31.5
2013	9.3	32.4
2012	9.5	33.7
2011	9.6	35
2010	10.2	36.3
2009	10.9	37.2
2008	10.4	37.9
2007	10	38.3
2006	9.7	38.5
2005	9.3	38.8
2004	9.1	39.1
2003	8.7	39.5
2002	8.5	39.9
2001	8.5	40.2
2000	9	40.2
1999	8.8	40.3
1998	7.9	40.6
1997	7.7	40.5
1996	8.6	40.6
1995	8.6	40.8
1994	9.4	40.9
1993	10	41.4
1992	10.4	42.1
1991	11.1	43.1
1990	12.1	43.9
1989	12.6	44.9
1988	13.1	45.6
1987	13	46.3
1986	13.4	46.6
1985	13.3	46.9
1984	13.6	47.2
1983	13.8	47.4
1982	13.9	47.8
1981	14	48.2
1980	14.5	48.2
1979	15.3	48.6
1978	15.5	48.9
1977	16.1	49.2
1976	16.5	49.6
1975	16.6	49.8
1974	17.2	50.2
1973	16.2	50.8
1972	15.3	51.5
1971	15.9	52.2
1970	16.3	52.5
1969	17	53.1
1968	16.9	53.5
1967	15	54.1
1966	14.9	54.6
1965	15.3	54.9
1964	16.1	55.1
1963	16.4	55.3
1962	16.7	55.4
1961	17.4	55.4
1960	17.8	55.2

The latest reported birth rate per 1,000 people in 2023 was 8.9 in Bulgaria and 27.1 in Kenya, compared with 17.8 and 55.2, respectively, in 1960.

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Chart Table

Bulgaria

Factual

UN forecast

Kenya

Factual

UN forecast

1x

Year	Young
	Bulgaria	Kenya
2100	13%	18.9%
2099	13.1%	19%
2098	13.1%	19.1%
2097	13.1%	19.2%
2096	13.2%	19.3%
2095	13.2%	19.5%
2094	13.3%	19.6%
2093	13.4%	19.7%
2092	13.4%	19.8%
2091	13.4%	19.9%
2090	13.5%	20%
2089	13.5%	20.1%
2088	13.6%	20.2%
2087	13.6%	20.4%
2086	13.6%	20.5%
2085	13.6%	20.7%
2084	13.6%	20.8%
2083	13.6%	21%
2082	13.6%	21.1%
2081	13.6%	21.3%
2080	13.6%	21.5%
2079	13.6%	21.7%
2078	13.6%	21.9%
2077	13.6%	22.1%
2076	13.6%	22.3%
2075	13.5%	22.5%
2074	13.5%	22.7%
2073	13.5%	22.9%
2072	13.5%	23.1%
2071	13.5%	23.3%
2070	13.5%	23.5%
2069	13.6%	23.7%
2068	13.6%	23.8%
2067	13.6%	24%
2066	13.6%	24.2%
2065	13.6%	24.4%
2064	13.7%	24.6%
2063	13.7%	24.8%
2062	13.7%	25%
2061	13.8%	25.2%
2060	13.8%	25.4%
2059	13.8%	25.6%
2058	13.9%	25.9%
2057	13.9%	26.1%
2056	13.9%	26.4%
2055	13.9%	26.7%
2054	13.9%	27%
2053	13.9%	27.3%
2052	13.9%	27.6%
2051	13.8%	28%
2050	13.8%	28.4%
2049	13.8%	28.7%
2048	13.7%	29.1%
2047	13.7%	29.5%
2046	13.6%	29.8%
2045	13.6%	30.2%
2044	13.6%	30.6%
2043	13.6%	30.9%
2042	13.6%	31.2%
2041	13.6%	31.5%
2040	13.6%	31.8%
2039	13.6%	32.1%
2038	13.7%	32.4%
2037	13.7%	32.6%
2036	13.7%	32.8%
2035	13.7%	33%
2034	13.8%	33.3%
2033	13.8%	33.5%
2032	13.9%	33.8%
2031	14%	34%
2030	14.1%	34.4%
2029	14.2%	34.7%
2028	14.2%	35%
2027	14.3%	35.5%
2026	14.4%	36%
2025	14.4%	36.5%
2024	14.5%	36.8%
2023	14.5%	37.4%
2022	14.5%	38.1%
2021	14.5%	38.7%
2020	14.4%	39.3%
2019	14.4%	39.9%
2018	14.3%	40.5%
2017	14.2%	41%
2016	14%	41.5%
2015	13.9%	42%
2014	13.8%	42.4%
2013	13.7%	42.8%
2012	13.6%	43.2%
2011	13.5%	43.4%
2010	13.5%	43.6%
2009	13.4%	43.8%
2008	13.3%	43.9%
2007	13.4%	44%
2006	13.5%	44.2%
2005	13.7%	44.4%
2004	14%	44.6%
2003	14.4%	45%
2002	14.8%	45.3%
2001	15.2%	45.7%
2000	15.7%	46.1%
1999	16.1%	46.5%
1998	16.5%	46.8%
1997	17%	47.1%
1996	17.4%	47.4%
1995	17.9%	47.7%
1994	18.3%	48%
1993	18.8%	48.4%
1992	19.3%	48.7%
1991	19.8%	48.9%
1990	20.3%	49.2%
1989	20.8%	49.5%
1988	21.1%	49.7%
1987	21.3%	49.9%
1986	21.4%	50.1%
1985	21.6%	50.3%
1984	21.8%	50.6%
1983	22%	50.8%
1982	22.1%	51.1%
1981	22.1%	51.3%
1980	22.1%	51.5%
1979	22.1%	51.7%
1978	22.2%	51.9%
1977	22.2%	52%
1976	22.3%	52.1%
1975	22.3%	52%
1974	22.2%	52%
1973	22.3%	52%
1972	22.4%	51.9%
1971	22.6%	51.7%
1970	22.8%	51.6%
1969	23%	51.4%
1968	23.2%	51.2%
1967	23.4%	50.9%
1966	23.8%	50.6%
1965	24.2%	50.2%
1964	24.7%	49.8%
1963	25.1%	49.7%
1962	25.4%	49.4%
1961	25.8%	49.1%
1960	26.1%	48.7%

Children aged 0-14 make up 14.5% of the population in Bulgaria and 36.8% in Kenya in 2024, compared to 20.3% and 49.2% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Bulgaria and Kenya compared.

Maternal mortality chart: Bulgaria vs Kenya

Chart Table

Bulgaria

Kenya

1x

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Bulgaria	Kenya
2023	6	149
2022	10	155
2021	9	183
2020	9	184
2019	6	176
2018	7	183
2017	7	186
2016	7	196
2015	7	203
2014	7	203
2013	7	206
2012	7	214
2011	8	209
2010	9	210
2009	9	208
2008	10	197
2007	11	198
2006	12	188
2005	13	178
2004	14	177
2003	14	177
2002	15	182
2001	17	188
2000	19	206
1999	20	217
1998	20	250
1997	23	253
1996	22	275
1995	23	308
1994	25	342
1993	23	363
1992	25	419
1991	25	493
1990	27	586
1989	25	663
1988	26	756
1987	25	960
1986	25	1,059
1985	26	1,375

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 6 deaths per 100,000 live births in Bulgaria, compared to 149 deaths in Kenya.

Under-five mortality rates

Chart Table

Bulgaria

Kenya

Probability that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five

1x

Year	Under 5 mortality rate
	Bulgaria	Kenya
2023	0.61%	3.99%
2022	0.62%	4.11%
2021	0.63%	4.19%
2020	0.65%	4.28%
2019	0.67%	4.33%
2018	0.7%	4.43%
2017	0.73%	4.53%
2016	0.77%	4.6%
2015	0.82%	4.74%
2014	0.87%	4.88%
2013	0.93%	5%
2012	0.99%	5.12%
2011	1.04%	5.22%
2010	1.08%	5.35%
2009	1.12%	5.54%
2008	1.14%	5.82%
2007	1.18%	6.32%
2006	1.24%	6.71%
2005	1.33%	7.15%
2004	1.42%	7.66%
2003	1.51%	8.16%
2002	1.6%	8.66%
2001	1.68%	9.16%
2000	1.75%	9.63%
1999	1.82%	10.1%
1998	1.89%	10.4%
1997	1.93%	10.7%
1996	1.94%	10.9%
1995	1.92%	11%
1994	1.91%	11%
1993	1.92%	10.9%
1992	1.92%	10.7%
1991	1.89%	10.5%
1990	1.83%	10.1%
1989	1.79%	9.85%
1988	1.78%	9.63%
1987	1.8%	9.51%
1986	1.87%	9.49%
1985	1.97%	9.57%
1984	2.07%	9.74%
1983	2.15%	9.98%
1982	2.22%	10.3%
1981	2.3%	10.6%
1980	2.38%	11%
1979	2.49%	11.4%
1978	2.6%	11.8%
1977	2.72%	12.2%
1976	2.8%	12.7%
1975	2.86%	13.1%
1974	2.91%	13.5%
1973	2.95%	14%
1972	3.01%	14.3%
1971	3.11%	14.7%
1970	3.25%	15%
1969	3.4%	15.4%
1968	3.54%	15.7%
1967	3.64%	16%
1966	3.7%	16.3%
1965	3.75%	16.6%
1964	3.86%	17%
1963	4.08%	17.5%
1962	4.43%	18.1%
1961	4.89%	18.8%
1960	5.47%	19.6%

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 0.61% in Bulgaria and 3.99% in Kenya. Above is a chart with historical data on under-five mortality rates.