Fertility & birth rates in Antigua and Barbuda and Kenya

Fertility rate in Antigua and Barbuda vs Kenya chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Antigua and Barbuda was 1.58 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.21 in Kenya in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Antigua and Barbuda vs Kenya population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Antigua	Kenya
1960	4.6	7.65
1961	4.56	7.72
1962	4.55	7.77
1963	4.54	7.82
1964	4.48	7.87
1965	4.42	7.92
1966	4.32	7.96
1967	4.18	7.95
1968	4.01	7.95
1969	3.83	7.95
1970	3.63	7.94
1971	3.46	7.92
1972	3.29	7.89
1973	3.13	7.86
1974	2.93	7.82
1975	2.77	7.8
1976	2.78	7.77
1977	2.78	7.73
1978	2.57	7.67
1979	2.63	7.6
1980	2.31	7.53
1981	2.17	7.45
1982	2.09	7.35
1983	2.12	7.22
1984	2.04	7.08
1985	2.15	6.96
1986	2.03	6.84
1987	2.07	6.69
1988	2.13	6.52
1989	2.2	6.33
1990	2.25	6.14
1991	2.04	5.94
1992	2.13	5.74
1993	2.04	5.57
1994	2.07	5.44
1995	2.16	5.37
1996	2.27	5.31
1997	2.19	5.27
1998	2.02	5.24
1999	1.96	5.18
2000	2.2	5.14
2001	2.02	5.09
2002	1.94	5.03
2003	1.89	4.94
2004	1.85	4.86
2005	1.83	4.8
2006	1.83	4.75
2007	1.86	4.72
2008	2.04	4.66
2009	2.01	4.57
2010	1.79	4.45
2011	1.75	4.28
2012	1.66	4.12
2013	1.54	3.96
2014	1.53	3.84
2015	1.57	3.77
2016	1.46	3.69
2017	1.49	3.61
2018	1.37	3.54
2019	1.47	3.43
2020	1.57	3.36
2021	1.58	3.31
2022	1.58	3.26
2023	1.58	3.21
2024	1.58	3.17
2025	1.58	3.12
2026	1.57	3.07
2027	1.57	3.03
2028	1.57	2.99
2029	1.57	2.95
2030	1.56	2.92
2031	1.56	2.89
2032	1.56	2.85
2033	1.56	2.82
2034	1.56	2.78
2035	1.56	2.75
2036	1.56	2.72
2037	1.57	2.69
2038	1.57	2.66
2039	1.57	2.63
2040	1.57	2.61
2041	1.57	2.58
2042	1.57	2.55
2043	1.57	2.53
2044	1.57	2.5
2045	1.57	2.47
2046	1.57	2.44
2047	1.57	2.42
2048	1.57	2.4
2049	1.57	2.38
2050	1.58	2.36

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Antigua	Kenya
1960	40.1%	48.7%
1961	40%	49.1%
1962	39.9%	49.4%
1963	39.9%	49.7%
1964	40.4%	49.8%
1965	41.3%	50.2%
1966	42.1%	50.6%
1967	42.8%	50.9%
1968	43.4%	51.2%
1969	43.9%	51.4%
1970	43.7%	51.6%
1971	42.7%	51.7%
1972	41.6%	51.9%
1973	40.4%	52%
1974	39.1%	52%
1975	37.8%	52%
1976	36.4%	52.1%
1977	35.2%	52%
1978	34%	51.9%
1979	33%	51.7%
1980	32%	51.5%
1981	31%	51.3%
1982	30%	51.1%
1983	29.2%	50.8%
1984	28.6%	50.6%
1985	28.6%	50.3%
1986	28.7%	50.1%
1987	28.9%	49.9%
1988	29.1%	49.7%
1989	29.4%	49.5%
1990	29.8%	49.2%
1991	29.7%	48.9%
1992	29.3%	48.7%
1993	29%	48.4%
1994	28.8%	48%
1995	28.6%	47.7%
1996	28.6%	47.4%
1997	28.4%	47.1%
1998	28.3%	46.8%
1999	28%	46.5%
2000	27.8%	46.1%
2001	27.5%	45.7%
2002	27.2%	45.3%
2003	26.8%	45%
2004	26.4%	44.6%
2005	25.9%	44.4%
2006	25.4%	44.2%
2007	25%	44%
2008	24.6%	43.9%
2009	24.2%	43.8%
2010	23.8%	43.6%
2011	23.2%	43.4%
2012	22.6%	43.2%
2013	22.1%	42.8%
2014	21.7%	42.4%
2015	21.2%	42%
2016	20.6%	41.5%
2017	20.2%	41%
2018	19.8%	40.5%
2019	19.4%	39.9%
2020	19.1%	39.3%
2021	18.8%	38.7%
2022	18.6%	38.1%
2023	18.2%	37.4%
2024	17.8%	36.8%
2025	17.5%	36.3%
2026	17.2%	35.7%
2027	17%	35.3%
2028	16.9%	34.9%
2029	16.8%	34.5%
2030	16.7%	34.2%
2031	16.6%	33.9%
2032	16.5%	33.6%
2033	16.4%	33.4%
2034	16.4%	33.2%
2035	16.3%	32.9%
2036	16.1%	32.7%
2037	15.9%	32.5%
2038	15.7%	32.2%
2039	15.5%	32%
2040	15.4%	31.7%
2041	15.2%	31.4%
2042	15%	31%
2043	14.8%	30.7%
2044	14.7%	30.4%
2045	14.5%	30%
2046	14.4%	29.7%
2047	14.2%	29.3%
2048	14.1%	28.9%
2049	14%	28.5%
2050	13.8%	28.2%

Children aged 0-14 make up 17.8% of the population in Antigua and Barbuda and 36.8% in Kenya in 2024, compared to 29.8% and 49.2% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Antigua and Barbuda and Kenya compared.

Natural population change in Antigua and Barbuda vs Kenya by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +0.55% in Antigua and Barbuda and +2.16% in Kenya. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Antigua	Kenya
1960	1,434	280,032
1961	1,476	298,463
1962	1,509	315,797
1963	1,543	332,763
1964	1,559	349,322
1965	1,528	366,444
1966	1,489	382,891
1967	1,431	396,920
1968	1,369	411,948
1969	1,308	427,819
1970	1,248	443,065
1971	1,219	459,897
1972	1,179	472,557
1973	1,135	485,556
1974	1,074	500,008
1975	1,028	517,579
1976	1,075	536,740
1977	1,124	554,124
1978	1,064	574,695
1979	1,150	595,390
1980	1,002	616,390
1981	940	642,379
1982	913	663,109
1983	941	684,587
1984	899	709,639
1985	955	732,739
1986	855	755,606
1987	845	775,124
1988	848	785,652
1989	845	795,622
1990	833	789,087
1991	673	790,030
1992	728	785,018
1993	706	788,579
1994	757	792,702
1995	844	812,391
1996	947	827,326
1997	932	847,493
1998	845	875,511
1999	828	898,484
2000	1,009	928,357
2001	900	963,721
2002	843	992,044
2003	793	1,018,182
2004	757	1,048,590
2005	738	1,080,446
2006	742	1,113,357
2007	770	1,147,063
2008	911	1,174,818
2009	900	1,193,598
2010	758	1,199,786
2011	743	1,185,863
2012	678	1,161,548
2013	586	1,136,006
2014	564	1,123,333
2015	583	1,119,200
2016	496	1,108,801
2017	504	1,105,769
2018	411	1,097,075
2019	461	1,071,777
2020	512	1,036,253
2021	492	1,037,082
2022	486	1,092,102
2023	462	1,100,970

Maternal mortality chart: Antigua and Barbuda vs Kenya

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 35 deaths per 100,000 live births in Antigua and Barbuda, compared to 149 deaths in Kenya.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Antigua	Kenya
1985	38	1,375
1986	38	1,059
1987	40	960
1988	38	756
1989	41	663
1990	41	586
1991	42	493
1992	40	419
1993	40	363
1994	38	342
1995	38	308
1996	37	275
1997	37	253
1998	34	250
1999	34	217
2000	37	206
2001	36	188
2002	36	182
2003	33	177
2004	34	177
2005	33	178
2006	32	188
2007	32	198
2008	31	197
2009	32	208
2010	31	210
2011	31	209
2012	30	214
2013	32	206
2014	32	203
2015	30	203
2016	28	196
2017	31	186
2018	31	183
2019	32	176
2020	35	184
2021	32	183
2022	36	155
2023	35	149

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 0.93% in Antigua and Barbuda and 3.99% in Kenya. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Antigua	Kenya
1960	8.25%	19.6%
1961	7.74%	18.8%
1962	7.18%	18.1%
1963	6.59%	17.5%
1964	6%	17%
1965	5.41%	16.6%
1966	4.86%	16.3%
1967	4.36%	16%
1968	3.92%	15.7%
1969	3.54%	15.4%
1970	3.23%	15%
1971	2.96%	14.7%
1972	2.74%	14.3%
1973	2.56%	14%
1974	2.4%	13.5%
1975	2.25%	13.1%
1976	2.11%	12.7%
1977	1.97%	12.2%
1978	1.84%	11.8%
1979	1.71%	11.4%
1980	1.6%	11%
1981	1.5%	10.6%
1982	1.42%	10.3%
1983	1.36%	9.98%
1984	1.31%	9.74%
1985	1.29%	9.57%
1986	1.28%	9.49%
1987	1.28%	9.51%
1988	1.3%	9.63%
1989	1.32%	9.85%
1990	1.35%	10.1%
1991	1.39%	10.5%
1992	1.43%	10.7%
1993	1.47%	10.9%
1994	1.51%	11%
1995	1.54%	11%
1996	1.55%	10.9%
1997	1.55%	10.7%
1998	1.54%	10.4%
1999	1.52%	10.1%
2000	1.49%	9.63%
2001	1.46%	9.16%
2002	1.43%	8.66%
2003	1.4%	8.16%
2004	1.36%	7.66%
2005	1.33%	7.15%
2006	1.3%	6.71%
2007	1.27%	6.32%
2008	1.24%	5.82%
2009	1.22%	5.54%
2010	1.19%	5.35%
2011	1.17%	5.22%
2012	1.15%	5.12%
2013	1.13%	5%
2014	1.12%	4.88%
2015	1.1%	4.74%
2016	1.08%	4.6%
2017	1.06%	4.53%
2018	1.05%	4.43%
2019	1.03%	4.33%
2020	1.01%	4.28%
2021	0.98%	4.19%
2022	0.96%	4.11%
2023	0.93%	3.99%