Fertility & birth rates in Italy and Kenya

Fertility rate in Italy vs Kenya by year

Chart Table

Italy

Kenya

1x

Year	Fertility rate
	Italy	Kenya
2023	1.2	3.21
2022	1.24	3.26
2021	1.25	3.31
2020	1.24	3.36
2019	1.27	3.43
2018	1.31	3.54
2017	1.34	3.61
2016	1.36	3.69
2015	1.36	3.77
2014	1.38	3.84
2013	1.39	3.96
2012	1.42	4.12
2011	1.42	4.28
2010	1.44	4.45
2009	1.44	4.57
2008	1.44	4.66
2007	1.39	4.72
2006	1.37	4.75
2005	1.33	4.8
2004	1.34	4.86
2003	1.29	4.94
2002	1.27	5.03
2001	1.25	5.09
2000	1.26	5.14
1999	1.23	5.18
1998	1.22	5.24
1997	1.22	5.27
1996	1.2	5.31
1995	1.19	5.37
1994	1.21	5.44
1993	1.25	5.57
1992	1.3	5.74
1991	1.3	5.94
1990	1.33	6.14
1989	1.33	6.33
1988	1.36	6.52
1987	1.33	6.69
1986	1.35	6.84
1985	1.42	6.96
1984	1.46	7.08
1983	1.51	7.22
1982	1.56	7.35
1981	1.58	7.45
1980	1.64	7.53
1979	1.73	7.6
1978	1.84	7.67
1977	1.93	7.73
1976	2.04	7.77
1975	2.17	7.8
1974	2.28	7.82
1973	2.3	7.86
1972	2.35	7.89
1971	2.4	7.92
1970	2.38	7.94
1969	2.47	7.95
1968	2.46	7.95
1967	2.5	7.95
1966	2.58	7.96
1965	2.6	7.92
1964	2.66	7.87
1963	2.51	7.82
1962	2.46	7.77
1961	2.44	7.72
1960	2.4	7.65

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Italy was 1.2 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.21 in Kenya in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Italy vs Kenya population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

Natural population change by year

Chart Table

Italy

Kenya

1x

Year	Natural population change
	Italy	Kenya
2023	-283,125	1,100,970
2022	-318,674	1,092,102
2021	-301,579	1,037,082
2020	-338,801	1,036,253
2019	-215,025	1,071,777
2018	-192,475	1,097,075
2017	-192,007	1,105,769
2016	-138,265	1,108,801
2015	-162,620	1,119,200
2014	-96,513	1,123,333
2013	-90,468	1,136,006
2012	-78,248	1,161,548
2011	-48,021	1,185,863
2010	-23,928	1,199,786
2009	-17,866	1,193,598
2008	-11,842	1,174,818
2007	-5,876	1,147,063
2006	0	1,113,357
2005	-17,450	1,080,446
2004	11,566	1,048,590
2003	-40,179	1,018,182
2002	-22,836	992,044
2001	-11,396	963,721
2000	-17,082	928,357
1999	-22,766	898,484
1998	-39,835	875,511
1997	-22,756	847,493
1996	-22,744	827,326
1995	-34,107	812,391
1994	-17,053	792,702
1993	0	788,579
1992	22,718	785,018
1991	11,352	790,030
1990	22,688	789,087
1989	28,336	795,622
1988	33,977	785,652
1987	16,980	775,124
1986	11,319	755,606
1985	28,297	732,739
1984	50,919	709,639
1983	33,939	684,587
1982	79,161	663,109
1981	73,452	642,379
1980	84,650	616,390
1979	129,531	595,390
1978	168,465	574,695
1977	190,248	554,124
1976	228,445	536,740
1975	271,660	517,579
1974	336,176	500,008
1973	328,508	485,556
1972	364,355	472,557
1971	383,922	459,897
1970	376,753	443,065
1969	390,827	427,819
1968	399,268	411,948
1967	439,074	396,920
1966	488,427	382,891
1965	474,222	366,444
1964	527,089	349,322
1963	440,767	332,763
1962	427,387	315,797
1961	459,880	298,463
1960	426,697	280,032

The chart above illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes in population resulting from births and deaths.

Excluding migration, the natural population change due to births and deaths from 2022 to 2023 was -0.48% in Italy and +1.99% in Kenya.

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change has been -0.38% in Italy and +2.16% in Kenya.

Birth rate in Italy vs Kenya by year

Chart Table

Italy

Kenya

Annual births per 1,000 people

1x

Year	Annual births per 1,000 people
	Italy	Kenya
2023	6.4	27.1
2022	6.7	27.3
2021	6.8	27.6
2020	6.8	27.8
2019	7	28.2
2018	7.3	29
2017	7.6	29.6
2016	7.9	30.2
2015	8.1	30.9
2014	8.3	31.5
2013	8.5	32.4
2012	8.9	33.7
2011	9.1	35
2010	9.4	36.3
2009	9.6	37.2
2008	9.7	37.9
2007	9.6	38.3
2006	9.6	38.5
2005	9.5	38.8
2004	9.7	39.1
2003	9.5	39.5
2002	9.4	39.9
2001	9.4	40.2
2000	9.5	40.2
1999	9.4	40.3
1998	9.3	40.6
1997	9.4	40.5
1996	9.3	40.6
1995	9.2	40.8
1994	9.4	40.9
1993	9.7	41.4
1992	10	42.1
1991	9.9	43.1
1990	10	43.9
1989	9.9	44.9
1988	10.1	45.6
1987	9.7	46.3
1986	9.8	46.6
1985	10.2	46.9
1984	10.4	47.2
1983	10.6	47.4
1982	10.9	47.8
1981	11	48.2
1980	11.3	48.2
1979	11.9	48.6
1978	12.6	48.9
1977	13.2	49.2
1976	14	49.6
1975	14.9	49.8
1974	15.8	50.2
1973	16	50.8
1972	16.3	51.5
1971	16.8	52.2
1970	16.7	52.5
1969	17.4	53.1
1968	17.5	53.5
1967	17.9	54.1
1966	18.7	54.6
1965	19	54.9
1964	19.7	55.1
1963	18.7	55.3
1962	18.4	55.4
1961	18.4	55.4
1960	18.1	55.2

The latest reported birth rate per 1,000 people in 2023 was 6.4 in Italy and 27.1 in Kenya, compared with 18.1 and 55.2, respectively, in 1960.

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Chart Table

Italy

Factual

UN forecast

Kenya

Factual

UN forecast

1x

Year	Young
	Italy	Kenya
2100	11.1%	18.9%
2099	11.1%	19%
2098	11.1%	19.1%
2097	11.1%	19.2%
2096	11.1%	19.3%
2095	11.1%	19.5%
2094	11.1%	19.6%
2093	11.2%	19.7%
2092	11.2%	19.8%
2091	11.2%	19.9%
2090	11.2%	20%
2089	11.3%	20.1%
2088	11.3%	20.2%
2087	11.3%	20.4%
2086	11.3%	20.5%
2085	11.3%	20.7%
2084	11.3%	20.8%
2083	11.3%	21%
2082	11.3%	21.1%
2081	11.2%	21.3%
2080	11.2%	21.5%
2079	11.2%	21.7%
2078	11.1%	21.9%
2077	11.1%	22.1%
2076	11%	22.3%
2075	10.9%	22.5%
2074	10.9%	22.7%
2073	10.8%	22.9%
2072	10.8%	23.1%
2071	10.7%	23.3%
2070	10.7%	23.5%
2069	10.6%	23.7%
2068	10.6%	23.8%
2067	10.6%	24%
2066	10.5%	24.2%
2065	10.5%	24.4%
2064	10.5%	24.6%
2063	10.6%	24.8%
2062	10.6%	25%
2061	10.6%	25.2%
2060	10.6%	25.4%
2059	10.7%	25.6%
2058	10.7%	25.9%
2057	10.8%	26.1%
2056	10.8%	26.4%
2055	10.8%	26.7%
2054	10.9%	27%
2053	10.9%	27.3%
2052	10.9%	27.6%
2051	10.9%	28%
2050	10.9%	28.4%
2049	10.9%	28.7%
2048	10.8%	29.1%
2047	10.8%	29.5%
2046	10.7%	29.8%
2045	10.7%	30.2%
2044	10.6%	30.6%
2043	10.6%	30.9%
2042	10.5%	31.2%
2041	10.5%	31.5%
2040	10.4%	31.8%
2039	10.4%	32.1%
2038	10.3%	32.4%
2037	10.3%	32.6%
2036	10.3%	32.8%
2035	10.3%	33%
2034	10.4%	33.3%
2033	10.4%	33.5%
2032	10.5%	33.8%
2031	10.7%	34%
2030	10.8%	34.4%
2029	11%	34.7%
2028	11.1%	35%
2027	11.3%	35.5%
2026	11.5%	36%
2025	11.8%	36.5%
2024	11.9%	36.8%
2023	12.1%	37.4%
2022	12.4%	38.1%
2021	12.6%	38.7%
2020	12.8%	39.3%
2019	13%	39.9%
2018	13.2%	40.5%
2017	13.4%	41%
2016	13.6%	41.5%
2015	13.7%	42%
2014	13.8%	42.4%
2013	13.9%	42.8%
2012	14%	43.2%
2011	14%	43.4%
2010	14%	43.6%
2009	14%	43.8%
2008	14%	43.9%
2007	14%	44%
2006	14.1%	44.2%
2005	14.1%	44.4%
2004	14.2%	44.6%
2003	14.2%	45%
2002	14.2%	45.3%
2001	14.2%	45.7%
2000	14.3%	46.1%
1999	14.3%	46.5%
1998	14.3%	46.8%
1997	14.4%	47.1%
1996	14.5%	47.4%
1995	14.6%	47.7%
1994	14.8%	48%
1993	15%	48.4%
1992	15.2%	48.7%
1991	15.8%	48.9%
1990	16.5%	49.2%
1989	17%	49.5%
1988	17.5%	49.7%
1987	18.1%	49.9%
1986	18.7%	50.1%
1985	19.3%	50.3%
1984	19.9%	50.6%
1983	20.5%	50.8%
1982	21.1%	51.1%
1981	21.6%	51.3%
1980	22.3%	51.5%
1979	22.8%	51.7%
1978	23.4%	51.9%
1977	23.7%	52%
1976	24.1%	52.1%
1975	24.3%	52%
1974	24.5%	52%
1973	24.6%	52%
1972	24.6%	51.9%
1971	24.6%	51.7%
1970	24.7%	51.6%
1969	24.7%	51.4%
1968	24.6%	51.2%
1967	24.6%	50.9%
1966	24.5%	50.6%
1965	24.5%	50.2%
1964	24.5%	49.8%
1963	24.5%	49.7%
1962	24.7%	49.4%
1961	25%	49.1%
1960	25%	48.7%

Children aged 0-14 make up 11.9% of the population in Italy and 36.8% in Kenya in 2024, compared to 16.5% and 49.2% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Italy and Kenya compared.

Maternal mortality chart: Italy vs Kenya

Chart Table

Italy

Kenya

1x

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Italy	Kenya
2023	6	149
2022	10	155
2021	7	183
2020	8	184
2019	7	176
2018	7	183
2017	8	186
2016	8	196
2015	8	203
2014	8	203
2013	8	206
2012	8	214
2011	8	209
2010	8	210
2009	8	208
2008	7	197
2007	7	198
2006	7	188
2005	8	178
2004	8	177
2003	8	177
2002	10	182
2001	10	188
2000	11	206
1999	11	217
1998	12	250
1997	13	253
1996	14	275
1995	15	308
1994	15	342
1993	16	363
1992	17	419
1991	18	493
1990	18	586
1989	19	663
1988	20	756
1987	21	960
1986	22	1,059
1985	22	1,375

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 6 deaths per 100,000 live births in Italy, compared to 149 deaths in Kenya.

Under-five mortality rates

Chart Table

Italy

Kenya

Probability that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five

1x

Year	Under 5 mortality rate
	Italy	Kenya
2023	0.28%	3.99%
2022	0.28%	4.11%
2021	0.29%	4.19%
2020	0.3%	4.28%
2019	0.31%	4.33%
2018	0.32%	4.43%
2017	0.33%	4.53%
2016	0.34%	4.6%
2015	0.35%	4.74%
2014	0.36%	4.88%
2013	0.37%	5%
2012	0.38%	5.12%
2011	0.39%	5.22%
2010	0.4%	5.35%
2009	0.41%	5.54%
2008	0.41%	5.82%
2007	0.42%	6.32%
2006	0.43%	6.71%
2005	0.45%	7.15%
2004	0.46%	7.66%
2003	0.48%	8.16%
2002	0.51%	8.66%
2001	0.53%	9.16%
2000	0.56%	9.63%
1999	0.59%	10.1%
1998	0.62%	10.4%
1997	0.66%	10.7%
1996	0.7%	10.9%
1995	0.75%	11%
1994	0.8%	11%
1993	0.85%	10.9%
1992	0.89%	10.7%
1991	0.93%	10.5%
1990	0.97%	10.1%
1989	1%	9.85%
1988	1.04%	9.63%
1987	1.08%	9.51%
1986	1.14%	9.49%
1985	1.2%	9.57%
1984	1.27%	9.74%
1983	1.35%	9.98%
1982	1.43%	10.3%
1981	1.52%	10.6%
1980	1.61%	11%
1979	1.7%	11.4%
1978	1.82%	11.8%
1977	1.95%	12.2%
1976	2.11%	12.7%
1975	2.31%	13.1%
1974	2.53%	13.5%
1973	2.76%	14%
1972	2.98%	14.3%
1971	3.18%	14.7%
1970	3.36%	15%
1969	3.51%	15.4%
1968	3.64%	15.7%
1967	3.78%	16%
1966	3.93%	16.3%
1965	4.11%	16.6%
1964	4.31%	17%
1963	4.53%	17.5%
1962	4.76%	18.1%
1961	4.98%	18.8%
1960	5.19%	19.6%

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 0.28% in Italy and 3.99% in Kenya. Above is a chart with historical data on under-five mortality rates.