Fertility & birth rates in Gambia and Kenya

Fertility rate in Gambia vs Kenya by year

Chart Table

Gambia

Kenya

1x

Year	Fertility rate
	Gambia	Kenya
2023	4.01	3.21
2022	4.08	3.26
2021	4.17	3.31
2020	4.25	3.36
2019	4.33	3.43
2018	4.42	3.54
2017	4.61	3.61
2016	4.81	3.69
2015	5	3.77
2014	5.2	3.84
2013	5.39	3.96
2012	5.52	4.12
2011	5.54	4.28
2010	5.56	4.45
2009	5.57	4.57
2008	5.63	4.66
2007	5.69	4.72
2006	5.74	4.75
2005	5.71	4.8
2004	5.68	4.86
2003	5.66	4.94
2002	5.66	5.03
2001	5.67	5.09
2000	5.72	5.14
1999	5.77	5.18
1998	5.82	5.24
1997	5.85	5.27
1996	5.93	5.31
1995	5.99	5.37
1994	6.04	5.44
1993	6.03	5.57
1992	6.11	5.74
1991	6.19	5.94
1990	6.25	6.14
1989	6.25	6.33
1988	6.26	6.52
1987	6.3	6.69
1986	6.34	6.84
1985	6.36	6.96
1984	6.39	7.08
1983	6.39	7.22
1982	6.4	7.35
1981	6.4	7.45
1980	6.41	7.53
1979	6.41	7.6
1978	6.42	7.67
1977	6.43	7.73
1976	6.43	7.77
1975	6.43	7.8
1974	6.42	7.82
1973	6.41	7.86
1972	6.37	7.89
1971	6.33	7.92
1970	6.26	7.94
1969	6.25	7.95
1968	6.22	7.95
1967	6.21	7.95
1966	6.18	7.96
1965	6.19	7.92
1964	6.2	7.87
1963	6.2	7.82
1962	6.21	7.77
1961	6.23	7.72
1960	6.25	7.65

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in the Gambia was 4.01 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.21 in Kenya in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check the Gambia vs Kenya population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

Natural population change by year

Chart Table

Gambia

Kenya

1x

Year	Natural population change
	Gambia	Kenya
2023	65,118	1,100,970
2022	63,634	1,092,102
2021	62,239	1,037,082
2020	62,209	1,036,253
2019	61,701	1,071,777
2018	60,854	1,097,075
2017	61,665	1,105,769
2016	62,358	1,108,801
2015	62,832	1,119,200
2014	63,185	1,123,333
2013	63,510	1,136,006
2012	62,745	1,161,548
2011	60,571	1,185,863
2010	58,554	1,199,786
2009	56,575	1,193,598
2008	55,032	1,174,818
2007	53,653	1,147,063
2006	52,335	1,113,357
2005	50,010	1,080,446
2004	48,276	1,048,590
2003	46,473	1,018,182
2002	45,156	992,044
2001	44,154	963,721
2000	43,249	928,357
1999	42,533	898,484
1998	41,842	875,511
1997	40,742	847,493
1996	40,253	827,326
1995	39,681	812,391
1994	38,880	792,702
1993	37,302	788,579
1992	35,951	785,018
1991	34,584	790,030
1990	33,163	789,087
1989	31,504	795,622
1988	29,938	785,652
1987	28,452	775,124
1986	27,195	755,606
1985	25,795	732,739
1984	24,586	709,639
1983	23,175	684,587
1982	21,894	663,109
1981	20,156	642,379
1980	19,566	616,390
1979	18,543	595,390
1978	17,424	574,695
1977	16,773	554,124
1976	16,032	536,740
1975	15,256	517,579
1974	14,628	500,008
1973	14,046	485,556
1972	13,432	472,557
1971	12,842	459,897
1970	12,128	443,065
1969	11,670	427,819
1968	11,215	411,948
1967	10,823	396,920
1966	10,422	382,891
1965	10,162	366,444
1964	9,825	349,322
1963	9,493	332,763
1962	9,150	315,797
1961	8,778	298,463
1960	8,420	280,032

The chart above illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes in population resulting from births and deaths.

Excluding migration, the natural population change due to births and deaths from 2022 to 2023 was +2.41% in the Gambia and +1.99% in Kenya.

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change has been +2.59% in the Gambia and +2.16% in Kenya.

Birth rate in Gambia vs Kenya by year

Chart Table

Gambia

Kenya

Annual births per 1,000 people

1x

Year	Annual births per 1,000 people
	Gambia	Kenya
2023	30.4	27.1
2022	30.8	27.3
2021	31.2	27.6
2020	31.5	27.8
2019	31.9	28.2
2018	32.3	29
2017	33.5	29.6
2016	34.6	30.2
2015	35.7	30.9
2014	36.9	31.5
2013	38.1	32.4
2012	38.8	33.7
2011	38.8	35
2010	38.9	36.3
2009	38.9	37.2
2008	39.2	37.9
2007	39.5	38.3
2006	39.9	38.5
2005	39.7	38.8
2004	39.7	39.1
2003	39.7	39.5
2002	40	39.9
2001	40.5	40.2
2000	41.1	40.2
1999	41.8	40.3
1998	42.5	40.6
1997	43.2	40.5
1996	44.1	40.6
1995	45.1	40.8
1994	45.9	40.9
1993	46.1	41.4
1992	46.6	42.1
1991	47.2	43.1
1990	47.7	43.9
1989	47.9	44.9
1988	48.1	45.6
1987	48.5	46.3
1986	48.8	46.6
1985	49	46.9
1984	49.3	47.2
1983	49	47.4
1982	48.8	47.8
1981	48.5	48.2
1980	48.2	48.2
1979	47.8	48.6
1978	47.6	48.9
1977	47.5	49.2
1976	47.4	49.6
1975	47.3	49.8
1974	47.3	50.2
1973	47.5	50.8
1972	47.5	51.5
1971	47.6	52.2
1970	47.4	52.5
1969	47.6	53.1
1968	47.9	53.5
1967	48.2	54.1
1966	48.5	54.6
1965	49	54.9
1964	49.4	55.1
1963	49.8	55.3
1962	50	55.4
1961	50.3	55.4
1960	50.4	55.2

The latest reported birth rate per 1,000 people in 2023 was 30.4 in the Gambia and 27.1 in Kenya, compared with 50.4 and 55.2, respectively, in 1960.

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Chart Table

Gambia

Factual

UN forecast

Kenya

Factual

UN forecast

1x

Year	Young
	Gambia	Kenya
2100	18.1%	18.9%
2099	18.2%	19%
2098	18.3%	19.1%
2097	18.4%	19.2%
2096	18.5%	19.3%
2095	18.6%	19.5%
2094	18.7%	19.6%
2093	18.9%	19.7%
2092	19%	19.8%
2091	19.1%	19.9%
2090	19.3%	20%
2089	19.4%	20.1%
2088	19.6%	20.2%
2087	19.7%	20.4%
2086	19.9%	20.5%
2085	20%	20.7%
2084	20.2%	20.8%
2083	20.3%	21%
2082	20.5%	21.1%
2081	20.6%	21.3%
2080	20.8%	21.5%
2079	21%	21.7%
2078	21.2%	21.9%
2077	21.3%	22.1%
2076	21.5%	22.3%
2075	21.7%	22.5%
2074	21.9%	22.7%
2073	22.1%	22.9%
2072	22.3%	23.1%
2071	22.6%	23.3%
2070	22.8%	23.5%
2069	23%	23.7%
2068	23.2%	23.8%
2067	23.5%	24%
2066	23.7%	24.2%
2065	24%	24.4%
2064	24.3%	24.6%
2063	24.5%	24.8%
2062	24.8%	25%
2061	25.1%	25.2%
2060	25.4%	25.4%
2059	25.7%	25.6%
2058	26%	25.9%
2057	26.3%	26.1%
2056	26.7%	26.4%
2055	27%	26.7%
2054	27.3%	27%
2053	27.6%	27.3%
2052	28%	27.6%
2051	28.3%	28%
2050	28.6%	28.4%
2049	28.9%	28.7%
2048	29.3%	29.1%
2047	29.6%	29.5%
2046	30%	29.8%
2045	30.3%	30.2%
2044	30.7%	30.6%
2043	31.1%	30.9%
2042	31.5%	31.2%
2041	31.9%	31.5%
2040	32.3%	31.8%
2039	32.7%	32.1%
2038	33.2%	32.4%
2037	33.6%	32.6%
2036	34.1%	32.8%
2035	34.5%	33%
2034	35%	33.3%
2033	35.4%	33.5%
2032	35.9%	33.8%
2031	36.4%	34%
2030	37%	34.4%
2029	37.6%	34.7%
2028	38.2%	35%
2027	38.9%	35.5%
2026	39.5%	36%
2025	40%	36.5%
2024	40.2%	36.8%
2023	40.7%	37.4%
2022	41.2%	38.1%
2021	41.6%	38.7%
2020	42%	39.3%
2019	42.4%	39.9%
2018	42.8%	40.5%
2017	43.1%	41%
2016	43.3%	41.5%
2015	43.6%	42%
2014	43.7%	42.4%
2013	43.9%	42.8%
2012	44.1%	43.2%
2011	44.3%	43.4%
2010	44.5%	43.6%
2009	44.8%	43.8%
2008	45.1%	43.9%
2007	45.3%	44%
2006	45.6%	44.2%
2005	45.9%	44.4%
2004	46.1%	44.6%
2003	46.4%	45%
2002	46.6%	45.3%
2001	46.7%	45.7%
2000	46.8%	46.1%
1999	46.9%	46.5%
1998	46.9%	46.8%
1997	46.9%	47.1%
1996	46.7%	47.4%
1995	46.5%	47.7%
1994	46.3%	48%
1993	46%	48.4%
1992	45.9%	48.7%
1991	45.8%	48.9%
1990	45.7%	49.2%
1989	45.6%	49.5%
1988	45.5%	49.7%
1987	45.4%	49.9%
1986	45.2%	50.1%
1985	45%	50.3%
1984	44.9%	50.6%
1983	44.6%	50.8%
1982	44.3%	51.1%
1981	44%	51.3%
1980	43.7%	51.5%
1979	43.5%	51.7%
1978	43.3%	51.9%
1977	43%	52%
1976	42.8%	52.1%
1975	42.6%	52%
1974	42.4%	52%
1973	42.3%	52%
1972	42.2%	51.9%
1971	42.1%	51.7%
1970	42%	51.6%
1969	41.9%	51.4%
1968	41.8%	51.2%
1967	41.6%	50.9%
1966	41.5%	50.6%
1965	41.3%	50.2%
1964	41%	49.8%
1963	40.8%	49.7%
1962	40.7%	49.4%
1961	40.8%	49.1%
1960	41%	48.7%

Children aged 0-14 make up 40.2% of the population in the Gambia and 36.8% in Kenya in 2024, compared to 45.7% and 49.2% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of the Gambia and Kenya compared.

Maternal mortality chart: Gambia vs Kenya

Chart Table

Gambia

Kenya

1x

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Gambia	Kenya
2023	354	149
2022	365	155
2021	420	183
2020	400	184
2019	422	176
2018	450	183
2017	469	186
2016	490	196
2015	527	203
2014	561	203
2013	606	206
2012	628	214
2011	634	209
2010	632	210
2009	634	208
2008	653	197
2007	675	198
2006	682	188
2005	707	178
2004	719	177
2003	749	177
2002	772	182
2001	794	188
2000	810	206
1999	830	217
1998	867	250
1997	928	253
1996	956	275
1995	999	308
1994	1,039	342
1993	1,072	363
1992	1,115	419
1991	1,167	493
1990	1,207	586
1989	1,258	663
1988	1,302	756
1987	1,360	960
1986	1,401	1,059
1985	1,454	1,375

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 354 deaths per 100,000 live births in the Gambia, compared to 149 deaths in Kenya.

Under-five mortality rates

Chart Table

Gambia

Kenya

Probability that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five

1x

Year	Under 5 mortality rate
	Gambia	Kenya
2023	4.41%	3.99%
2022	4.56%	4.11%
2021	4.72%	4.19%
2020	4.89%	4.28%
2019	5.07%	4.33%
2018	5.27%	4.43%
2017	5.47%	4.53%
2016	5.7%	4.6%
2015	5.93%	4.74%
2014	6.18%	4.88%
2013	6.45%	5%
2012	6.73%	5.12%
2011	7.01%	5.22%
2010	7.31%	5.35%
2009	7.64%	5.54%
2008	7.98%	5.82%
2007	8.33%	6.32%
2006	8.71%	6.71%
2005	9.11%	7.15%
2004	9.52%	7.66%
2003	9.95%	8.16%
2002	10.4%	8.66%
2001	10.9%	9.16%
2000	11.3%	9.63%
1999	11.8%	10.1%
1998	12.3%	10.4%
1997	12.8%	10.7%
1996	13.3%	10.9%
1995	13.9%	11%
1994	14.4%	11%
1993	14.9%	10.9%
1992	15.5%	10.7%
1991	16%	10.5%
1990	16.6%	10.1%
1989	17.2%	9.85%
1988	17.8%	9.63%
1987	18.4%	9.51%
1986	19.1%	9.49%
1985	19.7%	9.57%
1984	20.4%	9.74%
1983	21%	9.98%
1982	21.7%	10.3%
1981	22.3%	10.6%
1980	23%	11%
1979	23.6%	11.4%
1978	24.2%	11.8%
1977	24.9%	12.2%
1976	25.5%	12.7%
1975	26.2%	13.1%
1974	26.9%	13.5%
1973	27.5%	14%
1972	28.2%	14.3%
1971	28.9%	14.7%
1970	29.5%	15%
1969	30.2%	15.4%
1968	30.9%	15.7%
1967	31.5%	16%
1966	32.1%	16.3%
1965	32.8%	16.6%
1964	33.5%	17%
1963	34.1%	17.5%
1962	34.8%	18.1%
1961	35.5%	18.8%
1960	36.2%	19.6%

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 4.41% in the Gambia and 3.99% in Kenya. Above is a chart with historical data on under-five mortality rates.