Fertility & birth rates in Egypt and Kenya

Fertility rate in Egypt vs Kenya by year

Chart Table

Egypt

Kenya

1x

Year	Fertility rate
	Egypt	Kenya
2023	2.75	3.21
2022	2.75	3.26
2021	2.75	3.31
2020	2.85	3.36
2019	2.87	3.43
2018	3.02	3.54
2017	3.31	3.61
2016	3.35	3.69
2015	3.5	3.77
2014	3.49	3.84
2013	3.49	3.96
2012	3.4	4.12
2011	3.31	4.28
2010	3.3	4.45
2009	3.26	4.57
2008	3.24	4.66
2007	3.24	4.72
2006	3.22	4.75
2005	3.25	4.8
2004	3.28	4.86
2003	3.35	4.94
2002	3.41	5.03
2001	3.46	5.09
2000	3.51	5.14
1999	3.6	5.18
1998	3.68	5.24
1997	3.68	5.27
1996	3.7	5.31
1995	3.76	5.37
1994	3.87	5.44
1993	3.99	5.57
1992	4.15	5.74
1991	4.32	5.94
1990	4.51	6.14
1989	4.68	6.33
1988	4.83	6.52
1987	4.91	6.69
1986	5	6.84
1985	5.12	6.96
1984	5.21	7.08
1983	5.31	7.22
1982	5.33	7.35
1981	5.37	7.45
1980	5.49	7.53
1979	5.57	7.6
1978	5.63	7.67
1977	5.68	7.73
1976	5.73	7.77
1975	5.75	7.8
1974	5.78	7.82
1973	5.84	7.86
1972	5.93	7.89
1971	5.99	7.92
1970	6.06	7.94
1969	6.12	7.95
1968	6.19	7.95
1967	6.25	7.95
1966	6.31	7.96
1965	6.39	7.92
1964	6.54	7.87
1963	6.65	7.82
1962	6.71	7.77
1961	6.76	7.72
1960	6.79	7.65

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Egypt was 2.75 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.21 in Kenya in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Egypt vs Kenya population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

Natural population change by year

Chart Table

Egypt

Kenya

1x

Year	Natural population change
	Egypt	Kenya
2023	1,780,230	1,100,970
2022	1,736,123	1,092,102
2021	1,566,491	1,037,082
2020	1,704,988	1,036,253
2019	1,805,818	1,071,777
2018	1,908,512	1,097,075
2017	2,122,866	1,105,769
2016	2,131,690	1,108,801
2015	2,227,594	1,119,200
2014	2,195,761	1,123,333
2013	2,156,922	1,136,006
2012	2,060,535	1,161,548
2011	1,951,851	1,185,863
2010	1,910,134	1,199,786
2009	1,848,123	1,193,598
2008	1,792,943	1,174,818
2007	1,749,322	1,147,063
2006	1,693,374	1,113,357
2005	1,660,624	1,080,446
2004	1,626,745	1,048,590
2003	1,614,293	1,018,182
2002	1,593,474	992,044
2001	1,568,962	963,721
2000	1,540,084	928,357
1999	1,534,697	898,484
1998	1,519,728	875,511
1997	1,470,119	847,493
1996	1,427,161	827,326
1995	1,406,935	812,391
1994	1,402,840	792,702
1993	1,409,374	788,579
1992	1,421,372	785,018
1991	1,440,936	790,030
1990	1,450,747	789,087
1989	1,461,547	795,622
1988	1,465,620	785,652
1987	1,436,059	775,124
1986	1,410,249	755,606
1985	1,388,718	732,739
1984	1,351,297	709,639
1983	1,318,474	684,587
1982	1,258,574	663,109
1981	1,206,830	642,379
1980	1,181,914	616,390
1979	1,145,655	595,390
1978	1,107,179	574,695
1977	1,065,298	554,124
1976	1,030,546	536,740
1975	987,822	517,579
1974	946,052	500,008
1973	905,068	485,556
1972	893,333	472,557
1971	868,365	459,897
1970	841,952	443,065
1969	824,564	427,819
1968	809,482	411,948
1967	788,908	396,920
1966	774,391	382,891
1965	752,682	366,444
1964	749,608	349,322
1963	738,788	332,763
1962	720,128	315,797
1961	703,216	298,463
1960	685,403	280,032

The chart above illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes in population resulting from births and deaths.

Excluding migration, the natural population change due to births and deaths from 2022 to 2023 was +1.55% in Egypt and +1.99% in Kenya.

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change has been +1.82% in Egypt and +2.16% in Kenya.

Birth rate in Egypt vs Kenya by year

Chart Table

Egypt

Kenya

Annual births per 1,000 people

1x

Year	Annual births per 1,000 people
	Egypt	Kenya
2023	21	27.1
2022	21.1	27.3
2021	21.2	27.6
2020	22	27.8
2019	22.3	28.2
2018	23.6	29
2017	26.1	29.6
2016	26.7	30.2
2015	28.2	30.9
2014	28.4	31.5
2013	28.6	32.4
2012	28.1	33.7
2011	27.5	35
2010	27.5	36.3
2009	27.2	37.2
2008	27	37.9
2007	26.8	38.3
2006	26.6	38.5
2005	26.6	38.8
2004	26.6	39.1
2003	26.9	39.5
2002	27.1	39.9
2001	27.3	40.2
2000	27.4	40.2
1999	27.9	40.3
1998	28.3	40.6
1997	28.2	40.5
1996	28.2	40.6
1995	28.6	40.8
1994	29.2	40.9
1993	30.1	41.4
1992	31.1	42.1
1991	32.4	43.1
1990	33.5	43.9
1989	34.9	44.9
1988	36	45.6
1987	36.6	46.3
1986	37.3	46.6
1985	38.1	46.9
1984	38.7	47.2
1983	39.3	47.4
1982	39.3	47.8
1981	39.4	48.2
1980	40.2	48.2
1979	40.6	48.6
1978	40.8	48.9
1977	41	49.2
1976	41.3	49.6
1975	41.2	49.8
1974	41.1	50.2
1973	41.2	50.8
1972	41.6	51.5
1971	41.8	52.2
1970	41.9	52.5
1969	42.2	53.1
1968	42.5	53.5
1967	42.8	54.1
1966	43.2	54.6
1965	43.5	54.9
1964	44.5	55.1
1963	45.4	55.3
1962	46	55.4
1961	46.8	55.4
1960	47.5	55.2

The latest reported birth rate per 1,000 people in 2023 was 21 in Egypt and 27.1 in Kenya, compared with 47.5 and 55.2, respectively, in 1960.

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Chart Table

Egypt

Factual

UN forecast

Kenya

Factual

UN forecast

1x

Year	Young
	Egypt	Kenya
2100	16.8%	18.9%
2099	16.9%	19%
2098	17%	19.1%
2097	17%	19.2%
2096	17.1%	19.3%
2095	17.2%	19.5%
2094	17.3%	19.6%
2093	17.4%	19.7%
2092	17.5%	19.8%
2091	17.6%	19.9%
2090	17.7%	20%
2089	17.9%	20.1%
2088	18%	20.2%
2087	18.2%	20.4%
2086	18.3%	20.5%
2085	18.4%	20.7%
2084	18.6%	20.8%
2083	18.8%	21%
2082	18.9%	21.1%
2081	19.1%	21.3%
2080	19.2%	21.5%
2079	19.4%	21.7%
2078	19.5%	21.9%
2077	19.6%	22.1%
2076	19.8%	22.3%
2075	19.9%	22.5%
2074	20%	22.7%
2073	20.2%	22.9%
2072	20.3%	23.1%
2071	20.4%	23.3%
2070	20.5%	23.5%
2069	20.6%	23.7%
2068	20.7%	23.8%
2067	20.8%	24%
2066	21%	24.2%
2065	21.1%	24.4%
2064	21.3%	24.6%
2063	21.4%	24.8%
2062	21.6%	25%
2061	21.8%	25.2%
2060	22%	25.4%
2059	22.3%	25.6%
2058	22.5%	25.9%
2057	22.8%	26.1%
2056	23.1%	26.4%
2055	23.4%	26.7%
2054	23.7%	27%
2053	24%	27.3%
2052	24.3%	27.6%
2051	24.5%	28%
2050	24.8%	28.4%
2049	25.1%	28.7%
2048	25.3%	29.1%
2047	25.5%	29.5%
2046	25.7%	29.8%
2045	25.9%	30.2%
2044	26%	30.6%
2043	26.2%	30.9%
2042	26.3%	31.2%
2041	26.4%	31.5%
2040	26.5%	31.8%
2039	26.6%	32.1%
2038	26.7%	32.4%
2037	26.8%	32.6%
2036	27%	32.8%
2035	27.1%	33%
2034	27.3%	33.3%
2033	27.6%	33.5%
2032	28%	33.8%
2031	28.5%	34%
2030	29.1%	34.4%
2029	29.7%	34.7%
2028	30.3%	35%
2027	30.9%	35.5%
2026	31.3%	36%
2025	31.8%	36.5%
2024	32%	36.8%
2023	32.4%	37.4%
2022	32.9%	38.1%
2021	33.2%	38.7%
2020	33.5%	39.3%
2019	33.7%	39.9%
2018	34%	40.5%
2017	34.1%	41%
2016	34.1%	41.5%
2015	34.1%	42%
2014	34%	42.4%
2013	33.9%	42.8%
2012	33.9%	43.2%
2011	33.9%	43.4%
2010	33.9%	43.6%
2009	33.9%	43.8%
2008	33.9%	43.9%
2007	34.1%	44%
2006	34.3%	44.2%
2005	34.6%	44.4%
2004	35%	44.6%
2003	35.4%	45%
2002	35.9%	45.3%
2001	36.4%	45.7%
2000	36.9%	46.1%
1999	37.5%	46.5%
1998	38%	46.8%
1997	38.5%	47.1%
1996	38.9%	47.4%
1995	39.3%	47.7%
1994	39.7%	48%
1993	40.1%	48.4%
1992	40.4%	48.7%
1991	40.7%	48.9%
1990	40.9%	49.2%
1989	41.2%	49.5%
1988	41.2%	49.7%
1987	41.3%	49.9%
1986	41.3%	50.1%
1985	41.3%	50.3%
1984	41.3%	50.6%
1983	41.3%	50.8%
1982	41.3%	51.1%
1981	41.2%	51.3%
1980	41.2%	51.5%
1979	41.2%	51.7%
1978	41.1%	51.9%
1977	41.1%	52%
1976	41.1%	52.1%
1975	41%	52%
1974	41.1%	52%
1973	41.1%	52%
1972	41.2%	51.9%
1971	41.3%	51.7%
1970	41.4%	51.6%
1969	41.6%	51.4%
1968	41.7%	51.2%
1967	41.9%	50.9%
1966	42%	50.6%
1965	42.1%	50.2%
1964	42.1%	49.8%
1963	42.2%	49.7%
1962	42.3%	49.4%
1961	42.4%	49.1%
1960	42.3%	48.7%

Children aged 0-14 make up 32% of the population in Egypt and 36.8% in Kenya in 2024, compared to 40.9% and 49.2% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Egypt and Kenya compared.

Maternal mortality chart: Egypt vs Kenya

Chart Table

Egypt

Kenya

1x

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Egypt	Kenya
2023	17	149
2022	24	155
2021	42	183
2020	31	184
2019	19	176
2018	20	183
2017	21	186
2016	23	196
2015	24	203
2014	26	203
2013	27	206
2012	29	214
2011	31	209
2010	32	210
2009	34	208
2008	36	197
2007	38	198
2006	40	188
2005	41	178
2004	43	177
2003	45	177
2002	48	182
2001	50	188
2000	53	206
1999	56	217
1998	60	250
1997	64	253
1996	69	275
1995	75	308
1994	81	342
1993	86	363
1992	93	419
1991	100	493
1990	107	586
1989	114	663
1988	121	756
1987	128	960
1986	135	1,059
1985	141	1,375

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 17 deaths per 100,000 live births in Egypt, compared to 149 deaths in Kenya.

Under-five mortality rates

Chart Table

Egypt

Kenya

Probability that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five

1x

Year	Under 5 mortality rate
	Egypt	Kenya
2023	1.75%	3.99%
2022	1.81%	4.11%
2021	1.87%	4.19%
2020	1.94%	4.28%
2019	2.01%	4.33%
2018	2.08%	4.43%
2017	2.16%	4.53%
2016	2.24%	4.6%
2015	2.33%	4.74%
2014	2.41%	4.88%
2013	2.52%	5%
2012	2.62%	5.12%
2011	2.74%	5.22%
2010	2.86%	5.35%
2009	2.99%	5.54%
2008	3.12%	5.82%
2007	3.27%	6.32%
2006	3.41%	6.71%
2005	3.57%	7.15%
2004	3.75%	7.66%
2003	3.94%	8.16%
2002	4.15%	8.66%
2001	4.39%	9.16%
2000	4.66%	9.63%
1999	4.96%	10.1%
1998	5.29%	10.4%
1997	5.65%	10.7%
1996	6.04%	10.9%
1995	6.45%	11%
1994	6.88%	11%
1993	7.31%	10.9%
1992	7.73%	10.7%
1991	8.14%	10.5%
1990	8.57%	10.1%
1989	9.03%	9.85%
1988	9.57%	9.63%
1987	10.2%	9.51%
1986	11%	9.49%
1985	11.9%	9.57%
1984	12.9%	9.74%
1983	13.9%	9.98%
1982	14.9%	10.3%
1981	15.9%	10.6%
1980	16.8%	11%
1979	17.8%	11.4%
1978	18.8%	11.8%
1977	19.8%	12.2%
1976	20.8%	12.7%
1975	21.7%	13.1%
1974	22.6%	13.5%
1973	23.3%	14%
1972	23.9%	14.3%
1971	24.3%	14.7%
1970	24.7%	15%
1969	25%	15.4%
1968	25.4%	15.7%
1967	25.9%	16%
1966	26.5%	16.3%
1965	27.2%	16.6%
1964	28%	17%
1963	28.9%	17.5%
1962	29.9%	18.1%
1961	30.9%	18.8%
1960	32%	19.6%

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 1.75% in Egypt and 3.99% in Kenya. Above is a chart with historical data on under-five mortality rates.