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Fertility & birth rates in Kenya and Panama

Updated on by Georank team

Kenya has an annual birth rate of 27.1 births per 1,000 people, compared to 16 for Panama. The average number of children a woman is expected to have during her lifetime — the fertility rate, is 3.21 in Kenya and 2.12 in Panama — 33.9% difference.

1960 vs 2023, the fertility rate has decreased by -58.1% in Kenya and by -63.6% in Panama — in 1960, it was 7.65 and 5.83, respectively.

Birth rates facts compared:

  • Kenya is ranked 43/196 by birth rate compared to 95/196 for Panama.
  • The mean age at childbearing (for all the births, not just the first) is 28.2 in Kenya — it's 27.4 in Panama.
  • Annual births per 1,000 women ages 15-19 (adolescent birth rate or teenage mother rate) is 56.3 in Kenya vs 57.3 in Panama.
  • In Kenya, 26.4% of the population is composed of women of reproductive age (15-49), compared to 25.2% in Panama.
  • Excluding migration, the natural population change due to births and deaths from 2022 to 2023 was +1.99% in Kenya and +1.13% in Panama.

Birth rate data compared

Kenya Panama
Fertility rate 3.21 2.12
Birth rate 27.1 16
Birth rate rank 43/196 95/196
Age at first childbirth 20.3 years n/a
Average age at childbearing 28.2 years 27.4 years
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 15-19 52.8 54.2
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 20-29 167.9 109
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 30+ 46.7 19.4
Female of reproductive age (15-49), share of population 26.4% 25.2%
Any modern method of contraceptive prevalence among married women ages 15-49 56.9% 46.9%
Share of births attended by skilled health staff 70.2% 95%
Maternal mortality per live birth 0.15% 0.04%
Neonatal mortality rate (before reaching 28 days of age) 2.15% 0.66%
Infant mortality rate (before reaching 1 year of age) 3.47% 1.06%
Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births 3.99% 1.33%
Population change due to births and deaths +1,100,970 +50,197
Natural population change rank 18/196 94/196
Natural population change rate +1.99% +1.13%
Population growth +1.98% +1.27%
Population growth rank 55/197 85/197
Life expectancy 64 years 80 years

Fertility rate in Kenya vs Panama chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Kenya was 3.21 children per woman in 2023, compared to 2.12 in Panama in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Kenya vs Panama population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Kenya
Factual

UN forecast
Panama
Factual

UN forecast

Births per woman

Year Fertility rate
Kenya Panama
1960 7.65 5.83
1961 7.72 5.87
1962 7.77 5.87
1963 7.82 5.87
1964 7.87 5.81
1965 7.92 5.73
1966 7.96 5.65
1967 7.95 5.53
1968 7.95 5.41
1969 7.95 5.29
1970 7.94 5.18
1971 7.92 5.05
1972 7.89 4.91
1973 7.86 4.74
1974 7.82 4.58
1975 7.8 4.41
1976 7.77 4.26
1977 7.73 4.12
1978 7.67 3.98
1979 7.6 3.88
1980 7.53 3.8
1981 7.45 3.72
1982 7.35 3.66
1983 7.22 3.6
1984 7.08 3.52
1985 6.96 3.43
1986 6.84 3.34
1987 6.69 3.25
1988 6.52 3.17
1989 6.33 3.12
1990 6.14 3.07
1991 5.94 3
1992 5.74 2.95
1993 5.57 2.91
1994 5.44 2.88
1995 5.37 2.85
1996 5.31 2.83
1997 5.27 2.81
1998 5.24 2.79
1999 5.18 2.77
2000 5.14 2.74
2001 5.09 2.72
2002 5.03 2.7
2003 4.94 2.68
2004 4.86 2.68
2005 4.8 2.64
2006 4.75 2.62
2007 4.72 2.61
2008 4.66 2.61
2009 4.57 2.59
2010 4.45 2.59
2011 4.28 2.6
2012 4.12 2.59
2013 3.96 2.57
2014 3.84 2.55
2015 3.77 2.53
2016 3.69 2.5
2017 3.61 2.46
2018 3.54 2.4
2019 3.43 2.29
2020 3.36 2.18
2021 3.31 2.15
2022 3.26 2.14
2023 3.21 2.12
2024 3.17 2.11
2025 3.12 2.09
2026 3.07 2.07
2027 3.03 2.06
2028 2.99 2.04
2029 2.95 2.02
2030 2.92 2.01
2031 2.89 2
2032 2.85 1.99
2033 2.82 1.97
2034 2.78 1.96
2035 2.75 1.95
2036 2.72 1.95
2037 2.69 1.94
2038 2.66 1.93
2039 2.63 1.92
2040 2.61 1.91
2041 2.58 1.91
2042 2.55 1.9
2043 2.53 1.89
2044 2.5 1.89
2045 2.47 1.88
2046 2.44 1.88
2047 2.42 1.87
2048 2.4 1.87
2049 2.38 1.86
2050 2.36 1.86

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Kenya
Factual

UN forecast
Panama
Factual

UN forecast
Year Share of people 0-14 years old
Kenya Panama
1960 48.7% 44.2%
1961 49.1% 44.3%
1962 49.4% 44.5%
1963 49.7% 44.6%
1964 49.8% 44.7%
1965 50.2% 44.8%
1966 50.6% 44.8%
1967 50.9% 44.8%
1968 51.2% 44.7%
1969 51.4% 44.6%
1970 51.6% 44.5%
1971 51.7% 44.3%
1972 51.9% 44.1%
1973 52% 43.9%
1974 52% 43.6%
1975 52% 43.3%
1976 52.1% 42.9%
1977 52% 42.4%
1978 51.9% 41.9%
1979 51.7% 41.4%
1980 51.5% 40.8%
1981 51.3% 40.3%
1982 51.1% 39.8%
1983 50.8% 39.3%
1984 50.6% 38.8%
1985 50.3% 38.3%
1986 50.1% 37.8%
1987 49.9% 37.4%
1988 49.7% 36.9%
1989 49.5% 36.5%
1990 49.2% 36.1%
1991 48.9% 35.7%
1992 48.7% 35.3%
1993 48.4% 34.9%
1994 48% 34.6%
1995 47.7% 34.2%
1996 47.4% 33.9%
1997 47.1% 33.5%
1998 46.8% 33.1%
1999 46.5% 32.8%
2000 46.1% 32.4%
2001 45.7% 32%
2002 45.3% 31.6%
2003 45% 31.3%
2004 44.6% 31%
2005 44.4% 30.6%
2006 44.2% 30.3%
2007 44% 30%
2008 43.9% 29.7%
2009 43.8% 29.5%
2010 43.6% 29.2%
2011 43.4% 28.9%
2012 43.2% 28.7%
2013 42.8% 28.4%
2014 42.4% 28.2%
2015 42% 27.9%
2016 41.5% 27.6%
2017 41% 27.4%
2018 40.5% 27.1%
2019 39.9% 26.7%
2020 39.3% 26.4%
2021 38.7% 26%
2022 38.1% 25.7%
2023 37.4% 25.3%
2024 36.8% 24.9%
2025 36.3% 24.5%
2026 35.7% 24.1%
2027 35.3% 23.8%
2028 34.9% 23.4%
2029 34.5% 23%
2030 34.2% 22.6%
2031 33.9% 22.2%
2032 33.6% 21.9%
2033 33.4% 21.6%
2034 33.2% 21.3%
2035 32.9% 21%
2036 32.7% 20.9%
2037 32.5% 20.7%
2038 32.2% 20.5%
2039 32% 20.3%
2040 31.7% 20.1%
2041 31.4% 20%
2042 31% 19.8%
2043 30.7% 19.6%
2044 30.4% 19.4%
2045 30% 19.3%
2046 29.7% 19.1%
2047 29.3% 18.9%
2048 28.9% 18.8%
2049 28.5% 18.6%
2050 28.2% 18.4%

Children aged 0-14 make up 36.8% of the population in Kenya and 24.9% in Panama in 2024, compared to 49.2% and 36.1% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Kenya and Panama compared.

Natural population change in Kenya vs Panama by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +2.16% in Kenya and +1.31% in Panama. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Kenya
Panama

Natural population change

Year Population change due to births and deaths
Kenya Panama
1960 280,032 35,431
1961 298,463 37,100
1962 315,797 38,537
1963 332,763 39,872
1964 349,322 40,806
1965 366,444 41,604
1966 382,891 42,457
1967 396,920 43,054
1968 411,948 43,641
1969 427,819 44,278
1970 443,065 45,075
1971 459,897 45,867
1972 472,557 46,311
1973 485,556 46,540
1974 500,008 46,932
1975 517,579 47,149
1976 536,740 47,307
1977 554,124 47,438
1978 574,695 47,694
1979 595,390 48,362
1980 616,390 49,077
1981 642,379 50,018
1982 663,109 50,858
1983 684,587 51,880
1984 709,639 52,436
1985 732,739 52,573
1986 755,606 52,681
1987 775,124 52,690
1988 785,652 52,767
1989 795,622 52,295
1990 789,087 53,451
1991 790,030 53,079
1992 785,018 53,186
1993 788,579 53,591
1994 792,702 53,845
1995 812,391 54,069
1996 827,326 54,512
1997 847,493 55,060
1998 875,511 55,482
1999 898,484 55,911
2000 928,357 56,236
2001 963,721 56,654
2002 992,044 57,011
2003 1,018,182 57,458
2004 1,048,590 58,281
2005 1,080,446 58,014
2006 1,113,357 58,067
2007 1,147,063 58,454
2008 1,174,818 58,961
2009 1,193,598 59,168
2010 1,199,786 59,418
2011 1,185,863 60,411
2012 1,161,548 60,471
2013 1,136,006 60,295
2014 1,123,333 60,227
2015 1,119,200 59,896
2016 1,108,801 59,454
2017 1,105,769 58,607
2018 1,097,075 57,508
2019 1,071,777 54,420
2020 1,036,253 46,599
2021 1,037,082 46,747
2022 1,092,102 50,556
2023 1,100,970 50,197

Fertility rates around the globe

Fertility rate

Maternal mortality chart: Kenya vs Panama

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 149 deaths per 100,000 live births in Kenya, compared to 37 deaths in Panama.

Kenya
Panama
Year Maternal mortality per 100K births
Kenya Panama
1985 1,375 95
1986 1,059 94
1987 960 93
1988 756 93
1989 663 96
1990 586 89
1991 493 87
1992 419 85
1993 363 81
1994 342 78
1995 308 77
1996 275 73
1997 253 70
1998 250 68
1999 217 65
2000 206 64
2001 188 62
2002 182 59
2003 177 58
2004 177 57
2005 178 57
2006 188 56
2007 198 55
2008 197 55
2009 208 55
2010 210 56
2011 209 55
2012 214 53
2013 206 52
2014 203 49
2015 203 48
2016 196 47
2017 186 47
2018 183 43
2019 176 41
2020 184 74
2021 183 59
2022 155 40
2023 149 37

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 3.99% in Kenya and 1.33% in Panama. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Kenya
Panama

Probability that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five

Year Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
Kenya Panama
1960 19.6% 9.31%
1961 18.8% 9.04%
1962 18.1% 8.78%
1963 17.5% 8.52%
1964 17% 8.28%
1965 16.6% 8.05%
1966 16.3% 7.83%
1967 16% 7.62%
1968 15.7% 7.38%
1969 15.4% 7.1%
1970 15% 6.78%
1971 14.7% 6.43%
1972 14.3% 6.07%
1973 14% 5.72%
1974 13.5% 5.41%
1975 13.1% 5.15%
1976 12.7% 4.93%
1977 12.2% 4.76%
1978 11.8% 4.61%
1979 11.4% 4.47%
1980 11% 4.34%
1981 10.6% 4.19%
1982 10.3% 4.05%
1983 9.98% 3.9%
1984 9.74% 3.75%
1985 9.57% 3.61%
1986 9.49% 3.47%
1987 9.51% 3.35%
1988 9.63% 3.24%
1989 9.85% 3.14%
1990 10.1% 3.05%
1991 10.5% 2.97%
1992 10.7% 2.91%
1993 10.9% 2.87%
1994 11% 2.83%
1995 11% 2.8%
1996 10.9% 2.77%
1997 10.7% 2.73%
1998 10.4% 2.68%
1999 10.1% 2.63%
2000 9.63% 2.56%
2001 9.16% 2.49%
2002 8.66% 2.41%
2003 8.16% 2.33%
2004 7.66% 2.25%
2005 7.15% 2.17%
2006 6.71% 2.1%
2007 6.32% 2.03%
2008 5.82% 1.97%
2009 5.54% 1.91%
2010 5.35% 1.86%
2011 5.22% 1.81%
2012 5.12% 1.77%
2013 5% 1.75%
2014 4.88% 1.73%
2015 4.74% 1.72%
2016 4.6% 1.7%
2017 4.53% 1.68%
2018 4.43% 1.65%
2019 4.33% 1.59%
2020 4.28% 1.52%
2021 4.19% 1.45%
2022 4.11% 1.39%
2023 3.99% 1.33%

Compare countries by 7 more topics

Birth rate comparisons

Birth rate vs Kenya vs Panama
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