Fertility & birth rates in Kenya and Sri Lanka

Fertility rate in Kenya vs Sri Lanka chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Kenya was 3.21 children per woman in 2023, compared to 1.97 in Sri Lanka in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Kenya vs Sri Lanka population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Kenya	Sri Lanka
1960	7.65	5.35
1961	7.72	5.24
1962	7.77	5.18
1963	7.82	5.12
1964	7.87	5.06
1965	7.92	4.93
1966	7.96	4.83
1967	7.95	4.79
1968	7.95	4.66
1969	7.95	4.5
1970	7.94	4.39
1971	7.92	4.27
1972	7.89	4.16
1973	7.86	4
1974	7.82	3.86
1975	7.8	3.82
1976	7.77	3.78
1977	7.73	3.74
1978	7.67	3.81
1979	7.6	3.82
1980	7.53	3.73
1981	7.45	3.65
1982	7.35	3.32
1983	7.22	3.11
1984	7.08	3.01
1985	6.96	2.9
1986	6.84	2.74
1987	6.69	2.64
1988	6.52	2.57
1989	6.33	2.58
1990	6.14	2.54
1991	5.94	2.51
1992	5.74	2.49
1993	5.57	2.44
1994	5.44	2.4
1995	5.37	2.35
1996	5.31	2.29
1997	5.27	2.22
1998	5.24	2.14
1999	5.18	2.14
2000	5.14	2.21
2001	5.09	2.28
2002	5.03	2.31
2003	4.94	2.3
2004	4.86	2.27
2005	4.8	2.26
2006	4.75	2.29
2007	4.72	2.3
2008	4.66	2.23
2009	4.57	2.18
2010	4.45	2.13
2011	4.28	2.14
2012	4.12	2.17
2013	3.96	2.18
2014	3.84	2.13
2015	3.77	2.09
2016	3.69	2.06
2017	3.61	2.04
2018	3.54	2.03
2019	3.43	2.02
2020	3.36	2.01
2021	3.31	2
2022	3.26	1.98
2023	3.21	1.97
2024	3.17	1.95
2025	3.12	1.94
2026	3.07	1.93
2027	3.03	1.91
2028	2.99	1.9
2029	2.95	1.89
2030	2.92	1.88
2031	2.89	1.87
2032	2.85	1.86
2033	2.82	1.85
2034	2.78	1.85
2035	2.75	1.84
2036	2.72	1.83
2037	2.69	1.83
2038	2.66	1.82
2039	2.63	1.81
2040	2.61	1.81
2041	2.58	1.8
2042	2.55	1.8
2043	2.53	1.8
2044	2.5	1.79
2045	2.47	1.79
2046	2.44	1.79
2047	2.42	1.78
2048	2.4	1.78
2049	2.38	1.77
2050	2.36	1.77

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Kenya	Sri Lanka
1960	48.7%	41%
1961	49.1%	40.9%
1962	49.4%	40.8%
1963	49.7%	40.7%
1964	49.8%	40.6%
1965	50.2%	40.5%
1966	50.6%	40.4%
1967	50.9%	40.3%
1968	51.2%	40.1%
1969	51.4%	39.9%
1970	51.6%	39.7%
1971	51.7%	39.5%
1972	51.9%	39.2%
1973	52%	38.8%
1974	52%	38.4%
1975	52%	38%
1976	52.1%	37.6%
1977	52%	37.2%
1978	51.9%	36.9%
1979	51.7%	36.7%
1980	51.5%	36.4%
1981	51.3%	36.2%
1982	51.1%	36%
1983	50.8%	35.8%
1984	50.6%	35.5%
1985	50.3%	35.2%
1986	50.1%	34.6%
1987	49.9%	34%
1988	49.7%	33.5%
1989	49.5%	33%
1990	49.2%	32.5%
1991	48.9%	32.1%
1992	48.7%	31.4%
1993	48.4%	30.6%
1994	48%	29.9%
1995	47.7%	29.2%
1996	47.4%	28.6%
1997	47.1%	28.2%
1998	46.8%	27.8%
1999	46.5%	27.4%
2000	46.1%	27%
2001	45.7%	26.6%
2002	45.3%	26.3%
2003	45%	26.1%
2004	44.6%	26%
2005	44.4%	25.8%
2006	44.2%	25.7%
2007	44%	25.7%
2008	43.9%	25.6%
2009	43.8%	25.5%
2010	43.6%	25.4%
2011	43.4%	25.3%
2012	43.2%	25.2%
2013	42.8%	25%
2014	42.4%	24.9%
2015	42%	24.7%
2016	41.5%	24.5%
2017	41%	24.2%
2018	40.5%	24%
2019	39.9%	23.7%
2020	39.3%	23.3%
2021	38.7%	23%
2022	38.1%	22.7%
2023	37.4%	22.4%
2024	36.8%	22%
2025	36.3%	21.7%
2026	35.7%	21.4%
2027	35.3%	21.1%
2028	34.9%	20.8%
2029	34.5%	20.5%
2030	34.2%	20.2%
2031	33.9%	20%
2032	33.6%	19.8%
2033	33.4%	19.6%
2034	33.2%	19.4%
2035	32.9%	19.2%
2036	32.7%	19.1%
2037	32.5%	18.9%
2038	32.2%	18.8%
2039	32%	18.7%
2040	31.7%	18.6%
2041	31.4%	18.4%
2042	31%	18.3%
2043	30.7%	18.2%
2044	30.4%	18.1%
2045	30%	18%
2046	29.7%	17.9%
2047	29.3%	17.7%
2048	28.9%	17.6%
2049	28.5%	17.5%
2050	28.2%	17.3%

Children aged 0-14 make up 36.8% of the population in Kenya and 22% in Sri Lanka in 2024, compared to 49.2% and 32.5% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Kenya and Sri Lanka compared.

Natural population change in Kenya vs Sri Lanka by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +2.16% in Kenya and +0.75% in Sri Lanka. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Kenya	Sri Lanka
1960	280,032	247,631
1961	298,463	251,087
1962	315,797	256,719
1963	332,763	262,880
1964	349,322	269,584
1965	366,444	272,422
1966	382,891	275,549
1967	396,920	284,738
1968	411,948	286,642
1969	427,819	286,218
1970	443,065	286,719
1971	459,897	281,200
1972	472,557	282,494
1973	485,556	278,577
1974	500,008	275,521
1975	517,579	282,496
1976	536,740	291,816
1977	554,124	300,038
1978	574,695	317,055
1979	595,390	329,791
1980	616,390	328,155
1981	642,379	328,096
1982	663,109	300,030
1983	684,587	277,768
1984	709,639	263,175
1985	732,739	247,836
1986	755,606	233,782
1987	775,124	226,414
1988	785,652	219,184
1989	795,622	212,401
1990	789,087	224,454
1991	790,030	218,117
1992	785,018	222,230
1993	788,579	226,257
1994	792,702	228,904
1995	812,391	221,957
1996	827,326	215,290
1997	847,493	208,193
1998	875,511	201,059
1999	898,484	206,876
2000	928,357	227,060
2001	963,721	244,377
2002	992,044	252,840
2003	1,018,182	252,008
2004	1,048,590	212,527
2005	1,080,446	248,683
2006	1,113,357	248,706
2007	1,147,063	248,287
2008	1,174,818	232,225
2009	1,193,598	200,175
2010	1,199,786	224,325
2011	1,185,863	224,461
2012	1,161,548	229,138
2013	1,136,006	221,021
2014	1,123,333	211,541
2015	1,119,200	201,815
2016	1,108,801	194,232
2017	1,105,769	187,993
2018	1,097,075	183,610
2019	1,071,777	172,243
2020	1,036,253	170,968
2021	1,037,082	121,858
2022	1,092,102	95,378
2023	1,100,970	66,111

Maternal mortality chart: Kenya vs Sri Lanka

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 149 deaths per 100,000 live births in Kenya, compared to 18 deaths in Sri Lanka.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Kenya	Sri Lanka
1985	1,375	68
1986	1,059	66
1987	960	64
1988	756	62
1989	663	61
1990	586	59
1991	493	57
1992	419	54
1993	363	51
1994	342	49
1995	308	48
1996	275	47
1997	253	45
1998	250	43
1999	217	41
2000	206	39
2001	188	37
2002	182	36
2003	177	35
2004	177	37
2005	178	32
2006	188	32
2007	198	31
2008	197	30
2009	208	28
2010	210	26
2011	209	25
2012	214	24
2013	206	23
2014	203	23
2015	203	22
2016	196	22
2017	186	21
2018	183	21
2019	176	20
2020	184	23
2021	183	34
2022	155	22
2023	149	18

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 3.99% in Kenya and 0.61% in Sri Lanka. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Kenya	Sri Lanka
1960	19.6%	9.41%
1961	18.8%	8.95%
1962	18.1%	8.66%
1963	17.5%	8.48%
1964	17%	8.3%
1965	16.6%	8.07%
1966	16.3%	7.81%
1967	16%	7.55%
1968	15.7%	7.32%
1969	15.4%	7.14%
1970	15%	7.02%
1971	14.7%	6.94%
1972	14.3%	6.86%
1973	14%	6.77%
1974	13.5%	6.62%
1975	13.1%	6.41%
1976	12.7%	6.12%
1977	12.2%	5.77%
1978	11.8%	5.38%
1979	11.4%	4.99%
1980	11%	4.63%
1981	10.6%	4.29%
1982	10.3%	3.98%
1983	9.98%	3.67%
1984	9.74%	3.35%
1985	9.57%	3.02%
1986	9.49%	2.74%
1987	9.51%	2.54%
1988	9.63%	2.41%
1989	9.85%	2.74%
1990	10.1%	2.33%
1991	10.5%	2.32%
1992	10.7%	2.29%
1993	10.9%	2.22%
1994	11%	2.14%
1995	11%	2.05%
1996	10.9%	1.95%
1997	10.7%	1.86%
1998	10.4%	1.76%
1999	10.1%	1.69%
2000	9.63%	1.63%
2001	9.16%	1.58%
2002	8.66%	1.55%
2003	8.16%	1.52%
2004	7.66%	2.88%
2005	7.15%	1.4%
2006	6.71%	1.33%
2007	6.32%	1.26%
2008	5.82%	1.2%
2009	5.54%	2.08%
2010	5.35%	1.12%
2011	5.22%	1.08%
2012	5.12%	1.03%
2013	5%	0.98%
2014	4.88%	0.92%
2015	4.74%	0.87%
2016	4.6%	0.83%
2017	4.53%	0.79%
2018	4.43%	0.76%
2019	4.33%	0.72%
2020	4.28%	0.69%
2021	4.19%	0.66%
2022	4.11%	0.64%
2023	3.99%	0.61%