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Fertility & birth rates in Kenya and Moldova

Updated on by Georank team

Kenya has an annual birth rate of 27.1 births per 1,000 people, compared to 10.8 for Moldova. The average number of children a woman is expected to have during her lifetime — the fertility rate, is 3.21 in Kenya and 1.73 in Moldova — 46% difference.

1960 vs 2023, the fertility rate has decreased by -58.1% in Kenya and by -47.8% in Moldova — in 1960, it was 7.65 and 3.32, respectively.

Birth rates facts compared:

  • Kenya is ranked 43/196 by birth rate compared to 138/196 for Moldova.
  • The mean age for first-time mothers is 20.3 years in Kenya, compared to 25.1 years in Moldova.
  • The mean age at childbearing (for all the births, not just the first) is 28.2 in Kenya — it's 28.2 in Moldova.
  • Annual births per 1,000 women ages 15-19 (adolescent birth rate or teenage mother rate) is 56.3 in Kenya vs 23 in Moldova.
  • In Kenya, 26.4% of the population is composed of women of reproductive age (15-49), compared to 23.3% in Moldova.
  • Excluding migration, the natural population change due to births and deaths from 2022 to 2023 was +1.99% in Kenya and -0.29% in Moldova.

Birth rate data compared

Kenya Moldova
Fertility rate 3.21 1.73
Birth rate 27.1 10.8
Birth rate rank 43/196 138/196
Age at first childbirth 20.3 years 25.1 years
Average age at childbearing 28.2 years 28.2 years
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 15-19 52.8 22.3
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 20-29 167.9 98.6
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 30+ 46.7 12.9
Female of reproductive age (15-49), share of population 26.4% 23.3%
Any modern method of contraceptive prevalence among married women ages 15-49 56.9% 43.9%
Share of births attended by skilled health staff 70.2% 99.6%
Maternal mortality per live birth 0.15% 0.02%
Neonatal mortality rate (before reaching 28 days of age) 2.15% 1.08%
Infant mortality rate (before reaching 1 year of age) 3.47% 1.35%
Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births 3.99% 1.47%
Population change due to births and deaths +1,100,970 -7,007
Natural population change rank 18/196 170/196
Natural population change rate +1.99% -0.29%
Population growth +1.98% -2.79%
Population growth rank 55/197 196/197
Life expectancy 64 years 71.5 years

Fertility rate in Kenya vs Moldova chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Kenya was 3.21 children per woman in 2023, compared to 1.73 in Moldova in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Kenya vs Moldova population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Kenya
Factual

UN forecast
Moldova
Factual

UN forecast

Births per woman

Year Fertility rate
Kenya Moldova
1960 7.65 3.32
1961 7.72 3.23
1962 7.77 3.04
1963 7.82 2.89
1964 7.87 2.71
1965 7.92 2.69
1966 7.96 2.65
1967 7.95 2.62
1968 7.95 2.59
1969 7.95 2.57
1970 7.94 2.57
1971 7.92 2.56
1972 7.89 2.56
1973 7.86 2.57
1974 7.82 2.56
1975 7.8 2.52
1976 7.77 2.47
1977 7.73 2.42
1978 7.67 2.39
1979 7.6 2.38
1980 7.53 2.38
1981 7.45 2.4
1982 7.35 2.45
1983 7.22 2.58
1984 7.08 2.67
1985 6.96 2.67
1986 6.84 2.74
1987 6.69 2.78
1988 6.52 2.63
1989 6.33 2.46
1990 6.14 2.39
1991 5.94 2.28
1992 5.74 2.22
1993 5.57 2.11
1994 5.44 1.99
1995 5.37 1.83
1996 5.31 1.71
1997 5.27 1.79
1998 5.24 1.65
1999 5.18 1.56
2000 5.14 1.5
2001 5.09 1.47
2002 5.03 1.45
2003 4.94 1.48
2004 4.86 1.54
2005 4.8 1.53
2006 4.75 1.54
2007 4.72 1.58
2008 4.66 1.64
2009 4.57 1.72
2010 4.45 1.7
2011 4.28 1.65
2012 4.12 1.66
2013 3.96 1.62
2014 3.84 1.82
2015 3.77 1.87
2016 3.69 1.89
2017 3.61 1.81
2018 3.54 1.81
2019 3.43 1.78
2020 3.36 1.77
2021 3.31 1.75
2022 3.26 1.69
2023 3.21 1.73
2024 3.17 1.73
2025 3.12 1.72
2026 3.07 1.72
2027 3.03 1.72
2028 2.99 1.72
2029 2.95 1.72
2030 2.92 1.72
2031 2.89 1.72
2032 2.85 1.72
2033 2.82 1.71
2034 2.78 1.71
2035 2.75 1.71
2036 2.72 1.71
2037 2.69 1.71
2038 2.66 1.71
2039 2.63 1.71
2040 2.61 1.71
2041 2.58 1.71
2042 2.55 1.71
2043 2.53 1.7
2044 2.5 1.7
2045 2.47 1.7
2046 2.44 1.7
2047 2.42 1.7
2048 2.4 1.7
2049 2.38 1.7
2050 2.36 1.7

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Kenya
Factual

UN forecast
Moldova
Factual

UN forecast
Year Share of people 0-14 years old
Kenya Moldova
1960 48.7% 34.5%
1961 49.1% 34.9%
1962 49.4% 35.1%
1963 49.7% 35.1%
1964 49.8% 34.7%
1965 50.2% 34.2%
1966 50.6% 33.5%
1967 50.9% 32.8%
1968 51.2% 32.1%
1969 51.4% 31.3%
1970 51.6% 30.7%
1971 51.7% 30.1%
1972 51.9% 29.5%
1973 52% 28.9%
1974 52% 28.3%
1975 52% 27.7%
1976 52.1% 27.2%
1977 52% 26.8%
1978 51.9% 26.5%
1979 51.7% 26.7%
1980 51.5% 26.9%
1981 51.3% 26.9%
1982 51.1% 27%
1983 50.8% 27.1%
1984 50.6% 27.3%
1985 50.3% 27.5%
1986 50.1% 27.7%
1987 49.9% 27.8%
1988 49.7% 27.9%
1989 49.5% 27.8%
1990 49.2% 27.7%
1991 48.9% 27.6%
1992 48.7% 27.4%
1993 48.4% 27.2%
1994 48% 27%
1995 47.7% 26.7%
1996 47.4% 26.3%
1997 47.1% 25.8%
1998 46.8% 25.1%
1999 46.5% 24.4%
2000 46.1% 23.5%
2001 45.7% 22.5%
2002 45.3% 21.6%
2003 45% 20.7%
2004 44.6% 19.9%
2005 44.4% 19.3%
2006 44.2% 18.8%
2007 44% 18.4%
2008 43.9% 18%
2009 43.8% 17.7%
2010 43.6% 17.5%
2011 43.4% 17.4%
2012 43.2% 17.3%
2013 42.8% 17.4%
2014 42.4% 17.8%
2015 42% 18.2%
2016 41.5% 18.7%
2017 41% 19.1%
2018 40.5% 19.5%
2019 39.9% 19.8%
2020 39.3% 20%
2021 38.7% 20.1%
2022 38.1% 20.1%
2023 37.4% 20%
2024 36.8% 19.8%
2025 36.3% 19.5%
2026 35.7% 19.2%
2027 35.3% 18.9%
2028 34.9% 18.4%
2029 34.5% 17.9%
2030 34.2% 17.3%
2031 33.9% 16.8%
2032 33.6% 16.3%
2033 33.4% 15.9%
2034 33.2% 15.6%
2035 32.9% 15.4%
2036 32.7% 15.2%
2037 32.5% 15.1%
2038 32.2% 15.1%
2039 32% 15.1%
2040 31.7% 15.2%
2041 31.4% 15.3%
2042 31% 15.4%
2043 30.7% 15.6%
2044 30.4% 15.7%
2045 30% 15.9%
2046 29.7% 16.1%
2047 29.3% 16.3%
2048 28.9% 16.5%
2049 28.5% 16.6%
2050 28.2% 16.7%

Children aged 0-14 make up 36.8% of the population in Kenya and 19.8% in Moldova in 2024, compared to 49.2% and 27.7% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Kenya and Moldova compared.

Natural population change in Kenya vs Moldova by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +2.16% in Kenya and -0.08% in Moldova. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Kenya
Moldova

Natural population change

Year Population change due to births and deaths
Kenya Moldova
1960 280,032 36,352
1961 298,463 35,180
1962 315,797 32,082
1963 332,763 29,382
1964 349,322 25,860
1965 366,444 24,916
1966 382,891 23,720
1967 396,920 22,654
1968 411,948 22,005
1969 427,819 21,768
1970 443,065 22,314
1971 459,897 23,359
1972 472,557 24,626
1973 485,556 25,967
1974 500,008 27,219
1975 517,579 27,677
1976 536,740 27,801
1977 554,124 27,707
1978 574,695 27,622
1979 595,390 28,322
1980 616,390 30,053
1981 642,379 31,360
1982 663,109 32,814
1983 684,587 36,076
1984 709,639 38,108
1985 732,739 38,060
1986 755,606 39,463
1987 775,124 40,122
1988 785,652 35,608
1989 795,622 29,638
1990 789,087 25,824
1991 790,030 21,127
1992 785,018 17,373
1993 788,579 13,886
1994 792,702 9,921
1995 812,391 5,534
1996 827,326 2,655
1997 847,493 4,669
1998 875,511 2,140
1999 898,484 642
2000 928,357 -324
2001 963,721 -718
2002 992,044 -1,249
2003 1,018,182 -322
2004 1,048,590 1,714
2005 1,080,446 2,005
2006 1,113,357 2,406
2007 1,147,063 3,490
2008 1,174,818 5,210
2009 1,193,598 7,492
2010 1,199,786 7,456
2011 1,185,863 5,948
2012 1,161,548 5,581
2013 1,136,006 3,537
2014 1,123,333 7,248
2015 1,119,200 6,049
2016 1,108,801 4,580
2017 1,105,769 1,402
2018 1,097,075 -961
2019 1,071,777 -3,416
2020 1,036,253 -7,067
2021 1,037,082 -13,444
2022 1,092,102 -6,385
2023 1,100,970 -7,007

Fertility rates around the globe

Fertility rate

Maternal mortality chart: Kenya vs Moldova

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 149 deaths per 100,000 live births in Kenya, compared to 19 deaths in Moldova.

Kenya
Moldova
Year Maternal mortality per 100K births
Kenya Moldova
1985 1,375 62
1986 1,059 60
1987 960 56
1988 756 53
1989 663 52
1990 586 53
1991 493 53
1992 419 55
1993 363 55
1994 342 56
1995 308 54
1996 275 53
1997 253 52
1998 250 48
1999 217 43
2000 206 38
2001 188 35
2002 182 31
2003 177 29
2004 177 28
2005 178 26
2006 188 25
2007 198 24
2008 197 23
2009 208 22
2010 210 20
2011 209 19
2012 214 19
2013 206 19
2014 203 20
2015 203 20
2016 196 21
2017 186 20
2018 183 20
2019 176 21
2020 184 29
2021 183 24
2022 155 19
2023 149 19

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 3.99% in Kenya and 1.47% in Moldova. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Kenya
Moldova

Probability that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five

Year Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
Kenya Moldova
1960 19.6% -
1961 18.8% -
1962 18.1% -
1963 17.5% -
1964 17% -
1965 16.6% -
1966 16.3% -
1967 16% -
1968 15.7% -
1969 15.4% -
1970 15% -
1971 14.7% 6.39%
1972 14.3% 6.2%
1973 14% 6.03%
1974 13.5% 5.86%
1975 13.1% 5.68%
1976 12.7% 5.53%
1977 12.2% 5.38%
1978 11.8% 5.23%
1979 11.4% 5.08%
1980 11% 4.93%
1981 10.6% 4.78%
1982 10.3% 4.61%
1983 9.98% 4.41%
1984 9.74% 4.2%
1985 9.57% 4%
1986 9.49% 3.8%
1987 9.51% 3.62%
1988 9.63% 3.48%
1989 9.85% 3.38%
1990 10.1% 3.35%
1991 10.5% 3.39%
1992 10.7% 3.48%
1993 10.9% 3.62%
1994 11% 3.75%
1995 11% 3.84%
1996 10.9% 3.85%
1997 10.7% 3.78%
1998 10.4% 3.62%
1999 10.1% 3.4%
2000 9.63% 3.13%
2001 9.16% 2.85%
2002 8.66% 2.58%
2003 8.16% 2.34%
2004 7.66% 2.16%
2005 7.15% 2.01%
2006 6.71% 1.91%
2007 6.32% 1.83%
2008 5.82% 1.77%
2009 5.54% 1.73%
2010 5.35% 1.69%
2011 5.22% 1.66%
2012 5.12% 1.63%
2013 5% 1.6%
2014 4.88% 1.58%
2015 4.74% 1.55%
2016 4.6% 1.53%
2017 4.53% 1.52%
2018 4.43% 1.51%
2019 4.33% 1.5%
2020 4.28% 1.49%
2021 4.19% 1.48%
2022 4.11% 1.48%
2023 3.99% 1.47%

Compare countries by 7 more topics

Birth rate comparisons

Birth rate vs Kenya vs Moldova
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