Fertility & birth rates in Lebanon and Sao Tome and Principe

Fertility rate in Lebanon vs Sao Tome and Principe chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Lebanon was 2.24 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.64 in Sao Tome and Principe in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Lebanon vs Sao Tome and Principe population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Lebanon	Sao Tome
1960	5.88	6.24
1961	5.89	6.26
1962	5.9	6.28
1963	5.91	6.31
1964	5.85	6.33
1965	5.77	6.35
1966	5.68	6.37
1967	5.57	6.39
1968	5.45	6.42
1969	5.32	6.44
1970	5.19	6.47
1971	5.05	6.49
1972	4.91	6.51
1973	4.79	6.53
1974	4.65	6.53
1975	4.52	6.53
1976	4.39	6.52
1977	4.28	6.5
1978	4.18	6.47
1979	4.08	6.43
1980	4.01	6.39
1981	3.95	6.33
1982	3.86	6.28
1983	3.73	6.22
1984	3.66	6.16
1985	3.53	6.1
1986	3.47	6.05
1987	3.42	5.99
1988	3.39	5.94
1989	3.36	5.88
1990	3.27	5.83
1991	3.16	5.77
1992	3.05	5.7
1993	2.94	5.64
1994	2.82	5.56
1995	2.73	5.55
1996	2.7	5.47
1997	2.67	5.4
1998	2.65	5.3
1999	2.63	5.23
2000	2.6	5.16
2001	2.58	5.1
2002	2.52	5.06
2003	2.46	5.01
2004	2.38	4.96
2005	2.29	4.94
2006	2.24	4.93
2007	2.2	4.96
2008	2.17	4.91
2009	2.19	4.84
2010	2.26	4.77
2011	2.32	4.72
2012	2.35	4.66
2013	2.36	4.58
2014	2.38	4.49
2015	2.38	4.35
2016	2.39	4.2
2017	2.37	4.07
2018	2.35	3.98
2019	2.33	3.9
2020	2.31	3.83
2021	2.28	3.76
2022	2.26	3.7
2023	2.24	3.64
2024	2.23	3.6
2025	2.21	3.53
2026	2.19	3.47
2027	2.17	3.42
2028	2.15	3.36
2029	2.13	3.32
2030	2.11	3.26
2031	2.1	3.21
2032	2.09	3.17
2033	2.07	3.13
2034	2.06	3.09
2035	2.05	3.04
2036	2.03	3.01
2037	2.02	2.97
2038	2.01	2.94
2039	2	2.9
2040	1.98	2.87
2041	1.97	2.83
2042	1.97	2.8
2043	1.96	2.78
2044	1.95	2.75
2045	1.94	2.73
2046	1.93	2.7
2047	1.92	2.67
2048	1.92	2.64
2049	1.91	2.62
2050	1.9	2.59

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Lebanon	Sao Tome
1960	42.4%	32.9%
1961	43.1%	34.3%
1962	43.6%	36.6%
1963	44.1%	38.5%
1964	44.4%	40.2%
1965	44.4%	41.6%
1966	44.2%	42.9%
1967	43.9%	44%
1968	43.6%	44.9%
1969	43.3%	45.8%
1970	42.9%	46.2%
1971	42.5%	46.1%
1972	42.1%	45.9%
1973	41.7%	45.7%
1974	41.3%	45.6%
1975	40.9%	45.5%
1976	40.6%	45.4%
1977	40.3%	45.3%
1978	39.8%	45.2%
1979	39.4%	45.1%
1980	39%	44.9%
1981	38.7%	44.7%
1982	38.4%	44.5%
1983	38.2%	44.5%
1984	38%	44.4%
1985	37.7%	44.5%
1986	37.5%	44.7%
1987	37.3%	44.9%
1988	37.1%	45%
1989	36.9%	45%
1990	36.7%	45.1%
1991	36.5%	45.1%
1992	36.2%	45.2%
1993	35.8%	45.2%
1994	35.3%	45.1%
1995	34.8%	44.9%
1996	34.2%	44.7%
1997	33.6%	44.3%
1998	33.1%	43.9%
1999	32.5%	43.4%
2000	31.9%	42.8%
2001	31.4%	42.5%
2002	30.8%	42.3%
2003	30.2%	42.2%
2004	29.6%	42.1%
2005	28.9%	42%
2006	28.3%	42%
2007	27.7%	42%
2008	27.2%	42.1%
2009	26.8%	42.1%
2010	26.4%	42.1%
2011	26.1%	42%
2012	25.9%	42%
2013	25.7%	42%
2014	25.6%	42%
2015	25.8%	41.9%
2016	26.4%	41.7%
2017	26.9%	41.4%
2018	27.5%	40.9%
2019	27.9%	40.5%
2020	27.9%	39.9%
2021	27.6%	39.4%
2022	27.2%	38.8%
2023	26.7%	38.3%
2024	26.2%	37.8%
2025	25.6%	37.5%
2026	25%	37.2%
2027	24.3%	36.8%
2028	23.7%	36.4%
2029	23.2%	36%
2030	22.7%	35.6%
2031	22.3%	35.4%
2032	22%	35.2%
2033	21.8%	35%
2034	21.8%	34.8%
2035	21.8%	34.7%
2036	21.7%	34.5%
2037	21.6%	34.2%
2038	21.6%	34%
2039	21.5%	33.8%
2040	21.5%	33.5%
2041	21.4%	33.2%
2042	21.3%	32.9%
2043	21.2%	32.6%
2044	21.1%	32.3%
2045	21%	32%
2046	20.9%	31.6%
2047	20.7%	31.3%
2048	20.5%	31%
2049	20.3%	30.6%
2050	20%	30.2%

Children aged 0-14 make up 26.2% of the population in Lebanon and 37.8% in Sao Tome and Principe in 2024, compared to 36.7% and 45.1% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Lebanon and Sao Tome and Principe compared.

Natural population change in Lebanon vs Sao Tome and Principe by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +1.22% in Lebanon and +2.4% in Sao Tome and Principe. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Lebanon	Sao Tome
1960	52,515	1,547
1961	53,995	1,657
1962	55,585	1,625
1963	57,054	1,609
1964	57,808	1,600
1965	58,195	1,611
1966	58,546	1,642
1967	58,957	1,693
1968	59,247	1,767
1969	59,829	1,862
1970	60,593	1,980
1971	61,278	2,127
1972	62,216	2,232
1973	63,420	2,329
1974	64,425	2,422
1975	55,423	2,515
1976	11,138	2,608
1977	60,232	2,705
1978	60,829	2,800
1979	61,184	2,893
1980	63,053	2,965
1981	65,084	3,015
1982	41,602	3,047
1983	66,056	3,100
1984	66,785	3,163
1985	66,368	3,242
1986	67,162	3,180
1987	69,058	3,440
1988	70,444	3,544
1989	74,577	3,576
1990	73,629	3,719
1991	79,274	3,801
1992	77,447	3,822
1993	75,278	3,841
1994	73,069	3,860
1995	71,016	3,948
1996	71,286	3,993
1997	71,486	4,041
1998	71,889	4,120
1999	72,437	4,221
2000	72,642	4,334
2001	73,160	4,471
2002	72,648	4,591
2003	71,232	4,702
2004	69,675	4,810
2005	67,778	4,897
2006	65,932	5,057
2007	66,965	5,226
2008	67,132	5,297
2009	69,004	5,349
2010	72,605	5,391
2011	75,523	5,445
2012	77,248	5,501
2013	80,218	5,449
2014	92,285	5,381
2015	97,385	5,269
2016	91,551	5,125
2017	84,172	5,007
2018	77,165	4,957
2019	70,486	4,932
2020	59,903	4,874
2021	46,614	4,954
2022	60,909	5,102
2023	58,786	5,221

Maternal mortality chart: Lebanon vs Sao Tome and Principe

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 15 deaths per 100,000 live births in Lebanon, compared to 75 deaths in Sao Tome and Principe.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Lebanon	Sao Tome
1985	59	159
1986	58	175
1987	65	161
1988	65	157
1989	49	167
1990	48	164
1991	38	166
1992	36	164
1993	33	166
1994	30	168
1995	29	172
1996	28	171
1997	27	173
1998	26	175
1999	25	179
2000	24	180
2001	22	178
2002	21	179
2003	19	178
2004	18	177
2005	17	181
2006	17	177
2007	16	174
2008	15	174
2009	15	172
2010	15	170
2011	15	164
2012	14	158
2013	13	150
2014	14	138
2015	15	128
2016	15	119
2017	15	110
2018	15	100
2019	15	95
2020	27	92
2021	54	98
2022	15	82
2023	15	75

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 1.83% in Lebanon and 1.39% in Sao Tome and Principe. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Lebanon	Sao Tome
1960	7.48%	-
1961	7.24%	-
1962	7.01%	-
1963	6.8%	-
1964	6.62%	-
1965	6.46%	9.56%
1966	6.33%	9.29%
1967	6.22%	9.04%
1968	6.14%	8.85%
1969	6.07%	8.71%
1970	6.01%	8.64%
1971	5.98%	8.63%
1972	5.93%	8.67%
1973	5.88%	8.73%
1974	5.81%	8.79%
1975	5.73%	8.85%
1976	18.6%	8.89%
1977	7.51%	8.93%
1978	7.54%	8.96%
1979	7.6%	9.02%
1980	7.39%	9.1%
1981	7.16%	9.21%
1982	12.2%	9.37%
1983	5.39%	9.56%
1984	5.18%	9.77%
1985	4.96%	9.99%
1986	4.74%	11.4%
1987	5.75%	10.4%
1988	5.53%	10.6%
1989	3.34%	10.7%
1990	3.18%	10.8%
1991	3.03%	10.9%
1992	2.88%	10.9%
1993	2.75%	10.8%
1994	2.63%	10.7%
1995	2.52%	10.4%
1996	2.4%	10.1%
1997	2.3%	9.73%
1998	2.19%	9.26%
1999	2.09%	8.76%
2000	1.99%	8.21%
2001	1.89%	7.66%
2002	1.78%	7.1%
2003	1.69%	6.57%
2004	1.6%	6.05%
2005	1.52%	5.56%
2006	1.44%	5.11%
2007	1.38%	4.68%
2008	1.33%	4.3%
2009	1.3%	3.95%
2010	1.27%	3.63%
2011	1.25%	3.33%
2012	1.24%	3.04%
2013	1.24%	2.77%
2014	1.25%	2.54%
2015	1.27%	2.31%
2016	1.31%	2.11%
2017	1.35%	1.95%
2018	1.4%	1.81%
2019	1.47%	1.7%
2020	1.55%	1.6%
2021	1.63%	1.53%
2022	1.73%	1.46%
2023	1.83%	1.39%