Fertility & birth rates in Saint Lucia and Sao Tome and Principe

Fertility rate in Saint Lucia vs Sao Tome and Principe chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Saint Lucia was 1.38 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.64 in Sao Tome and Principe in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Saint Lucia vs Sao Tome and Principe population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Saint Lucia	Sao Tome
1960	6.77	6.24
1961	6.84	6.26
1962	6.82	6.28
1963	6.72	6.31
1964	6.76	6.33
1965	6.69	6.35
1966	6.61	6.37
1967	6.51	6.39
1968	6.39	6.42
1969	6.25	6.44
1970	6.1	6.47
1971	5.95	6.49
1972	5.81	6.51
1973	5.69	6.53
1974	5.57	6.53
1975	5.36	6.53
1976	5.16	6.52
1977	4.97	6.5
1978	4.83	6.47
1979	4.58	6.43
1980	4.41	6.39
1981	4.28	6.33
1982	4.17	6.28
1983	4.08	6.22
1984	4.02	6.16
1985	3.97	6.1
1986	3.8	6.05
1987	3.61	5.99
1988	3.44	5.94
1989	3.31	5.88
1990	3.24	5.83
1991	3.19	5.77
1992	3.11	5.7
1993	3	5.64
1994	3.03	5.56
1995	3.03	5.55
1996	2.71	5.47
1997	2.74	5.4
1998	2.4	5.3
1999	2.5	5.23
2000	2.21	5.16
2001	2.13	5.1
2002	2.03	5.06
2003	1.94	5.01
2004	1.86	4.96
2005	1.81	4.94
2006	1.77	4.93
2007	1.7	4.96
2008	1.7	4.91
2009	1.74	4.84
2010	1.67	4.77
2011	1.5	4.72
2012	1.5	4.66
2013	1.5	4.58
2014	1.49	4.49
2015	1.47	4.35
2016	1.46	4.2
2017	1.45	4.07
2018	1.44	3.98
2019	1.42	3.9
2020	1.41	3.83
2021	1.4	3.76
2022	1.39	3.7
2023	1.38	3.64
2024	1.38	3.6
2025	1.38	3.53
2026	1.37	3.47
2027	1.37	3.42
2028	1.36	3.36
2029	1.36	3.32
2030	1.37	3.26
2031	1.37	3.21
2032	1.37	3.17
2033	1.37	3.13
2034	1.37	3.09
2035	1.38	3.04
2036	1.38	3.01
2037	1.38	2.97
2038	1.38	2.94
2039	1.38	2.9
2040	1.39	2.87
2041	1.39	2.83
2042	1.4	2.8
2043	1.4	2.78
2044	1.4	2.75
2045	1.41	2.73
2046	1.41	2.7
2047	1.41	2.67
2048	1.41	2.64
2049	1.42	2.62
2050	1.42	2.59

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Saint Lucia	Sao Tome
1960	47.1%	32.9%
1961	48.1%	34.3%
1962	48.9%	36.6%
1963	49.6%	38.5%
1964	50.1%	40.2%
1965	50.5%	41.6%
1966	50.4%	42.9%
1967	50%	44%
1968	49.8%	44.9%
1969	50%	45.8%
1970	50.2%	46.2%
1971	50.4%	46.1%
1972	50.4%	45.9%
1973	50.2%	45.7%
1974	49.9%	45.6%
1975	49.5%	45.5%
1976	48.9%	45.4%
1977	47.9%	45.3%
1978	46.6%	45.2%
1979	45.5%	45.1%
1980	44.8%	44.9%
1981	44.3%	44.7%
1982	43.9%	44.5%
1983	43.5%	44.5%
1984	43.3%	44.4%
1985	43.1%	44.5%
1986	42.8%	44.7%
1987	42.6%	44.9%
1988	41.7%	45%
1989	40.2%	45%
1990	38.9%	45.1%
1991	38.1%	45.1%
1992	37.7%	45.2%
1993	37.3%	45.2%
1994	37%	45.1%
1995	36.7%	44.9%
1996	36.2%	44.7%
1997	35.7%	44.3%
1998	34.7%	43.9%
1999	33.5%	43.4%
2000	32.4%	42.8%
2001	31.4%	42.5%
2002	30.7%	42.3%
2003	30%	42.2%
2004	29.2%	42.1%
2005	28.4%	42%
2006	27.6%	42%
2007	26.8%	42%
2008	25.9%	42.1%
2009	25.1%	42.1%
2010	24.3%	42.1%
2011	23.5%	42%
2012	22.7%	42%
2013	22.1%	42%
2014	21.5%	42%
2015	20.9%	41.9%
2016	20.3%	41.7%
2017	19.9%	41.4%
2018	19.5%	40.9%
2019	19.1%	40.5%
2020	18.7%	39.9%
2021	18.5%	39.4%
2022	18.2%	38.8%
2023	17.9%	38.3%
2024	17.5%	37.8%
2025	17.2%	37.5%
2026	17.1%	37.2%
2027	16.9%	36.8%
2028	16.8%	36.4%
2029	16.6%	36%
2030	16.5%	35.6%
2031	16.3%	35.4%
2032	16.1%	35.2%
2033	15.9%	35%
2034	15.7%	34.8%
2035	15.6%	34.7%
2036	15.4%	34.5%
2037	15.2%	34.2%
2038	15%	34%
2039	14.8%	33.8%
2040	14.6%	33.5%
2041	14.4%	33.2%
2042	14.2%	32.9%
2043	14.1%	32.6%
2044	13.9%	32.3%
2045	13.7%	32%
2046	13.6%	31.6%
2047	13.4%	31.3%
2048	13.3%	31%
2049	13.1%	30.6%
2050	13%	30.2%

Children aged 0-14 make up 17.5% of the population in Saint Lucia and 37.8% in Sao Tome and Principe in 2024, compared to 38.9% and 45.1% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Saint Lucia and Sao Tome and Principe compared.

Natural population change in Saint Lucia vs Sao Tome and Principe by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +0.34% in Saint Lucia and +2.4% in Sao Tome and Principe. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Saint Lucia	Sao Tome
1960	3,202	1,547
1961	3,173	1,657
1962	3,124	1,625
1963	3,048	1,609
1964	3,074	1,600
1965	3,042	1,611
1966	3,028	1,642
1967	3,113	1,693
1968	3,154	1,767
1969	3,143	1,862
1970	3,093	1,980
1971	3,046	2,127
1972	3,028	2,232
1973	3,033	2,329
1974	3,106	2,422
1975	3,126	2,515
1976	3,166	2,608
1977	3,240	2,705
1978	3,340	2,800
1979	3,301	2,893
1980	3,275	2,965
1981	3,306	3,015
1982	3,360	3,047
1983	3,443	3,100
1984	3,526	3,163
1985	3,591	3,242
1986	3,496	3,180
1987	3,351	3,440
1988	3,229	3,544
1989	3,146	3,576
1990	3,061	3,719
1991	3,009	3,801
1992	2,981	3,822
1993	2,899	3,841
1994	2,976	3,860
1995	3,019	3,948
1996	2,649	3,993
1997	2,709	4,041
1998	2,294	4,120
1999	2,389	4,221
2000	1,967	4,334
2001	1,860	4,471
2002	1,774	4,591
2003	1,694	4,702
2004	1,615	4,810
2005	1,553	4,897
2006	1,511	5,057
2007	1,422	5,226
2008	1,369	5,297
2009	1,349	5,349
2010	1,176	5,391
2011	934	5,445
2012	916	5,501
2013	892	5,449
2014	852	5,381
2015	841	5,269
2016	767	5,125
2017	724	5,007
2018	694	4,957
2019	609	4,932
2020	562	4,874
2021	-15	4,954
2022	530	5,102
2023	475	5,221

Maternal mortality chart: Saint Lucia vs Sao Tome and Principe

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 44 deaths per 100,000 live births in Saint Lucia, compared to 75 deaths in Sao Tome and Principe.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Saint Lucia	Sao Tome
1985	56	159
1986	57	175
1987	69	161
1988	71	157
1989	66	167
1990	72	164
1991	71	166
1992	58	164
1993	58	166
1994	60	168
1995	60	172
1996	72	171
1997	89	173
1998	89	175
1999	88	179
2000	83	180
2001	70	178
2002	62	179
2003	56	178
2004	54	177
2005	55	181
2006	53	177
2007	55	174
2008	55	174
2009	51	172
2010	56	170
2011	56	164
2012	55	158
2013	53	150
2014	49	138
2015	46	128
2016	46	119
2017	43	110
2018	41	100
2019	43	95
2020	43	92
2021	94	98
2022	48	82
2023	44	75

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 1.55% in Saint Lucia and 1.39% in Sao Tome and Principe. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Saint Lucia	Sao Tome
1960	13.4%	-
1961	12.9%	-
1962	12.3%	-
1963	11.6%	-
1964	11%	-
1965	10.3%	9.56%
1966	9.62%	9.29%
1967	8.96%	9.04%
1968	8.32%	8.85%
1969	7.7%	8.71%
1970	7.1%	8.64%
1971	6.54%	8.63%
1972	6.02%	8.67%
1973	5.53%	8.73%
1974	5.08%	8.79%
1975	4.67%	8.85%
1976	4.3%	8.89%
1977	3.97%	8.93%
1978	3.68%	8.96%
1979	3.42%	9.02%
1980	3.2%	9.1%
1981	3%	9.21%
1982	2.83%	9.37%
1983	2.68%	9.56%
1984	2.55%	9.77%
1985	2.44%	9.99%
1986	2.35%	11.4%
1987	2.27%	10.4%
1988	2.2%	10.6%
1989	2.14%	10.7%
1990	2.09%	10.8%
1991	2.05%	10.9%
1992	2.01%	10.9%
1993	1.98%	10.8%
1994	1.95%	10.7%
1995	1.92%	10.4%
1996	1.9%	10.1%
1997	1.88%	9.73%
1998	1.87%	9.26%
1999	1.86%	8.76%
2000	1.85%	8.21%
2001	1.84%	7.66%
2002	1.83%	7.1%
2003	1.83%	6.57%
2004	1.83%	6.05%
2005	1.83%	5.56%
2006	1.82%	5.11%
2007	1.82%	4.68%
2008	1.82%	4.3%
2009	1.81%	3.95%
2010	1.8%	3.63%
2011	1.79%	3.33%
2012	1.78%	3.04%
2013	1.77%	2.77%
2014	1.75%	2.54%
2015	1.74%	2.31%
2016	1.72%	2.11%
2017	1.7%	1.95%
2018	1.67%	1.81%
2019	1.65%	1.7%
2020	1.63%	1.6%
2021	1.6%	1.53%
2022	1.58%	1.46%
2023	1.55%	1.39%