Fertility & birth rates in Bahamas and Sao Tome and Principe

Fertility rate in Bahamas vs Sao Tome and Principe chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in the Bahamas was 1.37 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.64 in Sao Tome and Principe in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check the Bahamas vs Sao Tome and Principe population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Bahamas	Sao Tome
1960	5.09	6.24
1961	5.16	6.26
1962	5.13	6.28
1963	5.06	6.31
1964	4.97	6.33
1965	4.88	6.35
1966	4.79	6.37
1967	4.69	6.39
1968	4.56	6.42
1969	4.38	6.44
1970	4.21	6.47
1971	4.06	6.49
1972	3.89	6.51
1973	3.73	6.53
1974	3.57	6.53
1975	3.42	6.53
1976	3.3	6.52
1977	3.17	6.5
1978	3.05	6.47
1979	2.94	6.43
1980	2.84	6.39
1981	2.77	6.33
1982	2.71	6.28
1983	2.65	6.22
1984	2.59	6.16
1985	2.55	6.1
1986	2.53	6.05
1987	2.52	5.99
1988	2.52	5.94
1989	2.52	5.88
1990	2.52	5.83
1991	2.51	5.77
1992	2.71	5.7
1993	2.61	5.64
1994	2.47	5.56
1995	2.42	5.55
1996	2.35	5.47
1997	2.29	5.4
1998	2.23	5.3
1999	2.13	5.23
2000	2.06	5.16
2001	2.02	5.1
2002	1.98	5.06
2003	1.97	5.01
2004	1.98	4.96
2005	2.01	4.94
2006	2.02	4.93
2007	2.04	4.96
2008	2	4.91
2009	2.01	4.84
2010	1.84	4.77
2011	1.79	4.72
2012	1.76	4.66
2013	1.74	4.58
2014	1.69	4.49
2015	1.57	4.35
2016	1.5	4.2
2017	1.42	4.07
2018	1.4	3.98
2019	1.4	3.9
2020	1.39	3.83
2021	1.38	3.76
2022	1.38	3.7
2023	1.37	3.64
2024	1.37	3.6
2025	1.36	3.53
2026	1.36	3.47
2027	1.35	3.42
2028	1.35	3.36
2029	1.35	3.32
2030	1.35	3.26
2031	1.36	3.21
2032	1.36	3.17
2033	1.36	3.13
2034	1.37	3.09
2035	1.37	3.04
2036	1.37	3.01
2037	1.38	2.97
2038	1.38	2.94
2039	1.38	2.9
2040	1.39	2.87
2041	1.39	2.83
2042	1.39	2.8
2043	1.39	2.78
2044	1.4	2.75
2045	1.4	2.73
2046	1.4	2.7
2047	1.4	2.67
2048	1.41	2.64
2049	1.41	2.62
2050	1.41	2.59

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Bahamas	Sao Tome
1960	41.1%	32.9%
1961	41%	34.3%
1962	40.9%	36.6%
1963	40.8%	38.5%
1964	40.7%	40.2%
1965	40.7%	41.6%
1966	40.6%	42.9%
1967	40.6%	44%
1968	40.4%	44.9%
1969	40.3%	45.8%
1970	40.1%	46.2%
1971	40%	46.1%
1972	39.9%	45.9%
1973	39.7%	45.7%
1974	39.4%	45.6%
1975	39%	45.5%
1976	38.4%	45.4%
1977	37.8%	45.3%
1978	37%	45.2%
1979	36.1%	45.1%
1980	35.3%	44.9%
1981	34.4%	44.7%
1982	33.6%	44.5%
1983	32.8%	44.5%
1984	32%	44.4%
1985	31.2%	44.5%
1986	30.6%	44.7%
1987	30%	44.9%
1988	29.5%	45%
1989	29.2%	45%
1990	28.9%	45.1%
1991	28.7%	45.1%
1992	28.6%	45.2%
1993	28.6%	45.2%
1994	28.6%	45.1%
1995	28.5%	44.9%
1996	28.5%	44.7%
1997	28.4%	44.3%
1998	28.2%	43.9%
1999	28.1%	43.4%
2000	27.8%	42.8%
2001	27.5%	42.5%
2002	27.2%	42.3%
2003	26.8%	42.2%
2004	26.3%	42.1%
2005	25.9%	42%
2006	25.4%	42%
2007	24.9%	42%
2008	24.3%	42.1%
2009	23.8%	42.1%
2010	23.3%	42.1%
2011	22.8%	42%
2012	22.4%	42%
2013	22%	42%
2014	21.6%	42%
2015	21.3%	41.9%
2016	20.9%	41.7%
2017	20.6%	41.4%
2018	20.2%	40.9%
2019	19.8%	40.5%
2020	19.5%	39.9%
2021	19.1%	39.4%
2022	18.8%	38.8%
2023	18.3%	38.3%
2024	17.9%	37.8%
2025	17.5%	37.5%
2026	17.2%	37.2%
2027	16.9%	36.8%
2028	16.7%	36.4%
2029	16.4%	36%
2030	16.2%	35.6%
2031	16%	35.4%
2032	15.9%	35.2%
2033	15.8%	35%
2034	15.7%	34.8%
2035	15.6%	34.7%
2036	15.5%	34.5%
2037	15.4%	34.2%
2038	15.3%	34%
2039	15.3%	33.8%
2040	15.2%	33.5%
2041	15.1%	33.2%
2042	15%	32.9%
2043	14.9%	32.6%
2044	14.9%	32.3%
2045	14.8%	32%
2046	14.7%	31.6%
2047	14.7%	31.3%
2048	14.6%	31%
2049	14.5%	30.6%
2050	14.4%	30.2%

Children aged 0-14 make up 17.9% of the population in the Bahamas and 37.8% in Sao Tome and Principe in 2024, compared to 28.9% and 45.1% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of the Bahamas and Sao Tome and Principe compared.

Natural population change in Bahamas vs Sao Tome and Principe by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +0.29% in the Bahamas and +2.4% in Sao Tome and Principe. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Bahamas	Sao Tome
1960	3,351	1,547
1961	3,577	1,657
1962	3,748	1,625
1963	3,901	1,609
1964	4,037	1,600
1965	4,193	1,611
1966	4,339	1,642
1967	4,502	1,693
1968	4,622	1,767
1969	4,688	1,862
1970	4,726	1,980
1971	4,690	2,127
1972	4,583	2,232
1973	4,467	2,329
1974	4,352	2,422
1975	4,249	2,515
1976	4,167	2,608
1977	4,069	2,705
1978	3,987	2,800
1979	3,899	2,893
1980	3,845	2,965
1981	3,851	3,015
1982	3,863	3,047
1983	3,888	3,100
1984	3,892	3,163
1985	3,918	3,242
1986	3,998	3,180
1987	4,090	3,440
1988	4,198	3,544
1989	4,323	3,576
1990	4,432	3,719
1991	4,498	3,801
1992	5,064	3,822
1993	4,877	3,841
1994	4,558	3,860
1995	4,434	3,948
1996	4,265	3,993
1997	4,107	4,041
1998	3,949	4,120
1999	3,688	4,221
2000	3,487	4,334
2001	3,377	4,471
2002	3,249	4,591
2003	3,181	4,702
2004	3,165	4,810
2005	3,220	4,897
2006	3,205	5,057
2007	3,243	5,226
2008	3,134	5,297
2009	3,163	5,349
2010	2,662	5,391
2011	2,558	5,445
2012	2,485	5,501
2013	2,432	5,449
2014	2,259	5,381
2015	1,840	5,269
2016	1,569	5,125
2017	1,289	5,007
2018	1,173	4,957
2019	740	4,932
2020	631	4,874
2021	-93	4,954
2022	947	5,102
2023	854	5,221

Maternal mortality chart: Bahamas vs Sao Tome and Principe

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 76 deaths per 100,000 live births in the Bahamas, compared to 75 deaths in Sao Tome and Principe.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Bahamas	Sao Tome
1985	70	159
1986	68	175
1987	66	161
1988	66	157
1989	65	167
1990	65	164
1991	67	166
1992	67	164
1993	66	166
1994	64	168
1995	63	172
1996	62	171
1997	59	173
1998	57	175
1999	54	179
2000	51	180
2001	48	178
2002	46	179
2003	57	178
2004	69	177
2005	70	181
2006	74	177
2007	78	174
2008	80	174
2009	84	172
2010	79	170
2011	74	164
2012	71	158
2013	74	150
2014	78	138
2015	83	128
2016	77	119
2017	79	110
2018	82	100
2019	82	95
2020	84	92
2021	174	98
2022	80	82
2023	76	75

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 1.27% in the Bahamas and 1.39% in Sao Tome and Principe. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Bahamas	Sao Tome
1965	-	9.56%
1966	-	9.29%
1967	-	9.04%
1968	2.94%	8.85%
1969	2.99%	8.71%
1970	3.03%	8.64%
1971	3.07%	8.63%
1972	3.1%	8.67%
1973	3.13%	8.73%
1974	3.14%	8.79%
1975	3.13%	8.85%
1976	3.1%	8.89%
1977	3.07%	8.93%
1978	3.03%	8.96%
1979	2.99%	9.02%
1980	2.95%	9.1%
1981	2.91%	9.21%
1982	2.88%	9.37%
1983	2.84%	9.56%
1984	2.81%	9.77%
1985	2.78%	9.99%
1986	2.73%	11.4%
1987	2.65%	10.4%
1988	2.55%	10.6%
1989	2.45%	10.7%
1990	2.34%	10.8%
1991	2.23%	10.9%
1992	2.12%	10.9%
1993	2.03%	10.8%
1994	1.93%	10.7%
1995	1.84%	10.4%
1996	1.76%	10.1%
1997	1.69%	9.73%
1998	1.65%	9.26%
1999	1.62%	8.76%
2000	1.62%	8.21%
2001	1.63%	7.66%
2002	1.65%	7.1%
2003	1.67%	6.57%
2004	1.69%	6.05%
2005	1.69%	5.56%
2006	1.68%	5.11%
2007	1.65%	4.68%
2008	1.62%	4.3%
2009	1.58%	3.95%
2010	1.54%	3.63%
2011	1.5%	3.33%
2012	1.47%	3.04%
2013	1.44%	2.77%
2014	1.42%	2.54%
2015	1.39%	2.31%
2016	1.38%	2.11%
2017	1.36%	1.95%
2018	1.35%	1.81%
2019	2.35%	1.7%
2020	1.33%	1.6%
2021	1.31%	1.53%
2022	1.29%	1.46%
2023	1.27%	1.39%