Fertility & birth rates in Antigua and Barbuda and Sao Tome and Principe

Fertility rate in Antigua and Barbuda vs Sao Tome and Principe chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Antigua and Barbuda was 1.58 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.64 in Sao Tome and Principe in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Antigua and Barbuda vs Sao Tome and Principe population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Antigua	Sao Tome
1960	4.6	6.24
1961	4.56	6.26
1962	4.55	6.28
1963	4.54	6.31
1964	4.48	6.33
1965	4.42	6.35
1966	4.32	6.37
1967	4.18	6.39
1968	4.01	6.42
1969	3.83	6.44
1970	3.63	6.47
1971	3.46	6.49
1972	3.29	6.51
1973	3.13	6.53
1974	2.93	6.53
1975	2.77	6.53
1976	2.78	6.52
1977	2.78	6.5
1978	2.57	6.47
1979	2.63	6.43
1980	2.31	6.39
1981	2.17	6.33
1982	2.09	6.28
1983	2.12	6.22
1984	2.04	6.16
1985	2.15	6.1
1986	2.03	6.05
1987	2.07	5.99
1988	2.13	5.94
1989	2.2	5.88
1990	2.25	5.83
1991	2.04	5.77
1992	2.13	5.7
1993	2.04	5.64
1994	2.07	5.56
1995	2.16	5.55
1996	2.27	5.47
1997	2.19	5.4
1998	2.02	5.3
1999	1.96	5.23
2000	2.2	5.16
2001	2.02	5.1
2002	1.94	5.06
2003	1.89	5.01
2004	1.85	4.96
2005	1.83	4.94
2006	1.83	4.93
2007	1.86	4.96
2008	2.04	4.91
2009	2.01	4.84
2010	1.79	4.77
2011	1.75	4.72
2012	1.66	4.66
2013	1.54	4.58
2014	1.53	4.49
2015	1.57	4.35
2016	1.46	4.2
2017	1.49	4.07
2018	1.37	3.98
2019	1.47	3.9
2020	1.57	3.83
2021	1.58	3.76
2022	1.58	3.7
2023	1.58	3.64
2024	1.58	3.6
2025	1.58	3.53
2026	1.57	3.47
2027	1.57	3.42
2028	1.57	3.36
2029	1.57	3.32
2030	1.56	3.26
2031	1.56	3.21
2032	1.56	3.17
2033	1.56	3.13
2034	1.56	3.09
2035	1.56	3.04
2036	1.56	3.01
2037	1.57	2.97
2038	1.57	2.94
2039	1.57	2.9
2040	1.57	2.87
2041	1.57	2.83
2042	1.57	2.8
2043	1.57	2.78
2044	1.57	2.75
2045	1.57	2.73
2046	1.57	2.7
2047	1.57	2.67
2048	1.57	2.64
2049	1.57	2.62
2050	1.58	2.59

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Antigua	Sao Tome
1960	40.1%	32.9%
1961	40%	34.3%
1962	39.9%	36.6%
1963	39.9%	38.5%
1964	40.4%	40.2%
1965	41.3%	41.6%
1966	42.1%	42.9%
1967	42.8%	44%
1968	43.4%	44.9%
1969	43.9%	45.8%
1970	43.7%	46.2%
1971	42.7%	46.1%
1972	41.6%	45.9%
1973	40.4%	45.7%
1974	39.1%	45.6%
1975	37.8%	45.5%
1976	36.4%	45.4%
1977	35.2%	45.3%
1978	34%	45.2%
1979	33%	45.1%
1980	32%	44.9%
1981	31%	44.7%
1982	30%	44.5%
1983	29.2%	44.5%
1984	28.6%	44.4%
1985	28.6%	44.5%
1986	28.7%	44.7%
1987	28.9%	44.9%
1988	29.1%	45%
1989	29.4%	45%
1990	29.8%	45.1%
1991	29.7%	45.1%
1992	29.3%	45.2%
1993	29%	45.2%
1994	28.8%	45.1%
1995	28.6%	44.9%
1996	28.6%	44.7%
1997	28.4%	44.3%
1998	28.3%	43.9%
1999	28%	43.4%
2000	27.8%	42.8%
2001	27.5%	42.5%
2002	27.2%	42.3%
2003	26.8%	42.2%
2004	26.4%	42.1%
2005	25.9%	42%
2006	25.4%	42%
2007	25%	42%
2008	24.6%	42.1%
2009	24.2%	42.1%
2010	23.8%	42.1%
2011	23.2%	42%
2012	22.6%	42%
2013	22.1%	42%
2014	21.7%	42%
2015	21.2%	41.9%
2016	20.6%	41.7%
2017	20.2%	41.4%
2018	19.8%	40.9%
2019	19.4%	40.5%
2020	19.1%	39.9%
2021	18.8%	39.4%
2022	18.6%	38.8%
2023	18.2%	38.3%
2024	17.8%	37.8%
2025	17.5%	37.5%
2026	17.2%	37.2%
2027	17%	36.8%
2028	16.9%	36.4%
2029	16.8%	36%
2030	16.7%	35.6%
2031	16.6%	35.4%
2032	16.5%	35.2%
2033	16.4%	35%
2034	16.4%	34.8%
2035	16.3%	34.7%
2036	16.1%	34.5%
2037	15.9%	34.2%
2038	15.7%	34%
2039	15.5%	33.8%
2040	15.4%	33.5%
2041	15.2%	33.2%
2042	15%	32.9%
2043	14.8%	32.6%
2044	14.7%	32.3%
2045	14.5%	32%
2046	14.4%	31.6%
2047	14.2%	31.3%
2048	14.1%	31%
2049	14%	30.6%
2050	13.8%	30.2%

Children aged 0-14 make up 17.8% of the population in Antigua and Barbuda and 37.8% in Sao Tome and Principe in 2024, compared to 29.8% and 45.1% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Antigua and Barbuda and Sao Tome and Principe compared.

Natural population change in Antigua and Barbuda vs Sao Tome and Principe by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +0.55% in Antigua and Barbuda and +2.4% in Sao Tome and Principe. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Antigua	Sao Tome
1960	1,434	1,547
1961	1,476	1,657
1962	1,509	1,625
1963	1,543	1,609
1964	1,559	1,600
1965	1,528	1,611
1966	1,489	1,642
1967	1,431	1,693
1968	1,369	1,767
1969	1,308	1,862
1970	1,248	1,980
1971	1,219	2,127
1972	1,179	2,232
1973	1,135	2,329
1974	1,074	2,422
1975	1,028	2,515
1976	1,075	2,608
1977	1,124	2,705
1978	1,064	2,800
1979	1,150	2,893
1980	1,002	2,965
1981	940	3,015
1982	913	3,047
1983	941	3,100
1984	899	3,163
1985	955	3,242
1986	855	3,180
1987	845	3,440
1988	848	3,544
1989	845	3,576
1990	833	3,719
1991	673	3,801
1992	728	3,822
1993	706	3,841
1994	757	3,860
1995	844	3,948
1996	947	3,993
1997	932	4,041
1998	845	4,120
1999	828	4,221
2000	1,009	4,334
2001	900	4,471
2002	843	4,591
2003	793	4,702
2004	757	4,810
2005	738	4,897
2006	742	5,057
2007	770	5,226
2008	911	5,297
2009	900	5,349
2010	758	5,391
2011	743	5,445
2012	678	5,501
2013	586	5,449
2014	564	5,381
2015	583	5,269
2016	496	5,125
2017	504	5,007
2018	411	4,957
2019	461	4,932
2020	512	4,874
2021	492	4,954
2022	486	5,102
2023	462	5,221

Maternal mortality chart: Antigua and Barbuda vs Sao Tome and Principe

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 35 deaths per 100,000 live births in Antigua and Barbuda, compared to 75 deaths in Sao Tome and Principe.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Antigua	Sao Tome
1985	38	159
1986	38	175
1987	40	161
1988	38	157
1989	41	167
1990	41	164
1991	42	166
1992	40	164
1993	40	166
1994	38	168
1995	38	172
1996	37	171
1997	37	173
1998	34	175
1999	34	179
2000	37	180
2001	36	178
2002	36	179
2003	33	178
2004	34	177
2005	33	181
2006	32	177
2007	32	174
2008	31	174
2009	32	172
2010	31	170
2011	31	164
2012	30	158
2013	32	150
2014	32	138
2015	30	128
2016	28	119
2017	31	110
2018	31	100
2019	32	95
2020	35	92
2021	32	98
2022	36	82
2023	35	75

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 0.93% in Antigua and Barbuda and 1.39% in Sao Tome and Principe. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Antigua	Sao Tome
1960	8.25%	-
1961	7.74%	-
1962	7.18%	-
1963	6.59%	-
1964	6%	-
1965	5.41%	9.56%
1966	4.86%	9.29%
1967	4.36%	9.04%
1968	3.92%	8.85%
1969	3.54%	8.71%
1970	3.23%	8.64%
1971	2.96%	8.63%
1972	2.74%	8.67%
1973	2.56%	8.73%
1974	2.4%	8.79%
1975	2.25%	8.85%
1976	2.11%	8.89%
1977	1.97%	8.93%
1978	1.84%	8.96%
1979	1.71%	9.02%
1980	1.6%	9.1%
1981	1.5%	9.21%
1982	1.42%	9.37%
1983	1.36%	9.56%
1984	1.31%	9.77%
1985	1.29%	9.99%
1986	1.28%	11.4%
1987	1.28%	10.4%
1988	1.3%	10.6%
1989	1.32%	10.7%
1990	1.35%	10.8%
1991	1.39%	10.9%
1992	1.43%	10.9%
1993	1.47%	10.8%
1994	1.51%	10.7%
1995	1.54%	10.4%
1996	1.55%	10.1%
1997	1.55%	9.73%
1998	1.54%	9.26%
1999	1.52%	8.76%
2000	1.49%	8.21%
2001	1.46%	7.66%
2002	1.43%	7.1%
2003	1.4%	6.57%
2004	1.36%	6.05%
2005	1.33%	5.56%
2006	1.3%	5.11%
2007	1.27%	4.68%
2008	1.24%	4.3%
2009	1.22%	3.95%
2010	1.19%	3.63%
2011	1.17%	3.33%
2012	1.15%	3.04%
2013	1.13%	2.77%
2014	1.12%	2.54%
2015	1.1%	2.31%
2016	1.08%	2.11%
2017	1.06%	1.95%
2018	1.05%	1.81%
2019	1.03%	1.7%
2020	1.01%	1.6%
2021	0.98%	1.53%
2022	0.96%	1.46%
2023	0.93%	1.39%