Fertility & birth rates in Bahamas and Saint Lucia

Fertility rate in Bahamas vs Saint Lucia chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in the Bahamas was 1.37 children per woman in 2023, compared to 1.38 in Saint Lucia in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check the Bahamas vs Saint Lucia population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Bahamas	Saint Lucia
1960	5.09	6.77
1961	5.16	6.84
1962	5.13	6.82
1963	5.06	6.72
1964	4.97	6.76
1965	4.88	6.69
1966	4.79	6.61
1967	4.69	6.51
1968	4.56	6.39
1969	4.38	6.25
1970	4.21	6.1
1971	4.06	5.95
1972	3.89	5.81
1973	3.73	5.69
1974	3.57	5.57
1975	3.42	5.36
1976	3.3	5.16
1977	3.17	4.97
1978	3.05	4.83
1979	2.94	4.58
1980	2.84	4.41
1981	2.77	4.28
1982	2.71	4.17
1983	2.65	4.08
1984	2.59	4.02
1985	2.55	3.97
1986	2.53	3.8
1987	2.52	3.61
1988	2.52	3.44
1989	2.52	3.31
1990	2.52	3.24
1991	2.51	3.19
1992	2.71	3.11
1993	2.61	3
1994	2.47	3.03
1995	2.42	3.03
1996	2.35	2.71
1997	2.29	2.74
1998	2.23	2.4
1999	2.13	2.5
2000	2.06	2.21
2001	2.02	2.13
2002	1.98	2.03
2003	1.97	1.94
2004	1.98	1.86
2005	2.01	1.81
2006	2.02	1.77
2007	2.04	1.7
2008	2	1.7
2009	2.01	1.74
2010	1.84	1.67
2011	1.79	1.5
2012	1.76	1.5
2013	1.74	1.5
2014	1.69	1.49
2015	1.57	1.47
2016	1.5	1.46
2017	1.42	1.45
2018	1.4	1.44
2019	1.4	1.42
2020	1.39	1.41
2021	1.38	1.4
2022	1.38	1.39
2023	1.37	1.38
2024	1.37	1.38
2025	1.36	1.38
2026	1.36	1.37
2027	1.35	1.37
2028	1.35	1.36
2029	1.35	1.36
2030	1.35	1.37
2031	1.36	1.37
2032	1.36	1.37
2033	1.36	1.37
2034	1.37	1.37
2035	1.37	1.38
2036	1.37	1.38
2037	1.38	1.38
2038	1.38	1.38
2039	1.38	1.38
2040	1.39	1.39
2041	1.39	1.39
2042	1.39	1.4
2043	1.39	1.4
2044	1.4	1.4
2045	1.4	1.41
2046	1.4	1.41
2047	1.4	1.41
2048	1.41	1.41
2049	1.41	1.42
2050	1.41	1.42

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Bahamas	Saint Lucia
1960	41.1%	47.1%
1961	41%	48.1%
1962	40.9%	48.9%
1963	40.8%	49.6%
1964	40.7%	50.1%
1965	40.7%	50.5%
1966	40.6%	50.4%
1967	40.6%	50%
1968	40.4%	49.8%
1969	40.3%	50%
1970	40.1%	50.2%
1971	40%	50.4%
1972	39.9%	50.4%
1973	39.7%	50.2%
1974	39.4%	49.9%
1975	39%	49.5%
1976	38.4%	48.9%
1977	37.8%	47.9%
1978	37%	46.6%
1979	36.1%	45.5%
1980	35.3%	44.8%
1981	34.4%	44.3%
1982	33.6%	43.9%
1983	32.8%	43.5%
1984	32%	43.3%
1985	31.2%	43.1%
1986	30.6%	42.8%
1987	30%	42.6%
1988	29.5%	41.7%
1989	29.2%	40.2%
1990	28.9%	38.9%
1991	28.7%	38.1%
1992	28.6%	37.7%
1993	28.6%	37.3%
1994	28.6%	37%
1995	28.5%	36.7%
1996	28.5%	36.2%
1997	28.4%	35.7%
1998	28.2%	34.7%
1999	28.1%	33.5%
2000	27.8%	32.4%
2001	27.5%	31.4%
2002	27.2%	30.7%
2003	26.8%	30%
2004	26.3%	29.2%
2005	25.9%	28.4%
2006	25.4%	27.6%
2007	24.9%	26.8%
2008	24.3%	25.9%
2009	23.8%	25.1%
2010	23.3%	24.3%
2011	22.8%	23.5%
2012	22.4%	22.7%
2013	22%	22.1%
2014	21.6%	21.5%
2015	21.3%	20.9%
2016	20.9%	20.3%
2017	20.6%	19.9%
2018	20.2%	19.5%
2019	19.8%	19.1%
2020	19.5%	18.7%
2021	19.1%	18.5%
2022	18.8%	18.2%
2023	18.3%	17.9%
2024	17.9%	17.5%
2025	17.5%	17.2%
2026	17.2%	17.1%
2027	16.9%	16.9%
2028	16.7%	16.8%
2029	16.4%	16.6%
2030	16.2%	16.5%
2031	16%	16.3%
2032	15.9%	16.1%
2033	15.8%	15.9%
2034	15.7%	15.7%
2035	15.6%	15.6%
2036	15.5%	15.4%
2037	15.4%	15.2%
2038	15.3%	15%
2039	15.3%	14.8%
2040	15.2%	14.6%
2041	15.1%	14.4%
2042	15%	14.2%
2043	14.9%	14.1%
2044	14.9%	13.9%
2045	14.8%	13.7%
2046	14.7%	13.6%
2047	14.7%	13.4%
2048	14.6%	13.3%
2049	14.5%	13.1%
2050	14.4%	13%

Children aged 0-14 make up 17.9% of the population in the Bahamas and 17.5% in Saint Lucia in 2024, compared to 28.9% and 38.9% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of the Bahamas and Saint Lucia compared.

Natural population change in Bahamas vs Saint Lucia by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +0.29% in the Bahamas and +0.34% in Saint Lucia. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Bahamas	Saint Lucia
1960	3,351	3,202
1961	3,577	3,173
1962	3,748	3,124
1963	3,901	3,048
1964	4,037	3,074
1965	4,193	3,042
1966	4,339	3,028
1967	4,502	3,113
1968	4,622	3,154
1969	4,688	3,143
1970	4,726	3,093
1971	4,690	3,046
1972	4,583	3,028
1973	4,467	3,033
1974	4,352	3,106
1975	4,249	3,126
1976	4,167	3,166
1977	4,069	3,240
1978	3,987	3,340
1979	3,899	3,301
1980	3,845	3,275
1981	3,851	3,306
1982	3,863	3,360
1983	3,888	3,443
1984	3,892	3,526
1985	3,918	3,591
1986	3,998	3,496
1987	4,090	3,351
1988	4,198	3,229
1989	4,323	3,146
1990	4,432	3,061
1991	4,498	3,009
1992	5,064	2,981
1993	4,877	2,899
1994	4,558	2,976
1995	4,434	3,019
1996	4,265	2,649
1997	4,107	2,709
1998	3,949	2,294
1999	3,688	2,389
2000	3,487	1,967
2001	3,377	1,860
2002	3,249	1,774
2003	3,181	1,694
2004	3,165	1,615
2005	3,220	1,553
2006	3,205	1,511
2007	3,243	1,422
2008	3,134	1,369
2009	3,163	1,349
2010	2,662	1,176
2011	2,558	934
2012	2,485	916
2013	2,432	892
2014	2,259	852
2015	1,840	841
2016	1,569	767
2017	1,289	724
2018	1,173	694
2019	740	609
2020	631	562
2021	-93	-15
2022	947	530
2023	854	475

Maternal mortality chart: Bahamas vs Saint Lucia

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 76 deaths per 100,000 live births in the Bahamas, compared to 44 deaths in Saint Lucia.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Bahamas	Saint Lucia
1985	70	56
1986	68	57
1987	66	69
1988	66	71
1989	65	66
1990	65	72
1991	67	71
1992	67	58
1993	66	58
1994	64	60
1995	63	60
1996	62	72
1997	59	89
1998	57	89
1999	54	88
2000	51	83
2001	48	70
2002	46	62
2003	57	56
2004	69	54
2005	70	55
2006	74	53
2007	78	55
2008	80	55
2009	84	51
2010	79	56
2011	74	56
2012	71	55
2013	74	53
2014	78	49
2015	83	46
2016	77	46
2017	79	43
2018	82	41
2019	82	43
2020	84	43
2021	174	94
2022	80	48
2023	76	44

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 1.27% in the Bahamas and 1.55% in Saint Lucia. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Bahamas	Saint Lucia
1960	-	13.4%
1961	-	12.9%
1962	-	12.3%
1963	-	11.6%
1964	-	11%
1965	-	10.3%
1966	-	9.62%
1967	-	8.96%
1968	2.94%	8.32%
1969	2.99%	7.7%
1970	3.03%	7.1%
1971	3.07%	6.54%
1972	3.1%	6.02%
1973	3.13%	5.53%
1974	3.14%	5.08%
1975	3.13%	4.67%
1976	3.1%	4.3%
1977	3.07%	3.97%
1978	3.03%	3.68%
1979	2.99%	3.42%
1980	2.95%	3.2%
1981	2.91%	3%
1982	2.88%	2.83%
1983	2.84%	2.68%
1984	2.81%	2.55%
1985	2.78%	2.44%
1986	2.73%	2.35%
1987	2.65%	2.27%
1988	2.55%	2.2%
1989	2.45%	2.14%
1990	2.34%	2.09%
1991	2.23%	2.05%
1992	2.12%	2.01%
1993	2.03%	1.98%
1994	1.93%	1.95%
1995	1.84%	1.92%
1996	1.76%	1.9%
1997	1.69%	1.88%
1998	1.65%	1.87%
1999	1.62%	1.86%
2000	1.62%	1.85%
2001	1.63%	1.84%
2002	1.65%	1.83%
2003	1.67%	1.83%
2004	1.69%	1.83%
2005	1.69%	1.83%
2006	1.68%	1.82%
2007	1.65%	1.82%
2008	1.62%	1.82%
2009	1.58%	1.81%
2010	1.54%	1.8%
2011	1.5%	1.79%
2012	1.47%	1.78%
2013	1.44%	1.77%
2014	1.42%	1.75%
2015	1.39%	1.74%
2016	1.38%	1.72%
2017	1.36%	1.7%
2018	1.35%	1.67%
2019	2.35%	1.65%
2020	1.33%	1.63%
2021	1.31%	1.6%
2022	1.29%	1.58%
2023	1.27%	1.55%