Fertility & birth rates in Bahamas and South Africa

Fertility rate in Bahamas vs South Africa by year

Chart Table

Bahamas

South Africa

1x

Year	Fertility rate
	Bahamas	South Africa
2023	1.37	2.22
2022	1.38	2.23
2021	1.38	2.25
2020	1.39	2.26
2019	1.4	2.26
2018	1.4	2.27
2017	1.42	2.28
2016	1.5	2.26
2015	1.57	2.36
2014	1.69	2.42
2013	1.74	2.43
2012	1.76	2.45
2011	1.79	2.44
2010	1.84	2.44
2009	2.01	2.5
2008	2	2.68
2007	2.04	2.55
2006	2.02	2.55
2005	2.01	2.51
2004	1.98	2.44
2003	1.97	2.36
2002	1.98	2.32
2001	2.02	2.37
2000	2.06	2.41
1999	2.13	2.56
1998	2.23	2.63
1997	2.29	2.73
1996	2.35	2.99
1995	2.42	3.17
1994	2.47	3.26
1993	2.61	3.37
1992	2.71	3.48
1991	2.51	3.62
1990	2.52	3.72
1989	2.52	3.98
1988	2.52	4.18
1987	2.52	4.35
1986	2.53	4.41
1985	2.55	4.5
1984	2.59	4.57
1983	2.65	4.63
1982	2.71	4.7
1981	2.77	4.71
1980	2.84	4.78
1979	2.94	4.82
1978	3.05	4.85
1977	3.17	4.94
1976	3.3	5.07
1975	3.42	5.19
1974	3.57	5.3
1973	3.73	5.41
1972	3.89	5.49
1971	4.06	5.57
1970	4.21	5.63
1969	4.38	5.72
1968	4.56	5.78
1967	4.69	5.85
1966	4.79	5.91
1965	4.88	5.89
1964	4.97	5.96
1963	5.06	6.01
1962	5.13	6.05
1961	5.16	6.08
1960	5.09	6.11

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in the Bahamas was 1.37 children per woman in 2023, compared to 2.22 in South Africa in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check the Bahamas vs South Africa population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

Natural population change by year

Chart Table

Bahamas

South Africa

1x

Year	Natural population change
	Bahamas	South Africa
2023	854	602,793
2022	947	603,636
2021	-93	456,411
2020	631	595,873
2019	740	652,130
2018	1,173	648,319
2017	1,289	645,975
2016	1,569	641,365
2015	1,840	668,771
2014	2,259	674,754
2013	2,432	652,427
2012	2,485	643,723
2011	2,558	601,708
2010	2,662	566,834
2009	3,163	554,115
2008	3,134	595,332
2007	3,243	503,567
2006	3,205	487,584
2005	3,220	464,464
2004	3,165	442,540
2003	3,181	415,018
2002	3,249	430,926
2001	3,377	484,801
2000	3,487	526,963
1999	3,688	594,643
1998	3,949	627,027
1997	4,107	667,969
1996	4,265	710,868
1995	4,434	743,488
1994	4,558	698,609
1993	4,877	789,220
1992	5,064	794,415
1991	4,498	827,296
1990	4,432	835,421
1989	4,323	884,629
1988	4,198	909,221
1987	4,090	922,330
1986	3,998	903,644
1985	3,918	893,889
1984	3,892	869,011
1983	3,888	837,013
1982	3,863	807,550
1981	3,851	767,833
1980	3,845	738,415
1979	3,899	716,541
1978	3,987	694,341
1977	4,069	680,929
1976	4,167	675,011
1975	4,249	667,862
1974	4,352	658,438
1973	4,467	651,596
1972	4,583	638,754
1971	4,690	624,761
1970	4,726	605,102
1969	4,688	590,794
1968	4,622	571,841
1967	4,502	553,741
1966	4,339	534,862
1965	4,193	506,632
1964	4,037	490,606
1963	3,901	473,821
1962	3,748	455,634
1961	3,577	437,851
1960	3,351	421,263

The chart above illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes in population resulting from births and deaths.

Excluding migration, the natural population change due to births and deaths from 2022 to 2023 was +0.21% in the Bahamas and +0.95% in South Africa.

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change has been +0.29% in the Bahamas and +1.05% in South Africa.

Birth rate in Bahamas vs South Africa by year

Chart Table

Bahamas

South Africa

Annual births per 1,000 people

1x

Year	Annual births per 1,000 people
	Bahamas	South Africa
2023	10.9	18.8
2022	10.9	19.1
2021	11	19.4
2020	11.1	19.5
2019	11.2	19.7
2018	11.3	19.9
2017	11.4	20
2016	12	20.3
2015	12.6	21
2014	13.5	21.8
2013	13.9	21.9
2012	14.1	22.1
2011	14.3	22.1
2010	14.6	22.2
2009	15.9	22.8
2008	15.8	24.3
2007	16.1	23.1
2006	16	23.1
2005	16.1	22.7
2004	16	22.1
2003	16	21.4
2002	16.3	20.9
2001	16.8	21.3
2000	17.3	21.6
1999	18.1	22.7
1998	19.1	23.2
1997	19.8	23.9
1996	20.4	24.9
1995	21.1	25.6
1994	21.7	24.6
1993	23	26.6
1992	23.9	27
1991	22.2	28.1
1990	22.2	28.7
1989	22.1	30.6
1988	21.9	32
1987	21.7	33.2
1986	21.5	33.6
1985	21.3	34.2
1984	21.4	34.5
1983	21.6	34.6
1982	21.8	34.8
1981	22.1	34.6
1980	22.3	34.7
1979	22.9	34.9
1978	23.6	35.1
1977	24.3	35.6
1976	25.2	36.3
1975	26.1	37
1974	27.2	37.7
1973	28.4	38.4
1972	29.7	38.9
1971	31	39.3
1970	32.1	39.4
1969	33.1	39.7
1968	34.1	39.8
1967	34.9	39.9
1966	35.4	40
1965	35.9	39.5
1964	36.3	39.6
1963	36.8	39.7
1962	37.4	39.7
1961	37.7	39.7
1960	37.5	39.8

The latest reported birth rate per 1,000 people in 2023 was 10.9 in the Bahamas and 18.8 in South Africa, compared with 37.5 and 39.8, respectively, in 1960.

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Chart Table

Bahamas

Factual

UN forecast

South Africa

Factual

UN forecast

1x

Year	Young
	Bahamas	South Africa
2100	13.7%	17.9%
2099	13.6%	18%
2098	13.6%	18%
2097	13.6%	18.1%
2096	13.6%	18.1%
2095	13.6%	18.2%
2094	13.6%	18.2%
2093	13.6%	18.3%
2092	13.6%	18.3%
2091	13.6%	18.4%
2090	13.6%	18.4%
2089	13.6%	18.5%
2088	13.6%	18.5%
2087	13.6%	18.6%
2086	13.6%	18.6%
2085	13.6%	18.7%
2084	13.6%	18.7%
2083	13.6%	18.8%
2082	13.7%	18.9%
2081	13.7%	18.9%
2080	13.7%	19%
2079	13.7%	19%
2078	13.7%	19.1%
2077	13.7%	19.2%
2076	13.7%	19.3%
2075	13.7%	19.3%
2074	13.6%	19.4%
2073	13.6%	19.5%
2072	13.6%	19.6%
2071	13.6%	19.6%
2070	13.6%	19.7%
2069	13.6%	19.8%
2068	13.7%	19.9%
2067	13.7%	20%
2066	13.7%	20.1%
2065	13.7%	20.2%
2064	13.7%	20.3%
2063	13.7%	20.4%
2062	13.7%	20.5%
2061	13.8%	20.6%
2060	13.8%	20.7%
2059	13.9%	20.8%
2058	13.9%	20.9%
2057	14%	21%
2056	14%	21.1%
2055	14.1%	21.1%
2054	14.2%	21.2%
2053	14.2%	21.3%
2052	14.3%	21.4%
2051	14.4%	21.5%
2050	14.5%	21.6%
2049	14.5%	21.7%
2048	14.6%	21.8%
2047	14.7%	21.9%
2046	14.8%	22%
2045	14.8%	22.1%
2044	14.9%	22.3%
2043	15%	22.4%
2042	15.1%	22.6%
2041	15.1%	22.8%
2040	15.2%	23%
2039	15.3%	23.3%
2038	15.4%	23.5%
2037	15.5%	23.7%
2036	15.6%	24.1%
2035	15.6%	24.4%
2034	15.7%	24.7%
2033	15.8%	24.9%
2032	15.9%	25%
2031	16.1%	25.1%
2030	16.2%	25.2%
2029	16.5%	25.3%
2028	16.8%	25.4%
2027	17.1%	25.5%
2026	17.4%	25.6%
2025	17.7%	25.8%
2024	17.9%	25.9%
2023	18.3%	26.1%
2022	18.8%	26.3%
2021	19.1%	26.6%
2020	19.5%	27%
2019	19.8%	27.4%
2018	20.2%	27.9%
2017	20.6%	28.3%
2016	20.9%	28.3%
2015	21.3%	28.3%
2014	21.6%	28.5%
2013	22%	28.7%
2012	22.4%	28.9%
2011	22.8%	29.1%
2010	23.3%	29.4%
2009	23.8%	29.7%
2008	24.3%	29.9%
2007	24.9%	30.2%
2006	25.4%	30.6%
2005	25.9%	31.1%
2004	26.3%	31.6%
2003	26.8%	32.3%
2002	27.2%	33.2%
2001	27.5%	34%
2000	27.8%	34.9%
1999	28.1%	35.7%
1998	28.2%	36.5%
1997	28.4%	37.2%
1996	28.5%	37.5%
1995	28.5%	37.5%
1994	28.6%	37.2%
1993	28.6%	37.3%
1992	28.6%	37.6%
1991	28.7%	37.5%
1990	28.9%	37.7%
1989	29.2%	38.1%
1988	29.5%	38.4%
1987	30%	38.7%
1986	30.6%	38.9%
1985	31.2%	39.2%
1984	32%	39.5%
1983	32.8%	39.8%
1982	33.6%	40.1%
1981	34.4%	40.5%
1980	35.3%	40.9%
1979	36.1%	41.3%
1978	37%	41.5%
1977	37.8%	41.7%
1976	38.4%	41.8%
1975	39%	41.9%
1974	39.4%	42%
1973	39.7%	42.1%
1972	39.9%	42.2%
1971	40%	42.2%
1970	40.1%	42.3%
1969	40.3%	42.2%
1968	40.4%	42.2%
1967	40.6%	42.2%
1966	40.6%	42.1%
1965	40.7%	42.1%
1964	40.7%	42.1%
1963	40.8%	42.1%
1962	40.9%	42.1%
1961	41%	42.1%
1960	41.1%	42.1%

Children aged 0-14 make up 17.9% of the population in the Bahamas and 25.9% in South Africa in 2024, compared to 28.9% and 37.7% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of the Bahamas and South Africa compared.

Maternal mortality chart: Bahamas vs South Africa

Chart Table

Bahamas

South Africa

1x

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Bahamas	South Africa
2023	76	118
2022	80	129
2021	174	191
2020	84	118
2019	82	119
2018	82	128
2017	79	134
2016	77	141
2015	83	150
2014	78	162
2013	74	180
2012	71	194
2011	74	202
2010	79	226
2009	84	241
2008	80	272
2007	78	272
2006	74	283
2005	70	279
2004	69	259
2003	57	245
2002	46	225
2001	48	192
2000	51	175
1999	54	151
1998	57	152
1997	59	152
1996	62	150
1995	63	125
1994	64	133
1993	66	145
1992	67	152
1991	67	162
1990	65	170
1989	65	177
1988	66	184
1987	66	192
1986	68	200
1985	70	208

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 76 deaths per 100,000 live births in the Bahamas, compared to 118 deaths in South Africa.

Under-five mortality rates

Chart Table

Bahamas

South Africa

Probability that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five

1x

Year	Under 5 mortality rate
	Bahamas	South Africa
2023	1.27%	3.47%
2022	1.29%	3.44%
2021	1.31%	3.41%
2020	1.33%	3.41%
2019	2.35%	3.45%
2018	1.35%	3.49%
2017	1.36%	3.58%
2016	1.38%	3.68%
2015	1.39%	3.82%
2014	1.42%	3.96%
2013	1.44%	4.1%
2012	1.47%	4.25%
2011	1.5%	4.5%
2010	1.54%	5%
2009	1.58%	5.7%
2008	1.62%	6.42%
2007	1.65%	7.19%
2006	1.68%	7.75%
2005	1.69%	8.03%
2004	1.69%	8.1%
2003	1.67%	7.93%
2002	1.65%	7.69%
2001	1.63%	7.43%
2000	1.62%	7.11%
1999	1.62%	6.85%
1998	1.65%	6.56%
1997	1.69%	6.29%
1996	1.76%	6.11%
1995	1.84%	5.95%
1994	1.93%	5.82%
1993	2.03%	5.7%
1992	2.12%	5.66%
1991	2.23%	5.7%
1990	2.34%	5.82%
1989	2.45%	6.01%
1988	2.55%	6.26%
1987	2.65%	6.56%
1986	2.73%	6.89%
1985	2.78%	7.24%
1984	2.81%	7.6%
1983	2.84%	7.98%
1982	2.88%	8.39%
1981	2.91%	8.84%
1980	2.95%	9.35%
1979	2.99%	9.88%
1978	3.03%	10.5%
1977	3.07%	11.1%
1976	3.1%	11.8%
1975	3.13%	12.5%
1974	3.14%	13.2%
1973	3.13%	-
1972	3.1%	-
1971	3.07%	-
1970	3.03%	-
1969	2.99%	-
1968	2.94%	-

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 1.27% in the Bahamas and 3.47% in South Africa. Above is a chart with historical data on under-five mortality rates.