Fertility & birth rates in Malawi and Tajikistan

Fertility rate in Malawi vs Tajikistan chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Malawi was 3.65 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.07 in Tajikistan in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Malawi vs Tajikistan population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Malawi	Tajikistan
1960	7.04	6.24
1961	7.07	6.35
1962	7.1	6.48
1963	7.13	6.62
1964	7.11	6.68
1965	7.13	6.74
1966	7.17	6.82
1967	7.21	6.89
1968	7.26	6.91
1969	7.27	6.91
1970	7.3	6.91
1971	7.31	6.91
1972	7.33	6.89
1973	7.34	6.84
1974	7.34	6.77
1975	7.36	6.69
1976	7.39	6.6
1977	7.41	6.49
1978	7.43	6.4
1979	7.47	6.31
1980	7.52	6.21
1981	7.49	6.12
1982	7.45	6.03
1983	7.36	5.98
1984	7.27	5.96
1985	7.17	5.94
1986	7.07	5.91
1987	6.97	5.84
1988	6.88	5.75
1989	6.8	5.61
1990	6.74	5.46
1991	6.68	5.28
1992	6.63	5.06
1993	6.57	4.92
1994	6.49	4.79
1995	6.39	4.66
1996	6.29	3.94
1997	6.23	4.06
1998	6.21	4.07
1999	6.12	3.85
2000	6	3.49
2001	5.94	3.49
2002	5.9	3.47
2003	5.88	3.42
2004	5.86	3.51
2005	5.85	3.4
2006	5.8	3.34
2007	5.72	3.37
2008	5.61	3.39
2009	5.45	3.43
2010	5.26	3.46
2011	5.08	3.46
2012	4.9	3.42
2013	4.76	3.43
2014	4.57	3.46
2015	4.38	3.46
2016	4.22	3.38
2017	4.11	3.29
2018	4.02	3.29
2019	3.95	3.28
2020	3.88	3.21
2021	3.79	3.17
2022	3.72	3.13
2023	3.65	3.07
2024	3.59	3.04
2025	3.53	2.99
2026	3.45	2.96
2027	3.39	2.93
2028	3.33	2.89
2029	3.29	2.86
2030	3.23	2.83
2031	3.18	2.8
2032	3.13	2.76
2033	3.09	2.73
2034	3.05	2.7
2035	3.01	2.68
2036	2.97	2.65
2037	2.93	2.63
2038	2.89	2.6
2039	2.86	2.58
2040	2.82	2.55
2041	2.79	2.53
2042	2.76	2.51
2043	2.73	2.49
2044	2.7	2.46
2045	2.67	2.44
2046	2.64	2.42
2047	2.61	2.4
2048	2.59	2.38
2049	2.57	2.37
2050	2.54	2.35

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Malawi	Tajikistan
1960	43.1%	40.2%
1961	42.9%	41.4%
1962	42.8%	42.5%
1963	42.9%	43.4%
1964	43%	44.1%
1965	43.2%	44.4%
1966	43.4%	44.6%
1967	43.7%	44.7%
1968	43.9%	44.7%
1969	44.2%	44.6%
1970	44.4%	44.6%
1971	44.6%	44.5%
1972	44.8%	44.4%
1973	44.9%	44.3%
1974	45.1%	44.2%
1975	45.2%	44%
1976	45.2%	43.8%
1977	45.3%	43.6%
1978	45.3%	43.4%
1979	45.3%	43.2%
1980	45.4%	43.2%
1981	45.4%	43.2%
1982	45.4%	43.2%
1983	45.5%	43.3%
1984	45.5%	43.3%
1985	45.4%	43.3%
1986	45.4%	43.1%
1987	45.1%	43.1%
1988	45%	43.2%
1989	45.2%	43.4%
1990	45.4%	43.7%
1991	45.6%	44%
1992	45.8%	44.3%
1993	46%	44.6%
1994	46.1%	44.8%
1995	46.1%	44.9%
1996	46.2%	44.7%
1997	46.2%	44.3%
1998	46.2%	43.7%
1999	46.2%	43%
2000	46.2%	42.3%
2001	46.1%	41.5%
2002	46.1%	40.7%
2003	46.1%	39.9%
2004	46%	39.3%
2005	46%	38.6%
2006	46.1%	38%
2007	46.1%	37.6%
2008	46.1%	37.3%
2009	46.2%	37%
2010	46.2%	36.8%
2011	46.2%	36.7%
2012	46.1%	36.7%
2013	46%	36.5%
2014	45.7%	36.4%
2015	45.4%	36.3%
2016	45.1%	36.3%
2017	44.6%	36.2%
2018	44.2%	36.2%
2019	43.7%	36.3%
2020	43.1%	36.4%
2021	42.5%	36.6%
2022	41.9%	36.6%
2023	41.3%	36.5%
2024	40.7%	36.3%
2025	40.1%	35.9%
2026	39.6%	35.4%
2027	39.1%	35%
2028	38.6%	34.5%
2029	38.1%	33.9%
2030	37.7%	33.2%
2031	37.4%	32.5%
2032	37%	32%
2033	36.7%	31.6%
2034	36.4%	31.2%
2035	36%	30.8%
2036	35.7%	30.4%
2037	35.3%	30.1%
2038	35%	29.8%
2039	34.6%	29.6%
2040	34.2%	29.4%
2041	33.9%	29.2%
2042	33.5%	29.1%
2043	33.1%	29%
2044	32.7%	28.9%
2045	32.3%	28.7%
2046	31.9%	28.6%
2047	31.5%	28.4%
2048	31.2%	28.1%
2049	30.8%	27.9%
2050	30.5%	27.6%

Children aged 0-14 make up 40.7% of the population in Malawi and 36.3% in Tajikistan in 2024, compared to 45.4% and 43.7% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Malawi and Tajikistan compared.

Natural population change in Malawi vs Tajikistan by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +2.67% in Malawi and +2.42% in Tajikistan. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Malawi	Tajikistan
1960	85,718	65,415
1961	89,091	68,182
1962	92,463	70,700
1963	95,933	73,065
1964	97,658	74,030
1965	100,040	75,139
1966	103,512	76,702
1967	106,668	78,733
1968	110,329	80,698
1969	113,120	82,931
1970	116,822	85,645
1971	121,015	88,618
1972	125,728	91,677
1973	131,529	94,523
1974	137,819	97,481
1975	145,254	100,604
1976	153,422	103,777
1977	161,930	106,920
1978	172,503	110,564
1979	182,123	114,496
1980	192,746	117,888
1981	199,436	121,418
1982	205,386	127,838
1983	209,422	133,280
1984	212,146	139,145
1985	216,179	145,720
1986	218,519	155,987
1987	220,566	163,611
1988	226,911	172,805
1989	237,967	179,212
1990	250,159	178,429
1991	260,193	177,585
1992	269,066	163,652
1993	276,538	157,975
1994	275,439	167,590
1995	266,745	168,934
1996	270,048	138,287
1997	277,433	149,825
1998	285,407	153,508
1999	295,629	147,622
2000	300,439	136,549
2001	310,833	142,276
2002	322,863	146,492
2003	341,133	150,391
2004	361,133	161,201
2005	381,130	160,189
2006	397,123	164,046
2007	410,290	173,200
2008	421,781	182,337
2009	434,811	192,851
2010	444,468	201,389
2011	454,149	208,429
2012	460,684	213,078
2013	470,293	220,693
2014	472,418	227,304
2015	472,484	230,903
2016	474,779	228,547
2017	484,655	224,396
2018	494,348	228,597
2019	506,104	231,817
2020	514,659	219,467
2021	517,400	222,850
2022	533,450	228,336
2023	549,096	223,828

Maternal mortality chart: Malawi vs Tajikistan

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 225 deaths per 100,000 live births in Malawi, compared to 14 deaths in Tajikistan.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Malawi	Tajikistan
1985	1,115	98
1986	1,118	91
1987	1,123	91
1988	1,154	83
1989	1,136	85
1990	1,112	80
1991	1,080	79
1992	1,042	84
1993	1,000	84
1994	912	85
1995	782	81
1996	713	82
1997	672	76
1998	658	72
1999	576	64
2000	506	58
2001	447	58
2002	404	48
2003	346	39
2004	304	36
2005	283	36
2006	286	35
2007	333	30
2008	430	29
2009	512	29
2010	517	26
2011	486	25
2012	447	23
2013	410	21
2014	367	21
2015	354	20
2016	312	20
2017	284	17
2018	267	16
2019	260	16
2020	256	25
2021	286	25
2022	239	14
2023	225	14

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 3.83% in Malawi and 2.73% in Tajikistan. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Malawi	Tajikistan
1961	35.9%	-
1962	35.8%	-
1963	35.7%	-
1964	35.5%	-
1965	35.4%	-
1966	35.3%	-
1967	35.1%	-
1968	35%	-
1969	34.7%	-
1970	34.4%	-
1971	33.9%	-
1972	33.2%	15.5%
1973	32.4%	15%
1974	31.5%	14.4%
1975	30.6%	14%
1976	29.7%	13.5%
1977	28.7%	13.2%
1978	27.6%	13%
1979	26.5%	12.8%
1980	25.6%	12.7%
1981	24.9%	12.6%
1982	24.5%	12.5%
1983	24.5%	12.3%
1984	24.8%	12%
1985	25.1%	11.6%
1986	25.4%	11.1%
1987	25.5%	10.5%
1988	25.3%	10.1%
1989	24.9%	9.88%
1990	24.3%	9.92%
1991	23.6%	10.2%
1992	22.8%	10.6%
1993	22%	10.9%
1994	21.3%	11%
1995	20.7%	10.8%
1996	20.2%	10.4%
1997	19.7%	9.86%
1998	19.2%	9.26%
1999	18.4%	8.62%
2000	17.3%	7.97%
2001	16%	7.34%
2002	14.6%	6.75%
2003	13.2%	6.18%
2004	11.9%	5.67%
2005	11%	5.22%
2006	10.3%	4.82%
2007	9.83%	4.47%
2008	9.31%	4.17%
2009	8.81%	3.92%
2010	8.3%	3.7%
2011	7.67%	3.52%
2012	6.98%	3.36%
2013	6.4%	3.23%
2014	6.02%	3.12%
2015	5.67%	3.02%
2016	5.35%	2.94%
2017	5.06%	2.88%
2018	4.75%	2.83%
2019	4.55%	2.81%
2020	4.31%	2.8%
2021	4.15%	2.79%
2022	3.99%	2.77%
2023	3.83%	2.73%