Fertility & birth rates in Japan and Tajikistan

Fertility rate in Japan vs Tajikistan chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Japan was 1.2 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.07 in Tajikistan in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Japan vs Tajikistan population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Japan	Tajikistan
1960	2	6.24
1961	1.96	6.35
1962	1.98	6.48
1963	2	6.62
1964	2.05	6.68
1965	2.14	6.74
1966	1.58	6.82
1967	2.23	6.89
1968	2.13	6.91
1969	2.13	6.91
1970	2.13	6.91
1971	2.16	6.91
1972	2.14	6.89
1973	2.14	6.84
1974	2.05	6.77
1975	1.91	6.69
1976	1.85	6.6
1977	1.8	6.49
1978	1.79	6.4
1979	1.77	6.31
1980	1.75	6.21
1981	1.74	6.12
1982	1.77	6.03
1983	1.8	5.98
1984	1.81	5.96
1985	1.76	5.94
1986	1.72	5.91
1987	1.69	5.84
1988	1.66	5.75
1989	1.57	5.61
1990	1.54	5.46
1991	1.53	5.28
1992	1.5	5.06
1993	1.46	4.92
1994	1.5	4.79
1995	1.42	4.66
1996	1.43	3.94
1997	1.39	4.06
1998	1.38	4.07
1999	1.34	3.85
2000	1.36	3.49
2001	1.33	3.49
2002	1.32	3.47
2003	1.29	3.42
2004	1.29	3.51
2005	1.26	3.4
2006	1.32	3.34
2007	1.34	3.37
2008	1.37	3.39
2009	1.37	3.43
2010	1.39	3.46
2011	1.39	3.46
2012	1.41	3.42
2013	1.43	3.43
2014	1.42	3.46
2015	1.45	3.46
2016	1.44	3.38
2017	1.43	3.29
2018	1.42	3.29
2019	1.36	3.28
2020	1.33	3.21
2021	1.3	3.17
2022	1.26	3.13
2023	1.2	3.07
2024	1.21	3.04
2025	1.22	2.99
2026	1.22	2.96
2027	1.23	2.93
2028	1.24	2.89
2029	1.25	2.86
2030	1.25	2.83
2031	1.26	2.8
2032	1.26	2.76
2033	1.27	2.73
2034	1.28	2.7
2035	1.28	2.68
2036	1.29	2.65
2037	1.29	2.63
2038	1.3	2.6
2039	1.3	2.58
2040	1.3	2.55
2041	1.31	2.53
2042	1.31	2.51
2043	1.31	2.49
2044	1.32	2.46
2045	1.32	2.44
2046	1.33	2.42
2047	1.33	2.4
2048	1.33	2.38
2049	1.34	2.37
2050	1.34	2.35

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Japan	Tajikistan
1960	29.8%	40.2%
1961	29.1%	41.4%
1962	28%	42.5%
1963	26.8%	43.4%
1964	25.8%	44.1%
1965	25.1%	44.4%
1966	24.4%	44.6%
1967	23.8%	44.7%
1968	23.5%	44.7%
1969	23.4%	44.6%
1970	23.3%	44.6%
1971	23.3%	44.5%
1972	23.4%	44.4%
1973	23.6%	44.3%
1974	23.8%	44.2%
1975	23.8%	44%
1976	23.9%	43.8%
1977	23.9%	43.6%
1978	23.8%	43.4%
1979	23.7%	43.2%
1980	23.4%	43.2%
1981	23.3%	43.2%
1982	23.1%	43.2%
1983	22.6%	43.3%
1984	22.2%	43.3%
1985	21.7%	43.3%
1986	21%	43.1%
1987	20.3%	43.1%
1988	19.5%	43.2%
1989	18.8%	43.4%
1990	18%	43.7%
1991	17.4%	44%
1992	16.9%	44.3%
1993	16.4%	44.6%
1994	16%	44.8%
1995	15.6%	44.9%
1996	15.3%	44.7%
1997	15.1%	44.3%
1998	14.8%	43.7%
1999	14.6%	43%
2000	14.4%	42.3%
2001	14.2%	41.5%
2002	14.1%	40.7%
2003	13.9%	39.9%
2004	13.8%	39.3%
2005	13.8%	38.6%
2006	13.7%	38%
2007	13.6%	37.6%
2008	13.5%	37.3%
2009	13.5%	37%
2010	13.4%	36.8%
2011	13.3%	36.7%
2012	13.2%	36.7%
2013	13.1%	36.5%
2014	13%	36.4%
2015	12.8%	36.3%
2016	12.7%	36.3%
2017	12.6%	36.2%
2018	12.5%	36.2%
2019	12.4%	36.3%
2020	12.2%	36.4%
2021	12%	36.6%
2022	11.9%	36.6%
2023	11.6%	36.5%
2024	11.4%	36.3%
2025	11.2%	35.9%
2026	11%	35.4%
2027	10.9%	35%
2028	10.7%	34.5%
2029	10.5%	33.9%
2030	10.4%	33.2%
2031	10.3%	32.5%
2032	10.2%	32%
2033	10.1%	31.6%
2034	10.1%	31.2%
2035	10.1%	30.8%
2036	10.1%	30.4%
2037	10.1%	30.1%
2038	10.2%	29.8%
2039	10.3%	29.6%
2040	10.4%	29.4%
2041	10.5%	29.2%
2042	10.6%	29.1%
2043	10.7%	29%
2044	10.8%	28.9%
2045	10.9%	28.7%
2046	11%	28.6%
2047	11.1%	28.4%
2048	11.2%	28.1%
2049	11.2%	27.9%
2050	11.2%	27.6%

Children aged 0-14 make up 11.4% of the population in Japan and 36.3% in Tajikistan in 2024, compared to 18% and 43.7% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Japan and Tajikistan compared.

Natural population change in Japan vs Tajikistan by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been -0.41% in Japan and +2.42% in Tajikistan. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Japan	Tajikistan
1960	894,874	65,415
1961	893,522	68,182
1962	901,864	70,700
1963	987,770	73,065
1964	1,046,553	74,030
1965	1,126,448	75,139
1966	682,072	76,702
1967	1,258,475	78,733
1968	1,191,930	80,698
1969	1,195,962	82,931
1970	1,230,496	85,645
1971	1,331,782	88,618
1972	1,372,006	91,677
1973	1,391,449	94,523
1974	1,332,960	97,481
1975	1,204,989	100,604
1976	1,127,750	103,777
1977	1,070,397	106,920
1978	1,011,234	110,564
1979	950,298	114,496
1980	864,372	117,888
1981	811,861	121,418
1982	805,664	127,838
1983	775,495	133,280
1984	756,523	139,145
1985	676,687	145,720
1986	631,706	155,987
1987	598,138	163,611
1988	527,085	172,805
1989	467,662	179,212
1990	407,478	178,429
1991	396,685	177,585
1992	360,833	163,652
1993	312,073	157,975
1994	363,017	167,590
1995	276,039	168,934
1996	314,392	138,287
1997	277,325	149,825
1998	265,440	153,508
1999	202,610	147,622
2000	228,317	136,549
2001	203,438	142,276
2002	178,423	146,492
2003	114,946	150,391
2004	76,656	161,201
2005	-25,554	160,189
2006	12,785	164,046
2007	-25,600	173,200
2008	-51,225	182,337
2009	-76,828	192,851
2010	-128,070	201,389
2011	-204,533	208,429
2012	-229,733	213,078
2013	-242,146	220,693
2014	-267,279	227,304
2015	-292,424	230,903
2016	-343,106	228,547
2017	-406,310	224,396
2018	-456,520	228,597
2019	-531,858	231,817
2020	-542,923	219,467
2021	-640,976	222,850
2022	-825,825	228,336
2023	-871,617	223,828

Maternal mortality chart: Japan vs Tajikistan

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 3 deaths per 100,000 live births in Japan, compared to 14 deaths in Tajikistan.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Japan	Tajikistan
1985	19	98
1986	18	91
1987	17	91
1988	16	83
1989	15	85
1990	14	80
1991	13	79
1992	13	84
1993	12	84
1994	11	85
1995	11	81
1996	11	82
1997	10	76
1998	10	72
1999	9	64
2000	9	58
2001	8	58
2002	8	48
2003	8	39
2004	7	36
2005	7	36
2006	7	35
2007	6	30
2008	6	29
2009	6	29
2010	6	26
2011	6	25
2012	6	23
2013	5	21
2014	5	21
2015	5	20
2016	5	20
2017	5	17
2018	5	16
2019	5	16
2020	4	25
2021	4	25
2022	5	14
2023	3	14

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 0.24% in Japan and 2.73% in Tajikistan. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Japan	Tajikistan
1960	3.97%	-
1961	3.62%	-
1962	3.29%	-
1963	2.98%	-
1964	2.7%	-
1965	2.46%	-
1966	2.26%	-
1967	2.1%	-
1968	1.96%	-
1969	1.85%	-
1970	1.75%	-
1971	1.65%	-
1972	1.57%	15.5%
1973	1.49%	15%
1974	1.41%	14.4%
1975	1.33%	14%
1976	1.25%	13.5%
1977	1.18%	13.2%
1978	1.11%	13%
1979	1.05%	12.8%
1980	0.99%	12.7%
1981	0.93%	12.6%
1982	0.88%	12.5%
1983	0.83%	12.3%
1984	0.79%	12%
1985	0.75%	11.6%
1986	0.71%	11.1%
1987	0.68%	10.5%
1988	0.66%	10.1%
1989	0.64%	9.88%
1990	0.63%	9.92%
1991	0.62%	10.2%
1992	0.61%	10.6%
1993	0.6%	10.9%
1994	0.59%	11%
1995	0.57%	10.8%
1996	0.55%	10.4%
1997	0.52%	9.86%
1998	0.5%	9.26%
1999	0.47%	8.62%
2000	0.45%	7.97%
2001	0.43%	7.34%
2002	0.41%	6.75%
2003	0.4%	6.18%
2004	0.39%	5.67%
2005	0.37%	5.22%
2006	0.36%	4.82%
2007	0.35%	4.47%
2008	0.34%	4.17%
2009	0.34%	3.92%
2010	0.33%	3.7%
2011	0.33%	3.52%
2012	0.31%	3.36%
2013	0.3%	3.23%
2014	0.29%	3.12%
2015	0.28%	3.02%
2016	0.27%	2.94%
2017	0.26%	2.88%
2018	0.25%	2.83%
2019	0.25%	2.81%
2020	0.24%	2.8%
2021	0.24%	2.79%
2022	0.24%	2.77%
2023	0.24%	2.73%