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Fertility & birth rates in Pakistan and Tajikistan

Updated on by Georank team

Pakistan has an annual birth rate of 27.8 births per 1,000 people, compared to 26.1 for Tajikistan. The average number of children a woman is expected to have during her lifetime — the fertility rate, is 3.61 in Pakistan and 3.07 in Tajikistan — 14.8% difference.

1960 vs 2023, the fertility rate has decreased by 47% in Pakistan and by 50.7% in Tajikistan — in 1960, it was 6.8 and 6.24, respectively.

  • Pakistan is ranked 41/196 by birth rate compared to 48/196 for Tajikistan.
  • The mean age for first-time mothers is 22.8 years in Pakistan, compared to 23.2 years in Tajikistan.
  • The mean age at childbearing (for all the births, not just the first) is 28.9 in Pakistan — it's 26.4 in Tajikistan.
  • Annual births per 1,000 women ages 15-19 (adolescent birth rate or teenage mother rate) is 41.1 in Pakistan vs 40.4 in Tajikistan.
  • In Pakistan, 24.6% of the population is composed of women of reproductive age (15-49), compared to 25.5% in Tajikistan.

Fertility rate in Pakistan vs Tajikistan by year

Pakistan
Tajikistan
1x
Year Fertility rate
Pakistan Tajikistan
2023 3.61 3.07
2022 3.66 3.13
2021 3.72 3.17
2020 3.77 3.21
2019 3.81 3.28
2018 3.86 3.29
2017 3.9 3.29
2016 3.9 3.38
2015 3.99 3.46
2014 4.06 3.46
2013 4.13 3.43
2012 4.2 3.42
2011 4.31 3.46
2010 4.4 3.46
2009 4.47 3.43
2008 4.51 3.39
2007 4.55 3.37
2006 4.59 3.34
2005 4.6 3.4
2004 4.68 3.51
2003 4.89 3.42
2002 5.01 3.47
2001 5.18 3.49
2000 5.35 3.49
1999 5.46 3.85
1998 5.51 4.07
1997 5.64 4.06
1996 5.77 3.94
1995 5.89 4.66
1994 6.01 4.79
1993 6.11 4.92
1992 6.21 5.06
1991 6.29 5.28
1990 6.36 5.46
1989 6.43 5.61
1988 6.48 5.75
1987 6.52 5.84
1986 6.55 5.91
1985 6.59 5.94
1984 6.62 5.96
1983 6.64 5.98
1982 6.67 6.03
1981 6.7 6.12
1980 6.73 6.21
1979 6.76 6.31
1978 6.78 6.4
1977 6.8 6.49
1976 6.81 6.6
1975 6.81 6.69
1974 6.81 6.77
1973 6.81 6.84
1972 6.81 6.89
1971 6.8 6.91
1970 6.8 6.91
1969 6.8 6.91
1968 6.8 6.91
1967 6.8 6.89
1966 6.8 6.82
1965 6.8 6.74
1964 6.8 6.68
1963 6.8 6.62
1962 6.8 6.48
1961 6.8 6.35
1960 6.8 6.24

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/pakistan/tajikistan | CC BY

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Pakistan was 3.61 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.07 in Tajikistan in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Pakistan vs Tajikistan population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

Natural population change by year

Pakistan
Tajikistan
1x
Year Natural population change
Pakistan Tajikistan
2023 5,281,745 223,828
2022 5,268,077 228,336
2021 5,065,913 222,850
2020 5,011,177 219,467
2019 5,127,011 231,817
2018 5,103,858 228,597
2017 5,090,200 224,396
2016 5,044,922 228,547
2015 5,113,507 230,903
2014 5,148,994 227,304
2013 5,176,590 220,693
2012 5,191,263 213,078
2011 5,189,412 208,429
2010 5,147,142 201,389
2009 5,028,132 192,851
2008 4,885,855 182,337
2007 4,690,187 173,200
2006 4,538,426 164,046
2005 4,294,393 160,189
2004 4,294,654 161,201
2003 4,340,688 150,391
2002 4,307,607 146,492
2001 4,304,297 142,276
2000 4,281,169 136,549
1999 4,228,026 147,622
1998 4,104,824 153,508
1997 4,043,912 149,825
1996 4,021,758 138,287
1995 3,977,175 168,934
1994 3,956,699 167,590
1993 3,915,776 157,975
1992 3,888,637 163,652
1991 3,822,363 177,585
1990 3,731,730 178,429
1989 3,648,132 179,212
1988 3,554,755 172,805
1987 3,448,813 163,611
1986 3,341,643 155,987
1985 3,233,315 145,720
1984 3,145,772 139,145
1983 3,052,738 133,280
1982 2,934,689 127,838
1981 2,790,454 121,418
1980 2,598,421 117,888
1979 2,461,311 114,496
1978 2,356,601 110,564
1977 2,257,849 106,920
1976 2,171,812 103,777
1975 2,099,811 100,604
1974 2,028,061 97,481
1973 1,971,909 94,523
1972 1,912,774 91,677
1971 1,695,374 88,618
1970 1,793,570 85,645
1969 1,733,601 82,931
1968 1,683,296 80,698
1967 1,626,737 78,733
1966 1,566,343 76,702
1965 1,496,050 75,139
1964 1,447,394 74,030
1963 1,384,934 73,065
1962 1,328,675 70,700
1961 1,273,772 68,182
1960 1,217,147 65,415

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/pakistan/tajikistan | CC BY

The chart above illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes in population resulting from births and deaths.

Excluding migration, the natural population change due to births and deaths from 2022 to 2023 was +2.13% in Pakistan and +2.15% in Tajikistan.

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change has been +2.23% in Pakistan and +2.42% in Tajikistan.

Birth rate in Pakistan vs Tajikistan by year

Pakistan
Tajikistan

Annual births per 1,000 people

1x
Year Annual births per 1,000 people
Pakistan Tajikistan
2023 27.8 26.1
2022 28.1 27
2021 28.4 27.7
2020 28.6 28.4
2019 29 29.2
2018 29.3 29.5
2017 29.7 29.7
2016 30 30.9
2015 30.7 32
2014 31.3 32.2
2013 31.9 32.1
2012 32.5 32
2011 33 32.2
2010 33.5 32
2009 33.6 31.4
2008 33.6 30.6
2007 33.3 29.9
2006 33.2 29.2
2005 32.9 29.3
2004 33.2 29.9
2003 34.3 29
2002 34.9 29.2
2001 35.7 29.3
2000 36.5 29.1
1999 37.2 31.6
1998 37.4 33.1
1997 38 32.9
1996 38.9 31.9
1995 39.6 37.7
1994 40.4 38.8
1993 41.2 39.7
1992 42 40.7
1991 42.5 41.9
1990 42.9 43.1
1989 43.4 44.1
1988 43.8 43.8
1987 44 43.1
1986 44.1 42.5
1985 44.3 41.6
1984 44.5 41.2
1983 44.7 40.9
1982 44.6 40.7
1981 44.4 40.7
1980 43.6 40.8
1979 43.5 40.9
1978 43.5 40.8
1977 43.4 40.9
1976 43.4 41.1
1975 43.5 41.3
1974 43.6 41.5
1973 43.7 41.7
1972 43.8 42
1971 43.9 42.1
1970 44.1 42.3
1969 44.3 42.5
1968 44.7 43
1967 45.1 43.6
1966 45.4 44.2
1965 45.7 45.1
1964 46 46.1
1963 46.2 47.1
1962 46.4 47.5
1961 46.6 47.7
1960 46.7 47.7

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/pakistan/tajikistan | CC BY

The latest reported birth rate per 1,000 people in 2023 was 27.8 in Pakistan and 26.1 in Tajikistan, compared with 46.7 and 47.7, respectively, in 1960.

Birth rate data compared

Pakistan Tajikistan
Fertility rate 3.61 3.07
Fertility rate rank 42/196 56/196
Birth rate 27.8 26.1
Birth rate rank 41/196 48/196
Population change due to births and deaths +5,281,745 +223,828
Natural population change rank 2/196 56/196
Natural population change rate +2.13% +2.15%
Population growth +1.52% +1.94%
Population growth rank 70/197 55/197
Age at first childbirth 22.8 years 23.2 years
Average age at childbearing 28.9 years 26.4 years
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 15-19 38.9 38.5
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 20-29 190.2 203.7
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 30+ 48.6 26.7
Female of reproductive age (15-49), share of population 24.6% 25.5%
Any modern method of contraceptive prevalence among married women ages 15-49 25% 27.1%
Share of births attended by skilled health staff 68% 94.8%
Maternal mortality per live birth 0.16% 0.01%
Neonatal mortality rate (before reaching 28 days of age) 3.76% 1.26%
Infant mortality rate (before reaching 1 year of age) 5.01% 2.29%
Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age 5.85% 2.73%
Life expectancy 68.1 years 72.2 years

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Pakistan
Factual

UN forecast
Tajikistan
Factual

UN forecast
1x
Year Young
Pakistan Tajikistan
2100 19.3% 17.4%
2099 19.4% 17.5%
2098 19.5% 17.6%
2097 19.7% 17.7%
2096 19.8% 17.9%
2095 19.9% 18%
2094 20% 18.1%
2093 20.2% 18.2%
2092 20.3% 18.3%
2091 20.4% 18.4%
2090 20.6% 18.6%
2089 20.7% 18.7%
2088 20.9% 18.9%
2087 21% 19%
2086 21.2% 19.2%
2085 21.4% 19.4%
2084 21.5% 19.6%
2083 21.7% 19.8%
2082 21.9% 20%
2081 22% 20.2%
2080 22.2% 20.4%
2079 22.4% 20.7%
2078 22.6% 20.9%
2077 22.8% 21.1%
2076 23% 21.3%
2075 23.1% 21.5%
2074 23.3% 21.7%
2073 23.5% 21.9%
2072 23.7% 22.1%
2071 23.9% 22.3%
2070 24.1% 22.4%
2069 24.3% 22.6%
2068 24.5% 22.7%
2067 24.7% 22.9%
2066 24.9% 23%
2065 25.1% 23.2%
2064 25.3% 23.4%
2063 25.5% 23.6%
2062 25.7% 23.8%
2061 26% 24.1%
2060 26.2% 24.3%
2059 26.5% 24.6%
2058 26.7% 24.9%
2057 27% 25.3%
2056 27.3% 25.6%
2055 27.5% 26%
2054 27.8% 26.3%
2053 28.1% 26.7%
2052 28.4% 27%
2051 28.7% 27.4%
2050 29% 27.7%
2049 29.3% 28%
2048 29.6% 28.3%
2047 29.9% 28.5%
2046 30.2% 28.6%
2045 30.4% 28.8%
2044 30.7% 28.9%
2043 30.9% 29%
2042 31.1% 29.2%
2041 31.4% 29.3%
2040 31.6% 29.5%
2039 31.8% 29.7%
2038 32.1% 29.9%
2037 32.3% 30.2%
2036 32.6% 30.6%
2035 32.9% 31%
2034 33.1% 31.4%
2033 33.4% 31.8%
2032 33.7% 32.3%
2031 34% 32.8%
2030 34.3% 33.5%
2029 34.7% 34.2%
2028 35.1% 34.8%
2027 35.6% 35.2%
2026 36% 35.6%
2025 36.5% 36.1%
2024 36.7% 36.3%
2023 37% 36.5%
2022 37.3% 36.6%
2021 37.6% 36.6%
2020 37.9% 36.4%
2019 38.1% 36.3%
2018 38.3% 36.2%
2017 38.5% 36.2%
2016 38.6% 36.3%
2015 38.8% 36.3%
2014 38.9% 36.4%
2013 38.9% 36.5%
2012 39% 36.7%
2011 39.1% 36.7%
2010 39.3% 36.8%
2009 39.6% 37%
2008 40% 37.3%
2007 40.4% 37.6%
2006 40.9% 38%
2005 41.3% 38.6%
2004 41.8% 39.3%
2003 42.3% 39.9%
2002 42.6% 40.7%
2001 42.9% 41.5%
2000 43.3% 42.3%
1999 43.6% 43%
1998 43.9% 43.7%
1997 44.1% 44.3%
1996 44.3% 44.7%
1995 44.5% 44.9%
1994 44.5% 44.8%
1993 44.5% 44.6%
1992 44.3% 44.3%
1991 44.1% 44%
1990 44.1% 43.7%
1989 44% 43.4%
1988 43.8% 43.2%
1987 43.7% 43.1%
1986 43.6% 43.1%
1985 43.5% 43.3%
1984 43.3% 43.3%
1983 43.1% 43.3%
1982 43% 43.2%
1981 43.1% 43.2%
1980 43.3% 43.2%
1979 43.7% 43.2%
1978 43.8% 43.4%
1977 43.9% 43.6%
1976 44% 43.8%
1975 44.1% 44%
1974 44.1% 44.2%
1973 44.1% 44.3%
1972 44.1% 44.4%
1971 44% 44.5%
1970 43.9% 44.6%
1969 43.7% 44.6%
1968 43.5% 44.7%
1967 43.3% 44.7%
1966 43% 44.6%
1965 42.7% 44.4%
1964 42.2% 44.1%
1963 41.8% 43.4%
1962 41.6% 42.5%
1961 41.4% 41.4%
1960 41.3% 40.2%

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2024, retrieved 2026-04-06); United Nations | World Population Prospects (2025–2100, retrieved 2026-03-10).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/pakistan/tajikistan | CC BY

Children aged 0-14 make up 36.7% of the population in Pakistan and 36.3% in Tajikistan in 2024, compared to 44.1% and 43.7% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Pakistan and Tajikistan compared.

Fertility rates around the globe

1x

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/pakistan/tajikistan | CC BY

Maternal mortality chart: Pakistan vs Tajikistan

Pakistan
Tajikistan
1x
Year Maternal mortality per 100K births
Pakistan Tajikistan
2023 155 14
2022 160 14
2021 193 25
2020 178 25
2019 173 16
2018 178 16
2017 184 17
2016 193 20
2015 202 20
2014 211 21
2013 220 21
2012 227 23
2011 234 25
2010 240 26
2009 246 29
2008 254 29
2007 265 30
2006 284 35
2005 316 36
2004 333 36
2003 358 39
2002 380 48
2001 400 58
2000 419 58
1999 438 64
1998 456 72
1997 476 76
1996 482 82
1995 485 81
1994 479 85
1993 473 84
1992 459 84
1991 443 79
1990 434 80
1989 439 85
1988 441 83
1987 442 91
1986 436 91
1985 432 98

Data sources: World Bank | Gender (1985–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/pakistan/tajikistan | CC BY

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 155 deaths per 100,000 live births in Pakistan, compared to 14 deaths in Tajikistan.

Under-five mortality rates

Pakistan
Tajikistan

Probability that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five

1x
Year Under 5 mortality rate
Pakistan Tajikistan
2023 5.85% 2.73%
2022 6.05% 2.77%
2021 6.25% 2.79%
2020 6.46% 2.8%
2019 6.67% 2.81%
2018 6.88% 2.83%
2017 7.1% 2.88%
2016 7.33% 2.94%
2015 7.56% 3.02%
2014 7.8% 3.12%
2013 8.04% 3.23%
2012 8.27% 3.36%
2011 8.49% 3.52%
2010 8.71% 3.7%
2009 8.91% 3.92%
2008 9.1% 4.17%
2007 9.29% 4.47%
2006 9.47% 4.82%
2005 9.65% 5.22%
2004 9.85% 5.67%
2003 10.1% 6.18%
2002 10.3% 6.75%
2001 10.5% 7.34%
2000 10.8% 7.97%
1999 11.1% 8.62%
1998 11.5% 9.26%
1997 11.8% 9.86%
1996 12.1% 10.4%
1995 12.5% 10.8%
1994 12.8% 11%
1993 13.1% 10.9%
1992 13.4% 10.6%
1991 13.7% 10.2%
1990 14% 9.92%
1989 14.2% 9.88%
1988 14.5% 10.1%
1987 14.8% 10.5%
1986 15% 11.1%
1985 15.3% 11.6%
1984 15.6% 12%
1983 15.8% 12.3%
1982 16.1% 12.5%
1981 16.3% 12.6%
1980 16.5% 12.7%
1979 16.7% 12.8%
1978 16.9% 13%
1977 17.1% 13.2%
1976 17.4% 13.5%
1975 17.6% 14%
1974 17.8% 14.4%
1973 18.1% 15%
1972 18.4% 15.5%
1971 18.7% -
1970 19% -
1969 19.4% -
1968 19.7% -
1967 20.2% -
1966 20.6% -
1965 21.2% -
1964 21.8% -
1963 22.5% -
1962 23.3% -
1961 24.1% -
1960 25% -

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/pakistan/tajikistan | CC BY

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 5.85% in Pakistan and 2.73% in Tajikistan. Above is a chart with historical data on under-five mortality rates.

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Data sources:

  1. World Bank | Health (1960–2024, retrieved 2026-04-06)
  2. United Nations | World Population Prospects (2025–2100, retrieved 2026-03-10)
  3. United Nations Economic Commission for Europe (UNECE) (2017, retrieved 2026-03-10)
  4. Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) (2025, retrieved 2026-02-20)

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