Fertility & birth rates in Rwanda and Tajikistan

Fertility rate in Rwanda vs Tajikistan chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Rwanda was 3.7 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.07 in Tajikistan in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Rwanda vs Tajikistan population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Rwanda	Tajikistan
1960	8.28	6.24
1961	8.28	6.35
1962	8.27	6.48
1963	8.27	6.62
1964	8.27	6.68
1965	8.25	6.74
1966	8.23	6.82
1967	8.21	6.89
1968	8.19	6.91
1969	8.18	6.91
1970	8.15	6.91
1971	8.09	6.91
1972	8.09	6.89
1973	8.09	6.84
1974	8.1	6.77
1975	8.1	6.69
1976	8.12	6.6
1977	8.14	6.49
1978	8.16	6.4
1979	8.13	6.31
1980	8.12	6.21
1981	8.1	6.12
1982	8.06	6.03
1983	8	5.98
1984	7.91	5.96
1985	7.79	5.94
1986	7.61	5.91
1987	7.43	5.84
1988	7.23	5.75
1989	7.03	5.61
1990	6.8	5.46
1991	6.62	5.28
1992	6.54	5.06
1993	6.48	4.92
1994	6.42	4.79
1995	6.35	4.66
1996	6.29	3.94
1997	6.24	4.06
1998	6.17	4.07
1999	6.06	3.85
2000	5.97	3.49
2001	5.89	3.49
2002	5.82	3.47
2003	5.74	3.42
2004	5.64	3.51
2005	5.5	3.4
2006	5.34	3.34
2007	5.14	3.37
2008	4.92	3.39
2009	4.71	3.43
2010	4.52	3.46
2011	4.33	3.46
2012	4.2	3.42
2013	4.14	3.43
2014	4.12	3.46
2015	4.11	3.46
2016	4.11	3.38
2017	4.08	3.29
2018	4.05	3.29
2019	3.99	3.28
2020	3.91	3.21
2021	3.84	3.17
2022	3.78	3.13
2023	3.7	3.07
2024	3.64	3.04
2025	3.59	2.99
2026	3.54	2.96
2027	3.49	2.93
2028	3.43	2.89
2029	3.38	2.86
2030	3.33	2.83
2031	3.28	2.8
2032	3.24	2.76
2033	3.19	2.73
2034	3.15	2.7
2035	3.11	2.68
2036	3.07	2.65
2037	3.03	2.63
2038	2.99	2.6
2039	2.95	2.58
2040	2.92	2.55
2041	2.89	2.53
2042	2.85	2.51
2043	2.81	2.49
2044	2.78	2.46
2045	2.75	2.44
2046	2.72	2.42
2047	2.69	2.4
2048	2.67	2.38
2049	2.64	2.37
2050	2.61	2.35

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Rwanda	Tajikistan
1960	49.2%	40.2%
1961	49.7%	41.4%
1962	50.2%	42.5%
1963	50.6%	43.4%
1964	50.8%	44.1%
1965	50.6%	44.4%
1966	50.2%	44.6%
1967	49.7%	44.7%
1968	49.2%	44.7%
1969	48.7%	44.6%
1970	48.2%	44.6%
1971	47.9%	44.5%
1972	47.5%	44.4%
1973	47.2%	44.3%
1974	46.9%	44.2%
1975	46.6%	44%
1976	46.4%	43.8%
1977	46.4%	43.6%
1978	46.4%	43.4%
1979	46.5%	43.2%
1980	46.8%	43.2%
1981	47.1%	43.2%
1982	47.4%	43.2%
1983	47.7%	43.3%
1984	48.1%	43.3%
1985	48.3%	43.3%
1986	48.6%	43.1%
1987	48.8%	43.1%
1988	48.9%	43.2%
1989	48.9%	43.4%
1990	49%	43.7%
1991	48.9%	44%
1992	48.7%	44.3%
1993	48.4%	44.6%
1994	50.1%	44.8%
1995	52.4%	44.9%
1996	51.4%	44.7%
1997	50.5%	44.3%
1998	49.2%	43.7%
1999	47.8%	43%
2000	46.4%	42.3%
2001	45.2%	41.5%
2002	44.3%	40.7%
2003	43.7%	39.9%
2004	43.3%	39.3%
2005	43.1%	38.6%
2006	42.9%	38%
2007	42.9%	37.6%
2008	42.8%	37.3%
2009	42.6%	37%
2010	42.4%	36.8%
2011	42.2%	36.7%
2012	41.9%	36.7%
2013	41.7%	36.5%
2014	41.4%	36.4%
2015	41.1%	36.3%
2016	40.9%	36.3%
2017	40.5%	36.2%
2018	40.1%	36.2%
2019	39.7%	36.3%
2020	39.2%	36.4%
2021	38.6%	36.6%
2022	38.2%	36.6%
2023	37.7%	36.5%
2024	37.4%	36.3%
2025	37%	35.9%
2026	36.7%	35.4%
2027	36.4%	35%
2028	36%	34.5%
2029	35.7%	33.9%
2030	35.4%	33.2%
2031	35%	32.5%
2032	34.7%	32%
2033	34.4%	31.6%
2034	34.1%	31.2%
2035	33.7%	30.8%
2036	33.4%	30.4%
2037	33.1%	30.1%
2038	32.9%	29.8%
2039	32.6%	29.6%
2040	32.3%	29.4%
2041	32%	29.2%
2042	31.7%	29.1%
2043	31.4%	29%
2044	31.1%	28.9%
2045	30.8%	28.7%
2046	30.5%	28.6%
2047	30.2%	28.4%
2048	29.9%	28.1%
2049	29.7%	27.9%
2050	29.4%	27.6%

Children aged 0-14 make up 37.4% of the population in Rwanda and 36.3% in Tajikistan in 2024, compared to 49% and 43.7% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Rwanda and Tajikistan compared.

Natural population change in Rwanda vs Tajikistan by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +2.45% in Rwanda and +2.42% in Tajikistan. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Rwanda	Tajikistan
1960	100,627	65,415
1961	102,051	68,182
1962	102,548	70,700
1963	94,296	73,065
1964	102,562	74,030
1965	103,422	75,139
1966	105,128	76,702
1967	108,053	78,733
1968	111,422	80,698
1969	115,394	82,931
1970	119,273	85,645
1971	122,567	88,618
1972	126,403	91,677
1973	131,021	94,523
1974	135,743	97,481
1975	140,596	100,604
1976	147,665	103,777
1977	155,011	106,920
1978	163,779	110,564
1979	174,477	114,496
1980	184,988	117,888
1981	195,769	121,418
1982	205,147	127,838
1983	212,750	133,280
1984	219,337	139,145
1985	223,794	145,720
1986	225,526	155,987
1987	225,744	163,611
1988	223,759	172,805
1989	217,632	179,212
1990	207,895	178,429
1991	196,431	177,585
1992	188,025	163,652
1993	183,926	157,975
1994	-719,479	167,590
1995	121,137	168,934
1996	140,455	138,287
1997	174,687	149,825
1998	197,185	153,508
1999	210,518	147,622
2000	221,276	136,549
2001	230,845	142,276
2002	239,036	146,492
2003	251,243	150,391
2004	265,273	161,201
2005	275,121	160,189
2006	282,149	164,046
2007	285,791	173,200
2008	287,334	182,337
2009	287,034	192,851
2010	286,848	201,389
2011	282,922	208,429
2012	282,584	213,078
2013	286,331	220,693
2014	292,779	227,304
2015	299,114	230,903
2016	305,549	228,547
2017	310,323	224,396
2018	312,512	228,597
2019	313,525	231,817
2020	312,692	219,467
2021	309,895	222,850
2022	312,145	228,336
2023	312,762	223,828

Maternal mortality chart: Rwanda vs Tajikistan

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 229 deaths per 100,000 live births in Rwanda, compared to 14 deaths in Tajikistan.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Rwanda	Tajikistan
1985	1,116	98
1986	1,126	91
1987	1,145	91
1988	1,188	83
1989	1,238	85
1990	1,309	80
1991	1,386	79
1992	1,530	84
1993	1,619	84
1994	5,721	85
1995	1,505	81
1996	1,295	82
1997	1,318	76
1998	1,268	72
1999	1,073	64
2000	885	58
2001	769	58
2002	677	48
2003	551	39
2004	460	36
2005	465	36
2006	494	35
2007	494	30
2008	454	29
2009	418	29
2010	393	26
2011	358	25
2012	331	23
2013	317	21
2014	301	21
2015	292	20
2016	278	20
2017	275	17
2018	269	16
2019	261	16
2020	252	25
2021	254	25
2022	234	14
2023	229	14

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 4% in Rwanda and 2.73% in Tajikistan. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Rwanda	Tajikistan
1960	22.4%	-
1961	21.9%	-
1962	21.5%	-
1963	21.3%	-
1964	21.1%	-
1965	21.1%	-
1966	21.2%	-
1967	21.4%	-
1968	21.7%	-
1969	22%	-
1970	22.3%	-
1971	22.6%	-
1972	23%	15.5%
1973	23.4%	15%
1974	24%	14.4%
1975	24.6%	14%
1976	25.1%	13.5%
1977	25.1%	13.2%
1978	24.6%	13%
1979	23.4%	12.8%
1980	21.8%	12.7%
1981	20.1%	12.6%
1982	18.6%	12.5%
1983	17.4%	12.3%
1984	16.6%	12%
1985	16.1%	11.6%
1986	15.6%	11.1%
1987	15.2%	10.5%
1988	14.8%	10.1%
1989	14.8%	9.88%
1990	15.1%	9.92%
1991	16%	10.2%
1992	17.5%	10.6%
1993	19.3%	10.9%
1994	38.9%	11%
1995	21.8%	10.8%
1996	22.2%	10.4%
1997	22.2%	9.86%
1998	21.5%	9.26%
1999	20.2%	8.62%
2000	18.5%	7.97%
2001	16.7%	7.34%
2002	14.9%	6.75%
2003	13.3%	6.18%
2004	11.8%	5.67%
2005	10.5%	5.22%
2006	9.37%	4.82%
2007	8.45%	4.47%
2008	7.62%	4.17%
2009	6.92%	3.92%
2010	6.33%	3.7%
2011	5.81%	3.52%
2012	5.45%	3.36%
2013	5.17%	3.23%
2014	4.96%	3.12%
2015	4.78%	3.02%
2016	4.63%	2.94%
2017	4.52%	2.88%
2018	4.43%	2.83%
2019	4.34%	2.81%
2020	4.25%	2.8%
2021	4.16%	2.79%
2022	4.08%	2.77%
2023	4%	2.73%