Fertility & birth rates in Iran and Tajikistan

Fertility rate in Iran vs Tajikistan chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Iran was 1.7 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.07 in Tajikistan in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Iran vs Tajikistan population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Iran	Tajikistan
1960	7.52	6.24
1961	7.46	6.35
1962	7.4	6.48
1963	7.32	6.62
1964	7.24	6.68
1965	7.22	6.74
1966	7.21	6.82
1967	7.19	6.89
1968	7.12	6.91
1969	7.01	6.91
1970	6.8	6.91
1971	6.55	6.91
1972	6.26	6.89
1973	6.06	6.84
1974	5.97	6.77
1975	5.95	6.69
1976	6.07	6.6
1977	6.18	6.49
1978	6.34	6.4
1979	6.55	6.31
1980	6.63	6.21
1981	6.62	6.12
1982	6.59	6.03
1983	6.53	5.98
1984	6.43	5.96
1985	6.24	5.94
1986	6.01	5.91
1987	5.72	5.84
1988	5.43	5.75
1989	5.17	5.61
1990	4.93	5.46
1991	4.57	5.28
1992	4.1	5.06
1993	3.67	4.92
1994	3.24	4.79
1995	2.85	4.66
1996	2.54	3.94
1997	2.32	4.06
1998	2.19	4.07
1999	2.09	3.85
2000	2	3.49
2001	1.92	3.49
2002	1.84	3.47
2003	1.8	3.42
2004	1.78	3.51
2005	1.76	3.4
2006	1.76	3.34
2007	1.75	3.37
2008	1.74	3.39
2009	1.74	3.43
2010	1.75	3.46
2011	1.79	3.46
2012	1.85	3.42
2013	1.91	3.43
2014	1.98	3.46
2015	2.02	3.46
2016	2.05	3.38
2017	2.02	3.29
2018	1.92	3.29
2019	1.77	3.28
2020	1.7	3.21
2021	1.71	3.17
2022	1.7	3.13
2023	1.7	3.07
2024	1.68	3.04
2025	1.67	2.99
2026	1.66	2.96
2027	1.65	2.93
2028	1.64	2.89
2029	1.64	2.86
2030	1.63	2.83
2031	1.63	2.8
2032	1.63	2.76
2033	1.63	2.73
2034	1.63	2.7
2035	1.63	2.68
2036	1.63	2.65
2037	1.63	2.63
2038	1.63	2.6
2039	1.63	2.58
2040	1.63	2.55
2041	1.63	2.53
2042	1.63	2.51
2043	1.63	2.49
2044	1.63	2.46
2045	1.63	2.44
2046	1.63	2.42
2047	1.63	2.4
2048	1.63	2.38
2049	1.63	2.37
2050	1.63	2.35

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Iran	Tajikistan
1960	43.5%	40.2%
1961	44.1%	41.4%
1962	44.6%	42.5%
1963	44.9%	43.4%
1964	45%	44.1%
1965	45%	44.4%
1966	44.9%	44.6%
1967	44.8%	44.7%
1968	44.8%	44.7%
1969	44.7%	44.6%
1970	44.6%	44.6%
1971	44.4%	44.5%
1972	44.2%	44.4%
1973	43.8%	44.3%
1974	43.5%	44.2%
1975	43.2%	44%
1976	43%	43.8%
1977	42.9%	43.6%
1978	43%	43.4%
1979	43.1%	43.2%
1980	43.3%	43.2%
1981	42.9%	43.2%
1982	42.7%	43.2%
1983	43%	43.3%
1984	43.3%	43.3%
1985	43.5%	43.3%
1986	43.7%	43.1%
1987	43.9%	43.1%
1988	44%	43.2%
1989	44.2%	43.4%
1990	44.1%	43.7%
1991	43.9%	44%
1992	43.6%	44.3%
1993	43.6%	44.6%
1994	43.2%	44.8%
1995	42.1%	44.9%
1996	40.7%	44.7%
1997	39.1%	44.3%
1998	37.3%	43.7%
1999	35.4%	43%
2000	33.6%	42.3%
2001	31.7%	41.5%
2002	30.1%	40.7%
2003	28.7%	39.9%
2004	27.4%	39.3%
2005	26.2%	38.6%
2006	25.3%	38%
2007	24.6%	37.6%
2008	24%	37.3%
2009	23.7%	37%
2010	23.4%	36.8%
2011	23.3%	36.7%
2012	23.3%	36.7%
2013	23.3%	36.5%
2014	23.4%	36.4%
2015	23.6%	36.3%
2016	23.8%	36.3%
2017	23.9%	36.2%
2018	24%	36.2%
2019	23.9%	36.3%
2020	23.8%	36.4%
2021	23.6%	36.6%
2022	23.2%	36.6%
2023	22.8%	36.5%
2024	22.4%	36.3%
2025	22%	35.9%
2026	21.6%	35.4%
2027	21.1%	35%
2028	20.5%	34.5%
2029	19.9%	33.9%
2030	19.3%	33.2%
2031	18.6%	32.5%
2032	18%	32%
2033	17.4%	31.6%
2034	17%	31.2%
2035	16.7%	30.8%
2036	16.4%	30.4%
2037	16.2%	30.1%
2038	15.9%	29.8%
2039	15.8%	29.6%
2040	15.6%	29.4%
2041	15.5%	29.2%
2042	15.4%	29.1%
2043	15.3%	29%
2044	15.3%	28.9%
2045	15.2%	28.7%
2046	15.2%	28.6%
2047	15.2%	28.4%
2048	15.2%	28.1%
2049	15.1%	27.9%
2050	15.1%	27.6%

Children aged 0-14 make up 22.4% of the population in Iran and 36.3% in Tajikistan in 2024, compared to 44.1% and 43.7% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Iran and Tajikistan compared.

Natural population change in Iran vs Tajikistan by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +1.1% in Iran and +2.42% in Tajikistan. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Iran	Tajikistan
1960	584,060	65,415
1961	594,674	68,182
1962	595,538	70,700
1963	620,126	73,065
1964	635,589	74,030
1965	663,029	75,139
1966	695,040	76,702
1967	727,276	78,733
1968	743,992	80,698
1969	780,660	82,931
1970	794,612	85,645
1971	805,830	88,618
1972	804,043	91,677
1973	831,880	94,523
1974	873,369	97,481
1975	929,481	100,604
1976	1,013,347	103,777
1977	1,091,542	106,920
1978	1,156,974	110,564
1979	1,294,306	114,496
1980	1,361,293	117,888
1981	1,376,830	121,418
1982	1,514,240	127,838
1983	1,573,612	133,280
1984	1,653,051	139,145
1985	1,661,750	145,720
1986	1,659,289	155,987
1987	1,639,644	163,611
1988	1,614,512	172,805
1989	1,609,739	179,212
1990	1,530,434	178,429
1991	1,495,594	177,585
1992	1,365,466	163,652
1993	1,219,658	157,975
1994	1,008,076	167,590
1995	879,648	168,934
1996	784,508	138,287
1997	726,574	149,825
1998	717,655	153,508
1999	723,237	147,622
2000	731,203	136,549
2001	743,658	142,276
2002	752,205	146,492
2003	732,600	150,391
2004	801,203	161,201
2005	837,305	160,189
2006	884,529	164,046
2007	919,254	173,200
2008	940,983	182,337
2009	958,322	192,851
2010	980,380	201,389
2011	1,023,925	208,429
2012	1,073,804	213,078
2013	1,119,533	220,693
2014	1,158,552	227,304
2015	1,178,317	230,903
2016	1,186,949	228,547
2017	1,140,549	224,396
2018	1,035,052	228,597
2019	893,063	231,817
2020	663,978	219,467
2021	645,725	222,850
2022	753,525	228,336
2023	750,150	223,828

Maternal mortality chart: Iran vs Tajikistan

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 16 deaths per 100,000 live births in Iran, compared to 14 deaths in Tajikistan.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Iran	Tajikistan
1985	160	98
1986	148	91
1987	136	91
1988	126	83
1989	113	85
1990	107	80
1991	94	79
1992	86	84
1993	80	84
1994	71	85
1995	65	81
1996	59	82
1997	55	76
1998	50	72
1999	46	64
2000	43	58
2001	40	58
2002	38	48
2003	37	39
2004	34	36
2005	33	36
2006	32	35
2007	31	30
2008	30	29
2009	28	29
2010	27	26
2011	26	25
2012	25	23
2013	24	21
2014	23	21
2015	22	20
2016	21	20
2017	20	17
2018	19	16
2019	18	16
2020	34	25
2021	51	25
2022	21	14
2023	16	14

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 1.18% in Iran and 2.73% in Tajikistan. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Iran	Tajikistan
1971	18.9%	-
1972	18%	15.5%
1973	17.1%	15%
1974	16.2%	14.4%
1975	15.3%	14%
1976	14.4%	13.5%
1977	13.5%	13.2%
1978	12.6%	13%
1979	11.7%	12.8%
1980	10.8%	12.7%
1981	10%	12.6%
1982	9.3%	12.5%
1983	8.67%	12.3%
1984	8.13%	12%
1985	7.64%	11.6%
1986	7.2%	11.1%
1987	6.8%	10.5%
1988	6.42%	10.1%
1989	6.07%	9.88%
1990	5.76%	9.92%
1991	5.48%	10.2%
1992	5.22%	10.6%
1993	5%	10.9%
1994	4.79%	11%
1995	4.59%	10.8%
1996	4.4%	10.4%
1997	4.21%	9.86%
1998	4.02%	9.26%
1999	3.83%	8.62%
2000	3.63%	7.97%
2001	3.42%	7.34%
2002	3.22%	6.75%
2003	3.02%	6.18%
2004	2.83%	5.67%
2005	2.65%	5.22%
2006	2.48%	4.82%
2007	2.32%	4.47%
2008	2.17%	4.17%
2009	2.04%	3.92%
2010	1.93%	3.7%
2011	1.84%	3.52%
2012	1.75%	3.36%
2013	1.68%	3.23%
2014	1.61%	3.12%
2015	1.55%	3.02%
2016	1.5%	2.94%
2017	1.45%	2.88%
2018	1.39%	2.83%
2019	1.35%	2.81%
2020	1.3%	2.8%
2021	1.26%	2.79%
2022	1.22%	2.77%
2023	1.18%	2.73%