Fertility & birth rates in Tajikistan and United Arab Emirates

Fertility rate in Tajikistan vs United Arab Emirates chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Tajikistan was 3.07 children per woman in 2023, compared to 1.2 in the United Arab Emirates in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Tajikistan vs the United Arab Emirates population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Tajikistan	UAE
1960	6.24	6.5
1961	6.35	6.49
1962	6.48	6.49
1963	6.62	6.5
1964	6.68	6.49
1965	6.74	6.5
1966	6.82	6.5
1967	6.89	6.51
1968	6.91	6.53
1969	6.91	6.52
1970	6.91	6.52
1971	6.91	6.52
1972	6.89	6.5
1973	6.84	6.46
1974	6.77	6.41
1975	6.69	6.35
1976	6.6	6.29
1977	6.49	6.22
1978	6.4	6.15
1979	6.31	6.06
1980	6.21	5.95
1981	6.12	5.81
1982	6.03	5.66
1983	5.98	5.48
1984	5.96	5.3
1985	5.94	5.13
1986	5.91	5
1987	5.84	4.88
1988	5.75	4.77
1989	5.61	4.65
1990	5.46	4.51
1991	5.28	4.25
1992	5.06	4.09
1993	4.92	3.82
1994	4.79	3.76
1995	4.66	3.28
1996	3.94	3.06
1997	4.06	2.83
1998	4.07	2.77
1999	3.85	2.79
2000	3.49	2.73
2001	3.49	2.62
2002	3.47	2.54
2003	3.42	2.49
2004	3.51	2.38
2005	3.4	2.23
2006	3.34	1.96
2007	3.37	1.79
2008	3.39	1.52
2009	3.43	1.58
2010	3.46	1.57
2011	3.46	1.54
2012	3.42	1.53
2013	3.43	1.53
2014	3.46	1.48
2015	3.46	1.42
2016	3.38	1.37
2017	3.29	1.35
2018	3.29	1.29
2019	3.28	1.25
2020	3.21	1.29
2021	3.17	1.16
2022	3.13	1.15
2023	3.07	1.2
2024	3.04	1.21
2025	2.99	1.21
2026	2.96	1.21
2027	2.93	1.21
2028	2.89	1.22
2029	2.86	1.22
2030	2.83	1.23
2031	2.8	1.23
2032	2.76	1.24
2033	2.73	1.25
2034	2.7	1.25
2035	2.68	1.26
2036	2.65	1.26
2037	2.63	1.27
2038	2.6	1.28
2039	2.58	1.28
2040	2.55	1.28
2041	2.53	1.29
2042	2.51	1.29
2043	2.49	1.3
2044	2.46	1.3
2045	2.44	1.31
2046	2.42	1.31
2047	2.4	1.31
2048	2.38	1.32
2049	2.37	1.32
2050	2.35	1.33

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Tajikistan	UAE
1960	40.2%	37.8%
1961	41.4%	36.7%
1962	42.5%	35.8%
1963	43.4%	35.1%
1964	44.1%	34.5%
1965	44.4%	33.9%
1966	44.6%	33.2%
1967	44.7%	32.1%
1968	44.7%	31.2%
1969	44.6%	30.6%
1970	44.6%	29.8%
1971	44.5%	29%
1972	44.4%	28.3%
1973	44.3%	27.8%
1974	44.2%	27.4%
1975	44%	27.2%
1976	43.8%	26.9%
1977	43.6%	26.8%
1978	43.4%	26.9%
1979	43.2%	27.1%
1980	43.2%	27.4%
1981	43.2%	28%
1982	43.2%	28.8%
1983	43.3%	29.5%
1984	43.3%	30.2%
1985	43.3%	30.7%
1986	43.1%	31.2%
1987	43.1%	31.2%
1988	43.2%	30.9%
1989	43.4%	30.3%
1990	43.7%	29.6%
1991	44%	28.8%
1992	44.3%	28.1%
1993	44.6%	27.4%
1994	44.8%	26.7%
1995	44.9%	25.9%
1996	44.7%	25.2%
1997	44.3%	24.3%
1998	43.7%	23.1%
1999	43%	22%
2000	42.3%	20.8%
2001	41.5%	19.8%
2002	40.7%	18.9%
2003	39.9%	18.3%
2004	39.3%	17.8%
2005	38.6%	17.5%
2006	38%	17.2%
2007	37.6%	17%
2008	37.3%	16.9%
2009	37%	16.9%
2010	36.8%	16.9%
2011	36.7%	16.8%
2012	36.7%	16.8%
2013	36.5%	16.8%
2014	36.4%	16.8%
2015	36.3%	16.8%
2016	36.3%	16.8%
2017	36.2%	16.8%
2018	36.2%	16.7%
2019	36.3%	16.6%
2020	36.4%	16.6%
2021	36.6%	16.5%
2022	36.6%	16.5%
2023	36.5%	16.3%
2024	36.3%	16.1%
2025	35.9%	16%
2026	35.4%	15.9%
2027	35%	15.9%
2028	34.5%	15.9%
2029	33.9%	15.9%
2030	33.2%	16%
2031	32.5%	16.1%
2032	32%	16.3%
2033	31.6%	16.5%
2034	31.2%	16.7%
2035	30.8%	16.9%
2036	30.4%	17.1%
2037	30.1%	17.3%
2038	29.8%	17.5%
2039	29.6%	17.7%
2040	29.4%	17.9%
2041	29.2%	18%
2042	29.1%	18.1%
2043	29%	18.2%
2044	28.9%	18.3%
2045	28.7%	18.3%
2046	28.6%	18.3%
2047	28.4%	18.3%
2048	28.1%	18.3%
2049	27.9%	18.2%
2050	27.6%	18.1%

Children aged 0-14 make up 36.3% of the population in Tajikistan and 16.1% in the United Arab Emirates in 2024, compared to 43.7% and 29.6% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Tajikistan and the United Arab Emirates compared.

Natural population change in Tajikistan vs United Arab Emirates by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +2.42% in Tajikistan and +0.93% in the United Arab Emirates. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Tajikistan	UAE
1960	65,415	3,418
1961	68,182	3,657
1962	70,700	3,901
1963	73,065	4,157
1964	74,030	4,410
1965	75,139	4,675
1966	76,702	4,955
1967	78,733	5,264
1968	80,698	5,588
1969	82,931	6,138
1970	85,645	6,922
1971	88,618	7,839
1972	91,677	8,818
1973	94,523	9,822
1974	97,481	10,835
1975	100,604	11,859
1976	103,777	12,876
1977	106,920	15,787
1978	110,564	18,879
1979	114,496	21,987
1980	117,888	25,005
1981	121,418	27,560
1982	127,838	29,585
1983	133,280	31,480
1984	139,145	33,250
1985	145,720	34,855
1986	155,987	36,829
1987	163,611	37,741
1988	172,805	38,861
1989	179,212	40,148
1990	178,429	41,339
1991	177,585	41,409
1992	163,652	42,119
1993	157,975	41,324
1994	167,590	42,976
1995	168,934	38,685
1996	138,287	37,886
1997	149,825	38,207
1998	153,508	41,176
1999	147,622	46,198
2000	136,549	49,993
2001	142,276	52,789
2002	146,492	55,922
2003	150,391	59,118
2004	161,201	60,344
2005	160,189	60,046
2006	164,046	54,338
2007	173,200	55,048
2008	182,337	55,426
2009	192,851	66,521
2010	201,389	69,907
2011	208,429	73,496
2012	213,078	78,682
2013	220,693	82,977
2014	227,304	84,277
2015	230,903	85,044
2016	228,547	87,028
2017	224,396	89,382
2018	228,597	86,840
2019	231,817	86,296
2020	219,467	87,871
2021	222,850	76,802
2022	228,336	81,758
2023	223,828	92,698

Maternal mortality chart: Tajikistan vs United Arab Emirates

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 14 deaths per 100,000 live births in Tajikistan, compared to 3 deaths in the United Arab Emirates.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Tajikistan	UAE
1985	98	19
1986	91	19
1987	91	19
1988	83	19
1989	85	19
1990	80	19
1991	79	19
1992	84	19
1993	84	19
1994	85	19
1995	81	18
1996	82	16
1997	76	14
1998	72	12
1999	64	10
2000	58	8
2001	58	7
2002	48	5
2003	39	5
2004	36	4
2005	36	4
2006	35	3
2007	30	3
2008	29	3
2009	29	3
2010	26	3
2011	25	4
2012	23	4
2013	21	4
2014	21	3
2015	20	3
2016	20	3
2017	17	3
2018	16	3
2019	16	3
2020	25	6
2021	25	6
2022	14	2
2023	14	3

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 2.73% in Tajikistan and 0.5% in the United Arab Emirates. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Tajikistan	UAE
1960	-	20.1%
1961	-	19%
1962	-	18%
1963	-	16.9%
1964	-	15.8%
1965	-	14.8%
1966	-	13.7%
1967	-	12.6%
1968	-	11.6%
1969	-	10.6%
1970	-	9.62%
1971	-	8.72%
1972	15.5%	7.89%
1973	15%	7.12%
1974	14.4%	6.43%
1975	14%	5.8%
1976	13.5%	5.23%
1977	13.2%	4.7%
1978	13%	4.22%
1979	12.8%	3.78%
1980	12.7%	3.4%
1981	12.6%	3.06%
1982	12.5%	2.77%
1983	12.3%	2.52%
1984	12%	2.31%
1985	11.6%	2.12%
1986	11.1%	1.97%
1987	10.5%	1.83%
1988	10.1%	1.71%
1989	9.88%	1.61%
1990	9.92%	1.51%
1991	10.2%	1.43%
1992	10.6%	1.37%
1993	10.9%	1.31%
1994	11%	1.26%
1995	10.8%	1.21%
1996	10.4%	1.18%
1997	9.86%	1.15%
1998	9.26%	1.12%
1999	8.62%	1.09%
2000	7.97%	1.07%
2001	7.34%	1.05%
2002	6.75%	1.03%
2003	6.18%	1.01%
2004	5.67%	1%
2005	5.22%	0.98%
2006	4.82%	0.96%
2007	4.47%	0.94%
2008	4.17%	0.92%
2009	3.92%	0.9%
2010	3.7%	0.88%
2011	3.52%	0.86%
2012	3.36%	0.84%
2013	3.23%	0.82%
2014	3.12%	0.79%
2015	3.02%	0.77%
2016	2.94%	0.73%
2017	2.88%	0.7%
2018	2.83%	0.67%
2019	2.81%	0.63%
2020	2.8%	0.6%
2021	2.79%	0.56%
2022	2.77%	0.53%
2023	2.73%	0.5%