Fertility & birth rates in Tajikistan and Uzbekistan

Fertility rate in Tajikistan vs Uzbekistan chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Tajikistan was 3.07 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.5 in Uzbekistan in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Tajikistan vs Uzbekistan population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Tajikistan	Uzbekistan
1960	6.24	6.61
1961	6.35	6.75
1962	6.48	6.88
1963	6.62	6.81
1964	6.68	6.82
1965	6.74	6.81
1966	6.82	6.66
1967	6.89	6.57
1968	6.91	6.39
1969	6.91	6.34
1970	6.91	6.31
1971	6.91	6.28
1972	6.89	6.25
1973	6.84	6.16
1974	6.77	6.05
1975	6.69	5.92
1976	6.6	5.75
1977	6.49	5.54
1978	6.4	5.28
1979	6.31	5.16
1980	6.21	5.04
1981	6.12	4.91
1982	6.03	4.82
1983	5.98	4.71
1984	5.96	4.73
1985	5.94	4.69
1986	5.91	4.68
1987	5.84	4.53
1988	5.75	4.26
1989	5.61	4.1
1990	5.46	4.12
1991	5.28	4.19
1992	5.06	4.06
1993	4.92	3.86
1994	4.79	3.66
1995	4.66	3.57
1996	3.94	3.39
1997	4.06	3.19
1998	4.07	2.99
1999	3.85	2.83
2000	3.49	2.7
2001	3.49	2.61
2002	3.47	2.58
2003	3.42	2.5
2004	3.51	2.5
2005	3.4	2.44
2006	3.34	2.46
2007	3.37	2.57
2008	3.39	2.64
2009	3.43	2.56
2010	3.46	2.44
2011	3.46	2.35
2012	3.42	2.34
2013	3.43	2.44
2014	3.46	2.55
2015	3.46	2.58
2016	3.38	2.56
2017	3.29	2.57
2018	3.29	2.71
2019	3.28	2.87
2020	3.21	3.06
2021	3.17	3.27
2022	3.13	3.4
2023	3.07	3.5
2024	3.04	3.49
2025	2.99	3.45
2026	2.96	3.4
2027	2.93	3.36
2028	2.89	3.31
2029	2.86	3.27
2030	2.83	3.22
2031	2.8	3.18
2032	2.76	3.13
2033	2.73	3.09
2034	2.7	3.05
2035	2.68	3.01
2036	2.65	2.98
2037	2.63	2.94
2038	2.6	2.91
2039	2.58	2.87
2040	2.55	2.84
2041	2.53	2.81
2042	2.51	2.78
2043	2.49	2.75
2044	2.46	2.72
2045	2.44	2.69
2046	2.42	2.66
2047	2.4	2.63
2048	2.38	2.6
2049	2.37	2.58
2050	2.35	2.55

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Tajikistan	Uzbekistan
1960	40.2%	39.8%
1961	41.4%	41.2%
1962	42.5%	42.4%
1963	43.4%	43.4%
1964	44.1%	44.2%
1965	44.4%	44.7%
1966	44.6%	44.8%
1967	44.7%	44.9%
1968	44.7%	44.8%
1969	44.6%	44.7%
1970	44.6%	44.6%
1971	44.5%	44.4%
1972	44.4%	44.3%
1973	44.3%	44%
1974	44.2%	43.7%
1975	44%	43.3%
1976	43.8%	42.8%
1977	43.6%	42.3%
1978	43.4%	41.7%
1979	43.2%	41.2%
1980	43.2%	40.8%
1981	43.2%	40.5%
1982	43.2%	40.3%
1983	43.3%	40.1%
1984	43.3%	40.1%
1985	43.3%	40.1%
1986	43.1%	40.1%
1987	43.1%	40.1%
1988	43.2%	40%
1989	43.4%	39.9%
1990	43.7%	39.9%
1991	44%	39.9%
1992	44.3%	39.8%
1993	44.6%	39.8%
1994	44.8%	39.7%
1995	44.9%	39.4%
1996	44.7%	39.2%
1997	44.3%	38.8%
1998	43.7%	38.2%
1999	43%	37.5%
2000	42.3%	36.7%
2001	41.5%	35.8%
2002	40.7%	34.9%
2003	39.9%	34%
2004	39.3%	33.1%
2005	38.6%	32.3%
2006	38%	31.4%
2007	37.6%	30.6%
2008	37.3%	29.9%
2009	37%	29.4%
2010	36.8%	28.9%
2011	36.7%	28.5%
2012	36.7%	28.2%
2013	36.5%	28.1%
2014	36.4%	28.1%
2015	36.3%	28.3%
2016	36.3%	28.5%
2017	36.2%	28.8%
2018	36.2%	29%
2019	36.3%	29.3%
2020	36.4%	29.7%
2021	36.6%	30.2%
2022	36.6%	30.6%
2023	36.5%	30.9%
2024	36.3%	31.1%
2025	35.9%	31.3%
2026	35.4%	31.5%
2027	35%	31.6%
2028	34.5%	31.6%
2029	33.9%	31.6%
2030	33.2%	31.4%
2031	32.5%	31.3%
2032	32%	31.1%
2033	31.6%	30.9%
2034	31.2%	30.6%
2035	30.8%	30.3%
2036	30.4%	29.8%
2037	30.1%	29.3%
2038	29.8%	28.8%
2039	29.6%	28.3%
2040	29.4%	28%
2041	29.2%	27.6%
2042	29.1%	27.4%
2043	29%	27.2%
2044	28.9%	27%
2045	28.7%	26.9%
2046	28.6%	26.8%
2047	28.4%	26.8%
2048	28.1%	26.7%
2049	27.9%	26.7%
2050	27.6%	26.7%

Children aged 0-14 make up 36.3% of the population in Tajikistan and 31.1% in Uzbekistan in 2024, compared to 43.7% and 39.9% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Tajikistan and Uzbekistan compared.

Natural population change in Tajikistan vs Uzbekistan by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +2.42% in Tajikistan and +1.87% in Uzbekistan. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Tajikistan	Uzbekistan
1960	65,415	267,165
1961	68,182	279,841
1962	70,700	292,788
1963	73,065	293,432
1964	74,030	298,790
1965	75,139	302,264
1966	76,702	297,844
1967	78,733	298,350
1968	80,698	295,651
1969	82,931	302,833
1970	85,645	313,216
1971	88,618	323,171
1972	91,677	333,230
1973	94,523	341,807
1974	97,481	350,422
1975	100,604	357,382
1976	103,777	363,110
1977	106,920	369,572
1978	110,564	372,068
1979	114,496	387,754
1980	117,888	401,557
1981	121,418	413,897
1982	127,838	431,389
1983	133,280	454,464
1984	139,145	485,617
1985	145,720	508,893
1986	155,987	533,234
1987	163,611	537,292
1988	172,805	525,126
1989	179,212	522,323
1990	178,429	540,581
1991	177,585	557,886
1992	163,652	548,793
1993	157,975	527,557
1994	167,590	502,279
1995	168,934	493,966
1996	138,287	471,010
1997	149,825	441,631
1998	153,508	408,532
1999	147,622	385,448
2000	136,549	365,138
2001	142,276	356,483
2002	146,492	359,231
2003	150,391	355,098
2004	161,201	363,994
2005	160,189	363,462
2006	164,046	383,265
2007	173,200	426,880
2008	182,337	461,665
2009	192,851	471,839
2010	201,389	461,293
2011	208,429	454,858
2012	213,078	463,333
2013	220,693	501,742
2014	227,304	536,881
2015	230,903	552,781
2016	228,547	549,045
2017	224,396	548,372
2018	228,597	585,119
2019	231,817	618,154
2020	219,467	643,750
2021	222,850	689,325
2022	228,336	715,410
2023	223,828	722,280

Maternal mortality chart: Tajikistan vs Uzbekistan

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 14 deaths per 100,000 live births in Tajikistan, compared to 26 deaths in Uzbekistan.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Tajikistan	Uzbekistan
1985	98	72
1986	91	69
1987	91	63
1988	83	58
1989	85	53
1990	80	50
1991	79	47
1992	84	46
1993	84	47
1994	85	49
1995	81	46
1996	82	44
1997	76	42
1998	72	42
1999	64	43
2000	58	42
2001	58	42
2002	48	41
2003	39	40
2004	36	39
2005	36	39
2006	35	38
2007	30	37
2008	29	35
2009	29	34
2010	26	34
2011	25	33
2012	23	33
2013	21	32
2014	21	32
2015	20	31
2016	20	31
2017	17	30
2018	16	29
2019	16	29
2020	25	29
2021	25	28
2022	14	27
2023	14	26

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 2.73% in Tajikistan and 1.33% in Uzbekistan. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Tajikistan	Uzbekistan
1972	15.5%	-
1973	15%	-
1974	14.4%	-
1975	14%	-
1976	13.5%	-
1977	13.2%	-
1978	13%	-
1979	12.8%	12.5%
1980	12.7%	11.7%
1981	12.6%	10.9%
1982	12.5%	10.2%
1983	12.3%	9.5%
1984	12%	8.91%
1985	11.6%	8.4%
1986	11.1%	7.96%
1987	10.5%	7.59%
1988	10.1%	7.31%
1989	9.88%	7.13%
1990	9.92%	7.04%
1991	10.2%	7.01%
1992	10.6%	7.01%
1993	10.9%	6.99%
1994	11%	6.95%
1995	10.8%	6.91%
1996	10.4%	6.83%
1997	9.86%	6.72%
1998	9.26%	6.57%
1999	8.62%	6.38%
2000	7.97%	6.15%
2001	7.34%	5.88%
2002	6.75%	5.57%
2003	6.18%	5.25%
2004	5.67%	4.92%
2005	5.22%	4.57%
2006	4.82%	4.24%
2007	4.47%	3.9%
2008	4.17%	3.59%
2009	3.92%	3.29%
2010	3.7%	3.01%
2011	3.52%	2.75%
2012	3.36%	2.52%
2013	3.23%	2.32%
2014	3.12%	2.14%
2015	3.02%	1.98%
2016	2.94%	1.85%
2017	2.88%	1.73%
2018	2.83%	1.64%
2019	2.81%	1.56%
2020	2.8%	1.5%
2021	2.79%	1.44%
2022	2.77%	1.38%
2023	2.73%	1.33%