Fertility & birth rates in Bulgaria and Tajikistan

Fertility rate in Bulgaria vs Tajikistan chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Bulgaria was 1.81 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.07 in Tajikistan in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Bulgaria vs Tajikistan population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Bulgaria	Tajikistan
1960	2.31	6.24
1961	2.29	6.35
1962	2.24	6.48
1963	2.21	6.62
1964	2.19	6.68
1965	2.09	6.74
1966	2.03	6.82
1967	2.02	6.89
1968	2.27	6.91
1969	2.27	6.91
1970	2.17	6.91
1971	2.1	6.91
1972	2.03	6.89
1973	2.15	6.84
1974	2.29	6.77
1975	2.23	6.69
1976	2.24	6.6
1977	2.21	6.49
1978	2.15	6.4
1979	2.16	6.31
1980	2.05	6.21
1981	2	6.12
1982	2.01	6.03
1983	2.01	5.98
1984	2.01	5.96
1985	1.97	5.94
1986	2.02	5.91
1987	1.96	5.84
1988	1.97	5.75
1989	1.9	5.61
1990	1.82	5.46
1991	1.66	5.28
1992	1.55	5.06
1993	1.46	4.92
1994	1.37	4.79
1995	1.23	4.66
1996	1.23	3.94
1997	1.09	4.06
1998	1.11	4.07
1999	1.23	3.85
2000	1.26	3.49
2001	1.21	3.49
2002	1.23	3.47
2003	1.26	3.42
2004	1.33	3.51
2005	1.37	3.4
2006	1.44	3.34
2007	1.49	3.37
2008	1.56	3.39
2009	1.66	3.43
2010	1.57	3.46
2011	1.51	3.46
2012	1.5	3.42
2013	1.54	3.43
2014	1.62	3.46
2015	1.64	3.46
2016	1.67	3.38
2017	1.71	3.29
2018	1.73	3.29
2019	1.79	3.28
2020	1.77	3.21
2021	1.8	3.17
2022	1.78	3.13
2023	1.81	3.07
2024	1.81	3.04
2025	1.8	2.99
2026	1.8	2.96
2027	1.8	2.93
2028	1.8	2.89
2029	1.79	2.86
2030	1.79	2.83
2031	1.79	2.8
2032	1.79	2.76
2033	1.79	2.73
2034	1.79	2.7
2035	1.78	2.68
2036	1.78	2.65
2037	1.78	2.63
2038	1.77	2.6
2039	1.77	2.58
2040	1.77	2.55
2041	1.77	2.53
2042	1.77	2.51
2043	1.76	2.49
2044	1.76	2.46
2045	1.76	2.44
2046	1.76	2.42
2047	1.76	2.4
2048	1.76	2.38
2049	1.76	2.37
2050	1.76	2.35

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Bulgaria	Tajikistan
1960	26.1%	40.2%
1961	25.8%	41.4%
1962	25.4%	42.5%
1963	25.1%	43.4%
1964	24.7%	44.1%
1965	24.2%	44.4%
1966	23.8%	44.6%
1967	23.4%	44.7%
1968	23.2%	44.7%
1969	23%	44.6%
1970	22.8%	44.6%
1971	22.6%	44.5%
1972	22.4%	44.4%
1973	22.3%	44.3%
1974	22.2%	44.2%
1975	22.3%	44%
1976	22.3%	43.8%
1977	22.2%	43.6%
1978	22.2%	43.4%
1979	22.1%	43.2%
1980	22.1%	43.2%
1981	22.1%	43.2%
1982	22.1%	43.2%
1983	22%	43.3%
1984	21.8%	43.3%
1985	21.6%	43.3%
1986	21.4%	43.1%
1987	21.3%	43.1%
1988	21.1%	43.2%
1989	20.8%	43.4%
1990	20.3%	43.7%
1991	19.8%	44%
1992	19.3%	44.3%
1993	18.8%	44.6%
1994	18.3%	44.8%
1995	17.9%	44.9%
1996	17.4%	44.7%
1997	17%	44.3%
1998	16.5%	43.7%
1999	16.1%	43%
2000	15.7%	42.3%
2001	15.2%	41.5%
2002	14.8%	40.7%
2003	14.4%	39.9%
2004	14%	39.3%
2005	13.7%	38.6%
2006	13.5%	38%
2007	13.4%	37.6%
2008	13.3%	37.3%
2009	13.4%	37%
2010	13.5%	36.8%
2011	13.5%	36.7%
2012	13.6%	36.7%
2013	13.7%	36.5%
2014	13.8%	36.4%
2015	13.9%	36.3%
2016	14%	36.3%
2017	14.2%	36.2%
2018	14.3%	36.2%
2019	14.4%	36.3%
2020	14.4%	36.4%
2021	14.5%	36.6%
2022	14.5%	36.6%
2023	14.5%	36.5%
2024	14.5%	36.3%
2025	14.4%	35.9%
2026	14.3%	35.4%
2027	14.3%	35%
2028	14.2%	34.5%
2029	14.1%	33.9%
2030	14%	33.2%
2031	14%	32.5%
2032	13.9%	32%
2033	13.8%	31.6%
2034	13.8%	31.2%
2035	13.7%	30.8%
2036	13.7%	30.4%
2037	13.7%	30.1%
2038	13.6%	29.8%
2039	13.6%	29.6%
2040	13.6%	29.4%
2041	13.6%	29.2%
2042	13.6%	29.1%
2043	13.6%	29%
2044	13.6%	28.9%
2045	13.6%	28.7%
2046	13.7%	28.6%
2047	13.7%	28.4%
2048	13.7%	28.1%
2049	13.8%	27.9%
2050	13.8%	27.6%

Children aged 0-14 make up 14.5% of the population in Bulgaria and 36.3% in Tajikistan in 2024, compared to 20.3% and 43.7% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Bulgaria and Tajikistan compared.

Natural population change in Bulgaria vs Tajikistan by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been -0.79% in Bulgaria and +2.42% in Tajikistan. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Bulgaria	Tajikistan
1960	76,314	65,415
1961	75,460	68,182
1962	64,104	70,700
1963	66,241	73,065
1964	66,783	74,030
1965	58,249	75,139
1966	54,504	76,702
1967	49,861	78,733
1968	69,468	80,698
1969	63,256	82,931
1970	61,125	85,645
1971	52,925	88,618
1972	47,169	91,677
1973	57,760	94,523
1974	64,223	97,481
1975	54,941	100,604
1976	56,055	103,777
1977	47,543	106,920
1978	44,070	110,564
1979	40,599	114,496
1980	30,129	117,888
1981	29,341	121,418
1982	24,077	127,838
1983	21,455	133,280
1984	20,610	139,145
1985	11,649	145,720
1986	16,125	155,987
1987	8,971	163,611
1988	9,879	172,805
1989	5,326	179,212
1990	-3,487	178,429
1991	-14,675	177,585
1992	-18,789	163,652
1993	-24,569	157,975
1994	-32,086	167,590
1995	-42,030	168,934
1996	-45,159	138,287
1997	-58,185	149,825
1998	-52,844	153,508
1999	-39,411	147,622
2000	-41,668	136,549
2001	-44,050	142,276
2002	-46,240	146,492
2003	-44,319	150,391
2004	-40,128	161,201
2005	-42,124	160,189
2006	-39,526	164,046
2007	-37,727	173,200
2008	-32,967	182,337
2009	-26,800	192,851
2010	-34,759	201,389
2011	-37,477	208,429
2012	-40,183	213,078
2013	-37,948	220,693
2014	-41,027	227,304
2015	-44,699	230,903
2016	-42,744	228,547
2017	-45,583	224,396
2018	-46,304	228,597
2019	-46,317	231,817
2020	-65,507	219,467
2021	-90,452	222,850
2022	-62,065	228,336
2023	-43,837	223,828

Maternal mortality chart: Bulgaria vs Tajikistan

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 6 deaths per 100,000 live births in Bulgaria, compared to 14 deaths in Tajikistan.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Bulgaria	Tajikistan
1985	26	98
1986	25	91
1987	25	91
1988	26	83
1989	25	85
1990	27	80
1991	25	79
1992	25	84
1993	23	84
1994	25	85
1995	23	81
1996	22	82
1997	23	76
1998	20	72
1999	20	64
2000	19	58
2001	17	58
2002	15	48
2003	14	39
2004	14	36
2005	13	36
2006	12	35
2007	11	30
2008	10	29
2009	9	29
2010	9	26
2011	8	25
2012	7	23
2013	7	21
2014	7	21
2015	7	20
2016	7	20
2017	7	17
2018	7	16
2019	6	16
2020	9	25
2021	9	25
2022	10	14
2023	6	14

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 0.61% in Bulgaria and 2.73% in Tajikistan. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Bulgaria	Tajikistan
1960	5.47%	-
1961	4.89%	-
1962	4.43%	-
1963	4.08%	-
1964	3.86%	-
1965	3.75%	-
1966	3.7%	-
1967	3.64%	-
1968	3.54%	-
1969	3.4%	-
1970	3.25%	-
1971	3.11%	-
1972	3.01%	15.5%
1973	2.95%	15%
1974	2.91%	14.4%
1975	2.86%	14%
1976	2.8%	13.5%
1977	2.72%	13.2%
1978	2.6%	13%
1979	2.49%	12.8%
1980	2.38%	12.7%
1981	2.3%	12.6%
1982	2.22%	12.5%
1983	2.15%	12.3%
1984	2.07%	12%
1985	1.97%	11.6%
1986	1.87%	11.1%
1987	1.8%	10.5%
1988	1.78%	10.1%
1989	1.79%	9.88%
1990	1.83%	9.92%
1991	1.89%	10.2%
1992	1.92%	10.6%
1993	1.92%	10.9%
1994	1.91%	11%
1995	1.92%	10.8%
1996	1.94%	10.4%
1997	1.93%	9.86%
1998	1.89%	9.26%
1999	1.82%	8.62%
2000	1.75%	7.97%
2001	1.68%	7.34%
2002	1.6%	6.75%
2003	1.51%	6.18%
2004	1.42%	5.67%
2005	1.33%	5.22%
2006	1.24%	4.82%
2007	1.18%	4.47%
2008	1.14%	4.17%
2009	1.12%	3.92%
2010	1.08%	3.7%
2011	1.04%	3.52%
2012	0.99%	3.36%
2013	0.93%	3.23%
2014	0.87%	3.12%
2015	0.82%	3.02%
2016	0.77%	2.94%
2017	0.73%	2.88%
2018	0.7%	2.83%
2019	0.67%	2.81%
2020	0.65%	2.8%
2021	0.63%	2.79%
2022	0.62%	2.77%
2023	0.61%	2.73%