Fertility & birth rates in Armenia and Tajikistan

Fertility rate in Armenia vs Tajikistan by year

Chart Table

Armenia

Tajikistan

1x

Year	Fertility rate
	Armenia	Tajikistan
2023	1.9	3.07
2022	1.7	3.13
2021	1.7	3.17
2020	1.7	3.21
2019	1.6	3.28
2018	1.6	3.29
2017	1.6	3.29
2016	1.6	3.38
2015	1.6	3.46
2014	1.7	3.46
2013	1.6	3.43
2012	1.6	3.42
2011	1.5	3.46
2010	1.5	3.46
2009	1.5	3.43
2008	1.4	3.39
2007	1.4	3.37
2006	1.3	3.34
2005	1.3	3.4
2004	1.4	3.51
2003	1.3	3.42
2002	1.2	3.47
2001	1.2	3.49
2000	1.3	3.49
1999	1.53	3.85
1998	1.81	4.07
1997	1.9	4.06
1996	2.06	3.94
1995	2.07	4.66
1994	2.08	4.79
1993	2.29	4.92
1992	2.5	5.06
1991	2.64	5.28
1990	2.71	5.46
1989	2.71	5.61
1988	2.68	5.75
1987	2.66	5.84
1986	2.66	5.91
1985	2.64	5.94
1984	2.6	5.96
1983	2.56	5.98
1982	2.5	6.03
1981	2.48	6.12
1980	2.48	6.21
1979	2.53	6.31
1978	2.62	6.4
1977	2.74	6.49
1976	2.84	6.6
1975	2.92	6.69
1974	2.98	6.77
1973	3.08	6.84
1972	3.2	6.89
1971	3.29	6.91
1970	3.33	6.91
1969	3.49	6.91
1968	3.62	6.91
1967	3.73	6.89
1966	3.83	6.82
1965	3.99	6.74
1964	4.15	6.68
1963	4.35	6.62
1962	4.52	6.48
1961	4.67	6.35
1960	4.79	6.24

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Armenia was 1.9 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.07 in Tajikistan in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Armenia vs Tajikistan population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

Natural population change by year

Chart Table

Armenia

Tajikistan

1x

Year	Natural population change
	Armenia	Tajikistan
2023	12,153	223,828
2022	9,799	228,336
2021	2,370	222,850
2020	296	219,467
2019	10,072	231,817
2018	10,688	228,597
2017	10,428	224,396
2016	12,269	228,547
2015	13,821	230,903
2014	15,371	227,304
2013	14,505	220,693
2012	14,818	213,078
2011	15,442	208,429
2010	16,746	201,389
2009	16,863	192,851
2008	13,583	182,337
2007	13,362	173,200
2006	10,320	164,046
2005	11,013	160,189
2004	11,710	161,201
2003	9,866	150,391
2002	6,719	146,492
2001	8,030	142,276
2000	9,985	136,549
1999	10,452	147,622
1998	14,357	153,508
1997	16,685	149,825
1996	21,092	138,287
1995	22,452	168,934
1994	26,271	167,590
1993	35,818	157,975
1992	50,346	163,652
1991	56,269	177,585
1990	59,893	178,429
1989	57,520	179,212
1988	33,232	172,805
1987	60,176	163,611
1986	61,771	155,987
1985	62,499	145,720
1984	62,124	139,145
1983	61,028	133,280
1982	58,617	127,838
1981	56,323	121,418
1980	54,128	117,888
1979	52,452	114,496
1978	48,326	110,564
1977	45,320	106,920
1976	41,948	103,777
1975	40,217	100,604
1974	38,392	97,481
1973	37,355	94,523
1972	36,943	91,677
1971	36,590	88,618
1970	36,045	85,645
1969	37,333	82,931
1968	38,118	80,698
1967	38,674	78,733
1966	39,842	76,702
1965	42,271	75,139
1964	44,886	74,030
1963	48,058	73,065
1962	50,461	70,700
1961	51,957	68,182
1960	51,675	65,415

The chart above illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes in population resulting from births and deaths.

Excluding migration, the natural population change due to births and deaths from 2022 to 2023 was +0.41% in Armenia and +2.15% in Tajikistan.

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change has been +0.33% in Armenia and +2.42% in Tajikistan.

Birth rate in Armenia vs Tajikistan by year

Chart Table

Armenia

Tajikistan

Annual births per 1,000 people

1x

Year	Annual births per 1,000 people
	Armenia	Tajikistan
2023	12.3	26.1
2022	12.3	27
2021	12.4	27.7
2020	12.3	28.4
2019	12.2	29.2
2018	12.3	29.5
2017	12.6	29.7
2016	13.5	30.9
2015	13.9	32
2014	14.3	32.2
2013	13.8	32.1
2012	14	32
2011	14.3	32.2
2010	14.7	32
2009	14.5	31.4
2008	13.3	30.6
2007	12.9	29.9
2006	12	29.2
2005	11.9	29.3
2004	11.8	29.9
2003	11.3	29
2002	10.1	29.2
2001	10	29.3
2000	10.6	29.1
1999	11.4	31.6
1998	12.6	33.1
1997	13.2	32.9
1996	14.5	31.9
1995	14.8	37.7
1994	15.8	38.8
1993	18.3	39.7
1992	22	40.7
1991	23.3	41.9
1990	24.6	43.1
1989	24.3	44.1
1988	25.1	43.8
1987	25.8	43.1
1986	26.5	42.5
1985	27	41.6
1984	27.1	41.2
1983	27	40.9
1982	26.5	40.7
1981	26	40.7
1980	25.4	40.8
1979	25.1	40.9
1978	24.1	40.8
1977	23.7	40.9
1976	23.1	41.1
1975	22.9	41.3
1974	22.6	41.5
1973	22.6	41.7
1972	22.8	42
1971	23.1	42.1
1970	23.3	42.3
1969	24.4	42.5
1968	25.3	43
1967	26.3	43.6
1966	27.7	44.2
1965	29.8	45.1
1964	32.2	46.1
1963	35.1	47.1
1962	37.7	47.5
1961	39.9	47.7
1960	41.2	47.7

The latest reported birth rate per 1,000 people in 2023 was 12.3 in Armenia and 26.1 in Tajikistan, compared with 41.2 and 47.7, respectively, in 1960.

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Chart Table

Armenia

Factual

UN forecast

Tajikistan

Factual

UN forecast

1x

Year	Young
	Armenia	Tajikistan
2100	12.9%	17.4%
2099	12.9%	17.5%
2098	13%	17.6%
2097	13.1%	17.7%
2096	13.1%	17.9%
2095	13.2%	18%
2094	13.3%	18.1%
2093	13.3%	18.2%
2092	13.4%	18.3%
2091	13.5%	18.4%
2090	13.5%	18.6%
2089	13.5%	18.7%
2088	13.6%	18.9%
2087	13.6%	19%
2086	13.6%	19.2%
2085	13.5%	19.4%
2084	13.5%	19.6%
2083	13.5%	19.8%
2082	13.5%	20%
2081	13.4%	20.2%
2080	13.4%	20.4%
2079	13.3%	20.7%
2078	13.3%	20.9%
2077	13.3%	21.1%
2076	13.2%	21.3%
2075	13.2%	21.5%
2074	13.2%	21.7%
2073	13.2%	21.9%
2072	13.2%	22.1%
2071	13.3%	22.3%
2070	13.3%	22.4%
2069	13.4%	22.6%
2068	13.4%	22.7%
2067	13.5%	22.9%
2066	13.6%	23%
2065	13.7%	23.2%
2064	13.8%	23.4%
2063	13.9%	23.6%
2062	14.1%	23.8%
2061	14.2%	24.1%
2060	14.3%	24.3%
2059	14.4%	24.6%
2058	14.5%	24.9%
2057	14.5%	25.3%
2056	14.6%	25.6%
2055	14.6%	26%
2054	14.6%	26.3%
2053	14.6%	26.7%
2052	14.7%	27%
2051	14.6%	27.4%
2050	14.6%	27.7%
2049	14.6%	28%
2048	14.6%	28.3%
2047	14.6%	28.5%
2046	14.6%	28.6%
2045	14.6%	28.8%
2044	14.6%	28.9%
2043	14.7%	29%
2042	14.8%	29.2%
2041	14.9%	29.3%
2040	15%	29.5%
2039	15.2%	29.7%
2038	15.4%	29.9%
2037	15.6%	30.2%
2036	15.8%	30.6%
2035	16%	31%
2034	16.2%	31.4%
2033	16.5%	31.8%
2032	16.8%	32.3%
2031	17.2%	32.8%
2030	17.5%	33.5%
2029	17.8%	34.2%
2028	18.2%	34.8%
2027	18.5%	35.2%
2026	18.9%	35.6%
2025	19.1%	36.1%
2024	19.2%	36.3%
2023	19.5%	36.5%
2022	19.9%	36.6%
2021	20%	36.6%
2020	20.2%	36.4%
2019	20.3%	36.3%
2018	20.5%	36.2%
2017	20.5%	36.2%
2016	20.3%	36.3%
2015	20.1%	36.3%
2014	19.9%	36.4%
2013	19.7%	36.5%
2012	19.5%	36.7%
2011	19.4%	36.7%
2010	19.3%	36.8%
2009	19.3%	37%
2008	19.4%	37.3%
2007	19.8%	37.6%
2006	20.4%	38%
2005	21.2%	38.6%
2004	22.1%	39.3%
2003	22.9%	39.9%
2002	23.8%	40.7%
2001	24.9%	41.5%
2000	26.3%	42.3%
1999	27.9%	43%
1998	29.6%	43.7%
1997	30.8%	44.3%
1996	31.3%	44.7%
1995	31.8%	44.9%
1994	32%	44.8%
1993	31.7%	44.6%
1992	31%	44.3%
1991	30.4%	44%
1990	30.3%	43.7%
1989	30.4%	43.4%
1988	30.6%	43.2%
1987	30.5%	43.1%
1986	30.4%	43.1%
1985	30.3%	43.3%
1984	30.2%	43.3%
1983	30.1%	43.3%
1982	30.1%	43.2%
1981	30.2%	43.2%
1980	30.5%	43.2%
1979	31%	43.2%
1978	31.5%	43.4%
1977	32.1%	43.6%
1976	32.8%	43.8%
1975	33.8%	44%
1974	34.9%	44.2%
1973	35.9%	44.3%
1972	36.8%	44.4%
1971	37.7%	44.5%
1970	38.5%	44.6%
1969	39.1%	44.6%
1968	39.6%	44.7%
1967	39.9%	44.7%
1966	40.2%	44.6%
1965	40.3%	44.4%
1964	40.2%	44.1%
1963	40%	43.4%
1962	39.6%	42.5%
1961	38.7%	41.4%
1960	37.5%	40.2%

Children aged 0-14 make up 19.2% of the population in Armenia and 36.3% in Tajikistan in 2024, compared to 30.3% and 43.7% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Armenia and Tajikistan compared.

Maternal mortality chart: Armenia vs Tajikistan

Chart Table

Armenia

Tajikistan

1x

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Armenia	Tajikistan
2023	19	14
2022	27	14
2021	57	25
2020	43	25
2019	23	16
2018	24	16
2017	24	17
2016	25	20
2015	25	20
2014	26	21
2013	26	21
2012	27	23
2011	27	25
2010	28	26
2009	29	29
2008	29	29
2007	30	30
2006	31	35
2005	32	36
2004	34	36
2003	35	39
2002	36	48
2001	38	58
2000	40	58
1999	42	64
1998	45	72
1997	48	76
1996	49	82
1995	50	81
1994	51	85
1993	50	84
1992	50	84
1991	47	79
1990	47	80
1989	46	85
1988	55	83
1987	52	91
1986	54	91
1985	55	98

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 19 deaths per 100,000 live births in Armenia, compared to 14 deaths in Tajikistan.

Under-five mortality rates

Chart Table

Armenia

Tajikistan

Probability that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five

1x

Year	Under 5 mortality rate
	Armenia	Tajikistan
2023	1%	2.73%
2022	1.05%	2.77%
2021	1.1%	2.79%
2020	1.16%	2.8%
2019	1.21%	2.81%
2018	1.27%	2.83%
2017	1.33%	2.88%
2016	1.4%	2.94%
2015	1.46%	3.02%
2014	1.54%	3.12%
2013	1.62%	3.23%
2012	1.7%	3.36%
2011	1.78%	3.52%
2010	1.87%	3.7%
2009	1.97%	3.92%
2008	2.06%	4.17%
2007	2.17%	4.47%
2006	2.28%	4.82%
2005	2.4%	5.22%
2004	2.52%	5.67%
2003	2.65%	6.18%
2002	2.79%	6.75%
2001	2.93%	7.34%
2000	3.08%	7.97%
1999	3.23%	8.62%
1998	3.39%	9.26%
1997	3.55%	9.86%
1996	3.72%	10.4%
1995	3.9%	10.8%
1994	4.09%	11%
1993	4.29%	10.9%
1992	4.49%	10.6%
1991	4.69%	10.2%
1990	4.9%	9.92%
1989	5.11%	9.88%
1988	9.93%	10.1%
1987	5.55%	10.5%
1986	5.78%	11.1%
1985	6.01%	11.6%
1984	6.26%	12%
1983	6.52%	12.3%
1982	6.78%	12.5%
1981	7.06%	12.6%
1980	7.36%	12.7%
1979	7.67%	12.8%
1978	7.98%	13%
1977	8.32%	13.2%
1976	8.67%	13.5%
1975	-	14%
1974	-	14.4%
1973	-	15%
1972	-	15.5%

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 1% in Armenia and 2.73% in Tajikistan. Above is a chart with historical data on under-five mortality rates.